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Outdoor Warning Siren Activation ProtocalMasterpiece on the Mississippi TO: The Honorable Mayor and City Council Members FROM: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager SUBJECT: Siren Activation Protocol DATE: February 25, 2010 Dubuque bitti AIl•AmaicaCity 1 2007 Emergency Management Director Tom Berger and Fire Chief Dan Brown are recommending that the City of Dubuque adopt the Outdoor Warning Siren Activation Protocol, as established by the Davenport office of the National Weather Service. Local jurisdictions are encouraged to change policies to allow siren activation for life - threatening severe storms, in addition to tornadoes. Statistics have shown there is imminent danger to people outdoors when thunderstorm winds exceed 70 mph and /or there is golf ball size or larger hail. I concur with the recommendation and respectfully request Mayor and City Council approval. Michael C. Van Milligen MCVM:jh Attachment cc: Barry Lindahl, City Attorney Cindy Steinhauser, Assistant City Manager Tom Berger, Emergency Management Director Dan Brown, Fire Chief ** -■, r EMERGENCY �NAGEMENT DUBUQUE COUNTY Thomas I. Berger, Director Willis Wagner, Chairperson Mike Wuertzer, Vice- Chairperson Memo To: From: Date: Subject: City Manager Mike Van Milligen Tom Berger 6-K" - Dan Brown 02 -17 -2010 Siren Activation Protocol 14928 Public Safety Way Dubuque, IA 52002 -8216 Phone: 563 - 589 -4170 Fax: 563 - 589 -0015 E -Mail: dbqema@yousq.net The Davenport Office of the National Weather Service has implemented an Outdoor Warning Siren Activation Protocol for local jurisdictions that enhances when the sirens are used for weather emergencies. Statistics have shown there is imminent danger to people outdoors when thunderstorm winds exceed 70 mph and /or there is golf ball size or larger hail. Activation of the outdoor warning sirens for these types of severe storms may not have happened in the past. Local jurisdictions are encouraged to change policies to allow siren activation for life threatening severe storms in addition to tornadoes. The weather service has developed the criteria in order to provide consistency across the area so the citizens may take appropriate actions when severe weather threatens. Siren activation for tornado warnings will remain the same as in the past. The determination that the winds have reached 70 mph or more and /or hail has reached golf ball sized will be determined by spotter reports and /or Doppler radar. An initial concern in our meetings was that the sirens would be over used resulting in a complacency issue. After review of the storms over the past 15 years, on average it may increase our outdoor warning siren activation 2 -3 times. We have attached copy of the procedure, adapted for Dubuque County for your review. We have also attached a copy of statistics for Dubuque County that would indicate how many times this may affect us along with other pertinent information. This year the Davenport Office of the NWS Office will be using their public opportunities to educate people about outdoor warning sirens and it will be a major component of their storm spotter classes for 2010. Chief Brown and I are in favor of adopting the protocol for the City of Dubuque and I would like to implement that in my budget hearing presentation as well as work with Randy Gehl to promote it community wide. Dubuque Area Outdoor Warning Sirens Guidance for Testing and Activation Purpose The purpose of this document is to establish common guidelines for activation of outdoor warning sirens throughout the Dubuque area. Activation is the responsibility of each jurisdiction having control over the outdoor warning sirens and adherence to this policy is voluntary. The outdoor warning sirens represent only one part of a broader public emergency notification system. Other components might include: NOAA Weather Radio All - hazards, law enforcement, text notification networks, and the media. Sirens are used to alert citizens who are outdoors of an imminent hazard and prompt them to go indoors and seek further information. This document is not intended to relieve, replace, or supersede any authority or responsibility local jurisdictions might have to protect the citizens of their community. Background Confusion hinders public response. Using common guidelines for the outdoor warning sirens throughout the various jurisdictions of Dubuque County will minimize confusion in emergency situations. Establishing common guidelines will also enable communities to partner in an area -wide public education campaign regarding sirens and the overall public emergency notification system. These guidelines are based on communication technology and systems available in the Dubuque County area, and also on the current science of severe weather warnings. Siren Activation for Imminent Threats Upon hearing outdoor warning sirens it is important that all persons immediately refer to local broadcast media (radio, TV, etc.) for additional information! When activated, the tone should be sounded for 3 -5 minutes, re- sounding for the duration of the threat (every 10 -15 minutes is recommended). Repeated sounding of sirens has directly resulted in saved lives in numerous cases, including local examples such as Granville /Utica (2004) and Iowa City (2006). In both of these cases, the initial siren tone was not heard, but later tones alerted people to the continuing threat. If sirens have more than one tone, local officials should pre- determine the tone that is most discernible and use that tone for all alerts. February 8 2010 Severe Weather National Weather Service warnings define the area threatened by the storm and include information about the history and /or potential of the specific storm. In addition, trained spotters provide real -time reports of an imminent threat approaching or occurring in the community. When a warning includes the specific hazards defined below or when trained spotters report any of these hazards, sirens should be activated for all jurisdictions in the threatened area. Tornadoes — Activation recommended for: • Tornado Warning issued by the National Weather Service and /or • Tornado or funnel cloud reported by a trained spotter Severe Thunderstorms — Activation recommended for: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued by the National Weather Service or a report from a trained spotter that includes: • wind 70 mph* or greater (whole trees blown down), and /or • golf ball sized hail ** or larger (1.75 inch diameter or greater) * Most fatalities during tornadoes or severe thunderstorms occur due to falling trees or large branches. 70 mph is the typical threshold at which large branches and small trees break. (Additional background for this threshold is available in the engineering document for the Enhanced Fujita damage scale: www.spc.ncep.noaa.gov /efscale) ** Hail begins to break windows when it reaches or exceeds golf ball size. Additional considerations: Although other weather factors pose a risk, community -wide outdoor warning sirens should NOT be sounded for lightning or flash floods. By its nature, lightning is "self - alerting" and citizens should go indoors when thunder is heard. Also, because of the frequency of lightning, sounding sirens could desensitize the public to the sirens. Although flash floods present a threat, that threat is localized and typically in a known area. In addition, Flash Flood Warnings are often issued more than one hour before the flooding occurs, allowing local officials time for mitigation efforts, and eliminating the usefulness of community -wide sirens in this situation. Local Life - threateninq Events Non - weather emergencies (hazmat incident, terrorism, nuclear emergency, etc.) that pose a threat to those outdoors and require action to protect life, should be alerted via the outdoor warning sirens by local officials based on existing agreements or local discretion depending on the emergency. If outdoor warning sirens are activated, the life- threatening conditions should also be relayed to Quad Cities NWS for broadcast on NOAA Weather Radio All- hazards. February 8 2010 All Clear There will be no "all clear" signal from outdoor warning sirens. Citizens are expected to be indoors and should monitor local media for additional information. Testing Outdoor warning sirens will be tested the first Tuesday of each month at 9:30 a.m. If a severe weather watch or warning is in effect for our area prior to 9:30 a.m. on a scheduled test day, the sirens should not be tested that day. Outdoor warning siren tests will resume on the next scheduled monthly date. Dubuque Area Outdoor Warning Sirens Public Safety Answering Point (PSAP) Quick Reference Guide for Activation and Testing Sirens should be sounded for 3 -5 minutes, resounding for the duration of the threat (every 10 -15 minutes is recommended). Severe Weather Tornadoes • Tornado Warning issued by the National Weather Service and/or • Tornado or funnel cloud reported by a trained spotter Severe Thunderstorms Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued by the National Weather Service or report received from a trained spotter that includes: • wind 70 mph or greater (whole trees blown down), and/or • golf ball sized hail or larger (1.75 inches in diameter or greater) Local Life - threatening Events Non - weather emergencies (hazmat incident, terrorism, nuclear emergency, etc.) that pose a threat to those outdoors and require action to protect life, should be alerted via the outdoor warning sirens by local officials based on existing agreements or local discretion depending on the emergency. All Clear There will be no "all clear" signal from outdoor warning sirens. Testing First Tuesday of each month at 9:30 a.m. If a severe weather watch or warning is in effect for the Dubuque area prior to 10 a.m. on a scheduled test day, the sirens should not be tested that day. Outdoor warning siren tests will resume on the next scheduled monthly date. February S 2010 Tornado Severe Thunderstorm Wind Large Hail Tornado Thunderstorm Wind Hail Total Events Average per year Most in one year Warning Basis U.S. Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Dubuque County, Iowa Severe Weather Risk Assessment Ouicl- Response Severe If calker Threats In extreme cases, wind speeds can exceed 200 mph; however, 84% have wind less than 110 mph. Most fatalities occur with the stronger tornadoes. Recommendation: Seek immediate shelter in a basement without windows. Severe wind speeds range from near 60 mph (scattered damage, typically tree branches) to over 120 mph (widespread tornado -like damage). Recommendation: Seek immediate shelter indoors away from windows. For winds over 70 mph, seek shelter in a basement without windows. Can reach the size of softballs. Recommendation: Seek immediate shelter indoors away from windows. Severe If calker Injuries 1 atalities in Dubuque ('own), 1 1 .Since 1955 Injuries 1 6 4 Fatalities 0 0 4 hail injuries occurred with tennis ball sized hail. 0 Notes Severe Heather /'rents in Dubuque County, 1 I ,S'inc'e 1995 (last 15 years) Hail Hail Wind Wind Wind (2.1 ') (21.75') (258 mph) (270 mph) (275 mph) 28 13 49 13 5 2 0.9 3.5 0.9 0.3 7 3 7 3 2 Tornado 5 0.4 2 Severe I f cruller I f arltings '. for Dubuque County, 1. 1 1995-200 - Tornado Warnings Severe Thunderstorm Warnings (Estimated * *) Tomado indicated by radar Thunderstorm with wind over 58 mph and/or or trained spotters quarter sized (1 ") hail or larger Average lead time* 12 minutes 20 minutes Average per year* 1.3 4.7 Most in one year* 3 14 *Statistics are for guideline purposes, calculated from county -based warnings before storm -based warnings went into effect in Oct. 2007. **Severe Thunderstorm Warnings were issued under the 3/ " hail threshold. This threshold changed to quarter sized (1'9 hail in April 2009. Numbers listed here are based on an estimated 30% reduction in the number of warnings due to the change in hail criteria. Notes • Hail golf ball sized and larger can break house and car windows. • Severe thunderstorm wind around 70 mph can down large branches and winds 75 -80 mph begin to fell whole trees. • A recent local study suggests wind forecasts in Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are accurate +/- 10 mph. • The greatest risk factors for tornado fatalities include being outdoors or in a mobile home, overnight hours, weekends or holidays, and occurrences outside the normal "season ". Dubuque County, IA Risk Assessment (continued) Lightning: • Warnings are not issued for lightning because all thunderstorms produce lightning, and all cloud -to- ground lightning is potentially fatal. • When thunder can be heard or lightning seen, the lightning is within "striking distance ". Recommendation: Remain indoors during all thunderstorms due to the lightning threat. Wait 30 minutes after the last thunder is heard before resuming outdoor activities. For more information, contact: Donna Dubberke, Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Quad Cities 9050 Harrison Street Davenport, IA 52806 (563) 391-7094 x726 donna.dubberke a,noaa.gov Flash Floods: • A flash flood occurs within a very short time (generally 6 hours or less) relative to the rainfall. • Flash Flood Warnings are issued for those storms that produce extreme rainfall rates leading to flash floods. • Currently, the average lead time for Flash Flood Warnings is 55 minutes. Recommendation: Initiate flash flood mitigation measures. Flood prone streets should be monitored and barricaded as necessary. People living in flood prone areas should move to higher ground. National Weather Service National Storm Event Database www.weather.gov Storm -Based Warnings www.ncdc.noaa.ov www. weather.govisbwarnings