Loading...
Proposed Revised Housing Incentive ProgramsCity of Dubuque City Council ACTION ITEMS # 2. Copyrighted September 8, 2026 ITEM TITLE: Proposed Revised Housing Incentive Programs SUMMARY: City Manager recommending City Council approve the proposed revisions to the City's housing creation incentive program, with an effective date of January 1, 2027. SUGGUESTED Receive and File; Approve DISPOSITION: ATTACHMENTS: 1. MVM Memo Proposed Revised Housing Incentive Programs - Updated 9.4.26 2. Staff Memo - Updated 9.4.26 3. 2022 Dubuque Housing Need Assessment 4. 2025 Dubuque County Housing Needs Assessment 5. Housing Incentives - New Units Handout - Aug 19 2026 6. Housing Availability Info - August 2026 7. Income -Targeted Housing Data - August 2026 8. Dubuque Housing Employer Visit Data Summary - August 2026 9. Housing Alignment - GDDC Analysis - August 2026 10. Presentation -Uploaded 9.8.26 THE CITY OF DUB E-E Masterpiece on the Mississippi TO: The Honorable Mayor and City Council Members FROM: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager SUBJECT: Proposed Revised Housing Incentive Programs DATE: September 3, 2026 Dubuque All -America Ciq IIIr II 2007.2012.2013 2017*2019 Economic Development Director Jill Connors is recommending City Council approve the proposed revisions to the City's housing creation incentive program, with an effective date of January 1, 2027. The proposed changes will allow the City to continue supporting affordable and workforce rental housing outside of downtown, support all types of owner -occupied housing throughout the community, maintain incentives that are important to downtown redevelopment, and more strategically target public resources as housing market conditions evolve. Beginning in 2022, the City Council approved more robust housing incentive packages designed to encourage housing construction across all price points, including both market -rate and affordable/workforce housing. At the time, the expanded incentives were intended to address the need for additional housing of all types and to encourage development in a market where new construction was challenging to achieve. The program has been successful in generating significant new housing activity. Over the past four years, a total of 2,598 units has been approved, are under review, are under construction, or have been completed in Dubuque. However, only 390 of those units are considered workforce/affordable. This indicates that while the city has made meaningful progress in increasing the overall supply of housing, the need for housing that is affordable to working households remains significant. The continued need for "missing middle" housing — housing that is affordable to working households but is not necessarily subsidized or income -restricted — suggests that the City should periodically reassess where its limited incentive resources can have the greatest impact. With the overall housing supply having increased substantially since 2022, it is appropriate to consider whether the same level of public incentive is still necessary for every type and location of housing development. Staff is proposing a revised incentive "menu" that would target City housing incentives more strategically. Under the proposed changes, incentives for market -rate rental housing outside the Greater Downtown Urban Renewal Area would be eliminated, while incentives for affordable/workforce rental housing would continue, as well as for market- rate owner -occupied housing. Existing incentives within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area would also remain unchanged. The intent is not to discourage market -rate rental housing construction outside of downtown, but rather to recognize that the City's housing needs and development conditions have changed since the current incentive structure was established. Where the private market is increasingly capable of supporting market -rate rental housing without public assistance, City incentives can instead be focused on housing types and locations where an incentive is more likely to make a meaningful difference. This approach also benefits the City's long-term property tax base. When a property is included in a Tax Increment Taxing (TIF) district, its increased value is "captured" for the district rather than counted as new valuation on the City's tax rolls. Market -rate housing built outside the Downtown Urban Renewal Area avoids this capture, so its full value counts as new taxable growth without a city incentive. This matters more under Iowa's new property tax legislation (Senate File 2472), which caps most annual growth in city general fund levies at 2% of the prior year's property tax dollars but excludes new valuation from that cap. Any valuation included in a TIF or abatement district is not counted as new growth when it is released from the district. Declining to offer the TIF and Urban Renewal incentive preserves that benefit for the City's general fund instead of diverting it to a TIF fund. No changes are proposed to the current housing incentives within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area. Downtown continues to present different development challenges, particularly the rehabilitation and adaptive reuse of existing buildings and the development of infill projects. Maintaining the current incentives will continue to support these projects, which contribute to increased residential density, a more walkable and bikeable downtown, use of existing infrastructure like sewer, water and electricity, use of existing public transportation routes, available public parking, and the continued revitalization of the area. Maintaining the downtown incentives is also important as the city prepares for significant nearby investment, including but not limited to the University of Dubuque's new John and Alice Butler College of Osteopathic Medicine. Increasing the number and variety of housing options within walking distance of downtown and other major employment, educational, and cultural destinations will help support these investments and strengthen the downtown as a place to live, work, and visit. This continued focus on housing is also supported by feedback from Dubuque employers. The Greater Dubuque Development Corporation's multi -year employer interview program, which engages approximately 250 to 305 employers annually, has shown a consistent increase in the importance of housing availability and affordability. Housing access moved from the third most frequently identified concern in 2020-21 to the number one concern in each of the past three years. The employer feedback, along with ratings of community services and findings from the 2023 Next Gen survey of 2 Dubuque -area residents age 30 and under, reinforces the need to continue increasing the availability of housing options that are attainable to the local workforce. The new menu of incentives will provide the following: Outside the Downtown Urban Renewal Area • Market -rate owner -occupied housing — Retain the current incentive, which is a 10-year public infrastructure TIF. • Market -rate rental housing — Remove incentives entirely. • Affordable/workforce owner -occupied housing — Maintain the existing 15-year TIF incentive. • Affordable/workforce rental housing — Maintain the existing 15-year TIF incentive. Within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area • Maintain all existing housing incentives as currently structured, including the 15- year TIF incentive. The proposed changes would therefore shift the City's housing incentives from a broad - based approach toward a more targeted strategy. Outside of downtown, public incentives would be reserved for affordable/workforce housing and market -rate owner - occupied homes, while market -rate rental housing would be allowed to proceed without City housing incentives. Downtown would remain an exception because of the additional challenges and community benefits associated with redevelopment, rehabilitation, infill, and increased residential density. Staff will continue to monitor the market for market -rate rental development, including both senior and general -occupancy housing. Staff can return to the City Council with recommendations for further changes if market conditions indicate that additional or different incentives are warranted in the future. Staff recommends that the revised incentive menu take effect January 1, 2027. This effective date provides a reasonable transition period for projects that are already being planned or have incurred significant costs in reliance on the current incentive structure. Projects submitted prior to January 1, 2027, would continue to be considered under the existing incentive menu. I concur with the recommendation and respectfully request Mayor and City Council approval. MCVM:sv k�4 Micliael C. Van Milligen 3 Attachment cc: Crenna Brumwell, City Attorney Cori Burbach, Assistant City Manager Jill Connors, Economic Development Director Ian Hatch, Assistant Economic Development Director Wally Wernimont, Planning Services Director Madeline Haverland, Housing & Community Development Director 12 THE CITY OF DUB E Masterpiece on the Mississippi Dubuque Economic Development Department 1300 Main Street AII-Anerig90 Dubuque, Iowa 52001-4763 1 I Office (563) 589-4393 I III® TTY (563) 690-6678 http://www.cityofdubuque.org 2007-2012.2013 2017*2019 TO: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager FROM: Jill M. Connors, Economic Development Director SUBJECT: Proposed Revised Housing Incentive Programs DATE: September 3, 2026 INTRODUCTION The purpose of this memorandum is to provide an update on housing construction in Dubuque and recommend changes to the City's "menu" of housing creation incentives. The proposed changes are intended to better align the City's housing incentives with current housing needs and market conditions, while continuing to support housing development in areas where public incentives remain important to achieving broader community development goals. I_TO]"'O]:00] Ll I llf� Beginning in 2022, the City Council approved more robust housing incentive packages designed to encourage housing construction across all price points, including both market - rate and affordable/workforce housing. At the time, the expanded incentives were intended to address the need for additional housing of all types and to encourage development in a market where new construction was challenging to achieve. The program has been successful in generating significant new housing activity. Over the past four years, a total of 2,598 units have been approved, are under review, are under construction, or have been completed in Dubuque. However, only 390 of those units are considered workforce/affordable. This indicates that while the City has made meaningful progress in increasing the overall supply of housing, the need for housing that is affordable to working households remains significant. The continued need for "missing middle" housing — housing that is affordable to working households but is not necessarily subsidized or income -restricted — suggests that the City should periodically reassess where its limited incentive resources can have the greatest impact. With the overall housing supply having increased substantially since 2022, it is appropriate to consider whether the same level of public incentive is still necessary for every type and location of housing development. DISCUSSION Staff is proposing a revised incentive "menu" that would target City housing incentives more strategically. Under the proposed changes, incentives for market -rate rental housing outside the Greater Downtown Urban Renewal Area would be eliminated, while incentives for affordable/workforce housing would continue, as well as for market -rate owner -occupied housing. Existing incentives within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area would also remain unchanged. The intent is not to discourage market -rate housing construction outside of downtown, but rather to recognize that the City's housing needs and development conditions have changed since the current incentive structure was established. Where the private market is increasingly capable of supporting market -rate housing without public assistance, City incentives can instead be focused on housing types and locations where an incentive is more likely to make a meaningful difference. This approach also benefits the City's long-term property tax base. When a property is included in a TIF district, its increased value is "captured" for the district rather than counted as new valuation on the City's tax rolls. Market -rate housing built outside the Downtown Urban Renewal Area avoids this capture, so its full value counts as new taxable growth without a City incentive. This matters more under Iowa's new property tax legislation (Senate File 2472), which caps most annual growth in city general fund levies at roughly 2% of the prior year's property tax dollars but excludes new valuation from that cap. Declining to offer the TIF incentive preserves that benefit for the City's general fund instead of diverting it to a TIF fund. No changes are proposed to the current housing incentives within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area. Downtown continues to present different development challenges, particularly the rehabilitation and adaptive reuse of existing buildings and the development of infill projects. Maintaining the current incentives will continue to support these projects, which contribute to increased residential density, a more walkable downtown, and the continued revitalization of the area. Maintaining the downtown incentives is also important as the City prepares for significant nearby investment, including but not limited to the University of Dubuque's new Butler College of Osteopathic Medicine. Increasing the number and variety of housing options K within walking distance of downtown and other major employment, educational, and cultural destinations will help support these investments and strengthen the downtown as a place to live, work, and visit. This continued focus on housing is also supported by feedback from Dubuque employers. The Greater Dubuque Development Corporation's multi -year employer interview program, which engages approximately 250 to 305 employers annually, has shown a consistent increase in the importance of housing availability and affordability. Housing access moved from the third most frequently identified concern in 2020-21 to the number one concern in each of the past three years. The employer feedback, along with ratings of community services and findings from the 2023 Next Gen survey of Dubuque -area residents age 30 and under, reinforces the need to continue increasing the availability of housing options that are attainable to the local workforce. NEW MENU The new menu will provide the following: Outside the Downtown Urban Renewal Area • Market -rate owner -occupied housing — Retain the current incentive, which is a 10- year public infrastructure TIF. • Market -rate rental housing — Remove incentives entirely. • Affordable/workforce owner -occupied housing — Maintain the existing 15-year TIF incentive. • Affordable/workforce rental housing — Maintain the existing 15-year TIF incentive. Within the Downtown Urban Renewal Area • Maintain all existing housing incentives as currently structured, including the 15-year TIF incentive. The proposed changes would therefore shift the City's housing incentives from a broad - based approach toward a more targeted strategy. Outside of downtown, public incentives would be reserved for affordable/workforce housing and market -rate owner -occupied homes, while market -rate rental housing would be allowed to proceed without City housing incentives. Downtown would remain an exception because of the additional challenges and community benefits associated with redevelopment, rehabilitation, infill, and increased residential density. PHASING/EFFECTIVE DATE Staff will continue to monitor the market for market -rate rental development, including both senior and general -occupancy housing. Staff can return to the City Council with 3 recommendations for further changes if market conditions indicate that additional or different incentives are warranted in the future. Staff recommends that the revised incentive menu take effect January 1, 2027. This effective date provides a reasonable transition period for projects that are already being planned or have incurred significant costs in reliance on the current incentive structure. Projects submitted prior to January 1, 2027, would continue to be considered under the existing incentive menu. RECOMMENDATION I respectfully recommend that the City Council approve the proposed revisions to the City's housing creation incentive program, with an effective date of January 1, 2027. The proposed changes will allow the City to continue supporting affordable and workforce housing, maintain incentives that are important to downtown redevelopment, and more strategically target public resources as housing market conditions evolve. CC: Madeline Haverland, Housing and Community Development Director Wally Wernimont, Planning Services Director 4 =�1 !'"i�i Dubuque_- Housing Needs Assessment .................................... AP R I L, 2022 ON BEHALF OF THE CITY OF DUBUQUE, IA 0 Acknowledgements & Contributions East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Melissa Groth, Executive Officer Quad Cities Area Association of Realtors Sharon Smith, Executive Officer Cedar Rapids Area Association of Realtors Kevin Platz, Executive Officer City of Dubuque, Economic Development Ian Hatch, Assistant Economic Development Director 21 age Table of Contents Acknowledgements & Contributions..........................................................................2 Introduction...............................................................................................................4 StudyProcess.............................................................................................................5 CommunityProfile......................................................................................................6 Distressed Community Assessment............................................................................8 Conclusion................................................................................................................18 Document Prepared by East Central Intergovernmental Association in partnership with Greater Dubuque Development Corporation 31Page Introduction The City of Dubuque is located in northeastern Iowa, along the Mississippi River. Due to its location at the border of Illinois and Wisconsin it is considered to be within the Tri-state region. Dubuque is the primary city in the Dubuque Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and is the Dubuque County Seat. This study examines the City's residential resources and needs as they pertain to the Workforce Housing Tax Incentive Program (WHTIP). This assessment will include consideration of the following: whether or not the community has a severe housing shortage relative to demand, low vacancy rates, and/or rising housing costs combined with low unemployment. The City of Dubuque has not been designated as a "distressed housing community" historically. This designation would allow builders and developers to apply for tax credits towards the construction of new workforce housing units on greenfield or undeveloped sites. The City intends to apply for this designation in order to support and promote the development of workforce housing projects in the community. This 2022 Workforce Housing Study is submitted as a part of the application which seeks to obtain the "distressed housing community" designation. 4 1 P a g e Study Process The 2022 Distressed Housing Community Study was completed by the East Central Intergovernmental Association. Data assistance was provided by East Central Association of Realtors, Quad Cities Area Association of Realtors, and Cedar Rapids Area Association of Realtors. Following the WHTIP administrative rules provided by the Iowa Economic Development Authority (IEDA), the primary data points considered for a "distressed workforce housing community" are the most recent three-year (2019-2021) data collected. However, the report uses 5-year estimates in instances where data is sourced from the American Community Survey (ACS). At the time this report was created, ACS 2016-2020 estimates were the most current data available. The required criteria and data for this housing assessment are outlined below in Table 1. Table 1. Distressed Housing Community Criteria and Data Sources Data Source 1 Annual number of building permits issued in the City of Dubuque, Economic Development city for the most recent three-year period 2. Homeowner vacancy rate in the city American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year estimates 2016- 2020 3 The annual volume of homeowner unit sales in East Central Iowa Regional Board of Realtors the city for the most recent three-year period The annual length of time it takes to sell 4. homeowner units in the city for the most recent East Central Iowa Regional Board of Realtors three-year period 5. The annual average rental vacancy rate in the city American Community Survey 5 Year estimates 2016-2020 The annual average length of time it takes to 6. lease rental units in the city for the most recent Western Economic Services three-year period 7. The average housing costs in the city East Central Iowa Regional Board of Realtors 8. The average unemployment rate in the city U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9. The laborshed wage applicable to the city Iowa Economic Development Authority; Iowa Workforce Development 51Page Community Profile A community's population trends often provide insights on its housing market. As Figure.1 and Table 2 show, Dubuque saw a great deal of growth up until the 1980's where the population peaked at 62,374. For the following two decades Dubuque saw a significant decline in population until 2000 when the population began to stabilize and now as of 2020 there has been stable growth of about 3.5%. 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 Figure 1: City of Dubuque Historic Population (1920-2020) Source: US Decennial Census (1920-2020) Table 2 Population Change 1920 1 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Population 39,141 41,679 43,892 49,671 56,606 62,309 62,374 57,538 57,686 57,637 59,667 Population Change - 2,538 2,213 5,779 6,935 5,703 65 -4,836 148 -49 2,030 Percentage Change - 6.48% 5.31% 13.17% 13.96% 10.07% 0.10% - 7.75% 0.26% - 0.08% 3.52% Source: US Decennial Census (1920-2020) The housing stock in the City of Dubuque has largely followed the population trends that are illustrated in Figure 1. The data presented in Table 3 show that approximately 62% of the housing stock in Dubuque was built when the City was experiencing positive growth in the first half of the 20tn Century. After the City's population decline in the 1980's the number of homes being built was reduced significantly. Of the occupied units within the City of Dubuque, 33% are renter occupied, which is nearly 8% larger than the average for Dubuque County and the State of Iowa. Table 4 compares the number of renter and owner -occupied units in the City of Dubuque, Dubuque County, and the State of Iowa. Table 5 shows how the proportions of renter and owner -occupied units have changed in these areas between 61 age 2010 and 2020. From 2010-2020 the percentage of renter occupied units increased significantly compared to the percentage of owner -occupied units for the City of Dubuque, Dubuque County, and the State of Iowa. Table 3: Housing Stock Structure Age Comparison Label Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Year Structure Built City of Dubuque Dubuque County State of Iowa Built 2014 or later 403 1.5% 945 2.3% 50,845 3.6% Built 2010 to 2013 835 3.2% 2,070 5.0% 41,384 2.9% Built 2000 to 2009 1,781 6.8% 5,628 13.6% 153,068 10.9% Built 1990 to 1999 2,071 7.9% 4,255 10.2% 150,637 10.7% Built 1980 to 1989 1,115 4.3% 2,015 4.9% 103,539 7.4% Built 1970 to 1979 3,662 14.0% 5,689 13.7% 199,487 14.2% Built 1960 to 1969 3,697 14.1% 4,922 11.9% 141,706 10.1% Built 1950 to 1959 3,298 12.6% 4,108 9.9% 141,925 10.1% Built 1940 to 1949 1,444 5.5% 1,860 4.5% 70,413 5.0% Built 1939 or earlier 7,908 30.2% 10,026 24.1% 354,815 25.2% Total housing units 26,214 41,518 1,407,819 Source: American Community Survey 5-year Estimates (2020); City of Dubuque Table 4: Owner and Rental unit Comparison City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa Owner -Occupied 15,582 59% 28,382 68% 9061967 64% Renter Occupied 8,569 33% 10,273 25% 366,974 26% Source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2020) Table 5: Housing Trend Comparison City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa 2010 2020 Change 2010 2020 Change 2010 2020 Change Total Occupied Housing Units 23,623 24,151 2.24% 36,787 38,655 5.1% 1,215,954 1,273,941 4.8% Owner - Occupied 15,878 15,582 -1.9% 27,493 28,382 3.2% 889,912 906,967 1.9% Renter Occupied 1 7,745 8,569 1 10.6% 1 9,294 1 10,273 10.5% 326,042 366,974 12.6% Source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates (2010, 2020) 71Page Distressed Community Assessment Building Permits The City of Dubuque Economic Development Department provided building permit data for the most recent three years (2019-2021). Single family/duplex permits saw a decrease over the last three years while multi- family permits saw increased growth. The three-year average for the housing permit volume accounted for 0.51% of the existing housing stock. This average is well below the threshold outlined in the administrative rules which was 1% or less of the city's currently available 26,214 housing stock. Table 6: Issued Building Permits (2019-2021) Year Single Family & Duplex Units Multi -Family Units Total Housing Permits Percent of Total Housing 2019 72 8 80 0.31% 2020 40 80 120 0.46% 2021 1 40 1 160 1 200 1 0.76% Average 1 51 83 133 Source: City of Dubuque, Economic Development Homeowner Vacancy Rate To examine the City of Dubuque's vacancy rate, Dubuque County and the State of Iowa were used as comparisons. The American Community Survey (ACS) estimates show that the City of Dubuque, Dubuque County, and the State of Iowa all saw a slight decrease in vacancy rates of the 2018-2020 period. The criterion for the WHTIP administrative rules considers a vacancy rate of one percent to be low and a vacancy rate of two percent to be an acceptable rate. The City of Dubuque has consistently maintained a vacancy rate below the 1% threshold. Table 7: Comparison Homeowner Vacancy Rates (2018-2020) Year City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa 2018 0.9 0.7 1.5 2019 0.5 0.5 1.4 2020 0.5 0.6 1.3 Average 1 0.6 0.6 1.4 Source: ACS 5-Year Estimates (2018-2020) 81Page Homeowner Unit Sales The East Central Iowa Association of Realtors provided home sales data from the Multiple Listing Service (MLS). The data, shown in Table 8, shows an average of 927 units sold in Dubuque during the most recent three-year period 2019-2021. For comparison, the Cedar Rapids Association of Realtors provided data on Marion, and the Quad Cities Association of Realtors provided data on Bettendorf. Data from the two communities is provided in Tables 9 and 10. The three communities have seen similar annual unit sale totals and population sizes and therefore are fair comparisons for the purposes of this assessment. Compared to Marion and Bettendorf, the City of Dubuque's volume of sales are a much smaller percentage of existing housing units by over a percentage each year (2019-2021), indicating a shortage of available housing. Table 8: Dubuque City Annual Volume of Sales (MLS) Year Residential Units Percent of Existing Housing Units 2019 846 3.2 2020 944 3.6% 2021 992 3.8% Source: MLS Database via East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Table 9: Marion Annual Volume of Sales (MLS) Year Residential Units Percent of Existing Housing Units 2019 775 4.7% 2020 826 5.0% 2021 869 5.3% Source: MLS Database via Cedar Rapids Area Association of Realtors Table 10: Bettendorf Annual Volume of Sales (MLS) Year Residential Units Percent of Existing Housing Units 2019 709 4.6% 2020 779 5.0% 2021 812 5.2% Source: MLS Database via Quad Cities Area Association of Realtors Selling Homeowner Units During the most recent three-year period, Dubuque homes spent an average of 30 days on the market (DOM) before selling. Following the WHTIP administrative rules, an average time of 90 days or less indicates a high demand for available housing; The City of Dubuque's 3-year average illustrates a sustained, high demand for housing in the community. Figure 2 shows the average DOM for Iowa homeowner units, which illustrates the large difference between the City of Dubuque and the state as a whole. El Table 11: Annual Average length of Time to Sell Homeowner Units Year City of Dubuque 2019 40 DOM 2020 30 DOM 2021 20 DOM 3-Year Average 30 DOM Source: MLS Database via East Central Iowa Association of Realtors 80 70 63 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 68 65.5 66 62 58 37 411 in son old 2019 2020 2021 ■ Single -Family Detached ■ Townhouse -Condo ■ Combined Average Figure 2: State of Iowa Average Days on Market Until Sale Source: Iowa Association of Realtors, Statewide Monthly Report (2019-2021) 43.5 Rental Vacancy Rate Dubuque County and the State of Iowa and are used again here in comparison of with the City of Dubuque to examine the magnitude of the City's annual average vacancy rate. The workforce housing program criteria consider a rental vacancy of five percent or less to be a low vacancy rate. While the State of Iowa on average has a constant vacancy rate, the City of Dubuque and Dubuque County have had fluctuating numbers, both areas had increased vacancy rates in 2019 and then saw a substantial decrease in 2020. All three areas did have a rental vacancy rate that was higher than the five percent threshold that is identified in the program guidelines. Table 12: Annual Average Vacancy Rate - Rental Year City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa 2018 7.50% 6.60% 6.50% 2019 10.60% 9.20% 6.50% 2020 9.00% 7.90% 6.50% 3-Year Average 9.03% 7.90% 6.50% Source: ACS 5-year Estimates (2018-2020) 10 1 Page More recent data suggests that the vacancy rates may be decreasing in the future. As a part of the Volume III: Dubuque City, city — Iowa State Profile, Western Economic Services (WES) conducted the Iowa Statewide Rental Vacancy Survey with rental property managers in 2021. In the City of Dubuque, 26 surveys representing 1,159 rental units were collected. The vacancy rate was found to be substantially lower than what was estimated using the ACS 2018-2020 data. The rental vacancy rate is broken down by type in Table 13. This data serves to provide a more holistic picture of vacancy in the City of Dubuque. Table 13: Western Economic Services Rental Vacancy Survey Results by Type Unit Type Total Units* Vacant Units Vacancy Rate Single -Family 26 1 3.8% Apartments 1,123 14 1.2% Mobile Homes 0 0 0% "Other" Units 10 0 0% Don't know 0 0 0% Total 1,159 15 1.3% Source: Western Economic Services, 2021 Survey of Rental Properties (Volume Ill: Dubuque City, city — Iowa State Profile) Rental Lease Units The average length of time it takes to lease rental units in a community can indicate high demand for rental housing in a particular community. In accordance with the program's guidelines, an average time of 30 days or less on the market indicates a high demand for available housing. Using the 2021 Survey of Rental Properties conducted by Western Economic Services, the 26 surveys representing 1,159 rental units found there was an absorption rate of 17 indicating a slightly above average demand, this is a sharp decrease from 2019 where the absorption rate was exceptionally high, this variability may be attributed to the difference in sample size between the 2019 and 2021 surveys. Table 14: Western Economic Services Rental Absorption Rate Year Completed Surveys Total Units Vacancy Rate Absorption Rate 2019 71 2,419 4.3% 30.3 2021 26 1,159 1.3 % 17 Source: Western Economic Services, 2021 Survey of Rental Properties (Volume Ill: Dubuque City, city — Iowa State Profile) 111 age Housing Costs and Affordability Over the past three years the cost of housing in Dubuque has increased significantly. The data in table 15 shows that the average sale price of homes sold in Dubuque increased by more than $25,000 between 2019 and 2021. Rising housing prices can place an additional cost burden on households within the community. This report estimates housing affordability using a Housing Affordability Index methodology developed by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The index measures the degree to which a typical family can afford the monthly mortgage payments on a typical home. It should also be noted that the qualifying income is calculated assuming a 20% down payment, which is above the national average. According to NAR data, the average down payment for first time buyers was 7% and 17% for repeat buyers in 2021. The formula of the Housing Affordability Index (HAI): HAI = (Median Family Income/ Qualifying Income) * 100 City of Dubuque's HAI: 118.6 = ($54,938 / $46,312.77) * 100 Using local data on median home values and interest rates to calculate the qualifying income, the City of Dubuque's HAI is 118.6. This HAI indicates that the typical 2020 Household in Dubuque has 118.6 percent of the income necessary to purchase a home at the median value. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) provides the monthly HAI estimates for the Midwest, in June 2020 the HAI the average was 215. This shows that housing affordability in Dubuque falls below the Midwest regional average. However, it is acknowledged that the average qualifying income was calculated for the year 2021, which is a limitation of this index calculation when compared to 2020 census data. More information on the NAR methodology can be found at: https://www.na r.rea Itor/research-a nd-statistics/housing-statistics/housing-affordability-index/methodology Table 15: Average Sale Price City of Dubuque (2019-2021) Year Housing Units Sold Average Sale Price Percent Change from Previous Year 2019 846 $ 211,209 11.40% 2020 944 $ 212,684 0.70% 2021 992 $ 236,390 11% Source: MLS Database Via East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Table 16: City of Dubuque Housing Affordability (2010 & 2019) Data Less Than 30% 31%-50% Above 50% Not Computed Source % Of % Of % Of % Of Total Households Total Households Total Households Total Households Total 2010 Five-year ACS 16,643 70.50% 4,040 17.10% 2,610 11% 330 1.40% 23,623 2019 Five Year ACS 16,778 71% 3,396 14.40% 2,991 12.7% 455 1.90% 23,620 12 1 Page Source: Western Economic Services, Total Cost Burden and Severe Cost Burden (Volume 111: Dubuque City, city — Iowa State Profile) Table 16 gives a more granular view of housing affordability in Dubuque. In 2019, 14.4% of household were spending between 31%-50% of their income on housing and 12.7% were spending more than 50% of their income on housing. Table 17: Selected Monthly Owner Costs as Percentage of Household Income (SMOCAPI) City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa Housing units with a mortgage (excluding units where SMOCAPI cannot be computed) 9,522 17,769 545,689 Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Less than 20.0 percent 5,056 53% 9,701 55% 305,701 56% 20.0 to 24.9 percent 1,576 17% 2,800 16% 85,256 16% 25.0 to 29.9 percent 869 9% 1,673 9% 48,949 9% 30.0 to 34.9 percent 565 6% 1,021 6% 29,837 5% 35.0 percent or more 1,456 15% 2,574 14% 75,946 14% Source: ACS 5-Year Estimates (2020) Table 17 shows the selected monthly owner costs as percentage of household income (SMOCAPI) across the City of Dubuque, Dubuque County, and the State of Iowa. This shows the percentage of owner income that is going towards housing for owners who have a mortgage. The City of Dubuque has just slightly more households that are paying 35% or more of their income on housing compared to the state average. Table 18: Gross Rent as a Percentage of Household Income (GRAPI) City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa Occupied units paying rent (excluding units where GRAPI cannot be computed) 8,569 9,656 338,023 Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Estimate Percent Less than 20.0 percent 2,633 31% 3,107 32% 108,091 32% 20.0 to 24.9 percent 1,156 13% 1,420 15% 47,743 14% 25.0 to 29.9 percent 731 9% 935 10% 1 37,736 11% 30.0 to 34.9 percent 598 7% 705 7% 27,083 80 35.0 percent or more 3,451 40% 3,489 36% 117,370 35% Source: ACS 5-Year Estimates (2020) Table 18, breaks down the percentage of household income that renters are paying in each jurisdiction. It can be seen that the percentage of renters in Dubuque that are paying 35% or more is 4-5% larger than the Dubuque County and the State of Iowa respectively. 13 1 age Unemployment Rate Table 19 shows the City of Dubuque's unemployment rates in comparison to Dubuque County and the State of Iowa. During the 2019-2021, the unemployment rates in the City of Dubuque, MSA, Dubuque County, and Iowa have been consistently below the national average during this same time frame. Each jurisdiction saw a very large jump in unemployment in 2020 due to Covid-19. Per the 2021 statistics, the City of Dubuque still has not returned to its pre-covid unemployment number though it has seen significant improvement from 6.5% in 2020 to 4.2% in 2021. Still, the significant decrease in unemployment in just a year, despite the Covid-19 pandemic, shows the high demand for jobs within the City of Dubuque. A strong local economy is likely an important factor behind recent housing price increases. Table 19: Annual Average Unemployment (Not Seasonally Adjusted) Year City of Dubuque Dubuque County Iowa 2019 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2020 6.5% 5.8% 5.1% 2021 4.2% 4.0% 4.2% 3-Year Average 4.5% 4.1% 4.0% Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Laborshed Wage The final criteria that is needed for this study is the laborshed wage analysis. The Iowa Economic Development Authority (IEDA) calculates laborshed wages based on the employment area's actual commuting patterns. Table 20 shows IEDA's FY 2022 wage requirements for the City of Dubuque and comparable Iowa communities Table 20: Laborshed Wage Comparison City County 120% Wage 100% Wage 90% Wage Dubuque Dubuque $ 25.36 $ 21.13 $ 19.02 Sioux City Woodbury $ 24.67 $ 20.56 $ 18.50 Council Bluffs Pottawattamie $ 27.53 $ 22.94 $ 20.65 Waterloo Black Hawk $ 24.01 $ 20.01 $ 18.01 Source: Iowa Economic Development Authority Annual Salaries in Dubuque fall below the statewide average and the city's median salary ranks in the lower half of Iowa's metropolitan areas. Table 21 lists the median annual salary for the State of Iowa and its metropolitan areas. Lower annual salaries in Dubuque could negatively impact housing affordability in the community. 14 1 Page Table 21: Median Annual Salaries 2021 City Median Annual Salary (2021) Council Bluffs $75,500 Cedar Rapids $74,500 Waterloo $70,000 State of Iowa $70,000 Iowa City $68,500 Ames $65,000 Dubuque $65,000 Davenport $65,000 Sioux City $62,000 Des Moines $61,000 Source: Iowa Workforce Development The laborshed analysis also shows that there is a large gap in median wages and education attainment between the different industries in the City of Dubuque. Table 21 presents each industry's median hourly wage and median annual salary. Figures 3-4 show the lowest median hourly wage that workers are willing to accept. Finance, Construction, and Manufacturing had the highest hourly wages, while Health Care and Professional Services had the highest salaries. Table 22: Education of Available Labor by Industry Some Education Trade Bachelor's Education Associate Industry Beyond HS, No Certification/Vocational Degree or Beyond HS Degree Degree Training Above Obtained Agriculture, Forestry, & ** ** ** ** ** Mining 42.9% 28.6% 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% Construction 100.0% 15.4% 0.0% 7.7% 76.9% Education Entertainment & 66.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 66.7% Recreation Finance, Insurance, & 85.7% 14.3% 0.0% 14.3% 57.1% Real Estate Government & Public 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Administration 15 1 Healthcare & Social 84.0% 8.0% 4.0% 16.0% 56.0% Services Manufacturing 64.5% 22.6% 3.2% 12.9% 25.8% 83.4% 33.3% 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% Personal Services 70.5% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 52.9% Professional Services Transportation, 84.7% 46.2% 7.7% 0.0% 30.8% Communication, & Utilities Wholesale & Retail 72.3% 30.6% 5.6% 16.7% 19.4% Trade Top percentages among industries per education level are highlighted in the table. **Insufficient survey data/refused Source: Iowa Workforce Development, City of Dubuque Laborshed Report (2021) Table 23: Median Hourly Wage & Annual Salary Industry Median Hourly Wage Median Annual Salary Agriculture, Forestry, & Mining ** ** Construction $ 21.08 ** Education $ 14.55 $ 55,000.00 Entertainment & Recreation $ 15.00 ** Finance, Insurance, & Real Estate $ 21.52 $ 60,000.00 Government & Public Administration ** ** Healthcare & Social Services $ 15.50 $ 67,000.00 Manufacturing $ 20.00 $ 60,000.00 Personal Services ** ** Professional Services $ 11.35 $ 68,500.00 Transportation, Communication, & Utilities $ 19.78 $ 54,146.00 Wholesale & Retail Trade $ 13.00 $ 48,000.00 Source: Iowa Workforce Development, City of Dubuque Laborshed Report (2021) 16 1 Page Median Hourly Wage Hourly VJages (Data released:August2021): Lowest Median Hourly Wage, WillingtoAccept $20.19 $19.25 $20.00 - 516-88 $15.88 $14.73 x 5S 00 $0.00 Clerical and Administrative Managerial and Production, Construction, Professional, Sales and Relate - Support Administrative and Material Moving ='a raprofessi oral, an.. Figure 3: Iowa Workforce Development's Laborshed Analysis by Occupational Category (Hourly) Source: Iowa Workforce Development, City of Dubuque Laborshed Report (2021) Hourly Wages (Data released.-Auyust2021): 4» 7c m $20.00 m 515.00 x a 510.00 Median Hourly Wage Lowest Median Hourly Wage, Willing to Accept 523.75 $25.00 $15.00 $5.00 -.griculture/.. Construction Education Entertainment Finance, Health Manufacturi.. Personal Professional Public Transportati.. Wholesale& andRecrea.. Insuranc.. Care/Soci.. Services Services Administratior Retail Trade Figure 4: Iowa Workforce Development's Laborshed Analysis by Industry Category (Hourly) Source: Iowa Workforce Development, City of Dubuque Laborshed Report (2021) *Visualizations of Annual Salary Data were unavailable on the Iowa Workforce Development website during the writing of this report. 17 1 Page Conclusion In accordance with the WHTIP's administrative rule, this study's goal was to evaluate whether or not the City of Dubuque has a severe housing shortage relative to demand, low vacancy rates, or rising housing costs combined with low unemployment. The data and subsequent analysis included in this report show a high need for housing units within the City of Dubuque. Housing permits within the City of Dubuque have increased significantly between 2019-2021, yet new construction only makes up 0.76% of the existing of the total housing in Dubuque. An exceptional housing demand is marked by statistics regarding the days on market (DOM); from 2019-2021 there was an average DOM of 30 days which is significantly less than the state average at the same time. Cost overburdened renters and relatively low unemployment despite the Covid-19 pandemic, show a sustained need for workforce housing in the City of Dubuque. By submitting this report, we request your consideration for the City of Dubuque to gain the designation as a distressed housing community under the IEDA Workforce Housing Tax Incentive Program. 18 1 Page October 2025 Prepared by: East Central Intergovernmental Association 7600 Commerce Park Dubuque, Iowa 52001 Prepared for: Greater Dubuque Development Corporation 900 Jackson St, Suite 109 Dubuque, Iowa 52002 1 Greater Dubuque El Contents 1. Introduction..............................................................................................................3 2. Demographic Trends..................................................................................................6 3. Economic Trends.....................................................................................................12 4. Housing Trends.......................................................................................................21 5. Housing Market.......................................................................................................28 6. Housing Affordability...............................................................................................39 7. Forecasts................................................................................................................44 8. Key Findings............................................................................................................47 9. Housing Programs...................................................................................................50 Cover Image: Blue Sky Estates and Eagle Valley subdivisions in the city of Dubuque. Photo provided by Greater Dubuque Development Corporation. October 2025 2 1. Introduction Greater Dubuque Development Corporation has contracted with the East Central Intergov- ern mental Association (ECIA) to produce a housing needs assessment for Dubuque County, Iowa. Purpose The purpose of this housing needs assessment is to review the most accurate and up-to- date information available in order to better understand the current housing conditions and provide a forecast of future housing production needed to achieve a balanced housing mar- ket over the next ten years. The assessment will provide a macro level assessment of housing in Dubuque County, offer- ing a broad perspective that examines overarching trends and systematic factors rather than focusing on specific neighborhoods or submarkets. The assessment will include a review of data from a variety of sources including the U.S. Census Bureau, State of Iowa, real estate professionals, and local governments. Analysis of these data trends will provide a foundation for future population and housing forecasts that will help guide future housing -related decisions. Greater Dubuque Development Corporation Greater Dubuque Development Corporation is an economic development organization that is dedicated to serving Dubuque County, IA and committed to assisting its partners in Clay- ton, Delaware, Jones, Jackson, Jo Daviess, and Grant counties to elevate the economic and community development of our region. Greater Dubuque Development Corporation's mission is to serve as the premier economic development organization in the region. Greater Dubuque drives economic prosperity by at- tracting, retaining, and growing businesses, serving as a convener and catalyst of strategic collaboration and population growth. East Central Intergovernmental Association East Central Intergovernmental Association (ECIA) is an organization of counties, cities and other local governments serving a five -county area in eastern Iowa that includes Cedar, Clin- ton, Delaware, Dubuque, and Jackson counties. Established in 1974, ECIA provides services and programs across six broad categories in- cluding: Community Development, Economic Development, Housing Assistance, Special Programs, Transit, and Transportation and Planning. ECIA's mission is to proactively enhance October 2025 3 the well-being of our region by forging strong county and community partnerships, develop- ing innovative solutions, and delivering essential services. Components of a Balanced Housing Market Generally, a balanced housing market is one where new housing construction keeps pace with population growth. In a balanced market, housing costs typically move at a steady, sus- tainable pace ratherthan swinging sharply up or down, and vacancy rates stay in a range that is neither too high or too low. Key features of a balanced market include: • Neither buyers and sellers or landlords and renters have an overwhelming advantage. • Housing costs don't grow faster than wages. • New construction generally keeps pace with population growth and vacancy rates stay in the balanced range. Balanced Vacancy Rate Vacancy rates are a key measure of the balance between housing supply and demand. A low vacancy rate indicates that demand is exceeding supply, leading to rising rents and home prices, affordability issues, and difficultyfinding a home. A high vacancy rate can signal over- supply, weak demand, or economic challenges which can discourage investment. A balanced vacancy rate is key for mobility. Available housing units allow people to move when they need to for a new job, upgrade to bigger home for a growing family, or downsize when their needs change. A healthy vacancy rate can also help keep housing prices in check by encouraging competition in the housing market. A vacancy rate that is too low will tilt the market toward sellers and landlords, while too many vacancies will tilt it to buyers and renters. Balanced Housing Costs In a balanced housing market, rents and home prices typically move in at a steady sustain- able pace that benefits both sellers and landlords and buyers and renters without giving one too much of an advantage. Growth is steady enough to allow landlords to maintain proper- ties and cover costs, but not too fast to price out renters. For the owner -occupied market, the balanced market encourages investment and allows owners to build equity and while keeping homes prices attainable for new buyers. Further discussion of balanced market vacancy rates and costs is provided later in this re- port in in Section 5 Housing Market. October 2025 4 With this report focused on broad, county -wide trends, we will not be able to conduct a de- tailed analysis of individual communities, neighborhoods, or specific housing submarkets by type or price point. It is important to recognize that while overall market conditions may appear balanced, there may still be areas within the county or particular segments of the housing market where imbalances persist. October 2025 5 2. Demographic Trends Dubuque County Overview Dubuque County is located in northeast Iowa along the Mississippi River in a tri-state area that borders Illinois and Wisconsin. The county's 2020 decennial census population was 99,266, representing a six percent in- crease since 2010. Dubuque was the first area in what eventually became the State of Iowa to be settled by Europeans. Early set- tlers were drawn to the area by lead mining, trading, and river transportation. Today's economy is driven by a diverse collection of industries including healthcare and manufac- turing. Dubuque County is home to 21 incorporated cities. The city of Dubuque is the county's most populous with just under 60,000 resi- dents at the 2020 census. The next largest in- cludes a group of six cities with populations between 1,000 and 6,000. The remaining communities have populations under 400, in- cluding six with fewer than 100. Approxi- mately 80,000 Dubuque County residents live in incorporated cities, while the remaining 18,000 live in the unincorporated areas of the county. Table 2.1 provides the 2020 census population of Dubuque County and its cities, and Figure 2.1 provides a map of the county. Table 2.1. Dubuoue Countv Population City Population Dubuque 59,667 Asbury 5,943 Dyersville 4,477 Cascade 2,386 Epworth 2,023 Peosta 1,908 Farley 1,766 New Vienna 382 Worthington 382 Holy Cross 356 Luxemburg 245 Rickardsville 202 Sherill 189 Centralia 116 Bernard 114 Sageville 95 Zwingle 84 Balltown 79 Graf 76 Bankston 23 Durango 20 City Total 80,533 Unincorporated Population 18,733 Total County Population 99,266 October 2025 6 Dubuque County BaTcv,ii 71Sherrill Luxemburg Holy Cross Rickardsville 3 Durango New Vienna Sageville D Dubuque Bankston Asbury Dyersville Graf 4 CC,ep�ntralia 20 52 rley EpWorth "•eosta 52 20 52 Worthington 52 '136 i 151 61 / Cascade Bernard Zwingle A 0 2.5 5 Legend I Miles O County Boundary City Boundary N Map created by ECIA, 2025 Figure 2.1. Dubuque County Map Population Change Dubuque County's population has grown stead ilyfor most of its history, reaching 56,000 res- idents by the start of the 20t" century, and 93,745 by 1980. This growth pattern was inter- rupted in the 1980s, when a downturn in the farm economy resulted in a period of population decline. Over time, the county regained its economic footing and began to grow again, add- ing approximately 12,800 residents between 1990 and 2020. In the most recent decennial census period (2010 to 2020), Dubuque County added 5,613 residents, a faster rate than the county's long-term growth average of about 4,500 additional residents every ten years. Figure 2.2. charts Dubuque County's historical population from 1850 to 2020, with a trend line representing long-term growth. October 2025 7 Dubuque County Historical Population 120,000 100,000 y = 4499.1 x + 22543 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 �O �O 10 �O �O DO ,�O �O �O �O �O 6O 0� 56O CP Figure 2.2. Dubuque County Historical Population Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census Since 1990, most of Dubuque County's population growth has occurred in its smaller cities and unincorporated areas, while the city of Dubuque's population held steady at around 57,000. This trend shifted in the 2010-2020 period where growth continued in the smaller communities, but the city of Dubuque also grew, adding 2,030 residents in the decade. Fig- ure 2.3 shows the population change in Dubuque County, compared with population change in the City of Dubuque, cities in Dubuque County with over 1,000 people, and cities in Dubu- que County under 1,000 people (classified in the figure as "small cities"). Dubuque County Historical Population 120,000 99,266 100,000 90,609 93,745 86403 89,143 93,653 80,000 62,309 62,374 59,667 57,538 57,686 57,637 60,000 40,000 20,424 20,830 18,558 19,601 20,855 21,096 20,000 18, 503 0 7,876 10,541 10,307 11,856 15,161 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 -City of Dubuque Cities 1 K+ Small Cities and Unincorp Dubuque County Figure 2.3. Dubuque County Historical Population with Sub Areas Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census October 2025 8 U.S. Census Bureau annual population estimates suggest that the county's population growth rate may have slowed since 2020. The July 1, 2024 estimate placed the county's pop- ulation at 99,242, essentially unchanged from the 2020 Census count. While these annual estimates provide an indicator of recent trends, they are less precise than the decennial cen- sus, and have previously underestimated Dubuque County's population. Therefore, should be interpreted with some caution. Age and Sex Figure 2.4 shows the distribution of age and sex within Dubuque County as of the 2020 de- cennial census. Dubuque County's population increased with people over 65 (4,416 people) and people 20 to 34 (1,916 people). Dubuque County's population decreased with people under 20 (-49 people) and 35 to 64 (-670 people). Males made up a slightly larger share of the population growth (3,148 people) than women (2,465 people). Dubuque County Age and Sex, 2020 85 years and over 859 1,755 80to84years 1,114 1,414 75 to 79 years 1,463 1,834 70 to 74 years 2,143 2,395 65 to 69 years 2,762 3,032 60 to 64 years 3,265 3,335 55 to 59 years 3,329 3,354 50 to 54 years 2,896 2,868 45 to 49 years 2,560 2,587 40 to 44 years 2,656 2,569 Female 35 to 39 years 2,991 2,951 ■ Male 30 to 34 years 3,169 3,058 25 to 29 years 3,211 2,982 20 to 24 years 3,962 3,441 15 to 19 years 3,531 3,267 10 to 14 years 3,248 3,198 5 to 9 years 3,135 3,028 Under 5 years 2,986 2,918 6000 4000 2000 0 2000 4000 6000 Figure 2.4. Dubuque County Age and Sex, 2020 Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census Race and Ethnicity Table 2.2 shows the percentage of Dubuque County's population by race and ethnicity. Dubuque County, while still predominantly white, has been steadily growing more diverse since 2000. October 2025 9 Table 2.2. Dubuque County Race and Ethnicity from 2000 to 2020 Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census Households and Families A household is a group of people who live together, while a family is a group of people who live together and are related. A household can contain multiple families, or no families. A household has a designated householder, who is usually the person who owns, rents or is buying the home. A family household is a householder and one or more other people who are related by birth, marriage or adoption. A family group is two or more people who are re- lated by birth, marriage or adoption. Household Size Changes in household size can affect housing demand. When average household size de- creases, additional units are needed even if the overall population remains the same, since each unit houses fewer people. The average household size in Dubuque County has gradually declined over the long term, with little change in recent years. The most recent ACS estimate places the county's average household size at 2.3 persons, compared to 2.62 in 1990. Table 2.3 provides the average household size for all occupied units in Dubuque County and four other metropolitan coun- ties in eastern Iowa for comparison. The data show that similar average household sizes across the five counties, with only minor changes between the 2009-2013 and 2019-2023 periods. Table 2.3. Avera-ae Household Size in Selected Iowa Counties County 00• Dubuque 2.4 2.4 2.3 Black Hawk 2.4 2.4 2.3 Johnson 2.3 2.4 2.4 Linn 2.4 2.4 2.4 Scott 2.4 2.5 2.4 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Table B25010 Figure 2.5 compares average household size by housing tenure. Household sizes are typi- cally larger in owner -occupied units than in renter -occupied units. In Dubuque County, the October 2025 10 average household size for owner -occupied units has remained stable at 2.5, while the av- erage size in renter -occupied units declined from 2.1 to 1.9. A similar trend can be seen in the other peer comparison counties in the figure. 3 2.5 2 1.5 0.5 J Dubuque County Household Size by Tenure Y (1) W Y a) Q Y a% � Y (1)4% 0 .Q .Q o 1 1 o .Q -Q o .Q 1 U U U U U U U U O O O O O O O O N N N N N N N N O cc O cc O cc O cc Black Hawk County Johnson County Linn County Scott County ■ 2009-2013 ■ 2014-2018 ■ 2019-2023 Figure 2.5. Average Household Size by Tenure in Selected Iowa Counties Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Table B25010 Migration The US Census Bureau's ACS 2023 5-year estimates for population migration in the previous year shown the following table. Dubuque County was in line with peer counties outside of Black Hawk County and Johnson County, possibly due to the presence of the University of Northern Iowa in Black Hawk and University of Iowa in Johnson. Both universities have large numbers of new students moving in each year. Table 2.4. Percent of Population that Migrated to Selected Iowa Counties in past year Dubuque MigratedCounty % to County 5.1% Black Hawk 6.2% Johnson 11.9% Linn 5.0% Scott 5.6% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Table B25010 October 2025 11 3. Economic Trends This section provides an overview of the economic trends that influence Dubuque County's housing market. Employment Trends Employment is closely linked to population growth and housing demand. New job opportu- nities attract people to the area and encourage existingworkers to stay. In turn, the housing industry supports economic activity and job creation. Home construction, sales, mainte- nance all generate additional employment, creating a feedback loop between housing de- velopment and economic growth. Over the past several decades, Dubuque County has experienced some fluctuations in total employment, though the long-term trend reflects steady growth. Figure 3.1 presents Dubu- que County's total monthly nonfarm employment data from Iowa Workforce Development. On average, the county added approximately 560 jobs per year between January 1990 and January 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a sharp and rapid decline in total employment beginning in the spring of 2020. However, the county regained most ofthosejobs between 2021 and 2023. Employment growth has leveled off some in 2024 and the first half of 2025, with total em- ployment stabilizing around 52,000. 58,000 56,000 54,000 52,000 50,000 48,000 46,000 44,000 42,000 40,000 2015 Dubuque County Employment and Unemployment 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 = Employment Unemployment Labor Force Figure 3.1. Dubuque County Monthly Employment, Unemployment, and Labor Force. Not Seasonally adjusted. Source: Iowa Workforce Development October 2025 12 Unemployment The county's labor force includes the people employed plus those who are unemployed and looking for work. In recent years the unemployed percentage of the county's workforce has generally aligned with the statewide unemployment rate. Figure 3.2 charts Dubuque County's annual average unemployment rate along with the statewide rate for comparison. Prior to the pandemic, unemployment was on a downward trajectory. COVID-19 caused an unemployment spike in 2020 followed by a slow recovery over the next two years. Since then, unemployment rates have been near pre -pandemic levels, around 3%. Annual Average Unemployment Rate 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% a� 4.2% 5.0% c T4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 3.1 % 3.0% 3.3% 4.1% o a 3.0% 3.6% 3.7 /o �3. m 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% c Z) 1.0% 0.0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 State of Iowa Dubuque County Figure 3.2. Dubuque County Annual Average Unemployment Rate Source: Iowa Workforce Development Retirement and Labor Force Participation An underlying factor in Dubuque County's recent labor force trends is an increase in retire- ments. While some workers opted to retire during the pandemic, the trend predates COVID- 19 and is largely driven by long-term demographic changes. The post -World War II baby boom generation represents one of the largest age cohorts in the county's population and a significant portion of its workforce. Organizations like Greater Dubuque Development have been monitoring this demographic shift for years, anticipating an impact on the area's workforce. The first segment of this cohort reached ages 65-69 in 2020. Larger portions of this cohort are now reaching traditional retirement age 65, likely ac- celerating the pace of the retirements over the next decade. Although data on retirees is limited, the Social Security Administration publishes data on re- tired beneficiaries that helps illustrate this trend. As shown in Figure 3.3, the number of October 2025 13 retired beneficiaries has increased steadily each year, reaching roughly 15% of the county's population in 2024. This share is slightly under the statewide percentage of about 16%. A growing retired population has the potential to impact housing in several keyways: • Housing preferences: Many retirees may choose to downsize, seek low -maintenance housing, or move into multifamily or senior -oriented developments. • Specialized housing needs: Over time, demand may increase for assisted living or nursing care facilities. • Labor force replacement: As more workers retire, employers will need to attract new employees, either from within the county or through in -migration, which could create additional housing demand. 20,000 18,000 0 16,000 14,000 a a° 12,000 10,000 O 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Dubuque County Retired Workers 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Figure 3.3. Dubuque County Retired Worker Social Security Beneficiaries Source: US Social Security Administration, OASDI Beneficiaries by State and County Report Unemployment Comparison Figure 3.4 compares the unemployment rate for the civilian labor force in Dubuque County and other peer counties usingACS 5-year estimates from 2009-2023. Dubuque County's un- employment rate fell from 4.8% to 3.8%, in line with peer counties aside from Black Hawk. Note: ACS employment and unemployment estimates may vary from the official labor force data released by Iowa Workforce Development because of differences in survey design and data collection. The civilian labor force does not include members of the Armed Forces. October 2025 14 Unemployment Rate 9 8.2 8 ca +a oC 7 c 0 E 6 T 5.5 0 a E 5 4.8 4.8 0 4.5 4.3 � 4.1 4 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.3 3 Black Hawk Dubuque Johnson Linn ■ 2009-2013 ■ 2014-2018 w 2019-2023 Figure 3.4. Unemployment Rate in Selected Iowa Counties Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Employment By Industry 5.8 L 3.7 Scot The table below shows a 15-year comparison of employment by occupation for Dubuque County based on ACS 5-year estimates for 2009-2023. Most workers in Dubuque County work in management, business, science and arts occupations, and is the second -fastest growing sector behind production, transportation, and material moving occupations. Table 3.1. Emplovment by Industry in Dubupue County, 2009-2023 Occupations Management, business, science, and arts occupa- tions 16,731 17,792 19,589 2,858 17.1% Service occupations 9,319 8,403 8,255 -1,064 -11.4% Sales and office occupations 11,996 11,752 10,721 -1,275 -10.6% Natural resources, construction, and maintenance occupations 4,012 4,079 3,671 -341 -8.5% Production, transportation, and material moving occupations 7,614 8,362 9,327 1,713 22.5% Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Household Income A person's income determines their ability to afford the necessities: shelter, food and water, medical care and more. Income is a critical housing -related factor because it drives key de- cisions including whether to rent or buy, as well as how much a household can reasonably afford to spend each month on rent or a mortgage. October 2025 15 The Figure 3.5 provides a comparison of income distribution for four15 household income ranges within Dubuque County: under $50,000; $50,000 to $100,000; $100,000 to $200,000; and over $200,000 based on ACS 5-year estimates for 2019-2023. A majority of households in Dubuque County fall below $100,000 in income. Median household income for Dubuque County was $75,919 in 2023. Median Household Income, Dubuque County 14,000 13,172 12,736 12,000 11,537 10,000 0 0 8,000 a� 6,000 0 2 4,000 3,140 2,000 Under$50' $50K- $100K-$200K Over$200K Figure 3.5. Distribution of Median Household Income in Dubuque County Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates, Table 3.2 provides a 2023 regional comparison of median family income in the past 12 months by family type by the presence of own children under 18 years (5-year period esti- mates). Median Family Income is for the past 12 months in 2023 inflation -adjusted dollars. Family Type and Presence of Children Black Hawk Dubuque Johnson Linn Scott Total Family $86,319 $98,842 $115,914 $97,372 $99,650 Married Couple Family $103,122 $110,197 $130,469 $115,133 $119,857 With own children under 18 $113,930 $131,387 $145,462 $132,560 $134,262 years No own children under 18 years $96,120 $98,430 $118,963 $105,837 $109,120 Male householder, no wife present $57,157 $70,386 $61,439 $62,315 $64,795 With own children under 18 $47,531 $71,023 $52,121 $54,824 $61,699 years No own children under 18 years $72,162 $63,750 $67,196 $71,780 $69,487 Female householder, no husband $37,205 $43,731 $50,223 $50,220 $41,311 present With own children under 18 $32,321 $36,810 $44,458 $42,816 $35,015 years No own children under 18 years $47,280 $58,712 1 $52,440 1 $66,140 $52,268 Table 3.2. Median Family Income by Family Type in Dubuque County, 2019-2023 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023American Community Survey Estimates. October 2025 16 In addition to household income and family income, the US Census Bureau collects data on nonfamily income and per capita income. Table 3.3 is a regional comparison for allfourtypes of income based on ACS 5-year estimates from 2009-2023. All types of income have risen about 35-50% within Dubuque County which has been very competitive compared to peer counties. Table 3.3. Comparison of Incomes in Selected Iowa Counties. 2009-2023 Income type 2013 Dubuque 2018 County 2023 Change % Median household income $51,475 $61,321 $75,919 $24,444 47.5% Median family income $66,046 $76,319 $98,842 $32,796 49.7% Median nonfamily income $30,499 $32,148 $42,232 $11,733 38.5% Per capita income $26,254 $31,096 $40,624 $14,370 54.7% Income type 2013 Black 2018 Hawk County 2023 Change % Median household income $45,747 $52,688 $64,581 $18,834 41.2% Median family income $61,495 $69,922 $86,319 $24,824 40.4% Median nonfamily income $29,252 $32,008 $37,409 $8,157 27.9% Per capita income $24,273 $29,100 $42,099 $17,826 73.4% Income type 2013 Johnson 2018 County 2023 Change % Median household income $53,424 $61,640 $74,721 $21,297 39.9% Median family income $79,964 $92,284 $115,914 $35,950 45.0% Median nonfamily income $30,135 $32,789 $43,147 $13,012 43.2% Per capita income $29,592 $34,310 $44,699 $15,107 51.1% Income type 2013 2018 Linn County 2023 Change % Median household income $57,260 $64,862 $76,421 $19,161 33.5% Median family income $75,761 $84,320 $97,372 $21,611 28.5% Median nonfamily income $32,884 $38,007 $45,888 $13,004 39.5% Per capita income $29,943 $34,289 $42,497 $12,554 41.9% Income type 2013 2018 Scott County 2023 Change Median household income $52,735 $58,803 $76,363 $23,628 44.8% Median family income $70,480 $76,123 $99,650 $29,170 41.4% Median nonfamily income $30,624 $33,725 $46,284 $15,660 51.1% Per capita income $28,948 $31,873 $42,754 $13,806 47.7% Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023American Community Survey Estimates, Poverty Poverty rate is the ratio of the population whose income falls below the poverty line. The pov- erty line is taken as half the median household income of the total population. Poverty rates are used to determine eligibility for programs and benefits, such as Medicaid, Children's Health Insurance Program, and savings on marketplace health insurance. October 2025 17 Dubuque County's poverty rate has decreased from 10.9% to 9.4%, the second highest change compared to peer counties. Table 3.4. Poverty Rate in Selected Iowa Counties, 2009-2023 County Dubuque 2013 10.9% 2018 2023 Change Percent Change -13.8% 11.7% 9.4% -1.5% Black Hawk 17.0% 16.0% 14.7% -2.3% -13.5% Johnson 17.7% 17.8% 16.7% -1.0% -5.6% Linn 9.7% 9.5% 9.9% 0.2% 2.1% Scott 13.1% 12.1% 11.6% -1.5% -11.5% Table 3.4. Poverty Rate in Selected Iowa Counties, 2009-2023 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates. Commuting— Inflow and Outflow Figure 3.6 highlights the 15,511 workers living in Dubuque County (the light green circle) and 22,147 workers employed in Dubuque County (the dark green circle). The intersection of the two circles represents the 36,369 workers living and working in Dubuque County. Inflow/Outflow Job Counts in 2022 All Workers 22,147 - Employed in Selection Area. Live Outside 15,511 - Live in Selection Area, Employed Outside 36,369 - Employed and Live in Selection Area Figure 3.6. Inflow/OutflowJob Counts in 2022, Dubuque County Source: US Census Bureau, Census On The Map October 2025 18 Table 3.5 shows the counts and percentages of Dubuque County's workers and residents that flow in and out of the city. 70.1 % of residents also work in Dubuque County, and 62.2% of Dubuque County's workers live in the city. Table 3.5. Worker Totals and Flows in 2022, Dubuque County Worker Totals and Flows Employed in the Selection Area Count 58,516 Share 100% Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside 22,147 37.8% Employed and Living in the Selection Area 36,369 62.2% Living in the Selection Area 51,880 100% Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside 15,511 29.9% Living and Employed in the Selection Area 36,369 70.1 % Source: US Census Bureau, Census On The Map. The Home to Work map in Figure 3.7 indicates the commutes of Dubuque County residents in the workforce to their jobs. The table on the map shows that 59.8% of workers travel less than 10 miles from home, and 75.1 % commute less than 25 miles. NO h. ON El 1 u4' T e' • L�1�LAJ�;LA� 5-300 Jobs/Sq.Mile I 301.1,188 Jobs/Sq.Mile 1,189 - 2,667 obs/Sq.Mile 2,668-4,7Jo bs obs/Sq. Mile 4.740-7,402 Jobs/Sq.Mile Home Area Figure 3.7. Home to Work in 2022, Dubuque County Source: US Census Bureau, Census On The Map. The Home to Work map indicates the commutes of Dubuque County residents in the work- force to their jobs. Table 3.6 shows that 55.7% of workers travel less than 10 miles from home, and 73% commute less than 25 miles. October 2025 19 Table 3.6. Distance to Work for Dubuque County residents, 2022 Jobs Less than 10 miles Count 32,568 Share 55.7% 10 to 24 miles 10,103 17.3% 25 to 50 miles 3,829 6.5% Greater than 50 miles 12,016 20.5% Source: US Census Bureau, Census On The Map Dubuque County commuting patterns have remained fairly consistent over the last several years. Figure 3.8 illustrates the home location of workers employed in Dubuque County, showingthat the share who live and work in the county and those commuting into the county from outside. The percentages have remained fairly consistent since 2010. Home location of workers employed in Dubuque County 100% 80% 60% ' 40% 20% 0% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 ■ Employed in Dubuque County but Living Outside ■ Employed and Living in the Dubuque County Figure 3.8. Home location of workers employed in Dubuque County Source: US Census Bureau, Census On The Map October 2025 20 4. Housing Trends There are many factors that go into understanding an area's housing supply, including an- swers to questions like: how much housing is there, where is it located, what kind of housing is there, who lives there, and how new is it? Number of Housing Units According to US Census Bureau Decennial Census, the total number of housing units in Dubuque County grew from 35,505 in 2000 to 42,630 in 2020. Figure 4.1 shows a comparison between housing unit growth and growth in number of households between 1970 and 2020. Households and Housing Units 45,000 42,630 3 40,000 8,951 35,505 39,891 35,000 31,506 32,053 36,815 30,000 33,690 25,280 30,021 30,799 25,000 24,279 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Total Households • —Total Housing Units Figure 4.1. Number of Households and Housing Units, Dubuque County 1970-2020 Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census Units in Structure Based on US Census Bureau ACS estimates for 2009-2023, the 15-year mix of housing types was predominantly single-family detached housing units in Dubuque County (72.3%). The US Census Bureau ACS 5-year estimates provide housing data on owner- occupied and renter -occupied housing by the number of units for different housing structures. October 2025 21 Table 4.1 shows the predominant owner -occupied housing by units in structure for Dubuque County from 2009-2023. On average, over 90% of owner -occupied housing in Dubuque County from 2009-2023 was single-family detached housing. Table 4.1. Owner -Occupied Units in Structure, Dubuque Countv2009-2023 Units in Structure 1, detached 2013 24,837 2018 24,853 2023 26,987 Change 2,150 1, attached 633 873 1023 390 2, attached or detached 135 221 224 89 3 or 4 271 243 157 -114 5 to 9 162 78 28 -134 10 to 19 13 28 33 20 20 to 49 36 45 5 -31 50 or more 61 44 39 -22 Mobile home 1,108 1,351 1,199 91 Boat, RV, van, etc. 7 0 0 -7 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Table 4.2 shows the predominant renter -occupied housing by units in structure based on ACS 5-year estimates from 2009-2023. Renter -occupied households have shifted from lower unit structures to higher unit structures from 2009 to 2023. Table 4.2. Renter -Occupied Units in Structure, Dubuque Countv2009-2023 Units in Structure 1, detached 2013 2,429 2018 2,828 2023 2,345 Change -84 1, attached 503 467 521 18 2, attached or detached 1,540 1,320 1,122 -418 3 or 4 1,675 1,892 1,924 249 5 to 9 1,218 1,256 1,429 211 10 to 19 999 907 1,181 182 20 to 49 760 845 1,111 351 50 or more Mobile home 846 895 1,048 202 133 184 209 76 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Tenure Housing tenure describes the arrangements under which a household occupies a housing unit, with the two tenure types being owner -occupied and renter -occupied. Figure 4.2 shows the growth in housing units from 1970 to 2020 in Dubuque County as well as the distribution of tenure. Dubuque County grew from 24,279 occupied units to 39,891 units in this time period, a growth of 64.3% or 1.29% year -over -year. The share of renter - October 2025 22 occupied units grew larger in this time period, expanding from 6,502 to 11,522, an increase of 77.2% or 1.54% year -over -year and making up 28.9% of total occupied units in 2020. In contrast, owner -occupied units grew from 17,777 to 28,369 units, an increase of 59.6% or 1.19% year -over -year and making up 71.1 % of total occupied units in 2020. 45,000 40,000 35,000 c Z) 30,000 W p 25,000 = 26.80 Q 20,000 6,502 D 0 15,000 O 10,000 5,000 0 1970 Occupied Housing Units by Tenure 26.5% 27.9% 28.8% 8,943 8,366 8,868 1980 1990 2000 ■ Owner Occupied ■ Renter Occupied 28.9% 73.3% 71.1 % 26,969 28,369 Figure 4.2. Occupied Housing Units by Tenure, Dubuque County 1970-2020 Source: US Census Bureau, Decennial Census Group Quarters The US Census Bureau classifies people not living in a housing unit as living in group quar- ters. Group quarters housing is defined by the Census as a group living arrangement that is owned or managed by an organization. Group quarters arrangements include college resi- dence halls, skilled nursing facilities, military barracks, and correctional facilities, among others. In 2020, Dubuque County had 4,157 people living in group quarters or about 4.2% of the total county population. Age of Housing Units As one of the oldest communities in the state of Iowa, it is not surprising that the county's housing stock includes many older structures. Table 4.3 provides the age of housing for Dubuque County units by the year the structure was built based on the 2023 US Census Bu- reau ACS 1-year estimate. Dubuque County's housing stock is a mixture of newer and older housing structures with almost one quarter of the county's units built prior to 1939. While October 2025 23 older structures can provide excellent housing options, these older units often require spe- cial care and ongoing maintenance to ensure a safe living environment and meet the needs of today's residents. Older housing units that are in poor condition may provide an oppor- tunity for rehabilitation. This could help elevate the quality of its existing housing stock and bring home values up in undervalued neighborhoods. Similar opportunities may be available in older non-residential structures which could be rehabilitated and converted for residential use. Dubuque's Historic Millwork District is a prime example of this type of project. Table 4.3. Year Structure Built, Dubuque Countv2023 Year Buitt Built 2020 or later Units 1,007 Percent 2% Built 2010 to 2019 3,296 8% Built 2000 to 2009 4,939 12% Built 1990 to 1999 4,838 11% Built 1980 to 1989 2,263 5% Built 1970 to 1979 5,164 12% Built 1960 to 1969 6,003 14% Built 1950 to 1959 3,927 9% Built 1940 to 1949 1,262 3% Built 1939 or earlier 10,190 24% Total 42,889 Source: US Census Bureau, 2023 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimate Table 4.4 shows Dubuque County housing units by year structure built and tenure. Histori- cally, a large majority of the county's housing units have been owner -occupied. In recent years, however, this trend has shifted with 52% of units constructed since 2020 being renter - occupied. Table 4.4. Year Structure Built by Tenure. Dubuque Countv 2023 Year Buitt Built 2020 or later • Occupied Units 485 Occupied Units 522 • •Renter Percent 48% -Occupied Percent 52% Built 2010 to 2019 2,567 729 78% 22% Built 2000 to 2009 3,443 1,496 70% 30% Built 1990 to 1999 3,781 1,057 78% 22% Built 1980 to 1989 1,472 791 65% 35% Built 1970 to 1979 4,202 962 81 % 19% Built 1960 to 1969 4,654 1,349 78% 22% Built 1950to 1959 3,102 825 79% 21% Built 1940 to 1949 1,212 50 96% 4% Built 1939 or earlier 6,876 3,314 67% 33% Total Units 31,794 11,095 Source: US Census Bureau, 2023 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimate October 2025 24 Housing Construction Trends Housing construction activity is tracked using data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Building Permits Survey (BPS). The BPS collects data on new housing units authorized by building permits and serves as an indicator of residential construction activity. BPS data is reported monthly at multiple geographic levels, including for metropolitan counties such as Dubuque County. The reports provide the number of housing units au- thorized, categorized by the number units in the structure. The data has some limitations. Not all jurisdictions issue building permits, and participa- tion in the survey is voluntary. As a result, some housing units may not be captured. De- spite these limitations, BPS data is valuable because it provides a long term -measure of housing construction trends overtime. Figure 4.3 presents the BPS data for Dubuque County from 2015-2025. The data indicates that during this period, the number of single-family homes constructed each year has de- creased while the number of multi -family units has increased, especially units in buildings with 5 or more units. The construction numbers have fluctuated from year to year, but over- all, the county has continued to add housing units at a steady pace with larger multifamily developments accounting for larger increases in years such as 2021 and 2024. 600 500 400 300 Cn 200 100 0 New Housing Unit Building Permits 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025* ■ 1 Unit ■ 2 Units ■ 3 and 4 Units ■ 5 Units or More *YDT through August 2025. Figure 4.3. New Housing Unit Building Permits, Dubuque County Source: Building Permits Survey, U.S. Census Bureau. 2015-2025. In addition to the BPS data, information on recent and planned housing construction is available directly from local jurisdictions. This data can be more accurate because it is coming directly from the communities that are issuing the permits. However, it may not be consistently available from all jurisdictions over time making it more difficult to track long- term trends. October 2025 25 City of Dubuque Construction Reports Table 4.5 provides the City of Dubuque's construction permit data for new housing units from 2014 to 2025. Theta ble shows both the number of permits issued and the number of housing units authorized underthose permits. Overall, trends in the city generally align with Dubuque County: the number of single-family units has declined over time, while multi -family devel- opment has increased, with significant spikes in 2021 and 2024. It is important to note that this data is reported based on the year the permit was issued and not the year construction was completed. For example, the large number of multi -family units permitted in 2024 are likely under construction in 2025. Table 4.5. City of Dubuque New Construction Permits and Units Permits 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 20 2022 2023 2024 2025 Units 2014 I2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Source: City of Dubuque 2014-2025. In addition to past construction activity, the City of Dubuque also tracks ongoing and planned housing development in its Creating Housing Opportunities Report. The data used in this assessment comes from the September 22, 2025 version of the report. Table 4.6 highlights the residential subdivisions in Dubuque that currently have lots or units available. As of the report data there 279 lots/units available. Several subdivisions have fu- ture phases planned add would additional capacity. Table 4.5. Residential LotAvailability in the City of Dubuque Development North Grandview Estates Residential..Availability location North Grandview/32nd Street Lots/Units Available Use 32 Lots/Units Single-Family/Apartment Rustic Point Estates #2 Derby Grange/KennedyGrange/Kennedy Roads 40 Units Sin le-Fami /Du lex Sky Blue Estates* Sky Blue Drive 4 Lots Single -Family Silva Oaks Subdivision Elmwood/Silver Oaks Drive 127 Lots Sin le-Fami /Du lex South Pointe Estates* Rockdale Road/South Pointe Drive 37 Units Sin le-Fami /Du lex Timber-Hyrat Estates lCreekwood Drivo/Chorry Ride 21 Lots Sin le-Fami /Du lex/Townhomes The Farm/Switch Homes I End of Tiffany Court 18 LotstSingle-Farnily *Subdivision hm adai"onai phosm TOTAL: 279 Source: Creating Housing Opportunities Report, City of Dubuque, 912212025. October 2025 26 The City of Dubuque's report also tracks of multi -family development. Table 4.7 shows that eight construction projects, with 384 total units, were active in September 2025. Table 4.7. Multi -Family Development- Under Construction Development Location # of Units Carich Property LLC Apartments 1734-36 Central Avenue 8 Units Cedar Lake Apartments Lake R i g ive 42—n1TSF 799 Main Street Apartments 799 Main Street 36 Units St. Anthony's School 2175 Rosedale Avenue 22 Units 1706 Central Apartments 1706 Central Avenue 11 Units Emri Apartments adfor 46 Units Union at the Marina 1860 Hawthorne Street 201 Units Habitat for Humanity Wood Street 16 Units Rate Workforce Family Housing Apartments Workforce Family Housing Workforce Single -Family Homes TOTAL: 384 Source: Creating Housing Opportunities Report, City of Dubuque, 912212025. Highlighted rows identify workforce housing projects The report additionally provides information on other projects in various stages of the devel- opment review process. Altogether, more than 2,600 units citywide are approved, under re- view, under construction, or recently completed. While this offers a useful snapshot of the current development pipeline, many of these units are still early in the process. Some pro- jects may take years to reach construction, and others may not ultimately be completed. Other City Housing Construction Cascade • City of Cascade has added 16 single-family homes and 2 multi -family homes in the last three years. Dyersville e 54 new housing structures were constructed in Dyersville between January ,1 2022 and August 31, 2024. This included the following: o Single Family-42 o Duplex-1 o Tri-plex - 3 o Manufactured Home - 8 Peosta • The City if Peosta issued building permits for 432 housing units from 2020-2024 as follows: 0 108 single-family (1 unit, detached)) 0 30 duplexes (2 units) 0 212 apartments (12-18 units) o Student housing (82 units) October 2025 27 5. Housing Market This section uses a collection of indicators to help understand housing supply and demand in Dubuque County. Occupancy and Vacancy Vacant housing units are a key indicator of demand for a housing market. Lowvacancy rates signal that demand is exceeding supply, which leads to rising rents and home prices, re- duced affordability, and difficulty finding available housing. High vacancy rates can indicate oversupply, weak demand, or broadereconomic challenges. In a balanced market, rents and home prices increase at a steady, sustainable pace that benefits both housing providers and consumers. Target vacancy rates are a general rule of thumb that help us understand a housing market. The target rates are not intended to be a hard rule but are meant to be a general rule of thumb that can help us analyze data. Target vacancy rates vary bytenure. Rental units typically have a higher vacancy rate than owner -occupied units as rental units typically have more unoc- cupied time between tenants. Target vacancy rates will change depending on who you ask, but for the sake of this report the following rate ranges will be used: • 1-2% for Owner -Occupied Units • 5-9%for Renter -Occupied Units While these target rates provide a helpful rule of thumb, it is also important to remember that every housing market is unique and current market trends vacancy rates should also be compared to historical trends within the same market. Overall Vacancy Tables 5.1-5.3 provide a comparison of housing occupancy between Dubuque and peer counties for total housing units as well as overall vacancy rates using ACS 5-year estimates from 2009-2023. Each county saw an increase in total and occupied housing units from 2009-2023.The overall vacancy rate for Dubuque Countywent from 5.4% in 2009-2013 to 6% in 2019-2023. This is the lowest vacancy rate between the selected counties. Table 5.1. Housino Occupancv and Vacancv Rates in Selected Iowa Counties. 2009-2013 Occupancy 2009-2013 Total Housing Units 39,388 56,079 56,543 92,848 72,127 Occupied Housing Units 37,366 52,276 54,005 86,052 67,049 Vacant Housing Units 2,022 3,803 2,538 6,796 5,078 Overall Vacancy Rate 5.4% 7.3% 4.7% 7.9% 7.6% Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2013 American Community Survey Estimates October 2025 28 Table 5.2. Housing Occuaancv and Uacancv Rates in Selected Iowa Counties. 2014-2018 Occupancy Total Housing Units 41,065 57,603 62,280 96,473 73,869 Occupied Housing Units 38,330 52,976 58,163 89,807 67,025 Vacant Housing Units 2,735 4,627 4,117 6,666 6,844 Overall Vacancy Rate 7.1 % 8.7% 7.1 % 7.4% 10.2% Source: US Census Bureau, 2014-2018 American Community Survey Estimates Table 5.3. Housing Occuoancv and Uacancv Rates in Selected Iowa Counties. 2019-2023 Occupancy Total Housing Units 43,003 58,748 67,211 101,989 78,130 Occupied Housing Units 40,585 53,740 62,214 95,051 72,675 Vacant Housing Units 2,418 5,008 4,997 6,938 5,455 Overall Vacancy Rate 6.0% 9.3% 8.0% 7.3% 7.5% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Housing vacancy status can be due to several factors: • For rent • Rented, not occupied • For sale only • Sold, not occupied • For seasonal, recreational, or occasional use • For migrant workers • Other vacant Table 5.4 provides a comparison in Dubuque County of housingvacancy status usingACS 5- year estimates from 2009-2023. The most common reasons for housing vacancy in the Dubuque County were "For rent" and "Other." Table 5.4. Housimz Uacancv Status in Dubuque County, 2009-2023 For rent 00• 780 759 619 -161 Rented, not occupied 21 77 108 87 For sale only 111 198 178 67 Sold, not occupied 87 119 134 47 For seasonal, recreational or occasional use 360 369 250 -110 For migrant workers 0 0 0 0 Othervacant 663 1213 1129 466 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates October 2025 29 Rental Vacancy A rental vacancy rate can be estimated from ACS data using the following formula: Units For Rent Units Rented, Not Occupied + Units For Rent + Reenter -Occupied Units Results from the formula are provided in Table 5.5. The results indicate a declining rental vacancy rate between 2009 and 2023. The most recent rate of 5.3%forthe 2019-2023 period has fallen to the low end of the balanced range of 5-9%. Table 5.5 ACS Rental Vacancy Rates Renter Vacancy Rate 17.2% 16.6% I 5.3% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Results from the rental property owner and manager survey were used to provide a more current estimate of rental vacancy rates in 2025. Of the 1,143 units included in the survey, a total of 70 were vacant, resulting in an overall vacancy rate of 6.12%. The survey rates shown in Table 5.6 were calculated using a different methodology than the ACS rates shown in Figure 5.5 and do not provide a direct comparison. However, the survey - calculated vacancy rate does fall in the middle of the balance market range, suggesting that the new rental units added in recent years are being absorbed and the area rental market continues to maintain a healthyvacancy rate. Goingforward, continued surveys rental prop- erty owners and managers could help establish a vacancy rate trend line that can be used to monitor vacancy rates in rental properties. Table 5.6. Survev Vacancv Rates Studio Total Units 21 Vacant Units 4 Vacancy Rate 19.05% 1 Bedroom 277 12 4.33% 2 Bedroom 567 43 7.58% 3 Bedroom 204 8 3.92% 4 Bedroom 61 2 3.28% 5 or more bedrooms 13 1 7.69% Total 1,143 70 6.12% Source: ECIA, Dubuque County Rental Property Owner and Manager Survey, 2025 Homeowner Vacancy The homeowner vacancy rate can be calculated using ACS data and the formula below: Units For Sale Only Units Sold, Not Occupied + Units For Sale Only + Owner -Occupied Units October 2025 30 Results from the homeowner formula are provided in Table 5.7. The results show some fluc- tuations in the vacancy rate between 2009-2013 and 2019-2023. The most recent rate of 0.6% for the 2019-2023 period, down from 0.71 % in the 2014-2018. Table 5.7. ACS Homeowner Vacancv Rates Owner Vacancy Rate 1 0.41 % 1 0.71 % 1 0.60% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Rates from allthree estimates are below theta rget balanced range for owner -occupied units of 1-2%. This could be an indicator of higher demand, but there are also a couple of other items to keep in mind. Item one is that there is some variation in the target rates across markets, and it is also im- portant to keep local trends in mind. With all three rates are below 1 % it could be that that is the normal range for Dubuque County. The second item is that this formula is only looking at units that are for sale. There are other types of vacant units, includingthose that are abandoned or unoccupiable for one reason or another. The ACS includes these units in the "Other Vacant" category. The ACS does not tell us if these units are rental or homeowner units, so we can't factorthem into our analysis, but we can note that these units could bump the overall vacancy rate up into that 1-2% range. Based on available data, it seems that Dubuque County is in a currently in a generally bal- anced position for homeowner vacancies., however there are some signs of a tightening market. Housing Prices and Sales Home prices and sales volume are another key housing market indicator. Rapid price in- creases can indicate high demand while stagnant or falling prices can indicate low demand or poor economic conditions. Balanced market conditions are characterized by steady price increases that benefit both housing producers and consumers. Median housing value refers to the middle price point of all homes in a specific area, mean- ing that half of the homes in that area are valued at or above that price, and half are valued at or below it. This represents the "typical" home price in a given location. Unlike the average home price, the median is less affected by extreme values, making it a more accurate repre- sentation of the typical home price in a market. Table 5.8 provides a regional comparison of the median value of owner -occupied housing units using 2009-2023 ACS 5-year estimates. October 2025 31 Table 5.8. Median Home Value in Selected Iowa Counties, 2009-2023 Dubuque $145,900 $160,900 $226,100 $80,200 % 55.0% Black Hawk $123,600 $143,100 $182,400 $58,800 47.6% Johnson $186,000 $216,900 $293,100 $107,100 57.6% Linn $144,300 $153,700 $204,400 $60,100 41.6% Scott $143,600 $158,200 $212,500 $68,900 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Table 5.9 shows the distribution of value of Dubuque County's owner -occupied housing stock using 2019-2023 5-yearACS estimates. Most of Dubuque's owner -occupied units have a value that lies between $100,000 and $499,999. Table 5.9. Distribution of Housing Value of Owner -Occupied Units in Dubuque County, 2019-2023 HousingValue Owner -Occupied Units Dubuque County 29,695 100.0% Less than $50,000 1,694 5.7% $50,000 to $99,999 1,495 5.0% $100,000 to $149,999 3,897 13.1 % $150,000 to $199,999 5,014 16.9% $200,000 to $299,999 8,551 28.8% $300,000 to $499,999 6,814 22.9% $500,000 to $999,999 1,856 6.3% $1,000,0000 or more 374 1.3% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Figure 5.1 provides a map of estimated home values for Dubuque County from Realtor.com. generally lower valued homes are located in the center of Dubuque, while higher values properties are located around the edges of Dubuque and in the communities and rural areas surrounding the city. October 2025 32 Figure 5.1. Estimated Home Value in Dubuque County Source: Realtor.com The East Central Iowa Association of Realtors (ECIAOR) provided Multiple Listing Service (MLS) Market Statistics of residential propertyfor sale in Dubuque Countyfrom 2017 to 2024. Table 5.10 shows the total amount of properties listed and sold in Dubuque Countyfrom that time period. Table 5.10. Total Listings and Sales in Dubuque County, 2017-2024 Year 2017 Total Listed 1,470 Total .. 1,188 Percent Sold 80.8% 2018 1,368 1,148 83.9% 2019 1,255 1,074 85.6% 2020 1,300 1,216 93.5% 2021 1,384 1,281 92.6% 2022 1,273 1,161 91.2% 2023 1,060 921 86.9% 2024 1,155 974 84.3% Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors The median list price is the price where half the listed prices are higher and the other half are lower. This is in contrast to the average list price, which is the mean of all home prices. List October 2025 33 price and sale price can differ because the list price reflects what sellers hope to get, influ- enced by their expectations and market optimism. Table 5.11 shows average list and sale prices from 2017-2024 in Dubuque County. Table 5.12 shows median list and sale prices for Dubuque County from 2017 to 2024 Table 5.11. Average List and Sale Price in Dubuque County, 2017-2024 Year 2017 Prices Average List Price $199,237 Average Sate Price $194,285 Sate to Difference -$4,952 List Ratio 0.98 Year List Price over Year Change Sate Price 2018 $201,469 $196,766 -$4,703 0.98 $2,232 1.1 % $2,481 1.3% 2019 $220,597 $214,825 -$5,772 0.97 $19,128 9.5% $18,059 9.2% 2020 $230,147 $219,166 -$10,981 0.95 $9,550 4.3% $4,341 2.0% 2021 $243,143 $239,665 -$3,478 0.99 $12,996 5.6% $20,499 9.4% 2022 $259,255 $258,919 -$336 1.00 $16,112 6.6% $19,254 8.0% 2023 $269,931 $266,741 -$3,190 0.99 $10,676 4.1% $7,822 3.0% 2024 $284,398 $280,333 -$4,065 0.99 $14,467 5.4% $13,592 5.1% Change $85,161 $86,048 $85,161 42.7% $86,048 44.3% Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Table 5.12. Median List and Sale Price in Dubuque County, 2017-2024 Year 2017 Prices Median List Price $169,050 Median Sate Price $166,000 Sate to List Difference Ratio -$3,050 0.98 Year List price over Year Change Sate Price 2018 $174,222 $170,000 -$4,222 0.98 $5,172 3.1% $4,000 2.4% 2019 $179,900 $176,500 -$3,400 0.98 $5,678 3.3% $6,500 3.8% 2020 $179,900 $178,000 -$1,900 0.99 $0 0.0% $1,500 0.8% 2021 $194,900 $206,000 $11,100 1.06 $15,000 8.3% $28,000 15.7% 2022 $217,500 $220,000 $2,500 1.01 $22,600 11.6% $14,000 6.8% 2023 $225,000 $224,000 -$1,000 1.00 $7,500 3.4% $4,000 1.8% 2024 $243,750 $240,000 -$3,750 0.98 $18,750 8.3% $16,000 7.1% Change $74,700 $74,000 $74,700 44.2% $74,000 44.6% Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Figure 5.2 tracks Dubuque County's residential list and sale prices from 2017 to 2024. Gen- erally, prices have been on an upward trajectory. The rate of increase accelerated during the pandemic, and the median sale prices exceeded median list prices in 2021, indicating that demand was outpacing supply at that time. The median sale price increased by $28,000 or 15.7% between 2020 and 2021. October 2025 34 Dubuque County Home List and Sale Prices $300,000 $280,000 • • • $260,000 $240, 000 • ♦ • • $220,000 ♦♦♦♦ $200,000------♦ ♦♦♦♦♦••• ♦♦ $180,000 '100 -----------•'Iwo $160, 000 $140, 000 $120, 000 $100, 000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Average Sale Price — — — Average List Price Median Sale Price — — — Median List Price Figure 5.2. Dubuque County Home Sale Prices Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Days on the Market Days on the market (DOM) is a key indicator of housing market conditions. Fewer days on the market indicate high demand relative to supply, a tighter housing market, and an advantage for sellers. Conversely, when homes remain on the market for longer periods of time, it could indicate lower demand relative to supply and an advantage to buyers. An average DOM value of around 30 generally viewed as an indicator of a balanced market. However, this number can vary widely between markets, so it can be more meaningful to compare current values to historical trends. Values can also fluctuate seasonally, so annual or seasonally adjusted values can provide a clearer picture of overall trends. Figures 5.3 and 5.4 show annual median and average DOM for residential properties sold in Dubuque County from 2017 to 2024. Both figures identify 2020 as a clear inflection point. DOM values were consistently higher before 2020 and have remained significantly lower since, suggesting that the tighter housing market may represent a long-term trend, rather than a short-term market disruption caused by the pandemic. October 2025 35 50 45 0 40 35 c 30 0 >, 25 co 0 20 5 0 41 Average Days on Market 43 43 35 22 20 25 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Figure 5.3. Average Days on Market in Dubuque County, 2017-2024 Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors 16 14 12 m 10 0 0 8 a ca 0 15 15 Median Days on Market 10 5 5 26 2024 4 4 0 4 2 0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Figure 5.4. Median Days on Market in Dubuque County, 2020-2024 Source: Dubuque County MLS Data, East Central Iowa Association of Realtors Outside Market Assessments Several outside firms, including Realtor.com and Zillow, evaluate conditions in local housing markets. These firms provide various assessments of local housing markets at varying geo- graphic levels, offering additional context to locally collected data. October 2025 36 In September 2025, Realtor.com rated the Dubuque County housing market as "balanced", based on the metric of Sale -to -List -Price Ratio. According to the site, homes in Dubuque County Sold for 1.69% below asking price, indicating a balanced market. Sale -to -list price ratio: 98.31% Homes in Dubuque County, IA sold for1.69%below asking price on average in September 2025 Buyer Balanced Seller • Figure 5.5. Realtorcom Dubuque County Housing Market Assessment Source: Realtorcom, Accessed 101912025 Zillow provides an overview of owner -occupied and rental housing markets. For owner -oc- cupied units, the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) represents the typical home value for a specified region. ZHVI typical home value for Dubuque County is provided in Figure 5.6. The figure shows an increase in the value of a typical home from approximately $170,000 in June 2017 to $270,000 in September 2025. Zillow's one-year market forecast expects the ZVHI to continue to increase. Zillow's sale -to -list -price ratio of 0.995 is in line with the ratio reported by Realtor.com, providing another indication of a balanced market. Dubuque County Housing Market Overview �D -- 1-year Market Forecast 225 For sale inventory (September 30, 2025) 102 New listings (September 30, 2025) 0.995 Median sale to list ratio (August 31, 2025) $269,333 Median sale price (August 31, 2025) $278,300 Median list price (September 30, 2025) 31.5% Percent of sales over list price (August 31, 2025) 50.9% Percent of sales under list price (August 31, 2025) 9 Median days to pending (September 30, 2025) ;Metric availability is based on market coverage and data) How does this data help me? Zillow's metrics provide valuable market data by tracking market changes in different locations and housing types. Zillow Home Value Index — Dubuque County All homes v 1-yr 5-yr Max $280K $22% $194K $159K 2018-03 2019-01 2019-11 2020-09 2021-07 2022-05 2023-03 2024-01 2024-11 2025-09 Compare Figure 5.6. Zillow Dubuque County Housing Market Overview Source: Zillow.com, Accessed 101912025 October 2025 37 The Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) measures changes in asking rents over time, control- ling for changes in the quality in the available rental inventory. The Observed Rent Index, shown in Figure 5.7 has increased from $802 in December 2021 to $1,031 in September 2025. As of September 2025, the index has increased 7.3%year-over-year. Dubuque County Rental Market Trends $1,031 Average rent in Dubuque County (September 30, 2025) $1,979 National average rent (September 30, 2025) -0.6% Month -over -month change (September 30, 2025) 7.3% Year -over -year change (September 30, 2025) How does this data help me? The Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI) measures changes in asking rents overtime, controlling for changes in the quality ofthe available rental inventory. LZillowObserved Rent Index o Dubuque County v 1-yr 5-yr Max $1K $928 $853 $778 2022-05 2022-10 2023-03 2023-08 2024-01 2024-06 2024-11 2025-04 2025-09 ® Compare Figure 5.7. Zillow Dubuque County Rental Market Trends Source: Zillow.com, Accessed 101912025 Balanced Housing Costs In a balanced housing market, rents and home prices typically move in at a steady sustain- able pace that benefits both sellers and landlords and buyers and renters without giving one too much of an advantage. For rental units in a balanced market, rents generally rise with the rate of inflation which is usually around 2-3% annually. This growth is steady enough to allow landlords to maintain properties and cover costs, but not too fast to price out renters. According to the Zillow Ob- served rent index rents increased by 7.6% between September 2024 and September 2025. For the owner -occupied market, home values increase in line with long-term wage growth, usually 3-5% annually. This pace encourages investment and allows owners to build equity and while keeping homes prices attainable for new buyers. Between 2020 and 2024 home sale prices increased 7% per year on average, higher than the target range of 3-5%. Generally, Dubuque County's housing costs are rising faster than typical balanced -market targets, suggesting tightening affordability for both renters and buyers. October 2025 38 6. Housing Affordability Housing affordability is the ability of a household to pay for housing while still having money left over for other necessities. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) defines affordable housing as housing that costs no more than 30% of a household's gross income. This includes rent, utilities, mortgage payments, taxes, and insurance. House- holds that spend more than 30% of their income on housing are considered cost -burdened. There are many other factors, however, that affect housing affordability that this definition does not consider. The Iowa Finance Authority notes: "Homeownership presents one of the most powerful op- portunities for building generational wealth. The ripple effects of homeownership are far- reaching, extending to various aspects of life, such as financial, social, and physical well- being, while also delivering significant economic benefits to the broader community. When families have access to homes they can afford, as their income changes over time, it's proven to lead to success in other areas, including health, education, career opportunities and civic engagement, which in turn strengthens our neighborhoods and communities." Renters are far more likely to be cost -burdened compared to homeowners. Homeownership most often requires financing with a mortgage. Table 6.1 provides a com- parison of the number of owner -occupied housing units with and without a mortgage, and the number of occupied units paying rent based on 2009-2023 ACS 5-year estimates in Dubuque County. Table 6.1. Number of Housing Units with and without a Mortgage and Number of Occupied Units paying Rent, 2009-2023 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Housing Costs Table 6.2 shows the median housing costs for owner -occupied units with a mortgage in Dubuque County and peer counties from 2009-2023. Table 6.2. Median Housing Costs for Owner -Occupied Units with a Mortgage in Selected Iowa Counties Dubuque $1,198 $1,258 $1,540 $342 Black Hawk $1,083 $1,163 $1,396 $313 Johnson $1,439 $1,607 $1,936 $497 October 2025 39 Linn $1,282 $1,332 $1,558 $276 Scott $1,235 $1,278 $1,538 $303 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Table 6.3 shows the median housing costs for owner -occupied units without a mortgage in Dubuque County and peer counties from 2009-2023. Table 6.3. Median Housing Costs for Owner -Occupied Units without a Mortgage in Selected Iowa Counties 2023 Dubuque $432 $486 $636 $204 Black Hawk $391 $450 $580 $189 Johnson $501 $533 $692 $191 Linn $458 $520 $670 $212 Scott $437 $509 $607 $170 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Table 6.4 shows the distribution of gross rent for rented units in Dubuque Countyfrom 2019- 2023 estimates. Table 6.4. Distribution of Gross Rent in Dubuque County, 2019-2023 Gross Rent Occupied units paying rent Dubuque County 10,411 100.0% Less than $500 735 7.1 % $500 to $999 5,199 49.9% $1,000 to $1,499 3382 32.5% $1,500to $1,999 824 7.9% $2,000 to $2,499 67 0.6% $2,500 to $2,999 43 0.4% $3,000 or more 161 1.5% Median (dollars) $944 No rent paid 479 4.6% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Survey Estimates Table 6.5 shows median gross rent for rented units in Dubuque County and selected Iowa counties from 2009-2023. Table 6.5. Median Gross Rent in Selected Iowa Counties, 2009-2023 Dubuque $670 $763 $944 $274 Black Hawk $671 $769 $962 $291 Johnson $819 $968 $1,104 $285 Linn $672 $743 $915 $243 Scott $685 $779 $958 $273 Source: US Census Bureau, 2009-2023 American Community Survey Estimates October 2025 40 The Center for Neighborhood Technology's Housing and Transportation (H+T°) Affordability Index provides a more complete measure of affordability by considering housing plus trans- portation costs. While housing alone is affordable when consuming no more than 30% of income, transportation costs can be a household's second largest expenditure. Table 6.6 shows the H +T Index for the Dubuque County and selected Iowa counties using ACS 5-year estimates for 2022. The H +T Index benchmark is 45% of household income. All counties have similar housing and transportation costs. Table 6.6. Housing and Transportation Index in Selected Iowa Counties. 2022 Dubuque H + T Costs % Income 44% Housing 22% TransportationCounty 21% Black Hawk 44% 22% 22% Johnson 46% 26% 20% Linn 42% 22% 20% Scott 46% 25% 21% Source: Center for Neighborhood Technology, Housing and Transportation Affordability Index Analysis of housing costs by income level can help determine affordability. Typically, house- holds with higher incomes tend to proportionately spend less on housing than households with lower incomes. The higher the household income, the less likely a household will be cost -burdened. Table 6.7 provides the monthly housing costs as a percentage of household income (HHI) for all households in Dubuque County based on ACS 5-year estimates for 2019-2023. Note that the households making less than $50,000 are most likely to be cost burdened, spending more than 30% of their income on housing. Table 6.7. Comparison of Monthly Housing Costs as a Percentage of Household Income (HHI) by Income Level for All Occupied Units, 2019-2023 Household Income Number of Units HH Income spent on housing Less than 20% 20% to 290%,Io or more Less than $20,000 3,810 3.1 % 6.2% $20,000 to $34,999 3,927 12.0% 22.1 % *30OZo $35,000 to $49,999 4,817 27.3% 32.1 %0.6% $50,000 to $74,999 5,870 51.0% 31.2% 17.9% $75,000 or more 20,372 15.5% 3.5% Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Surveys Housing Affordability Analysis Table 6.8 shows the Housing Affordability Analysis for Dubuque County based on ACS 5-year estimates for 2019-2023 and mortgage rates accessed from Zillow. It provides an estimate of the minimum household income required to afford a home at different price levels for both 30% and 20% of income. The monthly payment was calculated assuming a good credit October 2025 41 score, a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage with a 6.642% annual interest rate, and 10% down pay- ment. The analysis also considers additional housing costs including 1.5% for property tax, an annual 0.5% private mortgage insurance, and $250 per month for utilities. Table 6.8. Dubuque County Housing Affordability Analysis Median Home Value Entry Level $200,000 Move Up $250,000 Executive $350,000 Dubuque County $226,100 Down Payment 10% $20,000 $25,000 $35,000 $22,610 Loan Amount 30-Year Fixed -Rate Mortgage Interest Rate $180,000 $225,000 $315,000 $203,490 6.642% 6.642% 6.642% 6.642% Number of Payments 360 360 360 360 Monthly Costs Monthly Payment ($1,282.87) ($1,603.59) ($2,245.02) ($1,450.29) Property Tax Estimate ($250.00) ($312.50) ($437.50) ($282.63) Monthly Costs Monthly Utility Estimate ($250.00) ($250.00) ($250.00) ($250.00) Private Mortgage Insurance Est. ($83.33) ($83.33) ($116.67) ($75.37) Subtotal Monthly Costs ($1,866.20) ($2,249.42) ($3,049.19) ($2,058.28) Affordability Housing Cost as 30% of Income 30% 30% 30% 30% Minimum Income Required $74,648 $89,977 $121,968 $82,331 Affordable to Dubuque County Owner -Occupied Households 41% 38% 28% 38% Housing Cost as 20% of Income 20% 20% 20% 20% Minimum Income Required $111,972 $134,965 $182,951 $123,497 Affordable to Dubuque County Owner -Occupied Households 27% 19% 15% 27% Median Household Income $131,154 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Surveys Using 2019-2023 5-Year American Community Survey estimates, Table 6.9 shows compara- tive affordability in selected Iowa counties for renter -occupied housing units. The $944 me- dian gross rent in Dubuque County required an annual income of $37,360, which was 93.5% of the median house -hold income of $39,367. October 2025 42 Table 6.9. Median Household Income For Renter -Occupied Housing Units and Medan Gross Rent Selected Counties. 2019-2023 Dubuque HouseholdMedian Income $39,967 Median Gross Rent $944 Annual Income to Afford Average Rent $37,760 Black Hawk $40,066 $962 $38,480 Johnson $39,271 $1,104 $44,160 Linn $40,602 $915 $36,600 Scott $41,116 $958 $38,320 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023American Community Surveys Table 6.10 provides a comparison of income levels and housing affordability for renter -oc- cupied units in Dubuque County. The data indicates a shortage of affordable rental units for households earning under $25,000 per year. The table also shows an under supply of units at the upper income households making $75,000 and up. Higher -income often choose lower -priced units, increasing competition for those units with middle- and lower -income households. Because of this downward movement, the negative balance in the $75,000 and up categories, may indirectly reflect affordability challenges for households earning under $75,000 per year. Table 6.10. Income Distribution and Housing Affordability Ranges for Renter -Occupied Units in Dubuque County, 2019-2023 Range $0 to $24,999 $25,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $99,999 # HH in range 3,385 AffordableIncome Less than $500 $500 to $999 $1,000 to $1,499 $1,500 to $1,999 of rental units 735 Balance -2,650 1,934 11608 -413 3,265 5,199 1,774 3,382 1,237 824 $100,000 to $149,999 976 $2,000 to $2,499 67 -909 -49 $150,000 or more 253 $2,500 or more 204 Source: US Census Bureau, 2019-2023 American Community Surveys Note: The unit counts in this table were estimated using the assumption that households will occupy a housing unit in their affordable rent range. This is not always true in practice as households may occupy units outside of the assumed affordable range. So, a negative balance at a high -income range can indicate displacement of lower -income households rather than a literal shortage of higher rent units. October 2025 43 7. Forecasts Population and housing forecasts were developed to help Dubuque County understand fu- ture housing needs and plan for future development. The forecasts estimate how many new housing units will be needed over the next ten years to accommodate future population growth and to maintain a balanced market. The forecasting method used applies the county's historical annual population growth rate to future years to estimate population change. The projected population is then divided by the average number of people per household to get an estimate of the number of housing units needed. Population Forecast The Dubuque County population forecast is based on the most current available data and historical trends. Two scenarios were developed: • Scenario 1 - Assumes that the county's population will continue to grow at a rate con - sistentwith the long-term historicaItrend (1990-2020), averaging430 people per year. • Scenario 2 —Assumes a higher growth rate based on the most recent decade (2010- 2020), where the county grew by approximately 560 people per year. The following data and assumptions were used to develop the forecasts: • The forecast uses a 2025 base -year population estimate of 100,227, produced by ESRI Demographics. • ESRI's population estimates are based on U.S. Census data with additional infor- mation from public and private sources. • In Scenario 1, the county's population grows at a rate of 430 people per year. • In Scenario 2, the county county's population grows at a rate of 560 people per year. Figure 7.1 provides Dubuque County's historical census population data, ESRI's 2025 popu- lation estimate, and the future population forecasts. October 2025 44 Dubuque County Population Forecast 110,000 105,827 105,000 103,027 ! I 1 �'1� 99,266 100,20*��.1'** 104,527 100,000 97,685 102,377 c 0 95,000 93,65 0 90,769 a 90,000 88,938 89,143 86,403 85,000 80,000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Historical ESRI 2025 Estimate ...... Scenario 1 — — — Scenario 2 Figure 7.1. Dubuque County Population Forecast Source: US Census Bureau Decennial Census, ESRI Demographics Housing Needs 2026-2035 The population forecast is converted into an estimate of future housing unit needs based on the following assumptions. • Group Quarters Population - In 2020, Dubuque County had 4,157 people living in group quarters, about 4.2% of the total county population. When estimating housing unit demand, the population estimate is reduced by 4.2% to account for the group quarters population. • Household Tenure - Of the remaining 95.8% of the county's population that resides in a household, approximately 78% lives in an owner -occupied housing unit and 22% lives in a renter -occupied unit. However, recent construction activity has been more evenly split between renter -occupied and owner -occupied units. According to 2019-2023 ACS estimates, housing units built since 2020 are roughly 50% owner - occupied and 50% renter -occupied. • Average Household Size -Average household size differs by tenure, with 2.5 people per household for owner units and 1.9 for renter units. Assuming a 50/50 split for new housing unit construction, the projected population will have 57% living in owner -occupied units and 43% in renter -occupied units. October 2025 45 • Vacancy Rate -The forecast assumes that some of the new units constructed will be vacant at any given time. To account for this the forecast applies a 5% vacancy rate for renter -occupied units and a 2% vacancy rate for owner -occupied units. Forecasts are provided in Table 7.1 and 7.2. Table 7.1. Forecast - Population in Households by Tenure Scenario Population Growth Forecast Scenario 1 4,300 Scenario 2 5,600 Population in Group Quarters 4.2% 150 235 Population in Households 95.8% 4,120 5,365 Renter Household Population 43% 1,772 2,306 Owner Household Population 57% 2,348 3,059 Table 7.2. Forecast - Households and Housing Units by Tenure 1 Average HH HouseholdsScenario Renter Households Size 1.9 932 49.8% Rate 5% Units 979 Owner Households 2.5 939 50.2% 2% 958 Total Scenario 2 1,783 1,937 Renter Households 1.9 1,214 49.8% 5% 1,275 Owner Households 2.5 1,224 50.2% 2% 1,285 Total 2,438 2,560 The two scenarios estimate that the countywill need between 1,937 and 2,560 new housing units between 2026 and 2035. October 2025 46 8. Key Findings The Dubuque County Housing Needs Assessment was prepared to provide a data -driven un- derstanding of current and future housing conditions in Dubuque County. This section of the highlights the insights and lessons learned through the assessment. Key Findings Demographics Population Growth: Dubuque County's population reached 99,266 in 2020, up 6% since 2010. Growth seems to have slowed slightly over the first have of the new decade, but future growth is expected to align with the county's historical trends over the next ten years. Popu- lation forecasts project that the county will add between 4,300 and 5,600 residents over the next ten years. Aging population: The county's population has been aging over time with retired Social Se- curity beneficiaries making up 15% of the country's population in 2024. The aging trend is expected to accelerate over the comingyears with more of the Baby Boomer cohort reaching retirement age. Household Size: the average household size in Duque County has decreased recently with owner -occupied households holding steady at 2.5 people per household and renter -occu- pied households falling from 2.1 to 1.9 people per household. This brings the overall average household size down from 2.4 to 2.3. Economic Conditions Employment: Employment for Dubuque County Residents has generally grown steadily, adding an average of 560 jobs per year over the last 30 years. Employment fell during the pandemic but has recovered and stabilized at around 52,000 jobs. Unemployment: Prior to the pandemic, Dubuque County's unemployment rate had been trending downward. COVID-19 caused an unemployment rate spike in 2020 followed by 2 years of slow recovery. Unemployment has since stabilized at near pre -pandemic levels. Income: Median Household Income grew to $75,919 in the 2019-2023 ACS, representing a 47.5 percent increase over the 2009-2013 ACS estimate, outpacing peer counties. October 2025 47 Housing Trends Housing Supply: The number of housing units in Dubuque County has been increasing steadily over the last 30 years. The 2020 Census reported a total of 42,630 housing units in 2020, up from 38,951 in 2010. Tenure: The majority of the Dubuque County's housing units are owner -occupied. However, the share of renter -occupied units has been growing over time. Renter -occupied housing units accounted for 28.9% of all occupied housing units in 2020, up from 26.7% in 2010. This trend seems to be accelerating with 52% of the units constructed since 2020 being renter - occupied. Construction: Dubuque County communities have continued to add new housing units each year. Construction numbers have fluctuated year to year, but the general trend has been that new units continue to be built every year, with single-family home construction declining slightly, and multi -unit construction increasing, especially over the last five years. Housing Market Vacancy Rates: Rental vacancy: 5.3% (ACS 2019-2023), 6.12% (Rental Owner & Manager Survey). Both are within the balanced range of 5-9%. Owner vacancy: 0.6%, below the balanced range (1-2%), indicating tight supply. Rates below 1 % are in line with historical trends. Sale Prices: The median home sale price was $243,750 in 2024, up 44% since 2017. Prices rose rapidly duringthe pandemic with the median price increasing $28,000 (15.7%) between 2020 and 2021. Since then prices have continued to grow, up 7.1 % between 2023 and 2024. Days on Market: Fell sharply in 2020 and have remained low, suggesting persistent demand pressure and limited supply. Rental Costs: Rents have increased steadily, with Zillow's rental index rising7.3 %year -over - year, reaching an average rent of $1,031 in September 2025. Housing Needs Population Growth: Population growth scenarios estimate that Dubuque County's popula- tion will increase by 4,300 to 5,600 residents between 2026 and 2035. Housing Units: An estimated 1,937 to 2,560 additional housing units will be needed to ac- commodate this growth. October 2025 48 Affordability Cost Burden: With increasing home prices and rents, housing affordability is an increasing challenge in Dubuque County, especially for lower income households. 2019-2023 ACS es- timates show that households making under $50,000 per year are the most likely to be cost burdened. Generally, renters are more likely to be cost burdened than homeowners. Homeownership Opportunities: Rising home prices, higher interest rates, and lowvacancy ratees may be limiting home ownership opportunities and pushing more households toward renting. Currently a median priced home ($226,100) is affordable to 27-38% of Dubuque County households. Conclusion The Dubuque Housing Needs Assessment finds that the local housing market is performing well, supported by a growing population, strong employment, and steady construction ac- tivity. However, the county also faces emerging pressures related to the following: • Growing retired population that will require more accessible and low maintenance housing options. Replacing retirees in the workforce will require in -migration which will require more housing. • Limited home vacancies, lower days on the market, and rising prices indicate a low for -sale inventory. • Rising prices and declining affordability for low and moderate income households. • Ongoing need for diverse housing options, including workforce, senior, and middle - market owner -occupied housing. • Continued population growth that will require an estimated 1,937 to 2,560 additional housing units between 2026 and 2035. Continued monitoring and support for housing rehabilitation new housing construction will be essentialto sustain balance and ensure that all residents have access to safe, attainable housing in the coming decade. October 2025 49 9. Housing Programs Local, state, and federal housing programs as well as regional partner agencies are de- scribed below. Local Housing Programs Communities across Dubuque County offer a variety of housing programs designed to ad- dress a variety of housing needs. While these programs generally follow the framework es- tablished by state law, the details of each program will vary from community to community. Interested parties should contact check with their city or with Dubuque County for details about available programs. The Iowa Code provides several options for cities and counties to create housing programs. The Cityof Dubuque, forexample, offers a range of programs and resourcesfor homeowners, commercial property owners, and rental property owners. These programs may serve as models for other communities as well. Learn more at ✓ww.cityofdubuque.org/incentives Tax Increment Finance (TIF) Districts TIF districts can be created by cities and counties per Iowa Code Chapter 403, Urban Re- newal Law. TIF can be used for three main purposes: promoting economic development, eliminating slum and blight, and facilitating housing development. TIF districts are estab- lished within approved urban renewal areas (URA). Urban Revitalization Districts Urban Revitalization Districts are allowed by Iowa Code Chapter 404. They can target areas with slum or blight conditions to improve housing, infrastructure, and overall quality of life. Owners of eligible residential or commercial properties can receive a propertytax exemption on the value added by improvements, for a specified period of years. Voluntary Assessment Agreements Voluntary Assessment Agreement as per Iowa Code Chapter 384 allows property owners to petition their city to levy a special assessment to pay for public improvements for new sub- divisions. This agreementwould authorize a cityto issue bonds that can payfor upfront costs of public improvements while in turn the cost of each property's improvement is assessed to that property within the subdivision. The developer is then allowed 10 years to repay the city for improvement costs, but a lien is placed on each property that prohibits the sale until the improvement costs are repaid in full. October 2025 50 State of Iowa Housing Programs The Iowa Finance Authority (IFA) offers mortgage and down payment assistance to help ap- plicants with homeownership, and programs for rental assistance and community develop- ment. Learn more at' ttps://opportunityiowa.gov/housing/ Homeownership Assistance FirstHome Program: Assists first-time homebuyers, connecting them with affordable mort- gages and local lenders. Homes forlowans Program: Helps both first-time and repeat homebuyers purchase homes, potentially offering a $2500 grant. Military Homeownership Assistance Program: Provides a $5,000 grant to eligible service members and veterans for down payments and closing costs on qualifying homes, usable in conjunction with FirstHome and Homes for Iowans. Rental Assistance Tenant -Based Rental Assistance (TBRA): Allows nonprofit and local government entities to assist families with monthly rent, security deposit, and utility deposit. Home & Community -Based Services (HCBS) Rent Subsidy Program: Provides applicants with monthly rent assistance. Family Self -Sufficiency (FSS): A voluntary program for Housing Choice Voucher (HCV) par- ticipants to help families improve their economic situations and reduce their dependence on welfare programs. Iowa Housing Search: A website to locate affordable rental housing units within the state of Iowa. Community Programs Community -Based Housing Revolving Loan Fund: Promotes affordable housing and sup- portive services for eligible individuals. HOME Program: Awards through a competitive process to help communities with a wide range of affordable housing. Housing— Upper Story Conversion: Helps communities preserve existing housing stock and create new housing opportunities. Housing Tax Credit Program: Helps develop affordable rental housing for individuals and families with fixed or limited incomes. October 2025 51 Multifamily Loan Program: Provides financing options to multifamily property owners and developers to preserve and create new affordable units in Iowa. Project -Based Section 8 Contract Administration: Partners with private rental property own- ers to help provide affordable rents to low-income families living in Iowa. Workforce Housing Tax Credit: Tax benefits to developers to provide housing in Iowa com- munities, focusing especially on those projects using abandoned, or dilapidated properties. Federal Housing Programs The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) provide other homeowner- ship, rental, and community programs. Learn more at ittps://www.hud.gov/states/iowa Homeownership Assistance Federal Housing Administration (FHA) Loans: Insures loans, allowing lenders to offer mort- gages to a wider range of borrowers, including those with lower credit scores or down pay- ments. Public Servant Next Door Program: Offers exclusive benefits, including grants to assist with closing costs and expenses, to help city, county, state, and federal employees become homeowners. Rental Assistance Housing Choice Voucher Program (Section 8): Largest federal rental assistance program, al- lowing eligible families to find their own housing and receive a voucher to cover part of the rent. Public Housing. Federally funded and locally managed, public housing provides affordable rental units for low-income individuals and families. Project -Based Rental Assistance: Provides rental assistance for specific properties, ensur- ing affordabilityfor low-income tenants. National Housing Trust Fund: Helps increase and preserve the supply of affordable housing for extremely low-income and homeless families in Iowa. Family Self -Sufficiency (FSS): A voluntary program for Housing Choice Voucher (HCV) par- ticipants to help families improve their economic situations and reduce their dependence on welfare programs. October 2025 52 Community Programs HOME Investment Partnerships Program (HOME): Provides federal funds to state and local governments to develop and support affordable housing for low-income residents. Community Development Block Grants (CDBG): Provide funding to communities for eco- nomic development, job opportunities, and housing rehabilitation. Low -Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC): Incentivize developers to build affordable housing by providing tax benefits. Dubuque County Housing Partners City of Dubuque Housing and Community Development Department The Housing & Community Development Department oversees a collection of programs and services aimed at ensuring housing opportunity, improving existing housing stock, and sup- porting neighborhood quality. Key functions include: • Housing Programs — These programs assist various stakeholders (homeowners, renters, developers) through programs such as the Housing Choice Voucher (Section 8), home improvement grants/loans, homebuyer assistance, and security deposit support. • Community Development —The department administers community -wide initia- tives, including Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) and urban revitaliza- tion efforts. • Inspection & Construction Services —the department manages building permits, rental licensing and inspections, vacant building licensing, code enforcement, and related regulatory oversight. • Support Resources —The department provides resources and guidance for tenants, landlords, and contractors. Regional Housing Partners Below is a list of partners associated with the East Central Intergovernmental Association (ECIA), which provides staff and administrative support. The service area for each program varies within Dubuque County with some serving the whole county while others only serve the areas outside the city of Dubuque. The following section provides a short description of each program with more information available at www.ecia.org Eastern Iowa Regional Housing Authority(EIRHA) serves Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Dubu- que, Jackson, Jones, and Scott Counties, excluding the cities of Clinton, Camanche, Daven- port, and Dubuque. EIRHA provides decent, safe, and affordable housing to eligible October 2025 53 households; promotes self-sufficiency; creates economic independence; and provides homeownership opportunities for Housing Choice Voucher and Public Housing Program par- ticipants. Eastern Iowa Regional Housing Corporation (EIRHC) acquires, constructs, provides, and operates rental housing and related facilities suited to special needs and living require- ments. EIRHC Housing Trust Fund (HTF) develops and preserves decent, safe, and affordable housing for low-income households, as well as access to the resources for creating housing opportunities for the families served in eastern Iowa. The emphasis is on the moderate, very low, and extremely low-income residents of Dubuque, Delaware, Jackson, Cedar, and Clin- ton Counties. Eastern Iowa Development Corporation (EIDC) is a for -profit entity and wholly owned sub- sidiary of EIRHC formed to be a general partner in all Low -Income Housing Tax Credits pro- jects. East Central Development Corporation (ECDC) is a non-profit focused by serving low to moderate income communities and households and working with underserved neighbor- hoods that have experienced significant disinvestment. ECDC projects include affordable housing development and rehabilitation in Dubuque, Delaware, Jackson, Cedar, and Clinton Counties. Community Solutions of Eastern Iowa (CSEI) promotes and encourages public well-being; provides homeless prevention resources to those living in poverty and threatened with homelessness; helps individuals and families survive and exit homelessness; and expands opportunities and empowers people to be self-sufficient in east central Iowa cities and counties. CSEI is a nonprofit subsidiary of the East Central Intergovernmental Association (ECIA). October 2025 54 kaj 7—il I 10 team MM[o 2,598 Total Lots/Units as of August 19, 2026, including 390 Workforce Units Residential Subdivision Lot Availability Development Location North Grandview Estates North Grandview/32nd Street Lots/Units Available Use 32 Lots/Units Single-Family/Apartment Rustic Point Estates #2 Derby Grange/KennedyGrange/Kennedy Roads 40 Units Single-Family/Duplex Sky Blue Estates* Sky Blue Drive 4 Lots Single -Family Silver Oaks Subdivision Elmwood/Silver Oaks Drive 127 Lots Single-Family/Duplex South Pointe Estates* Rockdale Rd./South Pointe Dr. 137 Units Single-Family/Duplex Timber-H rst Estates Creekwood Drive/Cherry Ride 121 Lots Sin le- Famil /Du lex/Townhomes The Farm/Switch Homes End of Tiffany Court 118 Lots Single -Family Villas on Valeria Valeria Street 18 Units Market Rate Townhomes 'Subdivision has additional phases TOTAL: 287 Rebiuential Development - Under Review Development Location # of Lots/Units Use Visitation/AHNI 900Alta Vista Street 25 Units Workforce Apartments Carter Road Apartments Carter Road 40 Units Market -Rate Apartments Farley & Loetscher, LLC 801 Jackson Street 126 Units Market -Rate Apartments Bridge Lofts 35 Locust Street 106 Units Market -Rate Apartments/Mixed Use Millwork Flats 1065 Jackson Street 76 Units Market -Rate Apartments Corridor DBQ 1527 Central Avenue 10 Units Market -Rate Apartments Thunder Valley Development, LLC Radford Road 72 Units Market -Rate Apartments Williams Duplex Key Way/Keystone Drive 2 Units Market -Rate Apartments Ellis Mixed -Use Development 0 FK Road/Northwest Arterial 28 Units Market -Rate Apartments/Mixed Use TOTAL: 485 SubdivisionResidential Development Location # of Units Use the Farm/Switch Homes End of Tiffany Court 84 Lots Single -Family iouth Pointe Phase 2 South Pointe Drive 21 Lots Single -Family 22 Units Duplex TOTAL:127 ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON BACK CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1 Residential Development - Under Construction Development (Location # of Units jUse Carich Property LLC Apartments 1734-36 Central Avenue 18 Units Workforce/Market-Rate Apartments Fox Hills Apartments End of Plaza Drive 1390 Units Market -Rate Apartments 1701 Central Ave. Apartments 1701 Central Avenue 4 Units Market -Rate Apartments 1301 Central Ave. Apartments 1301 Central Avenue 30 Units Market -Rate Apartments Workforce Single -Family Homes Market -Rate Apartments/Mixed Use abitat for Humani Rosalynn Carter Place The Landings at Cedar Cross 380 Cedar Cross Road !712�nits Iowa Street Lofts 1248 Iowa Street its Market -Rate Apartments Novelty Iron Works Condominiums 333 E. Tenth Street 34 Units Market -Rate Apartments Hitzler Rental LLC Apartments 2541 Central Avenue 5 Units Market -Rate Apartments Rider on Main 200 W. Fifth Street 102 Units Market -Rate Apartments/Mixed Use Miller Five-Plex jEastgate Court 5 Units Market -Rate Apartments Wilson House Apartments 11243 Locust Street 5 Units Market -Rate Apartments TOTAL: 727 TOTAL: 35 . - -. Constructed .- Development Location # of Units Use 1706 Central Apartments 1706 Central Avenue 11 Units Market -Rate Apartments 799 Main Street Apartments 799 Main Street 36 Units Market -Rate Apartments ar ens of Dubuque a ord Road ni s Workforce Family Housing Apartment Kretschmer Lofts 895 Washington Street 48 Units Market -Rate Apartments oosevel Miller 4-Plex 1865 RadforSLR 3545 East Gate Court AA Unit 4 Units orkforce Senior Housing Apartment Market -Rate Apartments Mount Carmel - Sisters of Charity 1 Phase 1 1100 Carmel Drive 60 Units 46 Units 22 Units Skilled Nursing Assisted Living Memory Care Independent Living Mount Carmel - Sisters of Charity 11 1100 Carmel Drive 116 Units Chadwick Block Apartments 249 W. 1st Street 4 Units Market -Rate Apartments Old Prescott School 1199 Central Avenue 12 Units Market -Rate Apartments 1047 Bluff Street Apartments 1047 Bluff Street 2 Units Market -Rate Apartments 1398 White Street Apartments 1398 White Street 2 Units Market -Rate Apartments South Pointe Rowhouses Rolling Creek Lane 6 Units Market -Rate Townhomes 744 Main Street 744 Main Street 2 Units Market -Rate Apartments HG Apt LLC Apartments 2901 Central Avenue 18 Units Market -Rate Apartments Century Square Apartments 1504 Bies Drive 54 Units Market -Rate Apartments South Point Rowhouse 1368-1378 Autumn Ridge 4 Units Market -Rate Townhomes Padua Place Apartments 2175 Rosedale Avenue 14 Units Market -Rate Apartments Emri Apartment:11111 Cedar Lake Apartments Lake Ridge Drive 42 Units using Apartments Market -Rate Apartments Plastic Center, Inc. 408 W. 5th Street 9 Units Market -Rate Apartments CK Construction Four-Plex 1104 Lincoln Avenue 4 Units Market -Rate Apartments The Landings at Cedar Cross 380 Cedar Cross Road 160 Units Market -Rate Apartments/Mixed Use Union at the Marina 860 Hawthorne Street IV 1201 Units lWorkforce Family Housing Habitat for Humanity Roslyn Carter Place 13 Units lWorkforce Single -Family Homes TOTAL: 922 Housing Availability & Affordability: A Growing Concern Among Area employers, 2020 to Present 2020-2021 305 Companies Interviewed Housing Access = 13 Concern 2021-2022 307 Companies Interviewed Housing Access = #2 Concern 2024-2025 255 Companies Interviewed Housing Access = #1 Concern 2025-2026 252 Companies Interviewed Housing Access = #1 Concern 140 FY2024-2025 InfoActions 115 255 Employer Interviews 11111101 87 85 73 65 58 58 52 50 50 43 33 32 31 24 22 O �O 2 \Ok `�' a O "`O O `�' �O . o �o C C ° »: . C O o p F O �Q10 ° Z? u� co 10 � o C .� •\ � Q Q a o � c, � �� . F � QQ Q QC �Q° o Q ° O o a �C 117 FY2025-2026 InfoActions 107106106 252 Employer Interviews VIM 70 69 68 65 64 61 - 53 39 34 32 29 27 20 16 15 13 13 1111111111111100009 Co) O �Q . OC \Ok LO ti . O 0y O y C . O ti i� �O C C. o w a 2 °Q of Q' F Q o �a O C� � i . O �Q `O " � Q o w o a ° Q C C (O O O 6 Q FY2023-2024 270 Employer Interviews Fire Ambulance Police Colleges & Universities Schools (K-12) Community College Health Care Trucking Highways Streets IF Traffic Control/Flow Community Planning Regulatory now Zoning/Building Property Taxes Child Care Public Trans orta ' Housing Air argo Air Passenger Service FY2024-2025 255 Employer Interviews Fire Ambulance Police Colleges & Universities Schools (K-12) Community College Trucking Health Care Highways Streets Community Planning Zoning/Building Regulatory Traffic Control/Flow Child Care Property Taxes Public Transportation Air Carn Housing Air Passenger Service FY2025-2026 252 Employer Interviews Fire Ambulance Police Colleges & Universities Schools (K-12) Community College Trucking Highways Health Care Streets Child Care Community Planning : Traffic Control/Flow Zoning/Building Public Tr usln (Amount/Affordability) Property Taxes Air Passenger Service = Trending down from prior year * = Trending up from prior year /or = No change from prior year Access to quality healthcare Affordable home ownership Top 10 Factors Ranked Great schools and education by Importance When � 3.3U Considering Where to Low crime rate 3.19 Live / Work in the Variety of restaurants Future � Affordable, quality It: housing 3.00 i Future Community Natural features 3.52 Greater Dubuque Region Farmer's markets 3.75 Shopping/commercial districts 3.03 Pet -friendly community 3.41 Job Skills Gap Education Median Starter Starter Annual Starter Affordable Starter Affordable Rent Affordable Home Price Affordable Home Price Analysis Requirement Hourly Wage Hourly Wage Income Rent No Utilities Starter Wage Starter Wage One Income Dual Income Assemblers and Fabricators 184 On the Job Training $ 20.91 $ 17.77 $ 36,968.88 $ 924.22 $ 774.22 100,000 to 120,000 230,000 to 350,000 Restaurant Cook 137 Certificate $ 15.48 $ 13.16 $ 27,368.64 $ 684.22 $ 534.22 80,000 to 95,000 165,000 to 220,000 Pharmacy Tech 37 Associates $ 18.60 $ 15.81 $ 32,884.80 $ 822.12 $ 672.12 103,000 to 158,000 190,000 to 230,000 Middle School Teacher 21 Bachelor's Degree $ 25.61 $ 21.77 $ 45,278.48 $ 1,131.96 $ 981.96 140,000 to 215,000 270,000 to 370,000 Post Secondary Teacher 93 Advanced Degree $ 33.49 $ 28.47 $ 59,210.32 $ 1,480.26 $ 1,330.26 180,000 to 280,000 350,000 to 500,000 GREATER DUBUQUE DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION Housing in the FY2026 Employer Visit Data A Data Summary from the InfoAction Business Retention & Expansion Visit Program Prepared for City Council I August 28, 2026 1 252 completed employer visits, FY2026 Purpose This summary presents what Dubuque -area employers reported to Greater Dubuque Development Corporation through the InfoAction business retention and expansion visit program between July 1, 2025 and June 30, 2026. It covers 252 completed visits spanning manufacturing, financial services, healthcare, legal, real estate, utilities, government, and other sectors across the Greater Dubuque region. It reports what the responses show and does not draw conclusions about what the community should do in response. Multi -year survey trends and county housing market and affordability data are covered in the accompanying materials and are not repeated here. InfoAction uses a structured questionnaire with several pre-set answer options relevant to housing, including which community investments employers believe should be prioritized and what they consider barriers or weaknesses in the community. Because these are fixed answer options rather than open- ended prompts, responses can be counted and compared across the full set of visits rather than treated as one-off comments. Headline Findings 117 / 252 companies named increasing workforce housing as a top community investment priority the single most -cited priority of 20+ options offered 58% of all 252 visits included a housing -related comment somewhere in the conversation Housing Across Three Survey Questions Housing appeared in responses to three separately worded questions: which community investments should be prioritized, what employers see as weaknesses of the community, and what they identify as barriers to their own growth. Counts for each are shown below. Greater Dubuque Development Corporation I Page 1 of 3 Housing Surfaced Across Multiple, Independent Survey Questions FY2026 InfoAction Visits (7/1/25-6/30/26) Top community investment priority (Q87) Weakness of the community as a place to do business (Q74) Barrier to company growth (Q73) Employer Comments 117 Pill 19 20 40 60 80 100 120 Number of companies (of 252 visits) The comments below are drawn directly from InfoAction visit notes. The visit program covers the Greater Dubuque region; the comments shown here are limited to employers located in the City of Dubuque. Employer names have been withheld for this public document; sector is shown instead. The community is focused on building apartments, but there is a greater need for affordable single- family homes. Leading manufacturing employer, Dubuque Workforce housing, particularly affordable housing, is a significant challenge... more candidates often choose Des Moines. — Professional services / accounting firm, Dubuque Dubuque [is] seen as attractive once people arrive, but housing/rental barriers exist for newcomers without local history. Food manufacturer, Dubuque Housing and community amenities are needed to attract and retain talent. Construction / real estate firm, Dubuque They face challenges with child care, affordable housing, and retaining minority candidates. Furniture manufacturer, Dubuque Greater Dubuque Development Corporation I Page 2 of 3 Housing to buy (not rent) for entry level buyers, under $175k range... an employee's son tried to find a quality home in Dubuque and had a very difficult time. — Lab -equipment manufacturer, Dubuque Comment Categories • Housing type: several employers said the community is building apartments while describing the greater unmet need as affordable, entry-level single-family homes to buy. • Price point: one respondent identified roughly $250,000 as a target price point for workforce housing and reported that builders find that price point financially infeasible to build at current costs. • Newcomers: multiple employers said Dubuque is attractive once people arrive, and that out-of- town recruits without local history or credit relationships have difficulty finding rentals or homes quickly. • Recruiting: several employers said candidates from outside the region chose competing metro areas, citing relative housing cost and availability among the reasons. • Child care: several employers described housing and child care together when discussing barriers to hiring and retaining staff. Recommendation We believe there is merit in developing a standard return -on -investment analysis for TIF-assisted housing projects (and TIF-supported projects, generally) that documents the financing gap, the need the project meets, and a reasonable range of public assistance as a share of total project cost. Greater Dubuque Development Corporation I Page 3 of 3 To: File From: Dave and Hannah Lyons Date: August 28, 2026 Re: Updated GDDC Housing Alignment Housing misalignment is when a community's housing stock and prices do not match the needs and incomes of its population. In 2025, the Dubuque County Housing Assessment (DCHA) found that Dubuque's housing stock was out of alignment with the needs of its current population of 99,242, projected 2035 population of 104,527, and significantly below the needs of its targeted population of 105,827. The DCHA estimates that between 1,937 and 2,560 new housing units will be needed between 2026 and 2035 to support projected and target population growth. While there is anecdotal information being presented that more housing capacity has created higher vacancy rates, there are no data sources to support that. The "natural" vacancy rate, at which prices remain steady, is estimated at 7% to 8% (source). DCHA identifies target vacancy rates at 1-2% for owner -occupied units and 5-9% for renter - occupied. Rates below these can be indicative of a housing shortage. In the past three years, vacancy rates in Dubuque County for owner -occupied units remained steadily below the target rate and rental vacancy rates have increasingly declined, with the most recent data placing us below the target rate. Vacancy Rates 2018-2022 2019-2023 2020-2024 Owner -occupied 0.7 0.6 0.7 Renter -occupied 6.4 5.3 2.1 Overall 6.3 5.6 5.3 Source: US Census Bureau, 5-year American Community Survey Estimates While there is an 18-month lag between data collection and publishing for the ACS, this is the best data available. Moreover, more recent market information appears to reflect these trends. If the anecdotal statements about excess capacity and increasing vacancy rates were true, we would expect to see prices decrease and time on the market increase. However, home purchase opportunities appear to remain tight. Days on Market have remained steady at the lower end of a balanced market, considered to be 30-60 days (source). Realtor.com Economic Research actually has median days on market having decreased by 11 % in the past year (source). 7/23-6/24 7/24-6/25 7/25-6/26 Average Days on Market 33 36 36 Source: Redfin Dubuque, IA Housing Market Trends In the last 12 months, the average home price in the City of Dubuque has increased around $10,000, ($241,624 to $251,952) and over $35,000 from this time in 2022 ($215,850) (source). The County faces a similar trend — increasing nearly $15,000 ($266,555 to $281,283) in the last year and over $40,913 since 2022 ($240,370) (source). These price increases make sense in the context — according to Ruh[ & Ruh[ Realtors, for the last 12 months Dubuque has 2.6 months of inventory, putting us solidly in a Seller's Market. (source). For context, a balanced market has 4 to 6 months of inventory. Rental costs also continue to rise with demand. Median monthly rental prices have increased from of $997.5 in 2025 to $1,075 in 2026 (source). Realtor.com Economic Research identifies that while the number of rental properties have gone up by 9.38% in the last year, median rents have also increase by 10.33% in the same period (source). Apartments.com also identifies an increase in rental prices in the last year but at a lesser rate, around 1.2% (source). So, it appears from the data available that housing in Dubuque continues to be in misalignment. Misalignment appears to be most prominent in households earning less than $50,000. The percentage of households spending more than 30% of their gross income on housing — what HUD -defines as affordability — for households earning between $50,000 and $35,000, $35,000 and $20,000 is 40.6% and 65.9%, respectively. Such misalignment negatively impacts quality of life for current residents, hinders recruitment of prospective residents, and slows economic growth. Housing misalignment can intensify when housing capacity does not support future workforce population growth. By taking 85% of the median wage among all occupations with sufficient data in Dubuque County (source), we estimate that the entry level wages for anew employee in the Dubuque MSA would be $21.51. Some industries will be higher (such as Management Occupations) and some will be lower (such as Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations). And some industries will contain both (such as Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations with average starting wages ranging from $13.21 to $163.49). If we accept that the average starting wage in Dubuque is $21.51, resulting in an annual income of approximately $44,740, only around 10% of homes sold in Dubuque last year (source) would have been affordable for those seeking new employment here, even with a $15,000 downpayment (source). In addition, this average income would also require rental costs above 30% With no monthly debts and a $20,000 downpayment, purchasing the average cost Dubuque home requires a household income of approximately $74,000 (source) for the home to be considered affordable. The majority of starting wage positions in Dubuque do not produce that income. A significant percentage of dual -income starting wage households do not produce that income (see attachment). In addition, a large percentage of starting wage positions will be required to pay more than 30% for their rental housing. Housing capacity continues to be a critical issue for Dubuque. However, if housing policy is to shift, data would suggest a shift toward creation of housing units (both rental and owner -occupied) designed to support existing and future demand for housing affordable to entry and mid -level working individuals and families. CITY OF DUBUQUE • ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT Housing Incentive Program: Proposed Revisions Targeting City incentives to where they matter most, as Dubuque's housing market evolves. City Council Presentation I September 2026 THE CHALLENGE Housing has become employers' top concern Each year, Greater Dubuque Development Corporation asks 250-305 local employers which community investments should be prioritized. Housing access has climbed steadily — and has now ranked #1 for three years running. 2020-21 #3 housing concern rank 305 employers interviewed 2021-22 #z housing concern rank 307 employers interviewed 2022-23 #z housing concern rank 305 employers interviewed Source: Greater Dubuque Development Corporation, InfoAction Business Retention & Expansion Program, 2020-2026 EMPLOYER VOICE What employers are telling us — FY2026 58% of all 252 employer visits included a housing -related comment somewhere in the conversation "The community is focused on building apartments, but there is a greater need for affordable single-family homes." — Leading manufacturing employer, Dubuque "Workforce housing, particularly affordable housing, is a significant challenge — candidates often choose Des Moines instead" — Professional services / accounting firm, Dubuque "Housing to buy, not rent, for entry-level buyers under $175K — an employee's son had a very difficult time finding a home here." — Lab -equipment manufacturer, Dubuque Source: GDDC, "Housing in the FY2026 Employer Visit Data," prepared for City Council, August 2026 (252 completed visits, City of Dubuque employers only) MARKET CONDITIONS The housing market remains tight 1,937-21560 new housing units needed 2026-2035to meet projected & target population growth 0.7% / 2.1% owner -/renter - occupied vacancy rates (2020-24) — well below healthy targets of 1-2 % / 5- 9% $251,952 average City of Dubuque home price — up—$10,000 in the last year, —2.6 months of inventory (seller's market) $1,075 median monthly rent, up from $998 a year ago; days -on -market holding at 36, near the tight end of balanced Bottom line: anecdotal claims of oversupply aren't supported by vacancy, price, or days -on - market data — Dubuque's housing stock remains out of alignment with resident and workforce needs. Source: 2025 Dubuque County Housing Assessment; U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates; Redfin, Zillow, Realtor.com, Ruhl & Ruhl Realtors market data, 2026 THE AFFORDABILITY GAP Local wages and the cost of a home Assemblers & On-the-job Fabricators training $17.77/hr $36,969 $100K-120K $230K-350K Restaurant Cook Certificate $13.16/hr $27,369 $80K-95K Pharmacy Technician Associate's $15.81/hr $32,885 $103K-158K Middle School Teacher Bachelor's $21.77/hr $45,278 $140K-215K Post -Secondary Advanced $28.47/hr $59,210 $180K-280K Teacher degree $165K-220K $190K-230K $270K-370K $350K-500K A median -wage entry-level position in Dubuque pays about $21.51/hr ($44,740/yr). At that income, only —10% of homes sold locally last year were affordable — even with a $15,000 down payment — and a household needs roughly $74,000 in income to comfortably afford the average -priced home. Source: City of Dubuque Income -Targeted Housing Data, Aug. 2026; GDDC 2025 Wage & Occupations Report; Ruhl & Ruhl Realtors; Zillow affordability calculator PROGRESS TO DATE The current incentives have driven real growth 1000 M M 400 200 I Units by Development Status (as of Aug. 19, 2026) Completed Construction Review Lots Available Source: City of Dubuque, "Creating Housing Opportunities" incentives handout, August 19, 2026 1ECOMMENDED CHANGES A more targeted incentive menu Staff recommends shifting from a broad -based approach to a strategy that targets incentives where they still make a difference — while protecting Downtown redevelopment and the City's general fund. Outside the Downtown Urban Renewal Area Market -rate owner -occupied — Retain current incentive (10-yr public infrastructure TIF) Market -rate rental — Remove incentives entirely Affordable/workforce owner -occupied — Maintain the 15-yr TIF incentive Affordable/workforce rental — Maintain the 15-yr TIF incentive Why remove market -rate rental incentives outside downtown? Market is performing. Additionally, housing built there without a TIF counts its full value as new taxable growth right away. That matters more under Iowa's SF 2472, which caps most annual growth in city general -fund levies but excludes new valuation from the cap — so skipping the incentive preserves that growth for the property taxes paid to DCSD, City of Dubuque, Dubuque County, NICC, and others. Recommended effective date: January 1, 2027. Projects submitted before that date continue under the existing incentive menu. Source: Memo to City Manager — "Proposed Revised Housing Incentive Programs," City of Dubuque Economic Development Department (Sept. 3, 2026) CITY OF DUBUQUE • ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT Housing Incentive Program: Proposed Revisions Questions? Sk A City Council Presentation I September 2026