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Downtown Master Plan Work SessiMEMORANDUM April 28, 2003 TO: FROM: SUBJECT: The Honorable Mayor and City Council Members Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager Work Session on Downtown Master Plan May 5, 2003 The work session on the Downtown Master Plan, with a presentation by the Downtown Planning Committee and the consultant team led by Leland Consulting Group, will be held on May 5, 2003, at the Dubuque Carnegie-Stout Public Library's third-floor auditorium. Dinner will be served at 5 p.m. in the rotunda with the work session beginning at 5:30 p.m. Background materials are attached. Michael C. Van Milligen MCVM/jh Attachment cc: Barry Lindahl, Corporation Counsel Cindy Steinhauser, Assistant City Manager Laura Carstens, Planning Services Manager MEMORANDUM April 24, 2003 TO: FROM: RE: Michael Van Milligen, City Manager Laura Carstens, Planning Services Manager Work Session on Downtown Master Plan The Downtown Planning Committee and the consultant team led by Leland Consulting Group will report on the presentation of preliminary findings for Downtown Master Plan at a City Council work session on May 5, 2003. A copy of the power point presentation is enclosed. The City Council adopted Vision Downtown, a community consensus vision for downtown Dubuque, in December 2001. The City Council identified a Downtown Master Plan as a high priority in their August, 2002 goal setting session. The City Council also provided funds in FY03 that were used to leverage a state grant and private donations for creation of a Downtown Master Plan based on Vision Downtown. The Downtown Planning Committee has been working with the consultant team to develop a comprehensive Downtown Master Plan that specifies the detailed action steps and resources that are needed to reach that vision. The master planning process involves assessing the vision versus reality, assessing the vision and reality versus existing plans, and then creating a downtown master plan that uses Vision Downtown as its foundation. The presentation will cover the planning process elements, project schedule, capacity analysis and existing conditions, market indicators and trends, outcomes of the Downtown Planning Committee retreat, preliminarily identified catalyst projects, and next steps to be undertaken. Enclosure CC Downtown Planning Committee members and staff Anne Ricker, Leland Consulting Group Downtown Dubuque Master Plan Presentation of Preliminary Findings 5 May 2003 Presented by: Downtown Planning Committee Leland Consulting Group SEH, Inc. (URS) MSA Professional Services Durrant Group Downtown Dubuque Master Plan Downtown Planning Committee Includes Representatives From: · Dubuque City Council · Dubuque Area Chamber of Commerce · Dubuque Main Street Ltd. · Dubuque Cultural Alliance · Dubuque Initiatives · the Iowa Legislature · Housing Trust Fund Committee · Historic Preservation Commission · Long Range Planning Commission City Department Staff Support: · Planning Services · Housing and Community Development · Building Services · Economic Development · City Manager's Office Vision Downtown Community Consensus Vision for the Future of Downtown Dubuque Six Dimensions: · Commerce · Culture, Education and Entertainment · Fli.qtoric Features · Public Spaces and Open Areas · Residential Living · Transportation Comp_rehensive Downtown M_aster Plan will Specifv Detailed A. ctio_n_ Steps and Resources Needed to Reach that Vision. Master Planning Process: · Assess Vision Vs. Reality · Assess Vision & Reality Vs. Existing Plans · Creating Downtown Master Plan that Uses ViSion Downtown as Foundation Downtown Dubuque Master Plan Project Area Downtown Dubuque Master Plan Project Mission Assist the client team with preparation of redevelopment strategies for downtown which produce tangible results, and information which will lead to careful investment and a well-served market. Plan Approach To identify real projects for implementation and fommlate strategies which capitalize on opportunities and overcome barriers in an effort to ready the environment for investment. Components of the Analysis Quantitative · Ex~sting Conditiom · Delivery System Capacity · Niche Opportunities · Demand By Land Use · Case Studies · Concept Plan and Design Recommendations Qualitative · Focus Groups · One-on-One Interviews · Public Open Houses · DPC Planning Retreat · Public Engagement Vehicles · Traveling Questions Exhibit Implementation · Positioning and Investment Strategies · Implementation Strategy .Benchmarks · Final Plan Dubuque Regional Locator Map ~o~ Dubuque County & Trade Area Demographic Profile c =' Gnp Population/Growth CAAGR 19e_~2~00 0.3% 0.2% ~ (~.) ~ Z~,4~ · While population is exlmcted to decline ovo_r next five year~, households will increase Households · Growth in households reflects decline in average household size Psychographlc / Lifestyle Profile (PRIZM) Income(2002) [Xl~e ~p to $25K 2s% $~K ~% 15% ~K 17~ 18~ ~1~ 12% 9% $1~K ~d ~ 9% 7% · Dubuque incomes skewed much higher than surrounding trade area · Impressive share of households in high-income categories ($50K and u~) % of Index to Dubuque USA Top PRIZM Clusters County HHs (100..same) Sunset City Blues 24.4 1435 Agri-Businees 11.4 760 Starter Families 9.2 613 Second City Elite 8.5 447 Family Scramble 5.1 243 River City USA 4.9 272 Upward Bound 4.2 233 Middleburg Managers 3.9 217 Description of Cluster Blue-collar empty-nesters nearing retirement in agricultural areas Large families; outdoors types; farming or blue collar occupations Younger families in blue-collar occupationsl large households Movers and shakers of smaller cities~ typically married with no kids Families in lower-wage service and production iobs; high Hispanic Traditional, blue-collar families living in single-family homes Professionals, typically married with kids, living in newer houses Executives, professionals; half older with kids, half young & single Residentiai Demand Annual Demand From HoUsehold Growth: Dubuque County Residential (Rental) Demand Residential (Ownership) Demand upto $25K up to $625 59 S9 ~ $25-35K $625- $875 32 32 STv-100K $1,8'/5 and up 6 6 T0/a/s 140 140 Existing New Unit New Unit Annued h~come Per,t-up Doanand Demand Ranf~e Approx. Home Price Demand 2003-2007 2008-2012 up to $25K up to $85K 27 72 72 $25-35K $85 to $120K 15 40 40 $35-~ $120 to $t75K 25 67 67 $50-75K $175 to $250K 38 102 102 ST'v-100K $250 to $350K 21 56 56 $100K a~d up $350K and up 17 44 44 Totals 196 381 381 · Contirvaed steady growth in residential demoaad - similar to historical construction trends (=market equilibrium) · Housing demand segments similar to historical growth - 73% ownership/27% rental · Future changes in housing demand will be product-related - higher density, lower maintenance, amenity-driven · Many housing products in high demand best-suited for downtown environment Dubuque Building Permit Trends $00 450 4o0 350 300 25o 200 150 1o0 50 o County Retail Demand Retail Demand From Household Growth: Dubuque County Catesory New Demand From Existing Retail New Demand From Dubuque County Void / (Surplus) Household Growth Visitors in s.f. 2003-07 2003-07 Grocery/Pharmacy 148,039 8,060 Alcoholic Beverages at Home 53,107 870 Food/Drink Away from Home 286054 7,499 Personal Services 82,294 1,345 Misc. (Pets, Tobacco, etc.) 44,58~ 1,585 Household Furn./Equip. (24,606) 4,339 Home Electronics/Computers 29,970 1,4~ Aplmrel & Accessories (142,250) 4,304 Sporting Goods/Hobby/Books 44,610 1,798 Entertainment (45,075) 1,560 Automotive (gas/oil/repair) 187,978 5,581 Vtden/CV/DVD Sales/Rental ~6,9~9 1,075 6,766 1,042 26,809 24,278 8,829 Total of ,?~_.lected Catesories 39,460 95,817 · "Voids" currently exist in most major retail categories - potential expenditures exceed sales, resulting in retail "leakage" · Surpluses currently exist in household furnishings, apparel and entertainment categories - sales exceed expenditures, resulting in "imported" sales · Healthy future demand from household growth for all retail categories · Substantial impact from growing tourist/visitor market is substantial - represents highest share of future retail demo, nd · Downtown share of retail growth dependent on "neighborhood" amenities 7-County Region (less Dubuque) b~ So..lected Cate~ofles Grocery/~ 13,299 Alcoholic Beverages at Home 1,245 Food/Drink Away from Home 11,064 Personal Services 1,933 Misc. (Pets, Tobacco, etc.) 2,592 Household Fum./Equip. 6,144 Home Electronics/Computers 1,991 Apparel & Accessories 4,509 Sporting Goods/Hobby/Books 2,520 Entertainment 2,093 Automotive (gas/oil/repair) 9,213 Video/CD[ DVD Sales & Rental 1,508 New Demand From Household Growth 2OO3-O7 Total Retail square J:eet 38,370 Office and Lodging Demand Office Demand - Dubuque County Employment ~ctor Tot~ Demand (2oo5-2o07) - s.~. Total Demand From Employment Growth (2008-2012) - s.f. Natural Resources And Construction 5,048 3,558 Manufactur~ 34,416 24,261 Trade And Transportatien 31,834 22,442 Information 22,752 16,0~9 Finandal Activities 37,857 26,687 ~ional And Business 60,227 42,457 Educational And Health 168,636 118,881 Leisure And Hospitality 19,120 13,479 Other Services 22,944 16,174 Government 41,012 28,911 Lodging Demand - Dubuque County 2002 Room Nights of Demand 293,,305 2002 Room Nights of Supply 5,36,099 2002 Occupancy 55% 2002 Room Surplus (based on 70% equilibrium vacancy) 321 New Room-Nights of Demand based on Visitor Growth (2002-2007) New Room Demand (2002-2007) Total New Room Demand through 2007 - l~s Grand Harbor Resort (194 rooms) and e~isting surplus 175,336 686 171 O~r~ Defend · Steady dea'nand from employment growth in all industries · Leading segments of job growth include: education and health; professional and business; and government - all typically downtown tenants · Office demand can be greatly enhanaed by attractive environment (e.g., downtown) Lodging Demand · Current surplus in lodging market due to low occupancy rates · Strong future demand for new hotel development primarily based on growth in tourist/visitor base · Support for 1 to 2 new lodging properties in market (not including Grand Harbor Resort) · Downtown likely location for future hotel development Planning Retreat Format and Content Objective · Re-establish enthusiasm around project · Translate vision into market-supported project concepts · Access ideas of committee members · Develop concept plans (critical elements of) · Discuss implications of concepts Materials · Base maps with key connections and gateways identified · Market demand sheets · Game pieces (market supported land uses and civic pieces) · Criteria for selection of opportunity sites · Vision Downtown elements · Resource materials Downtown Planning Committee Workshop Agenda · 1/2 day of discussion and planning activities · Focused on identifying and exploring redevelopment opportunities Downtown Planning Committee Concepts Concept No. 1 Concept No. 2 Similarities · New rowhouses and condominiums at south end of Upper Main · Convert warehouses to mixed-use and infill area with new retail · New gateway treatments at north and south ends of Downtown Differences · Extend streetscape/ greenway on Main · New green space between 9th &10th - White & Central · Infill residential and commercial in Cable Car Square Downtown Planning Committee Concepts Similarities · New school "campus" between 11th, 12th and Jackson, Elm · New residential and mixed-use around new school campus · New infill office and mixed-use office/commercial in south portions of Downtown Concept No. 3 Concept No, 4 Differences · Extend streetscape/ greenway on Main · New green space between lOth & 11th and Iowa & Central Opportunity Site Selection Criteria · Market opportunity · Link districts and activity centers · Leverage public investment · Physical environment · Creation of key entryways · Ownership patterns · Unified stakeholders · Upward local investment · Compatible with comp plan and vision downtown · Available programs and incentives · Mixed-use activity centers - potential · Multi-modal access - potential · Support organizations · Demonstrated need · Consistent in character Project Schedule Tasks Orientation & Initiation Analysis Workshop ~ Retreat indicators & Trends Identification of OpPortunitieS Concept Plan Refinement Investment Strategy Implementation Strategy & Final Plan ~ Committee Meetings ~ Public MeetingsANorkshop Next Steps Focus Group Meetings · Participants · Process · Intent · Draft Script Other Next Steps · Identification of Niche Opportunities and Benchmarks · Concept Plan Refinement and Design Recommendations · Positioning and Investment Strategies · Implementation Strategy and Final Plan · Public Open House and Presentation · City Council Adoption · Printing and Public Relations