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Work Session - Levee/FloodWall Breach StudyCopyrighted July 23, 2018 City of Dubuque Work Session - Bottom # 1. IT EM T IT LE:Levee/Floodwall Breach Study SUM MARY:City staff and an HDR representative will conduct a work session / presentation on the Levee/Floodwall Breach Study. SUGGEST ED DISPOSIT ION: ATTACHMENTS: Description Type Levee/Floodwall Breach Study-MVM Memo City Manager Memo Staff Memo Staff Memo Presentation Outline Supporting Documentation TO: The Honorable Mayor and City Council Members FROM: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager SUBJECT: Levee/Floodwall Breach Study City Council Work Session DATE: July 19, 2018 City Engineer Gus Psihoyos is transmitting information for the Levee/Floodwall Breach Study Work Session. City staff and a representative from HDR will make a presentation. _____________________________________ Michael C. Van Milligen MCVM:jh Attachment cc: Crenna Brumwell, City Attorney Teri Goodmann, Assistant City Manager Cori Burbach, Assistant City Manager Gus Psihoyos, City Engineer TO: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager FROM: Gus Psihoyos, City Engineer John Klostermann, Public Works Director DATE: July 19, 2018 SUBJECT: Levee/Floodwall Breach Study, City Council Work Session INTRODUCTION The purpose of this memorandum is to outline the information to be presented at the City Council Work Session scheduled for July 23, 2018. BACKGROUND The John C. Culver Floodwall system was designed to protect the City of Dubuque from Mississippi River floods. It was authorized by the federal Flood Control Act of 1962. Construction began in 1968 and was completed in 1973. Dubuque’s “Floodwall Protection System” consists of earthen levees (22,500 ft.) and concrete floodwalls (7,120 ft.) stretching from the upstream Lock & Dam 11 to the downstream end of the city near Maus Park. It provides protection against a Mississippi River flood up to river stage 28.3. Since the turn of the 20th century, the highest recorded flood stage is 26.81. The Flood Control System includes gravity outlets for discharge into the river at low stages and pumping stations and ponding areas for use when the Mississippi River is high. Funded and built by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) and operated and maintained by the City of Dubuque, the Floodwall Protection System protects thousands of properties and thousands of people from Mississippi River flooding. According to the USACE, the Flood Protection System “has prevented an estimated $103,955,700 in flood damages as of 2009.”1 In exchange for the USACE agreeing to fund and construct the Flood Protection System, the City of Dubuque agreed to maintain and operate the floodwall system after completion in accordance with regulations prescribed by the USACE. The USACE conducts two types of inspections to help ensure the Flood Protection System is adequately operated and maintained: periodic inspections and annual inspections. In both cases, the inspections usually conform to the following process: • Joint inspection of the Flood Protection System by USACE and City staff; • USACE provides a report to the City with inspection findings and recommendations; • Independent inspection and corrective actions are undertaken by the City; and • City submits a report to USACE outlining actions taken or planned to correct defects noted in the USACE inspection report. 1 U.S. Army Corps of Engineers - Rock Island District, “Engineering Technical Review Report Existing Flood Risk Management Levee System – Dubuque, Iowa,” (2010). 2 Based on the inspection, the USACE rates the levee system as Acceptable, Minimally Acceptable, or Unacceptable. A Periodic Inspection occurs every five years when the USACE activity is funded. Usually performed by a third party, the Periodic Inspection is more comprehensive than the Annual Inspection. The last Periodic Inspection was conducted in 2010 and its findings issued in March of 2011. The USACE rated the levee system as Minimally Acceptable. According to the USACE, there were some system elements inspected and rated as Minimally Acceptable and some as Unacceptable. Moreover, through engineering determinations, they concluded that the Unacceptable items would not prevent the system from performing as intended during a flood event.2 The City subsequently addressed the issues within the corrective action period. Based on the 2017 USACE annual inspection, the Flood Protection System was determined to be “Acceptable,” the highest rating given. Recognizing the fact that levees do fail, the City set aside funding in FY2014 for the Floodwall Breach Analysis. The stated purpose of the study was to “identify actions that could be taken in the event of a floodwall failure to reduce the flood and limit property damage.” After reaching out to the USACE, the City’s primary partner when it comes to the Flood Protection System, the City was informed that the USACE had been involved with a similar effort for the City of Muscatine and another was planned for the City of Cedar Falls. And in August of 2014, the USACE was able to secure federal funding to prepare a levee breach analysis for the City of Dubuque. DISCUSSION The levee breach study was not initiated because of any known imminent risk of failure to the levee system that protects Dubuque, but instead as an effort to improve emergency planning and communication of the potential risks associated with the levee. The USACE created a sophisticated computer model that can predict the depth of inundation, time to inundation, and inundation paths at critical locations for hypothetical levee breach scenarios. The main goal of the USACE’s work was to further advance their new computer software tool [HEC-RAS 5.0]. But the work also helped to further their mission to ensure that the public understands the risks of “living behind a levee.” The USACE levee breach analysis serves as a starting point for additional more detailed analysis of evacuation routes, potential flood hardening, and overall resiliency planning and design. The City hired HDR, Inc (HDR), an engineering consultant, to advance the 2-D modeling. While the USACE model helps to reinforce the idea that there are risks associated with “living behind a levee,” the work of HDR provided for a model that can be used by the City to identify what might be done before, during, and after a levee breach to mitigate the threat to human safety/heath and property. City staff and a representative from HDR will present more detailed information and lead the discussion. An outline of the presentation is attached. REQUESTED ACTION No action is required. This memo is for informational purposes only. 2 Out-Brief Meeting, Periodic Inspection: Dubuque System, HNTB-Gerwick River Solutions, (2010) 3 Prepared by Deron Muehring Attach. Cc: Teri Goodmann, Assistant City Manager Laura Carstens, Planning Services Manager Kyle Kritz, Associate Planner Randy Gehl, Public Information Officer Deron Muehring, Civil Engineer Outline Presentation to City Council on July 23, 2018 Levee Breach Study 1. History of DBQ floodwall system 2. City Operation 3. USACE Oversight 4. USACE Modeling a. 2-D b. Five breach locations for one river stage (28.3), a 1,000-year event 5. Des Moines Levee Breach (2008) 6. HDR Modeling a. HDR efforts compared to USACE i. Additional breach locations ii. Multiple river stages iii. Refined break-lines iv. Incorporated buildings & streets v. Statistically reduced infinite number of breach scenarios to most likely scenarios b. Researched flood barrier products c. Model output i. Video of model running for a particular scenario based on breach location and river stage ii. Ultimate depth at various locations iii. Travel time information 1. Time to 1-foot at location - why important 2. Time to ultimate depth at location (flood proof, future renovations to consider) 7. How the model output can be utilized a. Private facility use i. Pre-breach, floodproof doors/windows ii. Site Renovations, rebuild facilities to take the information into account and avoid future flooding iii. Know how high to place sandbags iv. Know how much time they would have to evacuate (18 inches of water can float a car) b. City use i. Pre-breach 1. Floodproof doors/windows 2. Site Renovations ii. During breach 1. Utilization of interior flood barriers to limit the spread of floodwaters 2. Provide info on availability of streets for evacuation purposes. (citizens driving out of the area) 3. Provide info on the available time to evacuate a specific facility 8. Introduce Documents a. Levee Breach Analysis Modeling Report (description of the study) b. Levee Breach Flood Mitigation Tools (Appendix C) i. Overview ii. Example 1. Where can the City erect HESCO barriers?  Where will time allow barriers to be erected?  How long will it take to build: reference table showing time required and material required  How long before floodwaters reach area: Reference figure showing time to 0.1 feet and figure showing time to 1 foot of water 2. What streets can be used for evacuation routes and for how long. 3. Time available to evacuate a facility by vehicle versus boat 9. Next Steps Levee/Floodwall Breach Analysis City Council Work Session July 23, 2018 Agenda 1.History of DBQ floodwall system 2.Operation & Maintenance 3.USACE Oversight 4.Levee Failures 5.USACE Modeling 6.HDR Modeling 7.How the model output can be utilized 8.Introduce Study Documents 9.Next Steps 10.Questions & Discussion History of Mississippi Flooding River crested at 19.80 feet Flood of May 1916 River crested at 22.65 feet Looking NW from 5th & White Streets Photo courtesy of Pictorial Dubuque: Dubuque’s Greatest Flood Flood of April 1951 Photos courtesy of Pictorial Dubuque: The Floods Return to Dubuque Looking west from 16th & Sycamore Streets River crested at 22.70 feet Looking east down 17th Street from Washington Street Dubuque Packing Company Flood of April 1952 Flood of April 1965 Photo courtesy of TH Media Archives Temporary sand-bag levees at US20 & S. Locust River crested at 26.81 feet (Flood of Record) Levee/Floodwall System: Funding •1965 Flood was the turning point –community consensus that a floodwall was needed •Federal funds sought –but competing with the Vietnam War and the Space Race •Congressman John Culver instrumental in securing $11 million in federal funds John C. Culver Floodwall History of Levee/Floodwall System Sutton Pool Maus Lake Port of Dubuque Chaplain Schmitt Island East Dubuque, IL •Construction began in June 1968 •Completed in early 1973 Protected by Dubuque Levee/Floodwall System designed to provide protection to River Stage 28.3 2011 Analysis showed that the system would remain stable to River Stage 33, the top of the levee/floodwall system River Stage 22+ (2011) Protected by Dubuque Levee/Floodwall “has prevented an estimated $103,955,700 in flood damages.” –USACE (2009) Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall 4 -Pumping Stations Maus Park Pumping Station Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall 4 -Pumping Stations 10 -Gatewell Structures Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall 4 -Pumping Stations 10 -Gatewell Structures 10 -Gated Closures Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall 4 -Pumping Stations 10 -Gatewell Structures 10 -Gated Closures 1-Miter Gated Harbor Closure Ice Harbor Miter Gate Dubuque Flood Protection System 20,500 feet -Earthen Levees 900 feet -Concrete Floodwall 4 -Pumping Stations 10 -Gatewell Structures 10 -Gated Closures 1-Miter Gated Harbor Closure 2 -Sandbag Closures Flood Protection System Operation & Maintenance Joint Oversight: Army Corps & City Project Agreement Requires: City will operate and maintain the flood control system as required by Title 33, Code of Federal Regulations. Joint Oversight: Army Corps & City Requirements: •All project changes be approved by the Corps of Engineers •Provide staff to aid Corps required inspections –Annual Inspections –Periodic Inspections •Take corrective actions to correct defects found during inspection Based on the 2017 annual inspection, the USACE determined the Levee System to be “Acceptable” which is the highest rating given Levee Failures “The people of New Orleans—and all those who live in . . . flood- prone communities around the country— must understand and acknowledge the risks under which they live.” What Went Wrong and Why American Society of Civil Engineers Hurricane Katrina External Review Panel Unexpected but result in severe consequences. In addition to public and private property damage, major impacts to transportation grid, power grid, communications, property, and the public psyche…and it can impact the entire community –not just the flooded area. Levee Failures Levee Failures Unexpected but result in severe consequences. In addition to public and private property damage, major impacts to transportation grid, power grid, communications, property, and the public psyche…and it can impact the entire community –not just the flooded area. Des Moines in 2008 •Temporary flood barrier construction started too late Levee Failures Unexpected but result in severe consequences. In addition to public and private property damage, major impacts to transportation grid, power grid, communications, property, and the public psyche…and it can impact the entire community –not just the flooded area. Des Moines in 2008 •Temporary flood barrier construction started too late •200 homes, 50 businesses, and North High School were inundated What can the City do to mitigate the effects of a breach: •Prior to levee breach? •During levee breach? Recognizing that levees fail… Photo courtesy of Pictorial Dubuque: The Floods Return to Dubuque What can the City do to mitigate the effects of a breach: •Prior to levee breach? •During levee breach? Recognizing that levees fail… Photo courtesy of Pictorial Dubuque: The Floods Return to Dubuque Partnership Living Behind a Levee: Evaluation of Urban Levee System Flooding Scenarios to Support Risk Communications and Evacuation Planning Flood Plain Management Services Special Study Section 206 (PL 86-645) of the 1960 Flood Control Act as Amended USACE HEC-RAS 2-D Levee Breach Modeling BUILDING STRONG® Analysis of failure scenarios, timing, and inundation mapping to serve as input for stakeholder’s emergency preparedness planning, and selection of evacuation routes and procedures. The study was not initiated because of any known imminent risk of failure to the levee protecting the City of Dubuque. Study deliverables History of Levee/Floodwall System Crescent Community Health Center Port of Dubuque Chaplain Schmitt Island East Dubuque, IL BUILDING STRONG® Crescent Community Health Center 3 Hours after Breach Arrival Time Results for Levee Breach Scenario Model Output River Stage 28.3 BUILDING STRONG® Crescent Community Health Center 4 Hours after Breach Arrival Time Results for Levee Breach Scenario Model Output River Stage 28.3 BUILDING STRONG® Crescent Community Health Center Arrival Time Results for Levee Breach Scenario Maximum depth: 6.6 feet Time to one foot of water: 4.5 hours Time to two feet of water: 6.0 hours Model Output River Stage 28.3 Development of Flood Fighting Tools Levee/Floodwall System –Breach Analysis Refine the model so that it can be used to produce reliable, flood-fighting information that can be used to inform decisions during a levee breach Levee/Floodwall System –Breach Analysis Refine the model so that it can be used to produce reliable, flood-fighting information that can be used to inform decisions during a levee breach Andy McCoy, PhD, PE 2-D Model Refinement LiDAR vs Photogrammetry Port of Dubuque Port of Dubuque LiDAR picks up more fine-edged elevation variances such as the HWY 61-151 embankment that was not recognized in the USACE model 2-D Model Refinement Added Buildings and Streets The HDR model recognizes buildings and streets so that it better reflects how water will propagate through the city. 2-D Model Refinement Refined Break-lines Port of Dubuque Port of Dubuque Break-lines prevent the model from allowing water to free- flow from one side of the railroad embankment to the other 2-D Model Refinement Added Buildings and Streets The HDR model recognizes buildings and streets so that it better reflects how water will propagate through the city. This is vital if the City is to rely on the predicted travel time of floodwaters resulting from a levee breach 2-D Model Refinement Additional Breach Locations 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2-D Model Refinement Additional River Stage Scenarios River Stages Modeled 28.3 River Stages Modeled 28.3 > 500-year (Design) 25.5 200-year (2001) 24.3 75-year (1993) 22.1 25-year (2011) 2-D Model Refinement Additional River Stage Scenarios River Stages Modeled 28.3 River Stages Modeled 28.3 > 500-year (Design) 25.5 200-year (2001) 24.3 75-year (1993) 22.1 25-year (2011) 28 Scenarios Modeled 2-D Model Refinement Breach Width Parameters In addition to the location of the breach and the river stage at the time of the breach, the characteristics of the breach will also determine how fast water floods into the city. 2-D Model Refinement Breach Width Parameters In addition to the location of the breach and the river stage at the time of the breach, the characteristics of the breach will also determine how fast water floods into the city. How large will it get? 2-D Model Refinement Breach Width Parameters In addition to the location of the breach and the river stage at the time of the breach, the characteristics of the breach will also determine how fast water floods into the city. How long will it take? The Model Breach location 3 200-year event floodwall failure Breach location 3 200-year event floodwall failure Information Useful to Individual Property Plan for the Future Information Useful to City Infrastructure Protection Phase 11 of Bee Branch Watershed Flood Mitigation Project Before/During a Breach Install Interior Flood Barriers Evacuation Planning During a Breach Documentation Engineering Report Appendix Flood Breach Mitigation Tools Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Example: Breach by Hawthorne Street at River Stage 26.5 Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Maximum Depth: 8.3 feet Crescent Community Health Center Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Maximum Depth: 8.3 feet Crescent Community Health Center Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Time to 1-foot: 8.6 hours Crescent Community Health Center Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Time to 2-foot: 9.5 hours Crescent Community Health Center Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Feasibility of Interior Barrier at Fengler: ~2 hours Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Time to Construct Interior Barrier: 14 hours/ 6-person crew Levee Breach Mitigation Tools Evacuation Using Loras Boulevard: 6.8 hours Next Steps 1.Determine what and how to communicate emergency response and evacuation information to the public. GIS and spatial tools could be leveraged to make the information available in a seamless web-based interface. 2.Develop a GIS interface that pulls together CCTV camera resources to be used for flood monitoring and model and information confirmation during a breach event. 3.Develop more detailed temporary flood barrier construction plans and specs that would allow more timely construction and the ability to procure construction services from a contractor during a breach event. 4.Determine the optimum inventory of HESCO barriers. 5.Develop GIS data sets associated with evacuation areas linked with emergency services actions to take advantage of developing technology such as reverse 911 and text message alerts. Levee/Floodwall Breach Analysis City Council Work Session July 23, 2018