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50% by 2030 Community Climate Action and Resiliency PlanMasterpiece on the Mississippi TO: The Honorable Mayor and City Council Members FROM: Michael C. Van Milligen, City Manager SUBJECT: 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan DATE: December 11, 2013 Dubuque band AI- America City 1 2007 • 2012 • 2013 Commitment to a Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan is an integral step in moving towards the Sustainable Dubuque vision. Partnering with Greater Dubuque Development Corporation, the Petal Project, and others, Green Dubuque and City staff completed data analysis and collected community input to develop an achievable plan that will help the City to meet the goal of reducing community -wide greenhouse gas emissions 50% below 2003 levels by 2030. Sustainable Community Coordinator Cori Burbach recommends City Council approval of the final 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan. I concur with the recommendation and respectfully request Mayor and City Council approval. Michael C. Van Milligen MCVM:jh Attachment cc: Barry Lindahl, City Attorney Cindy Steinhauser, Assistant City Manager Teri Goodmann, Assistant City Manager Cori Burbach, Sustainable Community Coordinator Masterpiece on the Mississippi TO: Michael Van Milligen, City Manager FROM: Cori Burbach, Sustainable Community Coordinator SUBJECT: 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan DATE: December 11, 2013 Dubuque band AI- America City 1 2007 • 2012 • 2013 INTRODUCTION The purpose of this memo is to request City Council approval of the final 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan. BACKGROUND The community's first greenhouse gas inventory was completed with data from 2003, and updated in 2007. In 2010, the Dubuque Community Greenhouse Gas Reduction Task Force was assembled by Green Dubuque, Inc. in response to the completion of these inventories. In July 2011, the City Council held a work session to review the recommendations made by this Task Force and subsequently approved a target of reducing community -wide greenhouse gas emissions 50% below 2003 levels by 2030. In 2012, the Council approved a proposal from Green Dubuque to complete Phase II of a Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan, including data analysis and community engagement in order to identify proposed actions to meet that target. DISCUSSION Commitment to a Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan is an integral step in moving towards our Sustainable Dubuque vision. Partnering with Greater Dubuque Development Corporation, the Petal Project, and others, Green Dubuque and City staff completed data analysis and collected community input to develop an achievable plan that will help us to meet our 50% by 2030 goal. Implementation of the Plan is identified on the 2013 -2015 Management Agenda. As presented at the December 3 Council work session, the Plan is a non - binding, voluntary effort to identify opportunities to reduce Dubuque's community GHG emissions. It can be used in the following ways: o Informing officials during goal- setting and budget decisions, o Informing businesses and individuals about potential emission and cost - saving options, o Showcasing success stories, o Providing a roadmap that can be added to or adjusted, and o Educational piece about where Dubuque's GHG emissions really come from. As presented, over 75% of the recommended actions are either currently underway or planned. Please see the attached complete plan for additional information. Best practices suggest that communities committed to reaching similar GHG reduction targets update their inventory to determine progress every three to five years. RECOMMENDED ACTION I respectfully request City Council approval of the attached 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan. 2 SUSTAINABLE DUBUQUE viable • livable • equitable Dubuque All- America City 2012 Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan 2013 Prepared by: Green Dubuque, Inc. 2013 Jason Schatz (jason @greendubuque.org) Theothoros Giannakouros (raki @greendubuque.org) Table of Contents ACRONYMS 1 FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS 2 SUMMARY 3 Background 4 Benefits of GHG Reduction 5 Dubuque Community GHG Inventory 7 GHG Reduction Potential 9 POLICY SUMMARY TABLES 15 POLICY DESCRIPTIONS 25 Waste Reduction & Utilization 26 Local Energy & Renewables 35 Transportation 52 Built Environment 69 Miscellaneous 89 REFERENCES 98 APPENDIX A: Emission Factors & Assumptions 102 APPENDIX B: Emissions Reference Case 105 APPENDIX C: Glossary of Terms 106 APPENDIX D: Outreach & Public Input 108 Community Input 108 Business Input 118 APPENDIX E: Reduction Estimate Ranges and Uncertainty 130 Acronyms CHP Combined Heat and Power (power generation facility- -see glossary) CO2 Carbon dioxide CO2e Carbon dioxide equivalent (see glossary) DOE (United States) Department of Energy DOT Department of Transportation DMASWA Dubuque Metropolitan Area Solid Waste Agency (see glossary) ECIA East Central Intergovernmental Agency (see glossary) EPA (United States) Environmental Protection Agency GHG Greenhouse gas GWP Global warming potential (see glossary) IECC International Energy Conservation Code kW kilowatts ( =1000 Watts of power) kWh kilowatt hours (see glossary) LED Light Emitting Diode based lighting LEED Leadership in Energy & Environmental Design (see glossary) mt Metric ton ( =1000 kg) MW Megawatt ( =1000 kW; = 1,000,000 Watts) VMT Vehicle miles traveled (see glossary) WRRC Water & Resource Recovery Center (see glossary) 1 Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q: What is the Dubuque Community Climate Action and Resiliency Plan? A: A non - binding, voluntary effort to identify opportunities to reduce Dubuque's community greenhouse gas emissions 50% below 2003 levels by 2030 while strengthening our economy and the overall quality of life in the community. Q: Are the options described in this plan mandatory? A: No, none of the options in this document are mandated in any way. They are not regulations or requirements; they are options. This document is a collection of ongoing, planned, and potential actions that directly or indirectly affect greenhouse gas emissions in Dubuque. This document details the impacts of those strategies to greenhouse gas emissions, as well as to the economic and social resiliency of the Dubuque community. It is intended to help local officials, businesses, and individuals better understand and prioritize ongoing and future initiatives. Q: What happens if Dubuque is unable to achieve the 50% by 2030 reduction goal? A: This is a voluntary effort, so there are no penalties for falling short. Also, the Dubuque Community Climate Action and Resiliency Plan focuses on options that maximize co- benefits to the community at large; so even if Dubuque falls short of expected greenhouse gas reductions, the community will benefit economically and socially from this effort. 2 Q: How will local businesses be affected by the 50% by 2030 goal? A: Many local businesses will directly benefit from the reductions options in the Dubuque Community Climate Action and Resiliency Plan, and outreach was conducted to local businesses to identify priorities and barriers to greenhouse gas reduction in the private sector (See Appendix D). With those priorities in mind, this document focuses specifically on business friendly actions that strengthen the local economy and improve its resilience. Reduction options that have perceived negative economic impacts have been taken off the table. Q: How will this document be used? A: There are many potential applications, including (1) Informing local officials when they make choices and set City priorities; (2) Informing businesses and individuals in the community about potential emission and cost saving opportunities; (3) Showcasing success stories in Dubuque; (4) Providing a template for emerging reduction opportunities that can be added to the document in the future; and (5) Serving as an education piece about where greenhouse gas emissions really come from and what options local communities have to address them. Section I - Summary Background Sustainability in Dubuque Since 2006, the Dubuque City Council has considered sustainability to be one of their primary goals. To aid this goal, Dubuque has adopted a holistic, three part approach to sustainability that focuses on Economic Prosperity, Environmental & Ecological Integrity, and Social/Cultural Vibrancy. In 2010, Dubuque completed an inventory of community greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, which tallied GHG emissions from the transportation, waste, residential, commercial, and industrial sectors in 2003 and 2007. This was followed by an inventory of 2009, 2010, and 2011 emissions completed in 2012. 50% by 2030 - Phase I The 50% by 2030 GHG reduction initiative was a grassroots effort to unite Dubuque, IA in support of 50% local GHG emissions reduction by 2030 (from 2003 levels). Phase I of the initiative was to complete an initial feasibility study of local GHG reduction actions that could reduce GHG emissions 50% by the year 2030. This phase was completed in 2011, during which the 50% by 2030 goal was unanimously endorsed by City Council while also garnering supportive signatures from over 700 citizens and local businesses employing over 400 Dubuque area residents. Based on initial estimates, GHG reductions amounting to nearly 200,000 mt CO2e per year are already planned or in progress in Dubuque, putting the City over 1/3 of the way toward its target. 50% by 2030 - Phase II Phase II of the initiative was to conduct a formal, comprehensive study of the GHG reduction options available to Dubuque. The Phase II study will provide an extensive list of potential strategies for local climate action. This study will account for ongoing and prospective actions and serve as a foundation for regular 4 future updates by City staff. Each recommended strategy includes a description, anticipated annual impact on GHG emissions, affected sectors, timetable, anticipated costs and benefits, and barriers to implementation. The strategy also includes the results of input from citizens, local businesses, City staff, and other local experts regarding current barriers to energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other GHG reduction opportunities. The results of that input help to identify potential pathways by which those barriers can be overcome in Dubuque and is described in detail in Appendix D. Phase II culminated with the creation of the present document, which was presented to the Dubuque City Council by Green Dubuque, Inc. in December 2012. Benefits of GHG reduction GHG reduction may be the common thread tying all of the proceeding options together, but it is not the only or even main benefit. The vast majority of options in this document are "no- regret solutions" that are in the community's interest regardless of climate impact. In other words, the primary benefits of most recommendations will be to local health, economic prosperity, and quality of life -- they just happen to have an impact on GHG emissions too. Health A Improved air quality. Reducing driving miles and traffic congestion improves local air quality. Also, lowering electricity use reduces the amount of energy demanded from coal burning power plants, leading to fewer emissions of particulate matter and other health hazards. A Physical fitness Improved pedestrian and bicycle travel options will facilitate active transport and recreation, yielding improvements in physical fitness. A Safety. Compact infrastructure means more compact coverage areas for police, fire fighters, and emergency medical services. Also, more - complete, less -busy streets reduce collision rates. A Local, healthy food. Increased reliance on local, healthy food through the Dubuque Farmer's Market, Community Supported Agriculture (CSAs), community gardens, and other programs promotes health, improves food quality, supports local farmers, and decreases "food miles" and other climate related impacts. Economic Prosperity A Local Investment. Since 2006, Dubuque has received over $10 million in grants and investment because of its sustainability efforts. IBM, which brought 1300 jobs to Dubuque, cited Dubuque's sustainability vision as a major factor setting it apart from other candidate cities. A Local businesses. Blue Sky Solar, Solar Planet, Eagle Point Solar, Four Seasons Geothermal, 7th Power Sustainable, Durrant, IBM, Dittmer Recycling, Gronen Restoration, and many other local businesses are partially or exclusively focused on sustainability and GHG reduction. Such businesses will continue to thrive locally if Dubuque remains dedicated to progress and innovation. A Infrastructure and jobs. The proposed Intermodal Transportation Facility is anticipated to create over 100 jobs and between $100 and $200 million in benefits over the next 30 years. This is only one example, but any new infrastructure projects or local initiatives will create jobs. A Downtown revitalization. The Port of Dubuque and Historic Millwork District are two recent examples of re- developing existing city space and infrastructure and are responsible for attracting tourists, residents, and investment dollars into the community. A Local spending, local prosperity. When energy dollars are spent on locally generated energy, or when energy efficiency allows consumers to keep more money in their pockets, that money is retained in the local economy rather than being spent on fossil fuels from outside the city /country. A Energy efficiency yields sustained savings on utility bills for local residents and business owners. Basically, Dubuque residents do not have to pay for energy they do not use. A Transportation. More efficient transportation networks and viable mobility alternatives save Dubuque residents money by facilitating fewer driving miles, alleviating congestion, and eliminating the need for as many vehicles as less- expensive travel options continue to develop. A Reducing local government operating costs. Many of the options in this plan reduce the cost of local government services, representing significant savings to taxpayers. A Residential and commercial renewable energy projects give property owners control and certainty over their energy costs and can yield significant returns on investment. A Health Benefits. In general, health benefits also yield economic benefits by lowering health care costs, increasing worker productivity, and reducing absenteeism at schools and workplaces. 5 Quality of Life A Most of the benefits summarized above also represent improvements in quality of life. Although health and other benefits can be depicted in economic terms, those dollars and cents represent real people whose health and quality of life is difficult to put a price tag on. A Improved mobility. Over 50% of Dubuque residents belong to at least one group that historically has been poorly- served by conventional transportation systems (those aged 12 -15; senior citizens; people with disabilities; households with no vehicle or difficulty affording one; and households with only one vehicle per two or more adults). Transportation policies such as complete streets and enhanced public transit will improve service to these and other groups. A Outdoor aesthetics. Natural areas, green space, and city planning will improve the aesthetics of the local landscape. A Indoor aesthetics. Many strategies in this document facilitate indoor environmental improvements in buildings, which can yield fresher air, more comfortable building temperatures, natural lighting, and other traits that enhance work environments and improve the health, morale, and productivity of employees. 6 Dubuque Community GHG Inventory (2003 -2011) Introduction In order to understand the sources and trends over time of Dubuque's GHG emissions, an inventory of GHG emissions in the Dubuque community in 2003, 2007, 2009, 2010, and 2011 was conducted. The inventory divided emissions into electricity and natural gas use in the industrial, commercial, and residential sectors, as well as emissions from transportation and waste, which consists of fugitive methane emissions from Dubuque's DMASWA landfill. Methods The inventory included Scope 1 emissions (direct GHG emissions, except for biogenic CO2) and Scope 2 emissions (indirect GHG emissions from consumption of purchased electricity, steam, heating, or cooling). Scope 3 emissions (all other indirect emissions that do not occur within the community, emissions from purchased manufactured elsewhere) are not such as products included. Emissions factors and other methods are described in detail in Appendix A. Results & Discussion Dubuque generated an average of 1,220,000 mt CO2e of GHG emissions in the five inventory years, generally varying from this by no more than about 7% from year to year (Table 1). There is no strong upward or downward trend overall, and waste is the only individual sector with a clear trend (downward). This is generally good news, with emissions holding steady during a period of significant local economic expansion and never exceeding the high -water mark of 1,266,000 mt in 2003. This suggests that Dubuque is well positioned to reduce its emissions, and that the strategies it employs will create a true downward trend rather than simply counteracting year -to -year increases in the community's GHG footprint. 1,220,000 mt equates to average per capita emissions of 20.3 mt CO2e per year, which is comparable to the 2006 U.S. national average 7 of 19.8 mt CO2e per person per year. Dubuque's emissions were predominantly in the form of CO2 (95 %), CH4 (4 %), and N2O (1 %). This distribution was relatively constant across the inventory years. The distribution of emissions across economic sectors was also similar across years, with most emissions originating from the transportation (23 %) residential (24 %), industrial (31 %), and commercial (17 %) sectors, with 5% coming from landfill CH4. Figure 1 provides a comprehensive overview of the sources, end uses, and flows of energy and GHG emissions in Dubuque. Coal for electricity, natural gas for building heat, and petroleum for automobiles are the major sources of GHG emissions, with emissions distributed comparably among the transportation, residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. This suggests that it will take a broad suite of strategies to reduce energy use and costs in Dubuque. 8 Table 1. Total GHG emissions from various sectors of the Dubuque, Iowa community in 2003, 2007, 2009, 2010, and 2011 expressed in mt CO2e. Facility 2003 2007 Total Emissions (mt CQze) 2009 2010 2011 Avg % (a Total (ate) Residential (electric) 216,239 214,422 167,641 182,000 174,935 191,047 16% Residential (natural gas) 110,513 100,991 95,021 95,247 99,963 100,347 8% Commercial (electric) 112,183 174,599 147,416 144,268 139,599 143,613 12% Commercial (natural gas) 51,545 49,831 51,549 80,987 85,505 63,883 5% Industrial (electric) 414,497 376,187 303,822 340,343 328,697 352,709 29% Industrial (natural gas) 4,864 1,130 2,054 48,664 48,674 21,077 1.7% Transportation 289,838 273,644 281,773 281,722 277,703 280,936 23% Waste 66,555 73,438 77,039 68,657 48,076 66,753 5% Total 1,266,234 1,264,242 1,126, 315 1,241,888 1,203,152 1,220,366 - 9 Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO2e (woos mt) Source End Use Residential Electricity Generation Nuclear Petroleum 3,578 BBtu Transportation 69 CO,e Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO2e (woos mt) Figure 1. 2.010 sources and uses of energy and GHG emissions in Dubuque, Iowa. "COZe" units represent 1000s of mt of COZe. BBtu represents billions of BTUs. Electric profile data for the state of Iowa is from the Iowa Utilities Board. 10 Results Summary - GHG Reduction Potential in Dubuque Introduction This study compiles ongoing and potential strategies for reducing GHG emissions in Dubuque, Iowa. It is based primarily on policies and programs gathered from other U.S. communities as well strategies already implemented or under consideration in Dubuque. The individual strategies are listed in the summary tables in Section II of this report and are discussed in greater detail in Section III, where calculations and assumptions are fully described. Each strategy includes an estimate of its impact on annual GHG emissions by the year 2030. That estimate generally consists of a range of probable values. The average of that range is used to estimate the total potential GHG reduction discussed in this section and displayed in Table2a and Figures 2 and 3, below. For instance, a 100 -1,000 strategy would have an estimate of 550 (the average of 100 and 1,000). Five sectors were considered: A Local Energy & Renewables A The Built Environment A Waste Reduction & Resource Management A Transportation A Miscellaneous Strategies The following sections summarize GHG reductions in Dubuque in each of those five sectors. I. Waste Reduction & Resource Management The waste sector accounted for 5% of Dubuque's 2003 emissions and 11.1% of estimated reductions by 2030 (57,500 mt CO2e per year-- Table2a). 50,000 mt of these reductions are from the capture and destruction of landfill methane, which began in 2010. The remaining 7,500 mt of estimated reduction would come from further expansion of the ongoing food scrap diversion from the landfill. In summary, 87% of estimated Scope 1 GHG reductions in the waste sector are already occurring, but there is significant potential for expansion. 11 Waste minimization also reduces Scope 3 embodied GHG emissions, which are not included in the GHG inventory but nonetheless have a real impact on climate change. As such, Scope 3 related reductions are estimated in Section III of this report but do not count toward the total reductions tallied here. II. Local Energy & Renewables Electric and heating/cooling related emissions accounted for 72% of Dubuque's 2003 emissions and 41.8% of estimated reductions by 2030 (217,437 mt CO2e per year - -Table 2a). Approximately half of this estimated reduction (110,500 mt) is from a potential wood waste CHP facility, which was studied in 2008 but is no longer being considered by Dubuque due primarily to wood supply and air quality concerns. As such, the wood waste CHP facility also accounts for the bulk of the "unlikely" category in Figure 3, and is not expected to occur. However, several other renewable energy opportunities either are already underway or are strong possibilities. A methane - gas-to- energy system at the DMASWA landfill could yield approximately 12,000 mt of reductions, depending on the scale of the facility. A similar methane -to- energy facility planned for the WRRC could yield over 3,000 mt of reductions per year. Based on current trends, solar and wind installations in Dubuque are expected to yield 10,000- 30,000 mt of annual reductions by 2030. However, the impact of renewables could be much higher, and this sector probably has the greatest potential to exceed expectations. Various policies listed in the Local Energy - Policy category could facilitate that expansion. The impact of policy on behavior is difficult to predict, so these estimates are given wide ranges. Nonetheless, the impact of energy related policies could be in the tens of thousands of mt CO2e per year by 2030. An overlooked but very large potential source of renewable energy is Lock and Dam 11. Several companies have estimated substantial hydroelectric capacity at the dam. This report selected the lowest of these estimates, which still amounts to over 50,000 mt of annual emissions reduction (assuming power was used locally). In summary, the GHG impact of the Local Energy sector is difficult to predict and could vary significantly depending on local policy and market conditions for renewables. More than the other four sectors, a single action (e.g. hydroelectricity) can substantially increase GHG reductions, and there is really no practical upper limit to how much renewable energy could be produced locally. As such, this is almost certainly the most important sector to focus on to achieve 50% GHG reduction by 2030 and has the added advantage of very strong co- benefits (better air quality and health, lower utility costs for businesses, etc.). III Transportation The transportation sector accounted for 23% of Dubuque's 2003 GHG emissions and 10.3% of estimated potential reductions by 2030 (53,444 mt CO2e per year-- Table2a). These reductions can be divided into two categories: travel efficiency and mode availability. In terms of travel efficiency, complete streets, the SW Arterial, Smarter City ITS, roundabouts, and signal optimization account for approximately 68% of total estimated transportation reductions (32,591 mt). Most of these initiatives are already at some stage of planning or implementation. Idling reduction and efficient parking policies are not currently under consideration but could add several thousand metric tons of reductions by 2030. In terms of mode availability, ongoing improvements in the Jule transit system, the proposed Intermodal Transportation Facility, and various cycling/active travel initiatives could add on the order of 2,000 -3,000 mt of reductions, though aggressive promotion of alternative modes could increase these reductions several times over. Electric vehicle (EV) charging stations could improve the local viability of EVs and add thousands more mt of reductions. The impact of infrastructure and policy on behavior is always uncertain, so the GHG 12 reduction estimates of many transportation related strategies have wide ranges. However, the estimates are based on the best available numbers and are in line with those of other communities. In any case, most transportation- related reductions are already underway or planned, so they are quite likely to accrue by 2030. IV. The Built Environment This wide - ranging category covers everything from lighting efficiency to the form and function of neighborhoods. Electricity and heating in the Built Environment sector accounted for 72% of 2003 emissions and 30.4% of estimated potential reductions by 2030 (157,946 mt CO2e per year-- Table2a). Efficiency Improving energy efficiency is widely recognized as one of the largest and most cost effective ways to reduce GHGs and lower energy costs. In Dubuque, the bulk of likely reductions will come from the continued timely adoption of IECC building standards, which is estimated to yield tens of thousands of mt of GHG reductions per year by 2030. Dubuque has always adopted new IECC standards quickly, so these reductions are quite likely to occur by 2030. Advanced building efficiency standards (e.g. LEED) for municipal buildings and large commercial facilities could have a similar impact, with the potential for tens of thousands of mt of additional reductions by 2030. Voluntary commercial /industrial lighting efficiency improvements are expected to yield several thousand mt of additional reductions by 2030, though the actual figure could be higher if lighting technology continues to improve in efficiency and cost. In summary, improvements in the efficiency of new and (particularly) existing buildings is expected to yield on the order of tens of thousands to 100,000+ mt of reductions by 2030, with higher amounts possible if efficiency is aggressively pursued. Various policies such as PACE, building/development efficiency standards, and rental property efficiency could further enhance these reductions. Community Planning The other facet of the Built Environment sector is the design and function of neighborhoods, which affect GHG emissions in many subtle ways. While the layout of streets, buildings, and neighborhoods does not create emissions directly, it does affect traffic patterns, building energy demand, and the extent of city infrastructure (e.g. sewer, water, emergency services). Because the impact of urban form on emissions is indirect, reduction estimates in this category are highly uncertain. But given the influence of urban form on such a wide range of activities, instruments like the Dubuque Unified Development Code, infill development, historic building preservation, and other smart growth policies are likely to have an impact ranging from thousands to tens of thousands of mt CO2e. V. Miscellaneous This category includes activities that do not fit neatly into other sectors. It accounts for 6.4% of estimated reductions by 2030 (33,444 mt CO2e per year - -Table 2a). The main source of reductions in this category is "Community Based Initiatives," which represents a goal for community organizations to achieve a 2% reduction in Dubuque's emissions (2% additional to the other strategies discussed in this plan). Given what community organizations have already achieved in Dubuque, 2% appears to be a readily achievable target. The switch to industrial refrigerants with a lower climate impact is estimated to reduce community emissions by over 10,000 mt by 2030. This switch will primarily be due to international phase -outs and other factors external to Dubuque. However, Dubuque could speed the switch by, for instance, encouraging local companies to participate in the Refrigerants, Naturally.; campaign. The other strategies in this sector are mainly Scope 3 and land use related (e.g. local food, urban forestry, and "white roofs ") and therefore fall outside the scope of the GHG inventories. Nonetheless, these strategies do have real influences on GHG emissions and are included as information items. 13 Total Impact There is some overlap in these policies, but except where noted, they are almost all complementary in nature and would bolster rather than displace one another. The estimated total impact of the reductions outlined in this report is 514,739 mt CO2e per year by 2030, which is estimated to bring Dubuque within 0.4% of its 50% reduction goal (Table 2b). Most of those reductions are from renewable energy installations and improvements in building energy efficiency, which can also yield strong returns -on- investment for homeowners and businesses. Not all of these reductions are equally likely, however. Some have already been implemented, some are planned, some are merely possible, and others have been considered and rejected. Figure 3 shows the breakdown of the reduction strategies considered in this report. An estimated 227,247 mt (by 2030) of GHG reductions are already underway and an additional 29,390 mt are planned for the near future. This yields 256,637 mt of reductions anticipated from current efforts in the community as of 2012, which is nearly half of necessary reductions. This leaves approximately 1260,000 mt of reductions yet to be achieved between 2013 and 2030 using other options described in this plan or other emerging opportunities. Where will these emerging opportunities come from? The greatest potential by far lies in renewables and energy efficiency, though many other unforeseen opportunities will no doubt arise between 2013 and 2030. Also, this report is restricted to actions within the direct power of the Dubuque community. It does not account for future state /federal action, technological innovations, or other outside factors that could substantially influence GHG emissions by 2030. It also does not include potential large scale local actions such as conversion of Alliant Energy's Dubuque coal plant to natural gas, or other regional and state level reductions. # 263,784 mt according to 2030 business -as -usual emission estimate in Emissions Reference Case (Appendix B) Table 2a. Potential Scope 1 and 2 GHG reduction emission reductions (by 2030) in Dubuque, Iowa from select reduction strategies in each of five community sectors. Sector Reduction (mt CO2e /year by 2030) % of total reduction Waste Energy Transportation Buildings Misc Total reductions 57,500 217,437 48,412 157,946 33,444 11.2% 42.2% 9.4% 30.7% 6.5% 100.0% 514,739 Table 2b. Estimated progress toward 50% by 2030 (from 2003 levels) reduction goal using all potential strategies outlined in this document. Measure mt CO2elyr 2030 emissions (pre- reduction BAU) Total reductions (from Table 2a) 2030 emissions (post - reduction) Emissions target (50% of 2003 emissions) Difference (2030 post- reduction emissions vs target) 010 reduction from 2003 by 2030 14 1,153, 538 514, 739 638,800 633,117 5,683 49.6% Reductions by 2030 • Waste • Energy Transportation • Buildings • Misc. Remaining emissions Figure 2. 2030 GHG reduction summary. Percent of 2003 emissions potentially eliminated by 2030 through the strategies described in this report. ■ Active /planned • Other options Unlikely reductions Figure 3. Status /likelihood of the GHG reductions described in this report occurring by 2030 in Dubuque, Iowa (mt CO2e per year). 15 Section II - Policy Summary Tables Policy Summary Tables - Waste Reduction & Resource Management (page 1 of 1) See page 26 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status DMASWA — methane capture and flaring Capturing and burning methane emitted by organics decomposition at the DMASWA landfill 50000 Active since 2010 p. 27 Waste diversion & minimization Minimizing waste via diversion strategies like those outlined in the 2009 Huls report, such as resource recovery and organics composting and management *10, 000s Planning and early implementation p. 28 Waste diversion — food scraps Collecting and diverting organic food waste from landfilling for composting and/or methane capture 5,000 —10,000 Active /ongoing p. 29 Waste diversion — recycling and pay- as- you -throw Dubuque's recycling program diverts approximately 40% of landfill waste, while the Pay -As- You -Throw program is a volume based collection system providing financial incentives for waste reduction *100,000+ Active /ongoing p. 31 Waste diversion — deconstruction Reducing unnecessary waste from deconstruction projects, maximizing the amount of material salvaged and reused, and minimizing the amount demolished and landfilled. *10,000s Active /ongoing p. 32 Waste diversion — plastic bag phaseout In July 2011, the Dubuque City Council approved an initiative to reduce plastic shopping bag use by 90% by mid 2017 without a new city ordinance or a ban. *3'400 Ongoing /early implementation p 33 Waste diversion — zero waste event guidance DMASWA's zero waste event planning program provides "event recycling units," which provides events with separate containers for trash, compostable materials, and recycling for easy separation and pickup. *10s Active /ongoing p. 34 *All or part of reduction is Scope 3, and is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 17 Policy Summary Tables - Local Energy: Infrastructure (page 1 of 1) See page 35 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact • (mt CO2e) Status Wood waste CHP Using regional wood waste in a combined heat and power (CHP) facility in downtown Dubuque, which could generate both electricity and waste heat. 87,000 — 134,000 No longer under consideration p. 36 Wood waste pyrolysis and energy recovery Biochar can be produced from wood waste via pyrolysis, which yields s n as and bio -oil energy products as well as biochar, which is a highly stable form of carbon that can remove GHGs from the atmosphere 44 -4,400 Prospective/ not currently under consideration p' 37 DMASWA — methane gas to energy Methane from organics decomposition at the landfill can be captured and burned for energy. "61,799 (11 799) Planning stages p. 38 WRRC — methane CHP Methane from waste processing at anaerobic digestors can be captured and burned for energy 3 077 Under construction p. 39 Local clean energy —solar Solar photovoltaic arrays could generate a significant amount of energy in Dubuque, particularly at large commercial and industrial facilities 9,618 — 28,854 Active /ongoing p. 40 Local clean energy —small wind Small wind turbines could potentially generate a moderate of energy in Dubuque, particularly at large commercial and industrial facilities 100s Active /ongoing p. 41 Hydroelectricity at Lock and Dam 11 A hydroelectric facility at Dubuque Lock & Dam 11 could produce a very significant amount of energy 50,030+ Prospective p. 42 Dubuque Generating Station to natural gas Alliant Energy's Dubuque Generating Station coal plant is scheduled for closure, but could potentially be converted to run on natural gas, which produces fewer GHGs per unit energy output than coal Significant generating capacity Prospective) not currently under consideration p. 43 District heating — natural gas (Millwork District) A local energy generation facility could provide electricity and heating to residents and businesses in downtown Dubuque Significant generating capacity No longer under consideration p. 44 * *11,799 mt of energy related reductions; 50,000 mt of methane destruction reductions (see section: DMASWA - methane capture and flaring) 18 Policy Summary Tables- Local Energy: Policies & Programs (page 1 of 1) See page 35 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status Renewable energy PPAs PPAs allow businesses to install solar PV arrays without incurring risk or taking responsibility for equipment maintenance. In PPAs, the installer owns the equipment (financed by a 3rd party) and sells electricity at a contracted rate to a business /buyer. Lease agreements can serve a similar function 1 OOOs Prospective/ not currently under consideration p 45 Distributed energy policies (residential) Dubuque can facilitate renewable energy to residential sectors via education, technical expertise, and adopting best policies and practices such as those from the DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge program 100s Pending p. 46 Distributed energy policies (commercial /public buildings) Dubuque can facilitate renewable energy to commercial /industrial sectors via education, technical expertise, and adopting best policies and practices such as those from the DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge program 1,000s Pending p. 47 DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge A federal program designed to develop and test local programs and policies that lower the cost and streamline the process of installing solar PV in residential and commercial settings. 1,000s Pending p. 48 Local green financing A reliable source of financing (e.g. banks and financial institutions) for renewable projects would support/spur demand for energy efficiency and renewables in Dubuque. not estimated Prospective/ not currently under consideration p. 49 EPA Green Power Community Dubuque utility customers can voluntarily participate in renewable energy purchasing programs and purchase a percentage of their power from renewables 1 OOOs Prospective/ not currently under consideration p. 50 Renewable energy property tax exemption Would provide exemptions from property taxes for certain renewable energy installations such that assessors would not add the value of renewable energy systems to the taxable value of a property. 100s Prospective/ not currently under consideration p. 51 19 Policy Summary Tables - Transportation (page 1 of 2) See page 52 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt 002e) Status Complete Streets Complete streets is a planning and design process that ensures that the health, safety, and mobility of all transportation users are considered in road project planning 9,303 — 27,909 Adopted 2011 p. 53 The Jule — Dubuque transit system redesign Local bus routes and schedules are being redesigned to match the needs of existing and potential riders, which will improve route efficiency, cut costs, increase ridership, and bring bus service to more residents. 100s Active since 2010 p. 54 The Jule — fuel efficient buses In 2011, Dubuque's bus fleet was replaced with newer, more fuel efficient vehicles equipped with electronic route tracking and scheduling technology, among other improvements. 1,008 Completed 2011 2012 p. 55 Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Facility The Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Center is a proposed facility that will connect air, rail, bus, automobile, and river traffic at a single integrated transportation hub. 2,255 Pending/ planned p. 56 Southwest Arterial The Southwest Arterial will be a 6.1 -mile four -lane divided freeway providing an alternative route for traffic through southwestern Dubuque. 7,762 Planned/ ongoing p. 57 Smarter City ITS The Smarter City Intelligent Transportation Solution partnership between the City of Dubuque and IBM provides a sophisticated system for analyzing real -time transportation data to facilitate improvements in transportation efficiency 4,591 Active /ongoing p. 58 Particle filters on diesel City fleet vehicles Dubuque could retrofit older municipally owned diesel vehicles with particle filters in order to decrease black carbon and particulate matter emissions. *861 Prospective p. 59 EV charging infrastructure Facilitating the installation of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations at parking structures, businesses, and other strategic locations. 1,000s Prospective p. 60 *Black carbon - not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 20 Policy Summary Tables - Transportation (page 2 of 2) See page 52 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status Car sharing Car sharing provides an alternative to car ownership by making vehicles (usually owned and maintained by a company) available for short term, easy access rental. 10s Prospective p. 61 Parking Various parking related strategies for improving efficiency, lowering costs, and reducing GHG emissions 100s Prospective p. 62 Transit policies and programs Various strategies for reducing GHGs from Dubuque's transit system, including bus rapid transit, an eco -pass program for local businesses and institutions, telecommuting, and ridesharing resources 100 — 1,000 Prospective p. 63 Bicycle policies and programs Various policies and programs to facilitate cycling and active commuting, including bike sharing stations, bicycle boulevards, and well placed bicycle parking 100 — 1,000 Prospective p. 64 Safe Routes to School /Safe Routes to Play Safe Routes to School seeks to make walking and bicycling to school a safe and routine activity for students via safer street crossings, sidewalks, and other features that create safe and continuous links between homes and schools. 10 —100 Active/ ongoing p. 65 Roundabouts Roundabouts are circular intersections that promote safer and more efficient traffic flow. 100 — 1,000 Active/ ongoing p 66 Signal timing optimization Software, sensors, and other technology to maximize green light times and allow timing to adjust based on changing demands during peak times, such as rush hour. 100 — 1,000 Prospective p. 67 Idling reduction Idling consumes costly fuel, lowers air quality, and increases GHG emissions, and it can be reduced with simple best practice recommendations and policies 100s Prospective p. 68 21 Policy Summary Tables - Built Environment (page 1 of 3) See page 69 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status mil p. 70 WRRC — Anaerobic digestion Dubuque's wastewater treatment facility was upgraded from an incinerator to an anaerobic digestion system, which will save energy and fuel oil costs and is scheduled for completion in 2014 928 Ongoing. Completed 2014 ECIA Petal Project The Petal Project provides businesses with a clear sustainability framework and technical assistance to improve the environment and the bottom line. 1,000 — 10,000 Active/ ongoing p. 71 Dubuque Schools The Dubuque Community Schools continues to cut energy use and utility costs through simple operational and energy efficiency solutions. 1,311 —2,500 Active/ ongoing p. 72 Smarter Sustainable Dubuque — energy and water The Smarter City pilot is a partnership between the City of Dubuque and IBM to develop smart metering and information systems that will enable homeowners to identify inefficient or unintended use of water and energy. 1 671 —19 053 Active/ ongoing p. 73 22 Policy Summary Tables- Built Environment (page 2 of 3) See page 69 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status IECC building standards The IECC is a model building code standard that can be voluntarily adopted by state and municipal governments to establish minimum design and construction requirements for energy efficiency in new residential or commercial buildings. 10 QOOs Active/ ongoing p 74 USGBC — LEED for Existing Buildings The LEED for Existing Buildings program addresses cleaning and maintenance issues, recycling programs, exterior and grounds maintenance, weatherization and energy savings, HVAC system upgrades, and other savings opportunities. 1,OOOs Prospective p. 75 PACE (and similar financing programs) PACE is a tool for local governments to empower community members to make renewable energy improvements to their homes and property without the burden of upfront costs and delayed returns on investment by making high ROI loans available to community members. Similar programs can be administered by private financial institutions, governments, and non - profits. 100s Not currently under consideration p. 76 Public building efficiency standards (City gov buildings) Dubuque's new /renovated municipal buildings could be constructed to meet high efficiency building standards, such as LEED 100 —1 000 Prospective p. 77 Advanced commercial building efficiency standards Dubuque could adopt a policy facilitating or requiring new buildings to meet high efficiency building standards, such as LEED 1,000 — 10,000 Prospective p. 78 Rental housing energy efficiency Various programs and policies can be employed to improve rental property efficiency and reduce costs for owners and tenants 1,000 —10,000 Prospective p. 79 Ground source heat pumps (residential) Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems are central heating and cooling systems that pump heat to or from the ground, taking advantage of the relatively constant ground temperature for building heating and cooling 100 —1,000 Active/ ongoing p. 80 23 Policy Summary Tables - Built Environment (page 3 of 3) See page 69 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy sr Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status � Municipal lighting and energy efficiency There are many opportunities for improved energy efficiency in municipal operations in Dubuque, including LEDs and appliance /equipment efficiency. 1,000 -5,000 Active/ ongoing p. 81 Commercial lighting and energy efficiency Local programs and policies could help local businesses and institutions save a substantial amount of energy and money through simple, low cost lighting improvements. 1,000 — 10,000 Prospective p. 83 State and Federal programs and incentives Many State and Federal incentives for efficiency improvements in residential, commercial, and government buildings (e.g. weatherization & renewables) are not discussed elsewhere in this report and are included here primarily as an information item. 100s + Active/ ongoing p. 84 Dubuque Unified Development Code The Dubuque Unified Development Code provides guidance for planning and development in Dubuque, affecting everything from transportation and building efficiency to land use and water quality. 1 000s Active as of 2009 p. 85 Infill development Infill development shifts urban growth from outer - suburban and undeveloped peripheral areas to existing city space with pre- existing infrastructure 1,000s Prospective/ part of UDC p. 86 Historic building presentation and revitalization Historic building preservation entails restoring, revitalization, and re- purposing historic or neglected buildings in order to save building materials and utilize existing city infrastructure 100s Prospective/ part of UDC p. 87 Smart growth — miscellaneous Miscellaneous policies and programs that could encourage smart growth in Dubuque, including mixed use development, density bonuses, and brownfield development 100s Prospective/ part of UDC p. 88 24 Policy Summary Tables - Miscellaneous (page 1 of 1) See page 89 for full discussion. See Appendix E for discussion of estimated impact ranges. Strategy Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status Urban forestry Tree planting can reduce GHGs by sequestering carbon in soil and plant biomass and also by shading buildings during the warm summer months and acting as a windbreak during the winter. *100s Active/ ongoing p. 90 Local food Food and dietary choices can significantly impact GHG emissions, which can be reduced through various policies such as CSAs, farmers markets, community gardens, and local foods *1,000s Some active/ some prospective p. 91 Community based initiatives Many community organizations and collaboratives are creating an array of programs designed to engage and educate the community regarding sustainable lifestyles, including reducing GHG emissions 22,296 Some active/ some prospective p. 93 Refrigerants HCFC refrigerants are synthetic chemicals used for refrigeration. Many HCFCs hake extraordinarily high global warming potential and can be reduced through voluntary adoption of alternative refrigerants as well as scheduled national /global phaseouts that will reduce GHG emissions in Dubuque 11,148 Active/ ongoing p. 94 Cool roofs /cool pavement White roofs can mitigate climate warming by reducing the amount of solar radiation absorbed by the earths surface; they can also save energy by decreasing building temperatures and thus cooling and refrigeration costs during the summer months. *100s Prospective p. 95 Air quality measures Air quality and GHG emissions go hand in hand, and several opportunities exist to improve air quality that have not been discussed elsewhere in this report. *not estimated Prospective p. 96 *All or part of reduction is Scope 3, and is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 25 Section III - Policy Descriptions Policy Descriptions: I. Waste Reduction & Resource Management Introduction: The Dubuque Metropolitan Area Solid Waste Agency (DMASWA) operates the Dubuque Metropolitan Landfill, which manages solid waste for Dubuque and some surrounding areas. The DMASWA landfill accounts for 5% of Dubuque's Scope 1 GHG emissions (Table 1). It also relates to much of Dubuque's Scope 3 emissions, which are not included in the inventory but nonetheless represent real emissions with a significant climate impact. Scope 1 emissions at the landfill come from organic materials such as food and yard waste. When organics are landfilled, they undergo anaerobic (i.e. oxygen free) decomposition, which produces methane gas as a byproduct. Methane is a potent GHG with over 21 -times the global warming potential of CO2. Landfill methane can be captured and burned for energy, which reduces its direct climate impact and generates electricity that replaces fossil fuel sources. Alternatively, diverting organic materials from the landfill for composting or other beneficial use can prevent these methane emissions from occurring in the first place. Scope 3 emissions at the landfill are related to consumption and discards. Every piece of material entering the landfill represents some amount of embodied emissions, which are the GHG emissions produced during the creation and transport of a product. By discarding less and reusing /recycling more, these embodied emissions can be minimized. Embodied emissions comprise the landfill's Scope 3 emissions, which are not accounted for in the GHG inventory or the GHG reduction goal, but nonetheless represent real emissions and important reduction opportunities. This section will describe strategies by which Dubuque can reduce the embodied and methane emissions associated with solid waste (Table 3). Table 3. Waste related GHG reduction strategies and their potential impact in Dubuque, IA. Strategy Estimated GHG reduction (mt CO2e per year by 2030) DMASWA — methane capture and flaring 50,000 p. 27 Waste diversion & minimization *10,000s p. 28 Waste diversion —food scraps 5,000 — 10,000 p. 29 Waste diversion — recycling and pay -as- you -throw *100,000+ p. 31 Waste diversion — deconstruction *10,000s p. 32 Waste diversion — plastic bag phaseout *3,400 p. 33 Waste diversion —zero waste event guidance *10s p. 34 Total potential impact (scopes 1 and 2) % total reduction goal (520,000 mt of reductions by 2030) 55,000 — 60,000+ 11.1% *All or part of reduction is Scope 3 and is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 27 DMASWA — Methane Capture and Flaring 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: DMASWA methane capture and flaring 3) Policy type: Municipal/County 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; rate payers 5) Current status: Active since 2010 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 50,000 mt CO2e annually (currently closed cells) 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: In 2010 the Dubuque Metropolitan Area Solid Waste Agency (DMASWA) completed installation of a landfill gas collection system and began flaring the captured methane. The landfill gas collection system is estimated to capture about 75% of emissions from the capped landfill cells. The flaring process burns methane gas to convert it to water and CO2, thus reducing its climate impact by approximately 21- times. 9) Barriers to implementation: None (action already implemented); future expansion to currently active cells would entail administrative, technical, and financial challenges similar to those encountered in initial capping. 10) Co- benefits: Facilitates methane- gas-to- energy (see section: DMASWA - Methane gas to energy) 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 50,000 mt CO2e per year from methane flaring at landfill. Data from Cornerstone (2008). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction 28 estimate: Capture efficiency of collection system; time at which cells are capped/flared; amount of organic waste entering currently active landfill cells. Waste Diversion & Minimization 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion and minimization. 3) Policy type: Municipal/County; community policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; landfill customers. 5) Current status: Planning and early implementation. Feasibility study completed in 2009. Many actions already underway. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: **10,000s of mt CO2e annually. **All or part of reduction is Scope 3, which is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Primarily Scope 3 (embodied energy); some Scope 1 (landfill methane) 8) Specific description of policy: Recycling more and wasting less is one of the fastest, cheapest, and most effective strategies available to local governments to reduce both embodied and local GHG emissions. Large commercial/industrial customers in particular represent significant opportunities for diversion, recycling, and other means of discard reduction. In 2009, DMASWA contracted Huls Environmental Management to develop a plan to divert 50% of the approximately 100,000 tons /year buried at the landfill. Huls produced an implementation strategy for reaching the 50% goal within five years (Huls 2009). The implementation strategy outlined the potential for sustained revenue from recovery /reuse of high value discards. For instance, high value goods such as construction debris can be collected and marketed in a 29 "resource recovery park." Organic waste can be converted to high -grade compost and sold at a premium rate to retail and commercial markets. Progress to -date on such initiatives is further discussed in later sections of this report. 9) Barriers to implementation• Infrastructure and administration of new programs; up front costs; permitting from State and Federal agencies; design of programs (e.g. focus on source diversion, sink diversion, or both); establishing markets for diverted high value products. 10) Co- benefits: The full set of recommendations from the Huls (2009) study could be fully implemented for an estimated $8.8 million and yield annual costs savings and revenue of nearly $3 million. Additional benefits include minimizing landfill expansion needs, lowering costs of landfill operation, and lowering the amount of hazardous material entering the landfill. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: The annual waste stream entering DMASWA landfill is approximately 100,000 tons (90,744 mt per year). If 2.87 mt CO2e is prevented per mt of waste recycled or otherwise usefully diverted from the landfill (EPA 2010a), then 50% additional diversion could yield over 100,000 mt CO2e in annual reductions. However, much of this reduction is from embodied energy (Scope 3), which is not counted in Dubuque's GHG inventory or toward the 50% by 2030 goal. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of implementation by DMASWA and partners; behavioral response by customers and consumers; specific local emissions factor for diverted waste (assumed here to be 2.87 mt CO2e per mt waste - EPA 2010a). Waste Diversion - Food Scraps 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion - food scraps 3) Policy type: Municipal/county; community policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; rate payers; area businesses, particularly grocers and food service 5) Current status: Ongoing. Dubuque's "Green Cart" curbside food scrap collection program is available to all 20,000 DMASWA customers. However, the landfill is currently limited to processing 2 tons of compost per week by Iowa regulations. Expansion of this capacity is pending changes in Iowa regulations regarding handling and processing of food waste. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 5,000- 10,000 mt CO2e annually from two alternatives: WRRC (50% food scrap diversion to WRRC methane - gas-to- energy facility): 7,442 mt CO2e annually Composting (50% food waste diversion to composting facility): 9,303 mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Food scrap diversion will likely take one of two forms: (a) Composting, where food scraps are composted on site at the landfill. Composting prevents methane emissions and yields high quality compost for sale to horticultural and commercial/retail landscaping markets. (b) Concentration and methane capture, where food scraps are concentrated in a single area and allowed to undergo anaerobic decomposition. The resulting methane emissions can be captured and burned to create energy and eliminate the methane's climate impact. Regarding Option (a), the Huls (2009) report (see 30 section: Waste Diversion & Minimization) discussed various strategies to phase -in an organics recovery system that could collect up to 30,000 tons per year of organics. These could be turned into valuable high -grade compost at an on -site composting facility or off -site through a contracted private hauler. Some of this compost could be made available free of charge to community or school gardens (see section: Local Food). Regarding Option (b), organic waste could be integrated into the Water & Resource Recovery Center's (WRRC) anaerobic digesters, thereby boosting the methane and energy output of the WRRC. Food scraps either could be hauled to the digesters in trucks or transported through sewage pipes after being pulverized with sink disposals (see section: WRRC - methane gas to energy). Likely pathways to expand food scrap collection include contracts with major food vendors (e.g. restaurants, food processors, cafeterias), which are likely to provide the biggest "bang for the buck" in terms of food scrap collection. Also, Dubuque's curbside Green Cart program could be expanded, and citizens could be encouraged to dispose of food waste through sink disposals (for processing into methane at WRRC), if applicable. 9) Barriers to implementation• Infrastructure and administration; State of Iowa regulations on hazardous materials status of food scraps (landfill is currently limited to 2 tons per week to process into compost); State and Federal permitting for expansion of composting capacity; establishing markets for compost; personal participation in programs, use of sink disposals, etc. 10) Co- benefits: Value of compost; value of electricity (methane capture); reduced landfill inputs and costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: (a) WRRC with methane capture: Calculations assume that 11,415 tons of food scraps are collected per year in Dubuque (IA DNR 2005), 50% of which are assumed diverted to the WRRC. For emission factors, we assume that each ton of food scraps landfilled generates 1.43 mt CO2e and each ton diverted to a methane -gas- to- energy facility generates only 0.33 mt CO2e (EPA 2010a). This yields 6,278 mt from methane emission prevention. In terms of electricity generation, we assume 250 kWh per ton of food waste (EPA 2008). Assuming projected 2030 grid emission factors (Appendix A), food scrap methane at WRRC will offset 1,163 mt CO2e of grid electricity emissions (waste heat not counted). Combining the electricity and methane offsets yields a total reduction of 7,442 mt CO2e per year by 2030. We assign this option a range of 5,000- 10,000 mt. (b) Food scrap composting: Calculations assume 11,415 tons of food scraps collected in Dubuque each year, 50% of which is diverted to composting. For emission factors, we assume that each ton of food scraps landfilled generates 1.43 mt CO2e, while each ton diverted to composting generates -0.2 mt CO2e due to carbon sequestration (EPA 2010a). This yields a reduction of 9,303 mt CO2e per year. We assign this option a range of 5,000- 10,000 mt. Therefore, both the composting and methane -to- energy options for food scraps fall in the 5,000- 10,000 mt impact range. Notably, food scraps diverted to composting or the WRRC would not reduce useful methane emissions at the landfill (i.e. the methane used for landfill- gas-to- energy). This is because methane is not captured from active landfill cells. Those cells will be capped eventually, but probably not until the 2020s (DMASWA, personal communication). Therefore, all diversion represents a net reduction in emissions. 31 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of implementation by DMASWA and partners; behavioral response by residents. Waste Diversion - Recycling & Pay -As- You -Throw 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion - recycling & pay -as- you -throw (PAYT) 3) Policy type: Community Policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; landfill customers. 5) Current status: Ongoing. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: Recycling: **100,000+ mt CO2e annually Pay -as -you- throw: **1,000s of mt CO2e annually. **All or part of reduction is Scope 3, which is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Primarily Scope 3 (embodied emissions); some Scope 1 (landfill methane) 8) Specific description of policies: (a) Recycling: Dubuque was the first major city in Iowa to implement curbside recycling. Dubuque's award winning recycling program diverts —40% of landfill waste (compared to 1994 base year - Huls 2009), equivalent to approximately 60,000 mt of waste annually. (b) Pay-as-you-throw: In 2002, Dubuque implemented a volume -based collection fees system, commonly referred to as the "Pay As You Throw" (PAYT) system. Since then, Dubuque's refuse tonnage sent to the landfill has decreased by 28 percent, while the city's recycling collection tonnage has increased by 37 percent. The City of Dubuque estimates annual reductions of 2,722 mt waste per year due to PAYT. Both PAYT and recycling are ongoing in Dubuque. Expansion is possible, however, particularly for large business customers. 9) Barriers to implementation: Changing 32 market prices for recycled products; education; policy design 10) Co- benefits: Reduced landfill space demands and costs; community engagement /eco- literacy; local jobs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Because these two programs are complementary (i.e. each facilitates the other), there is significant overlap in their impacts. However, a baseline estimate of each can be calculated. Assuming 2.87 mt CO2e prevented per mt waste diverted rather than landfilled (EPA 2010a) and 54,446 and 2,722 mt of waste diverted from the landfill by recycling and pay -as-you- throw, respectively (Huls 2009; City of Dubuque), recycling reduces GHG emissions by approximately 174,000 mt CO2e per year and pay -as-you -throw prevents 7,887 mt CO2e of emissions. This puts recycling in the 100,000+ mt CO2e range and pay -as-you -throw in the 1,000s of mt CO2e range. Many of those emissions are Scope 3 and resulted from programs implemented prior to the 2003 base year, however. So strictly speaking they do not count toward the 50% by 2030 goal but are nonetheless significant achievements. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Calculations were made using a single emission factor (2.87 mt CO2e per mt waste recycled rather than landfilled - EPA 2010a), which may not perfectly apply to Dubuque's landfill. Also, given the overlap in the programs, GHG emissions cannot be attributed solely to one program or the other. Also, other factors besides the existence of recycling and pay -as- you -throw contribute to reduced landfill inputs. Nonetheless, these estimates provide a basic approximation of the impact of two major waste diversion and reduction programs in Dubuque. Waste Diversion - Deconstruction 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion - deconstruction 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; rate payers; area businesses; construction firms 5) Current status: Ongoing (since 2003). In 2009, the City removed the demolition option altogether, increased the diversion mandate to 85 %, and added a requirement that contractors must provide third -party verification that the minimum salvage standards have been met (SCN 2011). 6) Estimated GHG reduction: **10,000s of mt CO2e annually **All or part of reduction is Scope 3, which is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Primarily Scope 3 (embodied emissions); some Scope 1 (landfill methane) 8) Specific description of policy: Dubuque has worked to reduce unnecessary waste from deconstruction projects, maximize the amount of material salvaged /reused, and minimize the amount demolished/landfilled. In the early stages of the Bee Branch project, the City asked for separate deconstruction and demolition bids so comparisons could be made. They found that contractors made money at deconstruction, so deconstruction has since become standard practice in Dubuque. 98 construction and demolition projects were administered between 2003 and 2012, with 20 commercial building and 78 housing projects, generating 175,634 mt of waste. More than 94% of that waste was diverted, saving a total of $5.9 million in landfill fees (SCN 2011a). 33 9) Barriers to implementation: Educating developers about best practices; monitoring and verification. 10) Co- benefits: Lower bids and costs for deconstruction/demolition projects; lower landfill inputs /management costs; local jobs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Taking the average of the past nine years (175,634 mt waste total) gives 19,515 mt waste diverted per year. Assuming 2.87 mt CO2e prevented per mt of waste diverted (EPA 2010a), deconstruction in Dubuque has prevented up to 52,647 mt CO2e per year, putting deconstruction well within the 10,000s of mt range. Many of these reductions are Scope 3, which do not count toward the 50% by 2030 goal. However, Scope 1 emissions also are reduced by minimizing future methane emissions from landfilled construction/demolition debris. Notably, deconstruction/diversion will not reduce useful methane emissions at the landfill (i.e. the methane used for landfill- gas-to- energy). This is because methane is not captured from active landfill cells. Those cells will be capped eventually, but not until the 2020s (DMASWA personal communication). Therefore, all construction diversion represents a net reduction in emissions. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of implementation by DMASWA and partners; behavioral response to programs; overlap between deconstruction reduction and recycling reduction (see section: Waste reduction - recycling and pay- as -you- throw); also, some portion of the 94% diverted may be landfilled downstream after initial recovery. Waste Diversion - Plastic Bag Phase -out 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion - plastic bag phaseout 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; area retailers and customers 5) Current status: Ongoing. Goal of 90% reduction by 2017 (see below) 6) Estimated GHG reduction: * *3,400 mt CO2e annually **All or part of reduction is Scope 3, which is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Primarily Scope 3 (embodied emissions); some Scope 1 (landfill methane) 8) Specific description of policy: In July 2011, the Dubuque City Council approved an initiative to reduce plastic shopping bag use by 90% by mid 2017 without a new city ordinance or outright ban. The plan was developed in consultation with area grocers and retailers and will take place in several phases: July 2012: 25% reduction in chain grocers and retailers with >40,000 square feet of floor space July 2013: 50% reduction in chain grocers and retailers with >40,000 square feet of floor space; 25% reduction in middle -sized businesses (15,000- 39,999 square ft) July 2014: 75% reduction in chain grocers and retailers with >40,000 square feet of floor space; 50% reduction in middle -sized businesses (15,000- 39,999 square ft); 25% reduction in 34 small businesses ( <15,000 square feet). July 2015: 75% reduction in businesses >15,000 square feet of floor space; 50% reduction in businesses <15,000 square feet July 2016: 75% reduction at all Dubuque retailers; will assess likelihood of 90% target by 2017 at this time and take action accordingly July 2017: 90% reduction at all Dubuque retailers. 9) Barriers to implementation: Education and participation by Dubuque residents and retailers. 10) Co- benefits: Litter reduction. Reduced operating costs for local businesses. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Assuming that each of Dubuque's 22,560 households average 2.3 trips to the grocery store per week, use 7 bags per trip, and each bag embodies 0.0002 mt CO2e (32.5 g per bag; 6 g CO2e per g plastic - source: Time for Change 2011), a 90% decrease in bag use in Dubuque would decrease CO2e by approximately 3,400 mt CO2e per year. These embodied emissions are Scope 3 and therefore not counted in Dubuque's GHG inventory or toward the 50% by 2030 goal. Nonetheless, the reductions are significant and do contribute to the larger goal of GHG reduction 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: The actual number of bags currently used in Dubuque. Manufacturing/distribution costs of permanent cloth/paper replacement bags. Waste Diversion - Zero Waste Event Guidance 1) Sector: Waste reduction and resource management 2) Policy name: Waste diversion - zero waste event guidance 3) Policy type: Municipal/County; community policy 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; Dubuque residents, visitors, and event planners 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: **10s of mt CO2e annually. **All or part of reduction is Scope 3, which is not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (landfill methane); Scope 3 (embodied emissions) 8) Specific description of policy: DMASWA's zero waste event planning program provides events with "event recycling units" with separate containers for trash, compostable materials, and recycling for easy separation and pickup. 9) Barriers to implementation: Advertising to event organizers; education of event patrons regarding importance of separating discards; staffing events to prevent cross contamination of recycling batches. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced litter. Increased diversion rates and lower landfilling/landfill management costs. Eco- literacy and community engagement. Easier event cleanup. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: As a rough estimate, we assume a modest diversion rate of 20 mt waste per year from major events and 2.87 mt CO2e per mt waste (EPA 2010a), which yields 57 mt CO2e per year. Hence, lOs of mt CO2e per year is the estimated impact. Some of these emissions will be Scope 3, though 35 emissions from organic discards will be Scope 1. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of implementation by DMASWA and partners. Composition of waste (e.g. organics vs cans and bottles). Fate of collected discards (e.g. composting food waste vs landfilling). Emission factor (2.87) provided by EPA (2010) may not apply perfectly to these wastes. However, the range (10 -100 mt) should be reliable. Policy Descriptions: IL Local Energy & Renewables Introduction Dubuque produced 877,373 mt CO2e in 2011 (72% of total - -Table 1) due to electricity and natural gas consumption. This grid and natural gas derived energy can be replaced by renewables, such as wind, solar, geothermal, and even hydroelectricity. In total, it is estimated that Dubuque has the capacity to displace at least 45% of its electricity /heating needs with local renewables by 2030. This section describes several renewable energy related strategies by which Dubuque can reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (Table 4). Table 4. Energy related GHG reduction strategies and their potential impact in Dubuque, I_A. Strategy Estimated GHG reduction (mt CO2e per year by 2030) Local energy- infrastructure Wood waste CHP 87,000 -134,000 p. 36 Wood waste pyrolysis and energy recovery 44 -4,400 p. 37 DMASWA – methane gas to energy **61,799 (11,799) p. 38 WRRC – methane CHP 3,077 p. 39 Local clean energy – solar 9,618 – 28,854 p. 40 Local clean energy – small wind 100s p. 41 Hydroelectricity at Lock and Dam 11 50,030+ p. 42 Dubuque Generating Station to natural gas see description p. 43 District heating – natural gas (Millwork District) see description p. 44 Subtotal (scopes 1 and 2 – average of range) 194,337 Local energy– policy*** Renewable energy PPAs 1,000s p. 45 Distributed energy policies (residential) 100s p. 46 Distributed energy policies (commercial /public buildings) 1,000s p. 47 DOE rooftop solar challenge 1,000s p. 48 Local green financing - p. 49 EPA Green Power Community 1,000s p. 50 Renewable energy property tax exemption 100s p. 51 Subtotal (scopes 1 and 2 – average of range) 23,100 Total potential impact (Scopes 1 and 2 - average of range) % total reduction goal (520,000 mt of reductions by 2030) 217,437 - 41.8 %I **11,799 mt of energy related reductions; 50,000 mt of methane destruction reductions (see section: DMASWA - methane capture and flaring) ** *Significant (complementary) overlap in these policies, so reduction totals overlap somewhat. 36 Wood Waste CHP 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Wood waste CHP 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; Dubuque community 5) Current status: Feasibility study completed; no longer under consideration as of 2012 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 87,000 - 134,000 mt CO2e annually. However, black carbon emissions should also be considered. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: A 2008 study from the Midwest CHP Application Center at the University of Illinois — Chicago (Haefke 2008) studied the availability of wood waste from forestry residue, mill waste, and clean urban wood waste within 50 and 100 miles of Dubuque (Iowa only). This wood waste could be used in a combined heat and power (CHP) facility that could generate a significant amount of energy. CHP facilities are power generators that both produce electricity and utilize the resulting waste heat in surrounding buildings. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front financial costs; securing sustainable and reliable sources of biomass; air quality concerns; black carbon emissions; competition with Cassville power facility for biomass feedstock. 10) Co- benefits /Costs: Benefits: Possible reduced energy costs in a district heating system. Costs: Air quality could be negatively affected by a local biomass burning facility. Air quality is of particular concern in Dubuque (see section: Air quality measures). Also, indirect CO2 emissions from biomass sources, particularly forests, should be considered. The GHG reduction estimates above assume that only wood 37 waste would be utilized in the facility, and that whole trees would not be used as a supplement or substitute. With the possible exception of short- rotation plantations, harvesting whole trees for biomass energy is not recommended from the standpoint of GHG emissions (see biogenic in glossary for explanation of carbon debt) or long term forest health and productivity. Because combustion of biomass is a major potential contributor to black carbon emissions, proper emissions controls would be necessary to maximize GHG reductions and ensure healthy air quality. Sustainable forestry practices should also be emphasized in the acquisition of wood waste. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: If the facility pays $40 per dry ton wood, available wood waste could power up to a 27.6 MW facility. At $70 per dry ton, available wood waste could power up to a 43 MW facility (Haefke 2008). Our estimate assumed a facility equipped to utilize 50% of currently available wood waste from Iowa only using our projected 2030 grid emission factor (Appendix A). This yields reductions of 87,405 mt CO2e annually at $40 /ton wood; 134,054 mt at $70 /ton wood (as of 2008). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Price of wood and alternatives (e.g. natural gas); size of system; sources of biomass and reliability /abundance of supplies; black carbon emissions and emission controls (when size of system is established, however, reductions should be easy to calculate) Wood Waste Pyrolysis and Energy Recovery 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Wood waste pyrolysis and energy recovery 3) Policy type: Municipal; Private Business 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque 5) Current status: Prospective; not under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: *44 -4,400 mt CO2e annually (most likely scale), plus significant carbon sequestration (see explanation) Reduction per mt of wood waste: 1.18 mt CO2e annually (this breaks down to: 0.51 mt CO2e from bio -oil; 0.66 mt sequestered in biochar; 0.01 mt CO2e offset by waste heat) *sequestration related emissions not counted in GHG inventory or toward reduction goal. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 (bio - oil /waste heat); 8) Specific description of policy: Biochar provides an alternative use for available wood waste in the Dubuque area (see section: Wood Waste CHP). Biochar is created through pyrolysis, which is the thermal decomposition of organic matter in an oxygen -free environment. Pyrolysis produces liquid and gas products known as syngas and bio -oil, which can be used to displace fossil fuels. The process also yields a type of charcoal known as biochar, which can be a valuable soil amendment. Biochar sequesters carbon in a highly stable form that can remain stable for hundreds or thousands of years. This can make pyrolysis a carbon negative process, meaning that it takes more carbon out of the atmosphere than it puts in. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front costs; infrastructure and administration; establishing markets for bio -oil and biochar products. 38 10) Co- benefits: Based on mean estimates from a study of the value of pyrolysis products (Coleman et al. 2010), value of bio -oil and biochar products is approximately $116 per ton of wood waste. This assumes that bio -oil will be used as a replacement heating oil, but several studies suggest that bio -oil is more valuable as a substitute for petro - chemicals in manufacturing, particularly for 'natural' or 'green' products (e.g. plastics, soaps, cleaning products). Air quality concerns are not a major issue with biochar, because the pyrolysis reaction is almost fully contained. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: We assume that 1 mt of wood waste will produce 120 gallons of bio -oil, 0.25 mt of biochar, and 0.167 MMBTUs waste heat (Coleman et al. 2010) and that each gallon of bio -oil produces 80,000 BTUs. If bio -oil and waste heat offset natural gas (emission factor 0.05306 mt CO2e /MMBTU), they will offset 0.52 mt CO2e per mt wood. The 0.25 mt of biochar will offset 0.66 mt CO2e (sequestration factor of 2.93 mt CO2e per mt biochar). In total, this yields 1.18 mt CO2e reduction per dry mt wood waste, 44% of which is scope 1 via bio -oil and waste heat. The most likely scale is probably more on the order of 100 - 10,000 mt CO2e annually, which represents approximately 0.1 -10% of available wood waste (Haefke 2008). For scope 1 emission reductions only, 44% of 100 - 10,000 is 44 -4,400 mt. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Per mt estimates of GHG reductions should be relatively accurate; scale of facility is the major uncertainty. Also, hauling, sustainable forestry, and other life cycle costs and emissions should be considered. DMASWA - Methane Gas to Energy 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: DMASWA methane gas to energy 3) Policy type: Municipal/County 4) Affected entities: DMASWA; City of Dubuque; Dubuque County; landfill clients and customers. 5) Current status: Early planning 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 61,799 mt CO2e annually (11,799 mt from electricity /waste heat in addition to 50,000 mt from captured methane- - see section: Methane capture and flaring at DMASWA). Future expansions at currently active /uncapped cells could expand this capacity in the future. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (methane combustion); Scope 2 (electricity /heat generation) 8) Specific description of policy: In 2007, Dubuque commissioned a study from Cornerstone Environmental Group, LLC, which identified the potential for a 2 MW Combined Heat and Power (CHP) landfill- gas-to- energy facility (Cornerstone 2008). This facility would capture methane and burn it to create energy equivalent to powering over 1,000 homes. CHP facilities produce electricity and also utilize resulting waste heat in surrounding buildings. 9) Barriers to implementation: Finding buyer(s) for electricity /heat; up front costs; transmission of heat /energy; permitting and siting of facility. 10) Co- benefits: Based on estimates from Cornerstone (2008), the landfill- gas-to- energy project could yield a high rate of return, with a net present value of approximately $1,909,431. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 39 50,000 mt CO2e per year from methane flaring plus 11,799 mt from electricity and waste heat from 2 MW landfill- gas-to- energy facility (Cornerstone 2008) using projected 2030 emission factors (Appendix A). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Capture efficiency of collection system; capacity of CHP facility. WRRC - Methane CHP 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: WRRC - Methane CHP 3) Policy type: Fiscal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Under construction (completion 2014) 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 2,367 mt CO2e annually at a 250 kW facility; 3,787 mt CO2e annually at a 400 kW facility (in addition to 928 mt from facility conversion to anaerobic digestion - -see section: WRRC- Anaerobic Digestion). 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (fuel oil and natural gas heating) ; Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Anaerobic digestion at the WRRC will produce methane, an odorless GHG that can be captured and burned for energy. If methane from the WRRC were utilized in a co- generation system, that system could meet the WRRC's heat and power requirements and reduce the facility's GHG emissions Methane from wastewater treatment could be supplemented with methane from food - scraps, which either could be transported to the WRRC by haulers or sent down sink disposals with other kitchen wastewater (see section: Waste Diversion - Food Scraps). 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; design and construction 10) Co- benefits: With the continued rise in fuel and energy costs, these upgrades to the WRRC could significantly reduce annual operating costs by up to $750,000 per year (Strand 2008). Also, the lack of incineration will improve local air quality both directly and by reducing demand for 40 fossil fuel intensive energy from the electric grid. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Estimates from Strand Consultants report (Strand 2008) were used with projected 2030 grid emission factor (Appendix A). We assumed a 250 -400 kW generation capacity. Estimate includes both electricity and waste heat. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No major uncertainties, but reduction depends on facility demand by community, efficiency of facility, size of facility, and utilization of waste heat. Local Clean Energy — Solar 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Local clean energy - solar 3) Policy type: Municipal; Private Business; Utility; State /Federal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: There are several installed and planned solar energy projects, including a 200 kW installation on the City of Dubuque Municipal Services Center. There are two locally owned and operated solar energy companies in Dubuque as of 2012. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 9,618- 28,854 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The current economics and incentives surrounding solar PV create rapid returns on investment for business and commercial customers. Also, solar panels generate the most electricity in the middle of the day, when electricity demand typically is greatest and energy from the grid is most expensive to purchase. Also, solar systems are modular and can be expanded over time. There are many opportunities for solar energy in Dubuque. One current project is a 200 kW facility installed on the Dubuque Municipal Services Center (the 3`d largest solar installation in Iowa as of 2011). The project is set up as a lease agreement, where the City owns the property and has agreed to pay 11 cents per kWh to Eagle Point Solar, who maintains the equipment and is responsible for lease payments to the bank that financed the equipment. Eagle Point Solar can utilize state and federal renewable energy incentives because it is a tax- paying entity. In total, grants and incentives have 41 reduced capital costs for the project from an initial $1 million to $350,000 (SCN 2011b). Financing and cost offsets like this are typical for commercial scale solar systems. 9) Barriers to implementation: Iowa utility monopoly rights and regulations; securing renewable energy grants /incentives; siting; securing financial backing. 10) Co- benefits: As grid electricity rates continue to rise, businesses that utilize PPAs /lease agreements will enjoy stable long term energy costs because energy generated is often sold at a flat, contracted rate. Other benefits include local jobs and economic growth, improved air quality, and reduced grid demand at peak loading times, when prices can be highest and less efficient power facilities are brought into operation. Reduced peak loads also can lower costs for utilities, allowing them keep rates low. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Eagle Point Solar, Blue Sky Solar, and Solar Planet (all of Dubuque) project the installation of 750 kW /year of solar PV for commercial sites and 50 kW /year at residential sites in Dubuque. We also project the installation of an average of 5 solar hot water systems per year between 2010 and 2030. At projected 2030 emission factors (Appendix A) this will reduce 19,236 mt CO2e per year, with over 19,000 mt of this coming from solar PV. We assume a large margin of uncertainty (50 %), yielding a range of 9,618- 28,854 mt CO2e per year. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: GHG reduction per kW solar capacity is well known. However, future incentives for solar, future grid rates, and declines in the price of solar PV create uncertainty in future projections. Ultimate scale of solar installations by 2030 will vary significantly depending on these factors. Local Clean Energy — Small Wind 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Local clean energy - small wind 3) Policy type: Municipal; Private Business; Utility; State /Federal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: Prospective 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Small wind refers to wind turbines scaled for on site generation at homes, businesses, and public facilities. Most are on the scale of 10 kW or less (1 kW yields 720 kWh per month, which is comparable to electricity demand of a small home). Average energy costs of individual turbine models over 20 years range from $0.13- 0.38 per kWh (not counting rebates and subsidies, which can significantly reduce costs and improve ROI) (AWEA 2011). According to the American Wind Energy Association, in 2010 alone the U.S. added 26% to its small wind capacity to reach 179 MW and 144,000 turbines nationally, and growth continues to accelerate (AWEA 2011). Smaller roof -top "urban turbines" grew faster than any other sector, with a 430% increase in sales from 2009 to 2010. In Iowa, over 100 small wind turbines were installed in 2010 alone, and this state is among the national leaders in small wind. Tax credits and utility rebates are available for funding. 9) Barriers to implementation: Iowa utility grid connection rates and policies; securing 42 renewable energy grants /incentives; siting; up front costs; local permitting. 10) Co- benefits: Stable electric rates for those installing turbines; local jobs and economic growth; improved air quality; reduced grid demand at peak loading times, when prices can be highest and less efficient power facilities are brought into operation. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: We project the installation of an average of 40 kW of micro -wind systems per year between 2010 and 2030. At projected 2030 emission factors (Appendix A) this will reduce 792 mt CO2e per year, putting small wind in the 100s of mt impact range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: GHG reduction per kW of wind turbines is well known. However, future incentives, future grid rates, and rate of decline in the price of wind systems and their alternatives (e.g. solar PV) create uncertainty in future projections. Ultimate scale of installations by 2030 will vary significantly depending on these factors. Hydroelectricity at Lock and Dam 11 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Hydroelectricity at Lock and Dam 11 3) Policy type: Utility; Municipal; Community Policy; Businesses 4) Affected entities: Individual residents and business owners; utility companies 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 50,030 mt CO2e annually (5,000 mt CO2e per MW) 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: Proposed hydroelectricity projects at Lock and Dam 11 are mostly low impact hydro facilities that utilize existing infrastructure while adding generating turbines. Facilities ranging in size from 10 -27 MW have been proposed. Other Lock and Dam facilities along the Mississippi have successfully implemented hydroelectricity generation and Lock and Dam 11 also appears to be a suitable site. Flow and water levels would have to be maintained per U.S. Army Corps of Engineers regulations (HG Energy, personal communication). 9) Barriers to implementation: Dubuque currently does not hold the permit for hydroelectricity development, and the current permit holder shows no immediate signs of developing the Dubuque hydro site. Even if the project could be administered as a PPA, local entities would be unlikely to demand such a large amount of renewable energy in the near term. A large business or coalition of businesses demanding large amounts of energy could facilitate such a project but would have to be established/administered. Another potential avenue is for Alliant Energy or another regional energy company to develop the site and add it to their capacity. However, for 43 this to happen the project would have to prove cost competitive with their current pricing and energy sources. An expanded renewable energy portfolio standard in Iowa and/or the state joining the REC (renewable energy credit) market could motivate this. 10) Co- benefits: Air quality; local jobs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: According to HG energy, a 10 MW hydroelectric facility is feasible at Dubuque Lock and Dam 11, which would produce 61,362 MWh/year (HG Energy 2011). Under projected 2030 emission factors (Appendix A), this would reduce Dubuque's GHG emissions by approximately 50,030 mt CO2e per year. Other energy developers have estimated higher capacity at the Lock and Dam. For instance, the current preliminary permit holder (Western Minnesota Municipal Power Agency — through 2014) proposed a 27 MW project, while another 2011 applicant proposed an 18 MW project (FERC 2011). Respectively, these would yield 140,000 and 93,400 mt CO2e annual reduction. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Ultimate size of project. However, given a project of a particular size, the GHG reduction can be calculated easily (5,000 mt CO2e per MW). Dubuque Generating Station to Natural Gas 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: Dubuque Generating Stat Natural Gas natural gas is 50% that of coal (36.7% lower than estimated 2030 grid emissions factors from on to Appendix A; DOE 2010), and that the plant runs at 50% capacity, the total reduction is estimated at 78,460 mt CO2e per year, though it could be up to twice that at full capacity. 3) Policy type: Utility 4) Affected entities: Utility 5) Current status: Not under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 78,460 mtCO2e annually by 2030 (but see explanation in item 11, below)). 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: It is feasible that Alliant Energy's Dubuque Generating station coal plant could eventually be converted to burning natural gas after its scheduled shutdown in 2014. Natural gas prices have declined in recent years (DOE 2011e) and natural gas based generation is replacing coal in many parts of the country (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel 2012). Also, energy generated from natural gas typically has a lower GHG intensity than energy generated from coal, so if natural gas replaces coal it can reduce the carbon intensity of electricity. At this time there is no indication that Alliant Energy is considering a plant conversion. However, it is technically possible and, given the continued favorable prices of natural gas, was included in this report as an information item. 9) Barriers to implementation: Technical; cost of conversion; efficiency /inefficiency of older plant infrastructure. 10) Co- benefits: Air quality; local jobs 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: The Dubuque Generating Station had a nameplate capacity of 81.2 MW as a coal plant. We assume a similar capacity for a natural gas fired plant. Assuming that the carbon intensity of 44 Most of this energy probably would be used locally in Dubuque, but not all of it. So the precise impact of such a facility on Dubuque's GHG emissions cannot be determined precisely. Also, uncertainties in the carbon intensity of non - conventional natural gas should be considered. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: There are currently no plans to repower the plant with natural gas, so the scale of the project is speculative and based solely on historic capacity at the plant. Also, the energy generated at this plant is unlikely to all be used locally, so the impact on Dubuque's GHG emissions is difficult to estimate. District Heating - Natural Gas (Millwork District) 1) Sector: Local energy - infrastructure 2) Policy name: District Heating - Natural Gas (Millwork District) 3) Policy type: Utility 4) Affected entities: Utility 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration; prospective. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 119,330 mtCO2e annually by 2030 (but see explanation) 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: While a wood waste CHP facility is not likely to be pursued, a natural gas based district heating system could still potentially be pursued. Natural gas prices have declined in recent years (DOE 2011e) and natural gas based generation is replacing coal in many parts of the country (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel 2012). Also, energy generated from natural gas typically has a lower GHG intensity than energy generated from coal, so if natural gas replaces coal it can reduce the carbon intensity of electricity. At this time a natural gas CHP system in the Millwork District (or elsewhere in Dubuque) is not under consideration. However, it is technically feasible and, given the continued favorable prices of natural gas, was included in this report as an information item. 9) Barriers to implementation: Initial cost; technical barriers; infrastructure challenges 10) Co- benefits: Energy costs; air quality 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Heafke and Associates (2008) assessed a 43 MW wood waste CHP facility, so these estimates assume a similar generating capacity. Assuming 45 that the carbon intensity of natural gas is 50% that of coal (36.7% better than estimated 2030 grid emissions factors from Appendix A; DOE 2010), and that the plant runs at full capacity, the total electricity - related reduction is estimated at 81,888 mt CO2e per year. Additional emissions reductions can be derived from waste heat from the CHP facility. As a rough estimate of this reduction, we assumed captured waste heat would increase system efficiency by 25 %, which would yield 37,441 mt CO2e per year by offsetting natural gas heating. In total, heat and power could reduce GHG emissions by approximately 119,330 mt CO2e per year. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Size of system; efficiency of generators; efficiency of heat capture. Assumption that electricity is used locally rather than sold into grid. Renewable Energy PPAs 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: Renewable energy PPAs 3) Policy type: Municipal; Private Business; Utility; State /Federal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: Some implementation 6) Estimated GHG reduction: fi 1,000s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. tMuch of this reduction is already assumed in the section: Local Clean Energy - Solar, so adding the two directly would double -count reductions 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Renewable energy partner purchase agreements (PPAs) provide a pathway for Dubuque businesses to install renewable energy without incurring risk or taking on responsibility for equipment maintenance. PPAs are set up so that the installer is also the owner of the generating equipment. The owner then sells electricity at a fixed contracted rate to a business or buyer. Financing for the project is built into the contract between the two parties along with a maintenance schedule and insurance. Solar PV systems are often the object of PPAs because the current economics and incentives surrounding solar PV are attractive. Also, solar panels generate the most electricity in the middle of the day, when electricity demand is greatest and energy from the grid is most expensive to purchase. Also, solar systems are modular and can be expanded over time. 9) Barriers to implementation: Iowa utility monopoly rights and regulations; securing renewable energy grants /incentives; siting; 46 securing financial backing. 10) Co- benefits: As grid electricity rates continue to rise, businesses that utilize PPAs will enjoy stable long term energy costs because the energy generated from the PAA is sold at a flat, contracted rate. Other benefits include local jobs and economic growth, improved air quality, and reduced grid demand at peak loading times, when prices can be highest and less efficient power facilities are brought into operation. Reduced peak loads can lower variable costs for utilities, allowing them keep rates low. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: PPAs are typically larger commercial scale projects, so their GHG impacts can be significant. Assuming an additional 50 -150 kW of installed capacity per year due to PPAs, and 1,460 kWh per year per kW solar in Dubuque, this could yield 1,000 to 3,200 mt CO2e annually by 2030 under assumed 2030 emission factors (Appendix A). This puts the potential impact of renewable PPAs in the 1,000s of mt impact category. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: GHG reduction per kW installed solar is well known. However, future incentives for solar, future grid rates, and rate of decline in the price of solar PV create uncertainty in future projections. Likely scale of solar installations by 2030 could vary significantly depending on these factors. Distributed Energy Policies (residential) 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: Distributed energy policies (residential) 3) Policy type: Community policy; Utility; State /Federal; Individuals 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: Pending. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Distributed energy refers to energy created at or near the site of use. For example, homeowners getting a portion of their energy from rooftop solar panels instead of getting all electricity from the grid. Several distributed renewable energy systems are available to homeowners, including solar PV, solar thermal water heaters, small wind systems, and geothermal (see section Ground source heat pumps). There are several ways for local governments to facilitate the expansion of distributed energy in the community. Options include: A Adopt recommendations of DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge program (see section: DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge) A Work with local/regional financial institutions to develop loans, mortgages, and other financing options that support and encourage distributed energy. See section: Local Green Financing section for additional discussion. A Adopt City policy or recommendation to make new homes 'solar ready.' Pilot projects 47 could be conducted in partnership with select developers /developments, offering incentives for them to create 'solar neighborhood' demonstration projects. A Provide incentives and technical support for homeowners installing renewable energy systems, including free technical assistance and rebates. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; siting and retrofitting; education. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced energy demand and energy costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on recent solar installation trends in Dubuque, residential installations are anticipated to be on the order of 50 kW installed per year between 2010 and 2030. This is equivalent to nearly 1,190 mt CO2e per year using projected 2030 grid emission factors (Appendix A). We assume that policies streamlining and incentivizing residential solar could increase solar installs by 10 -100% of current anticipated amounts, which falls near the range of 100s of mt CO2e per year. Notably, if small scale renewables become much less expensive and /or enjoy significant incentives, maximum impact of residential solar could be much higher. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: It is simple to calculate the CO2e offset of an individual system but very difficult to predict renewable energy market forces, government incentives, and economic conditions. Distributed Energy Policies (commercial and public buildings) 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: Distributed energy policies (commercial and public buildings) 3) Policy type: Community policy; Utility; State /Federal; Businesses 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses 5) Current status: Pending 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Distributed energy refers to energy created at or near the site of use. In other words, commercial and municipal entities can generate their own energy on site to offset their electric grid demand. There are several policy options available to facilitate renewables on commercial and public buildings: A Provide incentives such as fee reduction/waivers, expedited permitting, grants, awards, and free technical assistance to developments and buildings that incorporate renewable energy A Work with local /regional financial institutions to develop loans, mortgages, and other financing options that support and encourage distributed energy. See section: Local Green Financing section for additional discussion. A Adopt policy or recommendation that re- roofing projects on City or publicly financed buildings must be solar ready, except where additional cost exceeds a certain threshold. 48 A Lobby state and federal agencies to create tax exemptions, tax rebates, and other financial rewards and incentives that support distributed energy. A Adopt best practices from DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge (see section: DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge) 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; siting and retrofitting; policy design and adoption. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced energy demand and ongoing energy costs 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on recent solar installation trends in Dubuque, residential installations are anticipated to amount to 21,900,000 kWh per year by 2030 (750 kW installed per year on average). This is equivalent to around 17,856 mt CO2e per year under projected grid emission factors by 2030 (Appendix A). The 1,000s of mt range roughly corresponds to a potential gain of 5 -50% due to local policies discussed in this section. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: It is easy to calculate the CO2e offset of an individual systems, but very difficult to predict renewable energy market forces, government incentives, and economic conditions. DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge 3) Policy type: Community Policy; Utility; Businesses; Individuals 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: Pending conclusion of Rooftop Solar Challenge program. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) administers several programs relevant to Dubuque's local energy efforts. Foremost among them is the DOE's Rooftop Solar Challenge, which has awarded $12 million in grants to 22 local and regional teams to improve market conditions for rooftop solar photovoltaics (PV) in their communities and throughout the United States. DOE is funding the awardees to address key market barriers to local solar PV, emphasizing streamlined and standardized permitting in particular (DOE 2011a). In other words, the goal is to develop and test local programs and procedures that lower the cost and streamline the process of installing solar PV in residential and commercial settings. These so- called "soft costs" of solar systems, such as permitting, zoning, and hooking up to the grid, can comprise up to 40% of a given solar project (DOE 2011). So identifying paths around those barriers holds significant promise for boosting rooftop solar in local communities, particularly for homeowners. 49 9) Barriers to implementation: Barriers (and ways around them) will likely be identified in the final results /reports of the program. Appropriate and expedient implementation will be the main challenges. Administrative and technical expertise also will be necessary. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced cost and streamlined regulatory process of solar energy systems (and, by proxy, other distributed renewable energy systems); greater renewable energy capacity increases long term stability of business and homeowner energy costs; indirectly improves air quality by reducing grid demand. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: We assume that anticipated scale of solar PV in Dubuque by 2030 (see section: Local Clean Energy - Solar) could be increased by up to 50% in Dubuque. However, the impact of policy measures on market behavior is uncertain, so we assign a broad range of 100 - 10,000 mt CO2e per year by 2030. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Without knowing the specific recommendations coming from this program, it is impossible to predict their impact. However, given that projected solar capacity by 2030 under current market and regulatory conditions is nearly 20,000 mt CO2e per year (see section: Local Clean Energy - Solar), 1,000- 10,000 mt would represent a roughly 5 to 50% improvement due to Rooftop Solar Challenge recommendations. Notably, there is significant overlap between the impact of these policies and those outlined in the sections: Distributed Energy Policies (residential) and Distributed Energy Policies (commercial and public buildings), so future updates of this report should be wary of double counting. Local Green Financing 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: Local green financing 3) Policy type: Businesses; Municipal; Community policy; Individuals 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; financial institutions; business and homeowners 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: No separate estimate given, but important for all aforementioned business and homeowner related energy programs to reach full potential. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Local 'green financing' has been mentioned elsewhere in this report but is important to so many potential actions that it is given its own section. Renewable energy and efficiency improvements can pay for themselves within a few years and afterwards lead to significant savings on energy costs. Despite the excellent long -term financial prospects, up -front cost is often a significant barrier. A reliable source of financing for such projects could significantly boost demand for energy efficiency and renewables in Dubuque. Working with local and /or regional financial institutions to encourage them to facilitate low interest loans for such projects could be one way for Dubuque to achieve this. Green financing options could then be promoted to developers, real estate agencies, and individual homeowners /buyers. As of 2012, several financial institutions including Dutrac, Premier Bank, and Dubuque Bank & Trust independently offer such "green loans" to commercial and /or residential customers. The availability of these loans could be promoted by the City and other 50 community organizations to help connect institutions with potential customers. Babylon, NY, Berkeley, CA, Cambridge, MA, Sonoma County, CA, and Milwaukee, WI all have well developed local green financing programs. The Milwaukee Me2 program in particular is a public /private partnership that could provide ideas for Dubuque. 9) Barriers to implementation: Program design; developing partnerships with financial institutions; advertising to customers 10) Co- benefits: Deferred up front cost of renewable energy system installation. Stable long term energy costs for homes and businesses. Improved air quality. Removal of barriers to renewable energy and efficiency installations 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: No separate estimate provided. See previous sections regarding business /home related renewable energy programs for potential scale of impact 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: N/A 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: N/A EPA Green Power Community 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: EPA Green Power Community 3) Policy type: Businesses; Individuals; Utility 4) Affected entities: Individual residents and business owners; utility companies 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: EPA Green Power Communities (GPCs) are towns, villages, cities, counties, or tribal governments in which the local government, businesses, and residents collectively buy green power in amounts that meet or exceed EPA's Green Power Community purchase requirements, which is 5% for a community of Dubuque's size and electricity use. Between local renewables (see previous sections) and voluntary renewable energy purchasing programs, Dubuque seems well positioned to achieve the GPC designation. Second Nature and Watts Green are voluntary renewable energy purchasing programs offered by Alliant Energy and Maquoketa Valley Cooperative, respectively, through which customers can purchase a percentage of their power from renewable sources. Standard levels are 25 %, 50 %, 75 %, and 100 %, though businesses can select their own level. Essentially, choosing a level creates a specified surcharge on a customer's monthly utility bill, the proceeds of which go to renewable energy purchase (80 %) and education/administration (20 %). 9) Barriers to implementation: Cost; awareness by consumers. 51 10) Co- benefits: Air quality; community engagement and eco- literacy. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: In 2012, Alliant Energy estimated that 402 households in Dubuque were enrolled in 2nd Nature; approximately 200 of those households enrolled between 2007 -2009, for an average of 67 per year (Alliant Energy, personal communication 2010). Assuming that 50 new households using 1,200 kWh per month enroll each year at an average level of 30 %, this would yield 4,250 mt CO2e reduction per year by 2030 ( -2.94 mt per household per year), putting the impact of the program in the 1,000s of mt CO2e annually range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Individual behavior; utility rates; general health of economy (i.e. recession vs growth). Renewable Energy Property Tax Exemption 1) Sector: Local energy - policy 2) Policy name: Renewable energy property tax exemption 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; homeowners 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: This program would provide exemptions from property taxes for certain renewable energy installations, including solar PV, solar thermal (e.g. solar hot water heaters), wind, and ground source heat pumps. In other words, assessors would not add the value of renewable energy systems to the taxable value of a property. This exemption is generally applied to both residential homeowners and commercial/industrial facilities. Iowa Code §441.21(8) already exempts solar and wind energy systems from state property taxes for five full assessment years and provides local governments with a local option to exempt wind energy systems from local property taxes. Dubuque has no such a policy, but adoption could enhance the financial incentives for investing in renewable energy systems. With rising conventional energy prices and the falling cost of renewable energy, renewables are poised to grow significantly over the coming years. A policy could be structured in other ways as well. For instance, municipal utility bills could be discounted based on the value of commercial/residential renewable systems. Such 52 a program also has the potential to expand to include all major renewable energy systems (e.g. geothermal) and even certain major home energy efficiency improvements (e.g. Energy Star HVAC systems, window and door installations) in order to facilitate the growth of all effective clean energy and efficiency technologies. Expanding system eligibility would require changes in current state law, but demand from local governments could catalyze those changes. 9) Barriers to implementation: State of Iowa Code for inclusion of broader suite of energy saving measures beyond solar and wind; tax revenue concerns. 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality; lower energy costs; greater certainty of future energy costs; remove barriers to renewable energy and efficiency installations 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on estimated local renewable energy by 2030 (20,000 mt CO2e per year; see sections: Local Clean Energy -Solar and Ground Source Heat Pumps), 100s of mt CO2e annually would represent a 0.5 to 5% increase in renewable installation due to a renewable energy property tax exemption. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Individual system installations have relatively well established impacts on efficiency. However, the number of installations spurred by such a policy by 2030 will depend on demand saturation, energy prices, incentives, system costs, and the suite of qualifying energy use reduction measures. Policy Descriptions: III. Transportation Introduction: Transportation accounted for 277,703 mt CO2e in 2011, or 23 %, of Dubuque's total emissions (Table 1). As such, efforts to streamline and improve the efficiency of Dubuque's transportation system could yield significant reductions in the community's GHG emissions. However, the primary benefits of enhancing Dubuque's transportation system are the convenience, safety, cost, and efficiency for users of Dubuque's roadways and travel corridors. This section will describe transportation related strategies by which Dubuque can reduce its greenhouse gas emissions (Table 5). Table 5. Transportation related GHG reduction strategies and their potential impact in Dubuque, IA. Strategy Estimated GHG reduction (mt CO2e per year by 2030) Complete Streets 9,303 — 27,909 p. 53 The Jule — Dubuque transit system redesign 100s p. 54 The Jule —fuel efficient buses 1,008 p. 55 Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Facility 2,255 p. 56 Southwest Arterial 7,762 p. 57 Smarter City ITS 4,591 p. 58 Particle filters on diesel City fleet vehicles *861 p. 59 EV charging infrastructure 1,000s p. 60 Car sharing 10s p. 61 Parking 100s p. 62 Transit policies and programs 100 — 10,000 p. 63 Bicycle policies and programs 100 —1.000 p. 64 Safe Routes to School /Safe Routes to Play 10 —100 p. 65 Roundabouts 100 —1,000 p. 66 Signal timing optimization 100 —1,000 p. 67 Idling reduction 50 — 500 p. 68 Total potential impact (scope 1— average of range) % total reduction goal (520,000 mt of reductions by 2030) 47,944 I 9.2% *Black carbon - not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal 53 Complete Streets 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Complete streets 3) Policy type: Local policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; visitors; businesses; commuters; commercial drivers 5) Current status: Policy adopted by City Council in 2011; supported by DMATS resolution in 2010. Demonstration project in Historic Millwork District completed in 2012, supported by $5 million TIGER grant. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 9,303- 27,909 mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Complete streets is a planning and design process that ensures that the health, safety, and mobility of all transportation users are considered in all phases of road project planning, including motorists, pedestrians, bicyclists, public transit users, commercial vehicles, and people of all ages and abilities. Complete streets does not mean "all modes on all roads," nor does it require specific design features like sidewalks, bicycle lanes, or transit stops on any particular street. For each project, planners evaluate the current and future needs of all users and design accordingly. Complete streets also does not require immediate reconstruction of roads, but is implemented during regularly scheduled road construction, reconstruction, and maintenance. This allows planners and engineers to implement complete streets one project at a time, gradually piecing together a complete transportation network that efficiently serves the needs of all users. 9) Barriers to implementation: Planning 54 standards and design manual; congruity with state and county roadways. 10) Co- benefits: The GHG reduction from complete streets is important but is not its primary benefit. The main benefit is bringing safe and convenient mobility options to citizens who are poorly served by conventional transportation and struggle every day to reach workplaces, shopping, medical care, and other essential destinations. Complete streets also can boost local commerce, improve health and fitness, and improve air quality, thereby saving money on preventable health care costs and lost work productivity. Additionally, complete streets can reduce traffic volume and congestion within the city, minimize travel times, lower fuel costs and consumption for drivers, and improve traffic safety. The full suite of potential benefits are detailed in Green Dubuque's 2010 report on complete streets in Dubuque (Schatz 2010). 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: According to several studies (Bartholomew 2009; CCAP 2010; Winkelman et al. 2009), comprehensive policies like complete streets can typically reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) by 10% or more. That 10% reduction is considered a baseline around which actual reductions will vary. 9,303- 27,909 mt CO2e per year represents a 5 -15% decrease (assuming a 33% improvement in overall fleet fuel economy from 2007 to 2030 - -see section Baseline Scenario). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Uncertain impact on individual behavior. Higher oil prices by 2030 could significantly increase demand for alternative modes and GHG impact of complete streets. The Jule - Dubuque Transit System Redesign 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: The Jule - Dubuque transit system redesign 3) Policy type: Municipal; Community policy; Individuals 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; DMATS /ECIA, residents; businesses; visitors 5) Current status: Ongoing implementation during 2010 -2012. In 2010, ridership increased by 10.7% and cost per ride decreased by 14.5% 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: In 2009, the City of Dubuque and ECIA rebranded the former Keyline transit system and improved the design and overall management of routes and operations, creating the new "Jule" transit system. Routes and schedules are being carefully redesigned to match the needs of existing and potential riders, which will improve route efficiency, cut costs, increase ridership, and bring bus service to more people who demand it. The new transit system includes a new fleet of fuel efficient buses (see section: The Jule - Fuel efficient buses) that will utilize electronic fare boxes (rather than, for instance, punchcards), automated announcement systems, and online scheduling and tracking software that will allow transit users to more easily find their routes and track bus arrivals and departures. 9) Barriers to implementation: Attracting ridership; educating Dubuque community about changes; getting current/prospective bus riders to try /adopt the system. 10) Co- benefits: Improved route efficiency, convenient transportation options for those who choose public transit and those who have no 55 choice, reduced roadway congestion, increased traffic safety, improved health and air quality, increased commerce /labor opportunities as more people can reach workplaces and shopping destinations, and lower individual transportation costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Assuming: (1) a single bus trip reduces GHG emissions by 10 lbs CO2 (publictransportation.org); (2) 276,342 trips per year on the Jule (LCS Transportation Consultants 2009); (3) a 50% increase in ridership due to the efforts described above, the GHG impact is estimated at 460 mt CO2e annually, which puts this in the 100s of mt per year range. 50% increase in ridership by 2030 appears conservative considering that ridership increased over 10% in 2010 alone. These estimates assume that people riding the bus would otherwise drive the same distance in an average automobile. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Uncertain effects on individual behavior. Oil prices, if significantly higher by 2030, could increase demand for alternative modes. The intermodal transportation facility could also bolster the impact of complete streets significantly. The Jule - Fuel Efficient Buses 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: The Jule - Fuel efficient buses 3) Policy type: Municipal; Community policy; Individuals 4) Affected entities: The Jule; DMATS /ECIA; City of Dubuque; residents; businesses; visitors 5) Current status: Ongoing implementation in 2011 -2012. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,008 mt CO2e annually by 2030 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: In 2010, ECIA and the City of Dubuque received grants to replace the Keyline (now known as the Jule) bus fleet and equip the new buses with intelligent transportation system (ITS) technology. Through these grants, the City acquired $3.8 million for fleet replacement. The ITS system includes electronic fare boxes (rather than, for instance, punchcards), automated announcement systems, and scheduling and tracking software that will allow transit users to more easily find their routes and track bus arrivals and departures. The buses will consist of clean diesel vehicles that will significantly improve fuel economy and air quality. 9) Barriers to implementation: Attracting ridership; educating Dubuque community about changes; getting current/prospective bus riders to try the system, then adopt it. 10) Co- benefits: Lower maintenance costs and longer lifespan of new buses; lower transit system operating costs due to greater fuel efficiency; reduced traffic volume and congestion within the city; improved health and air quality; reducing travel times; lower fuel use and cost for drivers; and improved traffic safety. 56 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: If ridership remains the same, the fleet upgrades will prevent approximately 1,008 tonnes of CO2e emissions per year based on recent mileage and fuel use totals (City of Dubuque 2010). However, if the redesign of the Jule transit system (see section: The Jule - Dubuque Transit System Redesign) increases ridership, these savings will be higher (e.g. a 30% increase in ridership would increase this by 30 %). In any case, the reduction is almost certain to be in the range of a few thousand mt CO2e per year. For instance, if ridership remains static, the reduction will be 1,000 mt. If ridership increases by, say, 50 %, then it will be 1,500 mt per year. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Ridership response to new buses /transit system. Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Center 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Center 3) Policy type: Municipal; Community policy 4) Affected entities: The Jule; DMATS /ECIA; City of Dubuque; residents; businesses; visitors 5) Current status: Planning largely complete. Construction pending grants /funding. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 2,255 mt CO2e annually by 2030 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: The Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Center (DITC) is a proposed facility that will connect air, rail, bus, automobile, and river traffic at a single integrated transportation hub. Dubuque currently has no facility where all travel and mobility options are linked in a convenient, central location. For instance, local and interstate bus services, airport shuttle services, long and short term vehicle parking, and boat traffic all require users to travel to different locations across the city, making it challenging to effectively move from one mode to another, or even to effectively utilize a single mode (e.g. local buses). This limits demand for alternative transportation modes as well as decreasing the convenience and efficiency of the overall transportation network. The benefits of the facility would be further enhanced by the proposed Amtrak route between Dubuque and Chicago. The proposed facility would be located near the Port of Dubuque and Historic Millwork District, with convenient access to surrounding businesses, tourist attractions, the Mississippi River, and U.S. Highways 20, 52, 61, and 151, which link Dubuque to other cities while serving as arterials to all parts of the community. 57 9) Barriers to implementation: Securing funding. 10) Co- benefits: Direct benefits include enhanced convenience for all transportation modes, increased parking in the downtown and Port of Dubuque areas, and enhanced tourism and commerce. Other benefits include improved air quality, decreased traffic congestion, and improved transportation safety. Significant numbers of construction related and permanent jobs would also be created. The City of Dubuque anticipates the creation of over 100 jobs and between $100 and $200 million in cumulative benefits over the next 30 years. The DITC is also an example of infill development (see section: Infill Development), as the proposed site is on an existing brownfield in a central downtown location. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: The City of Dubuque estimated that over 30 years, 102 tonnes of NQ (310 times the global warming potential of CO2) and 45,088 mt CO2e will be prevented by the intermodal facility by 2030 (total), which equates to 2,255 tonnes CO2e per year (City of Dubuque 2011). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Uncertain effects on individual behavior. Oil prices, if significantly higher by 2030, could increase demand for alternative modes. Fate of passenger rail line to Chicago. Southwest Arterial 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Southwest Arterial 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: DMATS /ECIA; City of Dubuque; residents; businesses; visitors; commercial vehicles. 5) Current status: As of 2012, the preliminary engineering design phase is completed and the Southwest Arterial project is now proceeding with the final engineering design phase, right -of- way property acquisition, and archaeological and cultural resource phase III mitigation work. The first phase of construction began late 2010. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 7,762 mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: The Southwest Arterial will be a 6.1 -mile four -lane divided freeway that will provide an alternative route for traffic through southwestern Dubuque. It will connect the Dubuque Technology Park on Dubuque's SW side, the new Dubuque Industrial Center West, and the existing Dubuque Industrial Center on Dubuque's NW side. The Southwest Arterial will provide an alternate, direct, and efficient route for traffic through southwestern Dubuque, which will avoid the numerous signalized intersections on Hwy 61/151, Hwy 20, and Central Avenue (Hwy 52/3). The Southwest Arterial will provide an efficient bypass around the City, thereby reducing travel times and minimizing delay by reducing traffic volumes and congestion on the local street system. In addition, the City is considering a cutting edge 'green streets' initiative for the project, which would minimize construction waste and landscape impact of the SW Arterial and incorporate sustainable design and 'complete streets' related features. 58 9) Barriers to implementation: Securing full funding. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced traffic volume and congestion within the city, improved health and air quality, reducing travel times, lower fuel use and cost for drivers, and improved traffic safety. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Estimate taken from the 2010 City of Dubuque's Federal TIGER Grant application (City of Dubuque 2010b). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Uncertain effects on individual behavior and traffic patterns within City. Smarter City ITS 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Smarter City ITS 3) Policy type: Municipal; Community policy; Individuals 4) Affected entities: Residents; visitors; IBM; City of Dubuque 5) Current status: Pilot study underway. In 2012, Dubuque received a $1.6 million ICAAP (Iowa Clean Air Attainment Program) grant for the SmartTransit component of its Smarter Travel Pilot Study. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 9,040 mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: The Smarter City Intelligent Transportation Solution (Smarter City ITS) is a partnership between the City of Dubuque and IBM to provide a sophisticated system for analyzing real -time transportation data that will facilitate data -based improvements in overall travel efficiency in Dubuque. 9) Barriers to implementation: Data analysis and implementation; participant recruitment. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced traffic congestion within the city, improved health and air quality, reducing travel times, lower fuel use and cost for drivers, and improved traffic safety. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Estimate came from Dubuque's 2009 Federal Tiger Grant application for the program 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate. Impact/implementation of data analysis results. 59 Particle Filters 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Particle filters on diesel City fleet vehicles 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration as of 2012. However, Dubuque is currently incorporating biodiesel into its fuel mix, which will also mitigate black carbon emissions. Also, newer vehicles have better emissions controls 6) Estimated GHG reduction: *861 mt CO2e annually. *black carbon not counted in inventory or toward GHG reduction goal 7) Scope of emissions reduction: * Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Black carbon is essentially soot produced by the combustion of fossil fuels and biomass. The majority of black carbon emissions in the US come from diesel engines as well as wood burning stoves and other unfiltered biomass burning. Black carbon has long been regulated for its negative air quality and health impacts but has recently drawn attention for its climate impacts. For diesel vehicles in particular several mitigation technologies are available. Most diesel engines can be easily and inexpensively retrofitted with diesel particle filters to eliminate over 90% of black carbon emissions. The City of Dubuque could retrofit municipally owned diesel vehicles with particle filters. Newer vehicles tend to be more efficient, so older vehicles should be prioritized. 60 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front costs 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Numbers are based on diesel fuel use in 2003 and 2007 by City fleet vehicles of various model years (oldest being 1971; newest being 2008). We use an emission factor of 0.002 kg black per gallon of diesel and a GWP of 2,200 mt CO2e per mt black carbon (Bond and Sun 2005). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Estimates of GHG reduction per gallon fuel should be reliable (assuming GWP for black carbon is accurate), so number of vehicles will determine impact. Since 1988, diesel engines have had to meet increasingly stringent emissions standards. Particle filters are not explicitly required, but more stringent requirements are making them standard features, and by 2030 most operational diesel vehicles in the Dubuque fleet will undoubtedly have particle filters installed. Still, particle filters are often low cost, so they may be a good solution in the interim. EV Charging Infrastructure 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: EV charging infrastructure 3) Policy type: Business; Individual; Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; businesses 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Current plug in electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to cut vehicle fuel costs by 70% or more. For instance, the Tesla Model S has a range of over 250 miles and an EPA rated economy of 38 kWh per 100 miles. At $0.10 per kWh, that translates to $3.80 per 100 driving miles, comparable to the current price of a single gallon of gasoline. The US has set a goal of one million electric vehicles on American highways by 2015. With the 12th lowest electricity rates in the country, Iowa consumers are positioned to significantly benefit from affordable EVs and accessible vehicle charging infrastructure. EVs also have the potential to serve as energy storage units for the regional electric grid. Bi- directional charging stations can allow EV owners to sell excess energy in the vehicle's battery back to, for instance, their employers during the workday in order to offset costly peak energy demand. Possible implementation strategies in Dubuque include working with local businesses and Alliant Energy to implement EV Charging infrastructure and using resources at ECIA and the Dubuque Smarter Cities - Transportation program to optimize potential charging station 61 locations. 9) Barriers to implementation: Locating/establishing local markets. Initial costs. Administration, outreach, and education. 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health. Reduced VMTs and cost of auto ownership. Viability of emerging vehicle technologies in Dubuque for residents, visitors, businesses, and commercial traffic. Local jobs for installers, electricians, etc (e.g. Crescent Electric) 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: To get a baseline estimate of the impact of car sharing on GHG emissions, it was assumed that EVs would account for 5% of the VMTs in Dubuque by 2030, and that EVs would be 50% less carbon intensive than conventional vehicles operating at estimated 2030 average fuel economy (Appendix B). With estimated transportation emissions of 186,061 mt CO2e in 2030 (Appendix B), EVs would yield 4,652 mt CO2e of reductions by 2030, putting EV charging infrastructure in the 1,000s of mt range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low. 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of adoption; behavior in response to EV charging infrastructure; gasoline and electricity prices; emissions intensity of EVs vs displaced vehicles in 2030. Car Sharing 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Car sharing 3) Policy type: Business; Individual; Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; businesses 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: lOs of mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Car sharing provides an alternative to car ownership by making vehicles (usually owned and maintained by a company) available to be used and reserved by car share members. In general, those driving fewer miles per year (6,000 is a commonly cited threshold) can save money with car sharing. The largest car share company is Zipcar, which operates a fleet of nearly 10,000 vehicles in 28 states with over 650,000 members, including many college campuses (Zipcar.com, Jan. 2012). Car sharing schemes can reduce GHG emissions by providing more explicit and immediate financial feedbacks on driving miles compared to long term vehicle ownership. For instance, if you own a car, you are likely to use it at every possible convenience. If you share a car and have to arrange and pay for every use, you are more likely to prioritize and only use it when necessary. Possible implementation strategies in Dubuque include: A Work to bring car sharing companies to Dubuque A Place car share pods adjacent to existing transit network and in neighborhoods under- 62 served by public transit, including low income residents and college students A Conduct community surveys on level of probable use in different areas of Dubuque in order to facilitate market entry for car share companies A Employers and others could provide car share subsidies for low income residents, college students, and others with financial impediments to independent mobility. A Facilitate car share company market entry by modifying business license and zoning requirements to allow siting in residential areas and designated private driveways. A Designate priority /free /discounted parking for car share vehicles. A Make all car share vehicles in Dubuque hybrid, electric, or high efficiency vehicles. 9) Barriers to implementation: Locating/establishing local markets; advertising/buy in by community 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health. Reduced VMTs and cost of auto ownership. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: To get a baseline estimate of the impact of car sharing on GHG emissions, it was assumed that car sharing could reduce driving miles by 100,000 miles per year altogether (equal to about eight average people's annual driving miles) at a fuel economy of 32 mpg by 2030, yielding 28 mt CO2e per year reduction. This falls in the lOs of mt range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low. Range of lOs of mt should be fairly reliable, however. 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Scale of program; degree of adoption; behavior in response to disincentive to drive; fuel economy of car share vehicles vs displaced vehicles. Parking 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Parking 3) Policy type: Business; individual; community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Municipal parking design is widely recognized as costly and inefficient in most cities (Shoup 2011). Instead of maximizing available parking, the goal should be to optimize parking fees and infrastructure in Dubuque to equitably account for and capture the true cost and market rate for parking. There are many options for improving parking efficiency and concurrently reducing GHG emissions. Options include: A Parking meter air quality surcharge, with half of additional funds going to local health and air quality initiatives A Preferential parking for efficient modes. This could be: parking garage passes with prices scaled to the fuel efficiency of the make /model; a particular level of fuel efficiency or vehicle type could be made eligible for stickers that exempt them from most public parking fees and meters; priority parking spaces (e.g. adjacent to handicapped parking spaces) for fuel efficient, shared, or carpool/vanpool vehicles. A Charging stations for electric and plug -in hybrid vehicles. Study efficient placement for charging stations for plug in hybrid and electric vehicles (See section: EV charging 63 infrastructure). A Parking cash out programs. Encourage businesses to create parking cash out options. Essentially, if an employer pays for all or part of employee parking, make it possible for the employee to "cash out" of their parking space and receive equivalent cash value instead. Structure in such a way as to avoid negative tax implications. A Discontinue/phase out subsidized parking for City employees 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy development and implementation; resident and business education and participation. 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health. Reduced VMTs and cost of auto ownership since rental provides a more explicit and immediate financial feedback on usage than long -term vehicle ownership can. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 100s of mt CO2e per year would represent an approximately 0.05 -0.5% reduction in VMTs ranging from parking related policies. This item has a large range of uncertainty because the impact of parking policies on GHGs has not been explicitly studied. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Actual suite of policies adopted; strength of incentives /disincentives; behavior changes in response to policies. We are aware of no studies that quantify the GHG impact of parking policies. Transit Policies and Programs 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Transit policies and programs 3) Policy type: Businesses; Individuals; Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 - 10,000 of mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Dubuque's transit system is undergoing a host of improvements, but several complementary policies could further enhance the GHG reduction of Dubuque's transit system: A Bus rapid transit. Bus rapid transit entails identifying high use, high priority transit corridors and finding ways (e.g. designated lanes) to enhance transit flow down those corridors. This is already occurring through the Smarter City ITS program. A Chicago regional passenger rail connection. Continue lobbying for increased regional connectivity, including the proposed Dubuque -to- Chicago passenger rail line. Eco-pass. Implement an "eco -pass" program for businesses, institutions, city employees, and low income residents. This could consist of mass purchasing of discounted bus passes by businesses and institutions. The passes are then made available to employees, students, and other eligible groups at no explicit charge. Such a program has been very successful in Boulder, CO, where people with eco -passes are 5 -9 times more likely to ride buses. Each eco -pass holder is responsible for 1.19 mt CO2e less than other residents (this number includes eligible 64 people who either do not get or do not use eco -passes - source: Boulder 2011). A Flexible Spending Accounts for Transit. City, businesses, and institutions could offer pre -tax subsidies for transit passes, car sharing, cycling, etc. Telecommuting and, flexible employee schedules. Work with businesses to implement policies that facilitate carpooling A Visitor transportation option kiosks. Partner with hotels /motels /airports /visitor destinations to provide information about public transit, bicycle, and pedestrian facilities Ridesharing /carpooling electronic resource. Set up a ridesharing/carpooling website for the community (example: www3.drcog.org/RideArrangers). Could be integrated with The Jule transit website. 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy development and implementation. Resident and business education. 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health. Reduced VMTs and cost of auto ownership. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 100 - 10,000 of mt CO2e per year would represent approximate reductions in VMTs ranging from 0.05 -5% due to transit related policies. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Actual suite of policies adopted; strength of incentives /disincentives enacted through policies; behavior changes in response to policies. Therefore, we have assigned the wide range of 100 - 10,000 mt. Bicycle Policies and Programs 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Bicycle Policies and Programs 3) Policy type: Business; individual; community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents 5) Current status: Prospective; some initiatives in early planning stages. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 -1,000 mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Bicycle transport has received extensive attention in Dubuque over the past decade, with a significant number of trails, signage, and bicycle lanes creating safe and convenient routes for recreation and commuting via bicycle. Dubuque is planning and studying many other options, however, and there are several others that could be incorporated into Dubuque's transportation system, including: A Bike sharing stations/libraries (e.g. the "Bike Coop" volunteer group starting a bike library in Dubuque as of late 2012; also B- Cycle or other comparable bike check -out or rental station) in high use areas, such as the Millwork District and Riverfront. Could be purely local endeavor where City provides siting/infrastructure /permitting while a private entity or volunteer group administers the sharing station. A Bicycle boulevards. Create designated bicycle boulevards in high use areas where design features and signage are centered around facilitating safe bicycle travel A New parking lots include bicycle parking /racks. City ordinance /resolution to require all new parking lots to provide a 65 certain ratio of car to bicycle spaces (with exception of some minimum lot size). 9) Barriers to implementation: Funding; bicycle network design/planning; administration/staff time 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health; reduced VMTs, traffic congestion, and cost of auto ownership; improved fitness opportunities. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 100 -1,000 mt CO2e per year would represent approximate reductions in VMTs ranging from 0.05 -0.5% due to bicycle related policies. Bicycle travel typically constitutes 1 -2% of commuting in most communities (US DOT/FHWA 2011), so 0.05-0.5% of total VMTs seems to be a reasonably inclusive range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low, but range should be reliable 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Actual suite of policies adopted; strength of incentives /disincentives enacted through policies; behavior changes in response to policies. Safe Routes to School /Safe Routes to Play 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Safe Routes to School /Safe Routes to Play 3) Policy type: Businesses; Individuals; Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; children 5) Current status: Ongoing. Dubuque is in the process of applying Safe Routes to School principles to local schools. Through ECIA, grants are pending for 11 walking school bus routes and 108 crosswalks on roadways around Dubuque's public and parochial schools (as of early 2012). 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 10 -100 mtCO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: The Safe Routes to School program seeks to make walking and bicycling to school a safe and routine activity for students by, for instance, designing safer street crossings, sidewalks, and other features that create safe and continuous links between homes and schools. Over 50% of children arrive at school via private automobiles (US DOT/FHWA 2011). This is less important to GHGs than it is to child health/safety, air quality, and traffic congestion. Improving infrastructure and programs for children to get to and from school under their own power can help improve childhood fitness and lower the risk of health problems later in life. Safe Routes to Play is a similar program that seeks to create links between where children live and where they play, such as parks and playgrounds. 66 9) Barriers to implementation: Implementation; funding; education and encouragement of parents, students, and schools. 10) Co- benefits: The primary benefits are to the health and safety of children in Dubuque and include increased physical activity and health among children as well as improved air quality and lower traffic congestion. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Reducing GHG emissions are not the most important impact of these programs. However, reducing the trips necessary to take children to and from school will reduce GHG emissions. To get a baseline estimate of GHG reduction, we assume a 2 mile average distance from home to school and 2 roundtrips per day for a total of 8 miles. Over 50% of children arrive at school via private automobiles (US DOT /FHWA 2011), though we conservatively assume 25 %. There are roughly 10,000 public school students in Dubuque, suggesting 20,000 miles per day, equivalent to a total of around 5 mt CO2e per day (assuming 33% improvement in fuel economy by 2030 - Appendix B). For the entire 180 day school year, this is around 1,000 mt annually. If Safe Routes to School /Play could reduce this by 1 -10 %, that would be equivalent to 10 -100 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Degree of implementation; response to program by students /parents; effectiveness of education about the program and availability of 'safe routes.' Roundabouts 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Roundabouts 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; visitors; commercial drivers 5) Current status: Several roundabouts are being studied and considered as part of proposed "east -west corridor" through the City. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 -1,000 mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Roundabouts are circular intersections that promote safe and efficient traffic flow. The main benefits of roundabouts are improvements in traffic flow, efficiency, and safety. They have been found to decrease collision rates, travel times, and fuel use, thereby lowering the cost of vehicle operation. Where they have been installed, roundabouts have decreased crashes by an average of 40% and crashes involving injuries by 80% (Persaud et al. 2001). 9) Barriers to implementation: Capital costs; initial acceptance by drivers. 10) Co- benefits: Improved air quality and local health; reduced fuel consumption/cost. Reduced travel times; improved traffic safety. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on the averages of Bergh et al. (2005), who studied ten intersections in Virginia, roundabouts can be expected to save 0.85 gallons of gas and 7.52E -3 mt CO2e annually per weekday traffic count through a given intersection. For instance, installing a roundabout at a 10,000 vehicle per day intersection would be expected to save approximately 8,500 of gallons of fuel each year, equivalent to around 75 mt 67 CO2e per roundabout (this assumes a 250 day work - year -- weekends and holidays not counted). As such, we estimate the potential GHG impact of roundabouts in Dubuque to be on the order of 100 -1,000 mt CO2e per year (this is equivalent to between one and thirteen 10,000 vehicle /day intersections by 2030) 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Traffic volume of intersections replaced; number of intersections replaced. Signal Timing Optimization 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Signal timing optimizat 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; visitors; commercial drivers 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration corridor (Sunkari 2004). Even a 10,000 gallon improvement in fuel efficiency (at the low end of on observed values across the country) would yield an 89 mt CO2e per year reduction in GHG emissions. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 - 1,000 mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: Traffic signal optimization entails using smart sensors and advanced technology to maximize green light times for the heaviest traffic flows and allow signal cycle time to adjust based on changing demands during peak times, such as rush hour. Doing so can significantly decrease delays, reduce travel times, and save fuel, with benefit:cost ratios often on the order of 60:1 or higher (US DOT 2012). The primary benefits of signal optimization are improvements in safety, time savings during driving and commuting, improved air quality, and fuel savings. Via that fuel savings, GHG emissions are reduced. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; adjustment, maintenance, and continued optimization of signals and software (work hours and personnel). 10) Co- benefits: Improved air quality and local health; reduced fuel consumption/cost. Reduced travel times; improved safety and crash reduction; reduced travel time loss 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: With signal optimization, fuel consumption can typically decrease by tens of thousands of gallons per year for a moderate -to -heavy use optimized 68 This is only a baseline estimate, but it suggests that through advanced signal optimization, Dubuque has the capacity to reduce GHG emissions on the order of 100 - 1,000 mt CO2e per year (i.e. between 1 and 11 optimized corridors by 2030). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Number of corridors optimized; traffic volume through those corridors; delays before and after optimization. Idling Reduction 1) Sector: Transportation 2) Policy name: Idling reduction (general) 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; residents; visitors; commercial drivers 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: According to the DOE, unnecessary idling wastes 1.4% of annual US fuel consumption, not to mention harming local air quality. To mitigate these issues, many cities nationwide have instituted idling reduction ordinances, with signage and/or penalties designed to prevent idling for longer than a specified period of time (e.g. 3 minutes) with exemptions for traffic jams, emergency vehicles, auxiliary vehicle equipment, the health and safety of the driver, and other reasonable exceptions. 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy development; education of drivers; enforcement 10) Co- benefits. Improved air quality and local health; reduced fuel consumption/cost. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: According to the DOE, unnecessary idling wastes 1.4% of annual US fuel consumption (Gaines and Levinson 2011), which would be equivalent to approximately 4,000 mt CO2e for Dubuque. Reducing this by just 10 -25% would reduce GHG emissions by 400 -1,000 mt CO2e per year, putting the impact of idling reduction in the 100s of mt CO2e per year range. 69 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Actual degree of idling in Dubuque currently. Response to policy. Policy Descriptions: IV. Built Environment Introduction: The built environment influences everything from building energy use to transportation. In other words, the built environment affects every sector accounted for in Dubuque's GHG inventory (with the exception of the waste sector). As such, building design /operation and urban planning has a significant impact on local GHG emissions and overall quality of life. This section will describe built environment related strategies by which Dubuque can reduce its GHG emissions (Table 6). These strategies are divided into two subcategories: (1) Facility and building efficiency, containing strategies that affect building energy use, and (2) Planning and urban efficiency, containing strategies related to urban planning that affect transportation and energy use via the use and arrangement of buildings. Table 6. Building and planning related GHG reduction strategies and their potential impact in Dubuque, IA. Strategy Estimated GHG reduction (mt 002e per year by 2030) Built environment - facility and building efficiency WRRC - Anaerobic digestion 928 p. 70 ECIA Petal Project 1,000 - 10,000 p. 71 Dubuque Schools 1,311 —2,500 p. 72 Smarter Sustainable Dubuque — energy and water 1,671 — 19,053 p. 73 IECC building standards 10,000s p. 74 USGBC — LEED for Existing Buildings 1,000s p. 75 PACE (and similar financing programs) 100s p. 76 Public building efficiency standards (City gov. buildings) 100 —1,000 P. 77 Advanced commercial building efficiency standards 1,000 — 100,000 P. 78 Rental housing energy efficiency 1,000 — 10,000 P. 79 Ground source heat pumps (residential) 100 -1,000 p. 80 Municipal lighting and energy efficiency 1,000 -5,000 p. 81 Commercial lighting and energy efficiency 1,000 — 10,000 p. 83 State and Federal programs and incentives 100s + p. 84 Subtotal (scopes 1 and 2 — average of range) 145, 896 . ' im`■ Built environment — planning and urban efficiency • Dubuque Unified Development Code 1,000s p. 85 Infill development 1,000s p. 86 Historic building preservation and revitalization 100s p. 87 Smart growth — miscellaneous 100s p. 88 Subtotal (scopes 1 and 2 - average of range) 12,050 Total potential impact (scopes 1 and 2 - average of range) 157,946 total reduction goal (520,000 mt of reductions by 2030) 30 4% 70 WRRC - Anaerobic Digestion 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: WRRC - anaerobic digestion 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Under construction (scheduled completion 2014) 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 928 mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (fuel oil); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Dubuque's Water & Resource Recovery Center (WRRC) is a secondary wastewater treatment facility responsible for treating and disposing of the community's sewage and wastewater. The old facility incinerated waste solids and was designed in the 1970s, upgraded in the early 1990s, and in the most recent review proved insufficient to continue to meet Dubuque's growing needs. Various options were considered for replacing the existing facility before the City selected anaerobic digestion as the best option to meet Dubuque's future needs. This upgrade is scheduled for completion in 2014. 9) Barriers to implementation: None. 10) Co- benefits: In a presentation given by Strand Consultants in February 2008, it was indicated that the transition from waste incineration to anaerobic digestion (with land application) would reduce electricity use by 928,172 kWh/year and fuel oil consumption by 16,972 gal /year, saving significantly on yearly operating costs as compared to incineration. Also, replacing incineration with anaerobic digestion will improve local air quality and 71 health. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on Strand Consultants estimates (Strand 2008), anaerobic digestion (compared to incineration) will reduce electricity demand by 928,172 kWh/year and fuel oil consumption by 16,972 gal/year. Assuming 2030 emission factor projections for electricity (Appendix A) and 22.29 lbs CO2e per gallon fuel oil, anaerobic digestion will yield 928 mt CO2e reduction per year. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No major uncertainties. Depends on facility demand by community ECIA Petal Project 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: ECIA Petal Project 3) Policy type: Voluntary 4) Affected entities: Businesses 5) Current status: Ongoing since 2009. As of fall 2012, Petal certified businesses include The Finley Hospital, Loras College, Dubuque Bank & Trust, Premier Bank, River Lights Book Store, Premier Tooling and Mfg, Inc, and Dubuque Data Services. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000- 10,000 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The award winning Petal Project is a voluntary green business certification program developed and administered by ECIA. The Petal Project provides businesses with a clear sustainability framework and technical assistance to improve the environment and the bottom line. The Petal Project covers a broad spectrum of environmental impacts, including a strong energy savings component that relies on the EPA's Energy Star standards for energy efficient workplaces. The Petal Project began in 2009 and has expanded every year since. As of fall 2012, 6 businesses /institutions representing over 2,000 employees have been certified, and another 23 businesses /institutions are working toward full Petal certification. 9) Barriers to implementation: Continuing business enthusiasm and participation; administration and/or expansion by ECIA; funding of program. 10) Co- benefits: The primary benefits of the 72 program are to the bottom line, image, and work environment of participating businesses. The program also builds a robust, voluntary "green business" culture in Dubuque and helps to enhance the health and productivity of employees. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Total 2009 commercial/industrial emissions were 441,392 mt CO2e from electricity and 50,961 mt from natural gas. To calculate future reductions, projected 2030 electric emission factors (Appendix A) were used; natural gas emission factors were assumed to remain at 0.05306 mt CO2e per MMBTU between 2009 and 2030. Upper bound (10,000 mt) assumes that 1 in 10 average businesses in the Dubuque commercial and industrial sectors will attain Petal Project certification over the next 20 years (this need not be 1 in 10 by number, but 1 in 10 by size if larger businesses /institutions are first to be certified). We also assume that certified businesses on average will decrease their electricity and natural gas use by 20 %. Lower bound (1,000 mt) assumes 1 in 100 average businesses achieve these gains. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Number of successful participants; other forces on energy use (energy prices, etc); overlap with other programs in this study make it difficult to allocate GHG reductions to a single program, but the range (1,000- 10,000 mt) appears reasonable. Dubuque Community Schools 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Dubuque Community Schools 3) Policy type: Fiscal; administrative; cost reduction 4) Affected entities: Dubuque community school district 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,311 mt CO2e annually in anticipated actions through 2013 alone. Achievable amount is almost certainly on the order of 2,500+ mt. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The Dubuque Community School District is working to cut energy and utility costs through a variety of simple operational and energy efficiency solutions. According to Mark Henning of 7th Power Sustainable, the Dubuque Community School District achieved 11% energy reduction in the 2009 -10 school year compared to the previous two years, saving more than $212,600. The next goal is to achieve a 25 to 30% reduction in the next three to five years. 9) Barriers to implementation: None; continued availability of energy efficiency and reduction opportunities. 10) Co- benefits: According to Mark Henning of 7th Power Sustainable, the Dubuque Community School District has achieved 11% energy reduction in the 2009 -10 school year compared to the previous two years, saving more than $212,600. The next goal is to achieve a 25 to 30% reduction in the next three to five years. In other words, the program saves the District money and indirectly improves regional air 73 quality by lowering demand for grid energy. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Estimates based on GHG reductions to date and anticipated through 2013 (Mark Henning, personal communication 2011). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No major uncertainties in near future. However, Mr. Henning's estimates only extended through 2013, leaving another 16 years of potential efficiency improvements to bolster these numbers. As such, this should be considered a low baseline estimate. Smarter Sustainable Dubuque - Energy and Water 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Smarter Sustainable Dubuque Initiative 3) Policy type: Voluntary; administrative 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; IBM; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Pilot programs and data analysis ongoing since 2010. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,671 mt CO2e annually from pilot program (31 mt from water efficiency; 1,640 mt from reduced energy demand). If extended to 50% of Dubuque households, reductions could be on the scale of 19.053 mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The Smarter Sustainable Dubuque project is a partnership between the City of Dubuque and IBM to develop smart metering and information systems that will enable homeowners to identify inefficient or unintended use of water and energy. The pilot project of 1,000 homes includes information for water, transportation, and electricity. 9) Barriers to implementation: For pilot study, none. For expansion, up front costs, education, garnering community participants. 10) Co- benefits: Improved efficiency and lower water /electricity costs for consumers. Indirectly improves regional air quality by lowering demand for grid energy. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Estimates based on EPA Showcase Communities 74 Grant submitted by City of Dubuque on 7/19/10 (City of Dubuque 2010c). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate -low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Primary uncertainties include impact of participation on consumption patterns and the degree to which the program is expanded in the future. IECC Building Standards 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: IECC building standards 3) Policy type: Community policy; Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: The City of Dubuque Building Services Dept. has consistently adopted new IECC standards and currently uses the 2009 version, which is the most recent available. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 10,000s of mt CO2e per year by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The International Energy Conservation Code (IECC) is a building code standard created by the International Code Council. It is a model code that can be voluntarily adopted by state and municipal governments to establish minimum design and construction requirements for energy efficiency in new residential or commercial buildings. Every three years the IECC is reviewed by the International Code Council to align with current best practices in the industry. The 2009 IECC contains several major improvements in energy efficiency over the 2006 IECC, which is the current state code of Iowa. The 2012 IECC standards are expected to represent a 30% increase in building energy savings over the 2006 standards, and the 2015 standards are expected to yield 50% improvement over 2006 (DOE 2011b). 9) Barriers to implementation: Education; verification and enforcement of standards. 10) Co- benefits: Improved energy efficiency, reduced energy costs, improved regional air quality by reducing fossil fuel demand. 75 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Residential: Over the last ten years Dubuque averaged 183 new residential buildings /year (Rich Russell, Dubuque Building Service Manager, personal communication) with a relatively stable population around 60,000. We assume that: (1) these trends will continue; (2) the average single family home emitted 12.07 mt CO2e per year (EPA 2012); (3) new versions of the IECC yield 16.7% average improvements in efficiency per three year period (this is in line with IECC /DOE projections - DOE 2011b). Based on these assumptions and projected 2030 emission factors (Appendix A), IECC standard adoption will save the residential sector approximately 31,184 mt CO2e annually. Commercial: Assuming commercial building efficiency improves at the same rate as residential, we estimate 60,497 mt CO2e reduction by 2030 in the commercial/industrial sectors due to IECC code updates. Combined, this yields 91,682 mt CO2e per year in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors combined, putting GHG emission reductions from IECC standard adoption at the upper end of the 10,000s of mt range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low - medium 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Residential estimates are based on long term trends and are probably reliable. Commercial estimates, however, simply apply the residential sector rate of improvement to the commercial/industrial sectors. While this probably gets us roughly in the right range, the estimates are of low confidence. However, the 10,000s of mt range should be reasonable, (or low if the DOE continues to pursue its goal of zero - net - energy building standards by 2030). Other modifying factors include construction rates in Dubuque; incentives for retrofitting; and novel/lower cost energy efficiency technologies. USGBC - LEED for Existing Buildings 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: U.S. Green Building Council - LEED for existing buildings 3) Policy type: Voluntary 4) Affected entities: Businesses 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: LEED is a U.S. Green Building Council program providing building owners and operators with a clear framework for identifying and implementing practical and proven green building design, operations, and maintenance solutions. LEED is most prominently applied to new construction projects, which re -use, recycle, and minimize construction materials while creating buildings designed to maximize water and energy efficiency, minimize GHG emissions, and improve the indoor environment of the building itself. Examples of LEED certified facilities in Dubuque include the new Hormel Foods processing facility and McGraw -Hill Publishing. The LEED for Existing Buildings program extends LEED to existing - building owners and operators. LEED for Existing Buildings addresses cleaning and maintenance issues, recycling programs, exterior and grounds maintenance, weatherization and energy savings, HVAC system upgrades, and other cost saving and sustainable operations opportunities. In many cases, innovative use and management of existing facilities may be more economically attractive than constructing entirely new facilities. According to Yudelson (2009), existing building upgrades are the fastest 76 growing sector of the green building movement, with over 450 million square feet of buildings signing up for the LEED for Existing Buildings program in 2008 alone. Yudelson (2009) reports that the LEED program generates more than 50% annual cash -on -cash returns for building owners, yielding rapid return on investment. 9) Barriers to implementation: Participation by businesses; initial business capital costs and financing; business staff time and expertise. 10) Co- benefits. Improved energy efficiency, reduced energy and operation costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on case studies from other communities (Yudelson 2009) and the amount of commercial/industrial emissions in Dubuque (over. 500,000 mt CO2e in 2011 alone), there is potential for major reductions in Dubuque. Without more specific data, however, and considering the slight overlap with the Petal Project's mission, we make a more conservative estimate of 1,000s of mt CO2e annually. 1,000 mt represents 20% emissions reduction for 1% of Dubuque businesses (i.e. 1% of 500,000 mt is 5,000 mt; 20% of 5,000 mt is 1,000 mt), so this constitutes a basic lower bound; the upper bound obviously depends on how many businesses participate & what average reductions are. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Estimates are based on total current energy demand of Dubuque businesses and case studies of potential impact from other communities. Estimate may be low, but without data on likely program demand from Dubuque businesses, higher estimates are not justified. Also, there is some difficulty in crediting emissions reductions to this program due to overlap (complementary, not redundant) with other programs, such as the ECIA Petal Project. PACE (and similar financing programs) 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: PACE 3) Policy type: Municipal; Businesses; Individuals; Financial Institutions; State /Federal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Not currently available or under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) is a tool for local governments to empower community members to make renewable energy improvements to homes and businesses without the burden of upfront costs and delayed returns on investment. In typical PACE programs, cities set up special "clean energy finance districts" capable of issuing low- interest bonds to residential or commercial property owners. Participating property owners use available bond money to pay for renewable energy and energy efficiency improvements. Property owners then pay the loan back through a long -term (15 -20 year) assessment on their property taxes. These programs are generally structured to ensure that: (1) the amount of money property owners save on monthly utility bills from PACE - funded improvements exceeds the amount they pay back to PACE on property taxes, ensuring a sustained net savings for property owners, (2) payback to the issuing body occurs at a low rate of interest such that the assets of the program grow over time. So, both homeowners and municipalities profit from the program (shared 77 profit from avoided energy cost). Notably, PACE is strictly voluntary and imposes no direct cost on those choosing not to participate Under current Iowa law, PACE programs are prohibited, so PACE currently is unavailable to Dubuque in its most common form. However, similar arrangements are available via private financial institutions offering low interest "green loans" for commercial and/or residential customers, including DuTrac, Premier Bank, and Dubuque Bank & Trust. It is also available via 'performance contracting' and other similar financing programs. As such, connecting potential customers to financial institutions may be the best way to facilitate PACE style loans. 9) Barriers to implementation: Legal status; administration; financing and initial funding; connection of customers to financial institutions. 10) Co- benefits. Improved energy efficiency, reduced energy costs, improved regional air quality by reducing fossil fuel demand. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Assuming:100 total participating households;12 mt CO2e annual emissions per household (EPA 2012); and a 25% reduction in GHG footprint due to participation, a PACE style program in Dubuque could save >300 mt CO2e annually by 2030, putting PACE in the 100s of mt category. Notably, this assumes only residential participants; business participants would likely yield a much greater reduction. Also, 100 participants is conservative estimate, as participation rates for similar programs (HPRC 2010a; HPRC 2010b) suggest peak participation could reach 100 homeowners per year in a community of Dubuque's size. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Participation; fund availability; legal status of PACE; private bank loan availability Public Building Efficiency Standards (City Gov. Buildings) 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Public building efficiency standards (City gov. buildings) 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: Municipal 5) Current status: Prospective 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 -1,000 mt CO2e per year. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The City of Dubuque could adopt a policy that requires all new or significantly reconstructed City -owned buildings; buildings developed by private developers on City -owned and controlled land; and/or projects that the City finances to meet at least LEED Silver certification standards. This would essentially be a step beyond adoption of current IECC standards (see section: IECC Building Standards). 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy development; financial. 10) Co- benefits: Improved energy efficiency, reduced energy and operation costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Current municipal building GHG emissions are around 5,000 mt CO2e per year. 100 -1,000 mt represents 2 -20% of this total, which captures both modest and significant efficiency gains for City buildings. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Depending on rate of replacement/refurbishment of public buildings 78 between now and 2030, LEED standards could fall anywhere in the 100 -1,000 mt range. If a significant number of low performing buildings are replaced, the reduction could conceivably be >1,000 mt per year. Advanced Commercial Building Efficiency Standards 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Advanced commercial building efficiency standards 3) Policy type: Community Policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Prospective 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e per year. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: To enhance efficiency of new commercial developments, Dubuque has several options. Requiring/encouraging LEED in new buildings would be a strong step beyond adopting the most current IECC standards (see section: IECC Building Standards). LEED would not necessarily have to be required for new commercial developments, though that could be an option in the future. The following is a selection of actions that have been employed by other communities. A Streamlined/preferential permitting and zoning for LEED buildings . This would provide an incentive for developers to build LEED buildings in Dubuque. A Local LEED ordinance or recommendation The City could adopt an ordinance or recommendation setting minimum standards of LEED Silver certification for new commercial, industrial, and high rise residential building projects, or those meeting certain criteria. GreenPoint Rated Checklist Adopt a green 79 building checklist and require a certain point total for residential/commercial buildings (this would essentially be analogous to the LEED ordinance, above) A Minimize unnecessary obstacles to energy efficiency in residential areas such as, for instance, not allowing neighborhoods to forbid outdoor clothes drying to residents 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy design, administration, and implementation; verification; engaging builders, businesses, and developers. 10) Co- benefits. Improved energy efficiency; reduced energy and operational costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Commercial emissions in Dubuque were over 200,000 mt CO2e in 2011, and there is potential for major efficiency related reductions on the order of tens of thousands of mt CO2e. Without more specific data, however, we assign an order of magnitude of 1,000s of mt CO2e annually (0.5% of total commercial building related emissions), though an impact on the order of 10,000s of mt is possible depending on the nature of the standards and the year in which they are implemented (i.e. how many new buildings are built under the standards by 2030). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Uncertainty regarding scope and effectiveness of program and year of implementation; lack of data; overlap with other policies in this document. Rental Housing Energy Efficiency 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Rental housing energy efficiency 3) Policy type: Community policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; landlords; tenants 5) Current status: Not currently under consideration 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000- 10,000 mt CO2e per year. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Improving the efficiency of rental properties can be a difficult challenge. Landlords typically do not pay utility bills and therefore do not directly benefit from lower energy costs, and tenants may hesitate to invest in home improvements that they will leaves behind at the end of their lease. However, many programs can help to overcome these barriers. A selection from other communities includes: A Renter efficiency program. Create /administer efficiency /weatherization program focused on renters and the aspects of their home they can easily affect, such as low flow shower heads, weather stripping, plastic on windows, lighting, thermostat management (smart thermostats), etc. A Landlord energy efficiency incentives Provide incentives for landlords to make energy related improvements. A Energy efficiency lease provisions. Explore ways in which energy /water efficiency improvement costs can be shared between tenants and owners (e.g. lease provisions). 80 A Rental unit energy rating Rate the energy use of rental units to inform current /future occupants of comparative energy costs per square foot of living space. A Green landlord database. Create online database of 'green landlords,' consisting of landlords who provide some kind of verifiable evidence of energy efficiency in their properties. 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy design, administration; implementation; verification; engagement and outreach to landlords and tenants. 10) Co- benefits. Improved energy efficiency, reduced energy costs; rental units more attractive to and less expensive to tenants 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 15.6% of residential energy is consumed in rental housing, nationally (HUD 2011). That suggests that 42,884 mt CO2e per year were consumed in rental properties in 2011 in Dubuque. The 1,000- 10,000 range captures 2.5 -25% improvement in rental property energy efficiency, which would reflect very modest and very significant gains in building energy efficiency. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Scope and effectiveness of program; overlap with other policies in this document. Ground Source Heat Pumps (residential) 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Ground source heat pumps 3) Policy type: Individual residents. 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; utility companies; local businesses; individuals 5) Current status: Ongoing by private residences and businesses 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100 -1,000 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (offset natural gas heating); Scope 2 (offset electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) systems are central heating and cooling systems that pump heat to or from the ground, taking advantage of the relatively constant ground temperature for building heating and cooling. GSHPs can improve the efficiency and significantly reduce operational costs of conventional heating and cooling systems. Depending on the building and type of system, a GSHP can save anywhere from 20 -50% of the energy required to heat and cool a building. With recent fluctuations in energy prices, GSHP systems have been gaining popularity as way for homeowners to take control of their energy bills. In Dubuque, 17 GSHPs were installed in 2010 (Iowa DNR, personal communication). 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; challenges of siting and retrofitting. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced energy demand and costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on current trends (17 /year), we assume 300 total installations between 2010 and 2030 81 (15 /yr). According to the EPA, energy consumption in a typical single family home in the MROW region produces 12 mt CO2e per year (EPA 2012). A typical GSHP system will decrease home energy demand by 20 -50% (average 35 %), yielding an average CO2e reduction of 4.2 mt per year per home. If 300 units are installed, this yields 1,260 mt CO2e per year. Commercial/industrial systems can have a larger impact, but there is far less local data on them and estimates are not provided. This calculation neglects improvements in home energy efficiency over the 2010 -2030 time period, but the GHG impact is nonetheless likely to fall into or a near the 100 -1,000 mt CO2e per year range. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Individual system installations have relatively well established impacts on home energy demand (20 -50 %). However, the number of installations by 2030 will depend on demand saturation, energy prices, incentives, and system costs. Also, this analysis only includes small residential systems, whereas larger commercial or business scale systems could yield a significantly greater impact. Municipal Lighting and Energy Efficiency 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Municipal lighting and energy efficiency 3) Policy type: Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000 -5,000 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: There are many opportunities for improved energy efficiency in municipal operations in Dubuque. Many have already been implemented and others are ongoing, but there are several remaining opportunities. The following is a list of ongoing and potential efficiency improvements in municipal operations. This list is by no means exhaustive. ALEDs in streetlights, stoplights, and municipal buildings /offices. Status: ongoing. Dubuque is in the process of replacing City lights with high efficiency LEDs. LED lighting is up to twice as efficient as fluorescents and 10 -times more efficient than incandescents. They also last 6+ times longer than fluorescents and 40+ times longer than incandescents (DOE 2011c; DOE 2011d). As such, LEDs can significantly reduce energy and maintenance costs of municipal lighting. Up front costs can be intimidating for LEDs, but net cost savings for replacing an ordinary 60W incandescent with an LED are >$250 over the lifetime of the LED. Savings are much higher for higher- wattage lights. Municipal street/traffic lights alone comprised 2,000 mt of emissions in 2007 in Dubuque. In early 2013, Alliant Energy began a program to 82 replace HPS street lamps with efficient LED lamps for all of its Iowa customers (including Dubuque) within 5 -7 years. LED streetlights are 50 -70% more efficient than HPS, so LED replacement of street lights could yield on the order of 1,000 mt CO2e per year in reductions. 'LEDs in exit signs in all city buildings. Status: ongoing. According to the US DOE, LED bulbs in exit signs can save 100 or 300 kWh when replacing fluorescent/CFL or incandescent bulbs, respectively. This equates to $10 -30 savings per year, not counting the fact that LED bulbs last 6 -40 times longer than conventional lighting. In terms of GHG emissions, replacing fluorescents /CFLs with LEDs reduce GHG emissions by 0.08 or 0.25 mt CO2e per year per sign. Replacing 100 exit sign bulbs with LEDs would therefore reduce CO2e emissions by 8 -25 mt CO2e per year and save thousands of dollars in operating/maintenance costs over the life of the bulbs (EPA 2010b). AEnergy Star equipment given priority in purchasing for municipal facilities. Status: ongoing. This could yield an estimated 10 -100 mt CO2e per year in reductions, which is 0..2- 2% of municipal building energy use. AReduced water waste in City Hall. Status: completed. A significant amount of water (millions of gallons annually) was lost annually via an inefficient heating/air conditioning system in City Hall. The system has since been replaced, reducing water use in City Hall by over 90 %. This reduces demand from the water treatment plant and yields concomitant decreases in GHG emissions. A Dubuque Eagle Point Water treatment facility efficiency upgrade. Status: completed. Various significant efficiency upgrades were completed in 2008 -2009 at the Water Treatment Facility. Precise impact is unknown but given the amount of emissions from the facility (6000 -7000 mt/year), estimated GHG impact is likely to be 100 -1,000 mt CO2e per year. AOccupancy sensor lights. Status: ongoing. Occupancy sensors have been installed in some City buildings, which power down when surrounding area is vacant. Photocells can also be used to adjust lightings to fluctuations in ambient daylight. Dubuque municipal buildings are responsible for around 5,000 mt CO2e per year. According to the DOE, lighting typically constitutes —1/3 of building energy use (15 -50 %), so improving lighting efficiency by 50% could yield reductions on the order of 100 -1,000 mt CO2e annually, as well as thousands of dollars in operating costs. AComputer power -down settings in City buildings. Status: ongoing. Computer energy management settings have been proven to reduce energy use and costs significantly. At Dell, for instance, a power management scheme implemented in 2008 reduced GHGs by an estimated 0.2 mt per PC per year. If even half of this were achieved on the 100s of City computers, it would achieve a GHG reduction of at least 10 -100 mt CO2e annually. AEnergy miser vending machines in City buildings. Status: prospective. Energy miser vending machines power down when the surrounding area is vacant. This can reduce energy consumption per machine by nearly half and save up to $200 per year per machine in maintenance and operation costs (USA Technologies 2012). Up front cost is typically <$200, making for rapid return on investment. Impact is likely on the order of 1 -10 mt CO2e per year. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced energy demand and energy /maintenance costs. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 83 Described in each individual section. Total impact will likely be on the order of 1,000- 10,000 mt CO2e per year based on the likely impact of ongoing actions (described above) and the total amount of GHG emissions from lighting and other energy use in City facilities ( <10,000 mt CO2e total annually as of 2007). 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Exact amount depends on current usage, which is based on 2007 Dubuque municipal GHG inventory, and prospective efficiency gains from each action, which are based on large scale national averages. These averages will probably apply to Dubuque well enough for a reasonably accurate estimate, however. Commercial Lighting and Energy Efficiency 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Commercial lighting and energy efficiency 3) Policy type: Community policy; Businesses 4) Affected entities: Businesses; City of Dubuque; GDDC; Schools 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000- 10,000 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 2 8) Specific description of policy: Local businesses and institutions can save a substantial amount of energy an money through simple, low cost lighting improvements. Possibilities include: AHigh efficiency lighting and energy efficiency retrofits in local businesses, hospitals, schools, hotels, and other facilities. City, non - profits, ECIA, or others could work with local institutions to encourage energy miser vending machines; LEDs in exit signs, offices, and hallways; light occupancy sensors; etc. to reduce energy cost and demand. Work to secure /provide rebates and other incentives to mitigate up front costs. ACreate an "indoor lights out at night" program for businesses and institutions to encourage saving energy and money when no one is in the building. 9) Barriers to implementation: Up front cost; education; incentives. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced energy demand and ongoing energy costs 84 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Based on total electricity emissions in Dubuque's commercial sector (139,599 mt CO2e in 2011) and the fact that lighting can take up 1/3 of a typical building's energy use, 1,000- 10,000 mt CO2e annually would constitute 2 -20% of total lighting demand, making this a realistically conservative range for the potential gains from such programs. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Impact of individual installations /retrofits is relatively easy to calculate, but degree of implementation (as well as the efficiency of current lighting systems relative to high efficiency systems) are highly uncertain between now and 2030. Notably, by 2030, LED bulb costs are likely to decrease significantly, and even more efficient lighting alternatives could arise between now and then. This suggests that LEDs and high efficiency lighting are almost certain to become ubiquitous. As such, by 2030 reduction due to commercial lighting improvements could end up being well over 10,000 mt CO2e, due simply to market forces and rational business decisions. State and Federal Programs and Incentives 1) Sector: Built environment - facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: State and Federal Programs and Incentives 3) Policy type: State /Federal; Businesses; Individuals; Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e annually 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: There are many State and Federal incentives for efficiency improvements in residential, commercial, and government buildings (e.g. weatherization). These incentives help property owners take advantage of the rapid payback periods of efficiency improvements by mitigating the up front costs of those improvements. An exhaustive list of available programs is beyond the scope of this document, but up to date details can be found at: http: / /www.dsireusa.org/ 9) Barriers to implementation. Financial; State and Federal policy changes and barriers. 10) Co- benefits: Improved energy efficiency; reduced energy costs; improved regional air quality by reducing fossil fuel demand. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Simple baseline estimate of anticipated scale of GHG impacts of Federal and State weatherization, renewable energy, and related programs in addition to impacts discussed in context of previous policies. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction 85 estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Depends entirely on future State and Federal policies, which cannot be predicted. Dubuque Unified Development Code 1) Sector: Built environment - planning and urban efficiency 2) Policy name: Dubuque UDC 3) Policy type: Community policy; Municipal; Business; Individual 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Implemented /ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (transportation); Scope 2 (electricity) 8) Specific description of policy: The City of Dubuque Unified Development Code (UDC) was created in 2009 to provide guidance and standards for planning and development in the Dubuque community. Dubuque's UDC will advance the long term sustainability of the community's built environment, which underlies so much of the city's environmental impact - from transportation and building efficiency to land use and water quality. For instance, studies have found that buildings constitute up to 40% of GHG emissions (DOE 2008), while transportation accounts for 21% of Dubuque's emissions. That suggests that over 60% of Dubuque's GHG emissions are influenced by development, making smart development one of the most significant components of local sustainability. Dubuque's UDC makes sustainable design the new standard and inefficient development the exception. In terms of economic and social well- being, the code ensures that Dubuque's built environment supports mobility, healthy lifestyles, and economic prosperity by facilitating compact and mixed use development in urban and 86 suburban settings. In terms of environmental sustainability, the code promotes floodplain management BMPs, healthy urban ecosystems and greenspace, and LID standards for stormwater management by minimizing the extent and impacts of impervious surfaces, among other advanced design standards. 9) Barriers to implementation: Education; staff training; proper implementation; monitoring and verification of results. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced VMTs; improved traffic flow, safety, and efficiency; energy efficient buildings; improved air quality and aesthetics; time savings for residents /commuters; cost savings on energy and transport. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Studies have found that buildings constitute up to 40% of GHG emissions (DOE 2008), while transportation accounts for 23% of Dubuque's emissions. Given the significant share of emissions affected by Dubuque's development code, but without specific data on impacts, we assign a conservative, broad range of 1,000s of mt. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: The 1,000s of mt figure is probably a low estimate because of the wide scope of the UDC (the wide scope of UDC is also the main source of uncertainty). Also, the UDC overlaps and relates to many other policies outlined elsewhere in this document, so it is difficult to assign emissions reductions solely to it. Infill Development 1) Sector: Built environment - planning and urban efficiency 2) Policy name: Infill development 3) Policy type: Community policy; Municipal; Business; Individual 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Not yet an official policy, but successful local examples exist, including the Historic Millwork District, Washington neighborhood revitalization, riverfront revitalization, historic building preservation efforts, and other downtown development projects. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 1,000s of mt CO2e annually. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (transportation); Scope 3 (embodied emissions of building materials) - -only Scope 1 calculated 8) Specific description of policy: Infill development policies vary in form and application but share the goal of shifting urban growth from outer suburbs and undeveloped peripheral areas to existing downtowns and inner suburbs. In other words, the focus of infill is on the development rather than expansion of existing city space. For the past several decades, much of Dubuque's growth has occurred in outlying areas (e.g. new suburbs) requiring costly expansion and maintenance of city infrastructure to those new areas, including streets, sewers, utilities, schools, emergency medical services, fire protection, and law enforcement. Infill development, on the other hand, shifts growth into established city boundaries, which helps to ensure that development is spread evenly within the city and takes advantage of existing infrastructure, thus limiting costs to taxpayers. Infill development can be achieved by 87 encouraging retail in residential neighborhoods (e.g. corner stores), preservation and reuse of historic buildings, and brownfield development. In terms of GHG emissions, infill development can significantly limit VMTs by encouraging compact development and mixed use neighborhoods with residences, workplaces, shopping facilities, schools, and other daily destinations located closer to one another. 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy design; administration; education; lack of available sites. 10) Co- benefits: Infill can facilitate the revitalization of downtown areas. The Port of Dubuque, Historic Millwork District, and proposed Intermodal Transportation Center are all prominent local examples of re- developing existing space and infrastructure and are responsible for attracting countless tourists, residents, and investment dollars to Dubuque. Other infill benefits include reducing commute times and improving the efficiency of the transportation network, which will consequently improve local air quality. Infill also limits the cost of development/infrastructure expansion to taxpayers. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Given the potential scope of infill development and its capacity to reduce VMTs, we estimate roughly that the impact will be on the order of 1,000s of mt CO2e per year, though this should only be considered a rough baseline estimate. To our knowledge, no communities have collected data regarding the impact of infill development policies on GHG emissions 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No data; significant overlap with other policies, including Dubuque UDC. Historic Building Preservation and Revitalization 1) Sector: Built environment - planning and urban efficiency /facility and building efficiency 2) Policy name: Historic building preservation and revitalization 3) Policy type: Community policy; Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing in Dubuque. Examples include Historic Millwork District and various buildings and businesses downtown and on the Dubuque Riverfront. 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e per year. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (natural gas heating); Scope 2 (electricity); Scope 3 (embodied emissions of building materials)- - only Scopes 1 and 2 calculated 8) Specific description of policy: Dubuque is one of the oldest settlements west of the Mississippi and boasts a rich history. Some of the most prominent symbols of Dubuque's late 19th and early 20th century manufacturing prowess are the historic brick streets, warehouses, factories, and other structures that remain in Dubuque's downtown and Riverfront districts. These towering vestiges of a bygone era not only represent Dubuque's rich cultural history, but also opportunities to develop a smart and sustainable community that embraces its history. Historic building preservation involves restoring, revitalization, and re- purposing historic or neglected buildings. Doing so utilizes existing developed lands and infrastructure instead of throwing away and replacing old structural materials (and all the embodied energy and waste that would entail). Historic building preservation 88 also ensures that development occurs where city infrastructure already exists (e.g. streets, sewers, utilities, schools, emergency medical services, fire protection, and law enforcement), which limits costs of new development to taxpayers. In terms of GHG emissions, historic building preservation directly saves energy that would have gone into construction and building materials. It also reduces GHGs in more subtle ways, including reducing VMTs by concentrating development in more central areas of the community. 9) Barriers to implementation: Funding; procurement of property; education and outreach to builders, developers, and residents 10) Co- benefits: Same as section: Infill Development 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: It is difficult to estimate GHG impact of historic preservation/revitalization without knowing the scale of preservation as well as the alternatives. As such, we conservatively estimate that 100s of mt of GHGs can be saved simply by reducing additional infrastructure and transportation associated with outlying versus centralized development. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No data; significant overlap with other policies in this document, particularly infill development. Smart Growth - Miscellaneous 1) Sector: Built environment - planning and urban efficiency 2) Policy name: Smart growth 3) Policy type: Community Policy; Municipal 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 100s of mt CO2e per year. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 (transportation); Scope 3 (embodied emissions of building materials) - -only Scope 1 calculated 8) Specific description of policy: In addition to infill development, the Dubuque UDC, complete streets, and other smart growth initiatives, several other policies and programs could encourage smart growth in Dubuque. The following is a list of actions that have been employed by other communities. AMake infrastructure costs of development explicit Extending City services and infrastructure to outlying developments can be costly. Compact growth (infill) can reduce these costs by developing existing areas of the City. To encourage this, codes could be amended to require new developments to pay a share of the infrastructure costs of new developments, including through private financing or assessment districts (e.g. transportation fee; city services fee) in order to incentivize compact development. A Density bonuses: Incorporate positive incentives, such as density bonuses, near existing commercial centers, to developers who comply with, exceed, or otherwise meet specific smart growth objectives. 89 A Mixed use development incorporated into City transit. Facilitate and encourage placement of new residential developments (particularly apartments and other high density residential buildings) at mixed use locations that will increase potential ridership on planned /existing transit system. A Brownfield inventory and development Inventory brownfield and potential infill development sites in Dubuque and advertise, facilitate and incentivize development of those areas. 9) Barriers to implementation: Policy design; administration; education. 10) Co- benefits: Reduced VMTs; improved traffic flow, safety, and efficiency; energy efficient buildings; improved air quality and aesthetics; time savings for residents /commuters; cost savings on energy and transport. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: It is difficult to estimate GHG impact of planning policies given that the impacts of urban form on GHG emissions are indirect. As such, we conservatively estimate that 100s of mt of GHGs can be saved simply by improving the efficiency of transportation and urban design. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No data; significant overlap with other policies in this document, particularly Dubuque UDC and Infill Development. Policy Descriptions: V. Miscellaneous Introduction: This section discusses reduction strategies that do not fit neatly into the major categories and includes tree planting, local food, and other miscellaneous community initiatives that impact GHG emissions (Table 7). Table 7. Miscellaneous GHG reduction strategies and their potential impact in Dubuque, IA. *GHG reductions not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal. 90 Estimated GHG reduction (mt CO2e per year by 2030) Urban forestry *100s p. 90 Local food *1,000s p. 91 Community based initiatives 22,296 p. 93 Refrigerants 11,148 p. 94 Cool roofs /cool pavement *100s p. 95 Air quality measures *not estimated p. 96 Total potential impact (scopes 1 and 2) % total reduction goal (520,000 mt of reductions by 2030) 33,444 6.4 %1 *GHG reductions not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal. 90 Urban Forestry 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Urban forestry 3) Policy type: Fiscal; Administrative; Voluntary 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: *100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030 7) Scope of emissions reduction: *N /A Biogenic emissions and ecosystem sequestration not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal. Energy savings from shade trees would be counted, but that is not estimated here. 8) Specific description of policy: Tree planting can reduce GHGs by sequestering (absorbing) carbon in plant biomass and the soil. However, the greatest impact of urban trees on energy comes via well placed trees shading and sheltering buildings. Carefully positioned trees can reduce air conditioning costs by up to 25% and can decrease heating costs by acting as windbreaks and insulators. There are several policy options available: A Municipal tree planting program, focusing, if possible, on deciduous shade trees for south facing walls A Residential 'shade your house' initiative offering educational outreach and /or inexpensive trees for property owners to decrease their energy costs. This could be administered as a partnership between city, utilities, and tree planting/conservation organizations. A Shade trees part of development review. As part of standard permitting/development review, require evaluation of sites for efficiency, including shading of parking lots 91 and south facing windows. A Tree BMPs for builders Through resolution or program, encourage builders to follow Tree Best Management Practices for Contractors and Builders or other comparable BMP guide. 9) Barriers to implementation: Cost; pests and pathogens; education; administration 10) Co- benefits: Aesthetics and beautification; comfort; reduced energy costs for homeowners /businesses 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Assumes that a net of 1,000 new trees will be planted citywide for the next twenty years, and that each tree will sequester approximately 16 kg of CO2e per year (DOE 1998). This yields 320 mt per year, which falls within the 100s range. Including the shading/sheltering impact of trees could significantly increase this number. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: No major uncertainties. Estimated range should be sound but depends on type of tree, where the trees is planted (i.e. previous land cover and placement relative to buildings), and number of trees planted. Local Food 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Local food 3) Policy type: Fiscal; administrative; voluntary 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: **1,000s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. * *Scope 3 emissions, so not counted in inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 3 8) Specific description of policy: Global food production and agriculture has been estimated to have a global GHG impact comparable to transportation (FAO 2006), so the impact of our food choices on climate is substantial. There are several local options by which communities and individuals can reduce the climate impact of their food choices, many of which are already underway in Dubuque. A Community supported agriculture (CSAs). CSAs are contracts between local growers and residents to provide regular (weekly /biweekly) deliveries of produce or other farm products in exchange for a seasonal membership fee. Since 2010, the Dubuque CSA Coalition has facilitated contracts between Dubuque residents and several local and regional growers. A Farmer's market. Since 1845 Dubuque has hosted a summer Farmer's Market offering handgrown or handmade farm products to local residents. Dubuque's farmer's market hosts over 150 vendors and attracts many hundreds of patrons every weekend from Dubuque and the surrounding region to partake in local food. The farmer's market also runs indoors during the winter. 92 A Community gardens City owned lots (or other vacant lots) could be set aside for community gardens or greenhouses. To date, eight community gardens are active in the community. A Employee gardens. Employers could be encouraged to offer garden space on workplace grounds to employees. A Local food at major grocers The City could facilitate contracts between local and regional growers and local grocery chains. A Compost to community garden program. Provide free compost from DMASWA for community food projects such as community and school gardens. A Community fruit and nut trees. A partnership with a tree planting/conservation organization could provide low cost nut/fruit trees that residents would be encouraged to plant. A Lower meat consumption. Animal products are significantly more carbon intensive than plant based foods. Personal choices to replace animal with plant based foods can significantly reduce an individual's carbon footprint. A Dubuque Food Co -op: The Dubuque Food Co -op, scheduled to open in 2013, promises a strong focus on local foods and will provide a new market for local farmers. 9) Barriers to implementation: Education; organization and administration. 10) Co- benefits: Boosted local economy; supporting local farmers; healthier diets /lower healthcare costs 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Food consumption in the US is estimated to comprise at least 15% (roughly 3.1 mt CO2e) of per capita GHG emissions (Weber and Matthews 2008). If this is applied to Dubuque's population of 57,250, it suggests that approximately 175,000 mt of CO2e per year in Dubuque come from food consumption. These are primarily Scope 3 emissions and are not counted in the GHG inventory nor toward the 50% by 2030 goal. Nonetheless, these numbers suggest that our food sources and choices could significantly effect local GHG emissions. For instance, a 1 -5% decrease in the carbon intensity of Dubuque's food would reduce annual CO2e emissions by approximately 1,800 -9,000 mt. This puts the impact of local food conservatively in the 1,000s of mt range, though it could be substantially higher. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Individual choices and personal 93 behavior. No existing reliable estimates of carbon intensity of current food sources /systems vs alternatives. However, the general order of magnitude of GHG impact of food choices should be sound. Community Based Initiatives 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Community based initiatives 3) Policy type: Voluntary; grassroots 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents. 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 22,296 mt CO2e annually by 2030 (goal) 7) Scope of emissions reduction: All scopes 8) Specific description of policy: Several City and community organizations have created sustainability- related programs that will reduce GHG emissions. In the past three years alone, these organizations have instituted the following programs, among many others: A Dubuque 2.0 Community Sustainability Game A Green Dubuque 2012 by 2012 program A Green Asset Map A Green Drinks A Four Mounds Energy Center A Energy auditor training A Green Iowa project A Rebate and incentive compilation CFLs /weatherization materials A Annual Growing Sustainable Communities conference A Sustainable City Network news and magazine A Informative newsletters, events, websites, and materials A Dubuque CSA promotion program A Etc. (for more information on these and other programs, visit the organizations' respective websites) 94 These organizations have already established presence and momentum in the community. It is difficult to project what programs these and other organizations will come up with over the next twenty years, let alone what GHG impacts those programs will have. As such, instead of speculating on the GHG impact of the myriad existing and possible future initiatives, we propose a modest goal of a combined 2% reduction in community emissions between these organizations (i.e. 2% beyond what is achieved through the other options discussed in this plan). This amounts to just over 0.1% of additional reductions each year for the next 18 years. 9) Barriers to implementation: Funding; opportunities; availability of volunteers 10) Co- benefits: All previously mentioned benefits, depending on mix of programs 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: See above narrative. Assumes community based initiative impact of 0.1% per year beyond what is achieved in other options discussed in this plan by 2030. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Could be much higher or lower depending on nature of and opportunities for initiatives. Refrigerants 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Refrigerants 3) Policy type: Voluntary; global/national policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: No precise estimate given, but could be on the order of 11,148 mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: Scope 1 8) Specific description of policy: HCFC refrigerants are synthetic chemicals that can have extraordinarily high global warming potential. Pound for pound, some HCFCs have over 10,000 -times the warming potential of CO2. Studies have estimated that HCFCs constitute approximately 2% of national GHG emissions in the US, and that this percentage could double by 2050 under a business -as-usual scenario (EPA 2010c; Velders et al. 2009). HCFC -22, one of the most common refrigerants in commercial use, is scheduled to be phased out from 2010 -2030 as agreed to in the 1987 Montreal Protocol. This is being done to prevent further degradation of the ozone layer, but it is also expected to have significant climate benefits by substituting substances with a lower GWP than HCFC -22 (and HCFC -23, which is emitted during the production of HCFC -22). In 2010, the EPA began implementation of the HCFC Allocation Rule and the Pre - Charged Appliances Rule, which together impose quotas on HCFC- 22, ban the sale of new air - conditioning units containing the gas, and promote recycling of the gas from old units. These actions are designed to reduce HCFC emissions in the US by 75% below baseline levels. In addition, the Federal government is working 95 to implement a global framework for reducing HCFCs by approximately 50 -70% by 2030 (90% by 2050). The focus of this framework goes beyond ozone depletion to consider the climate and human health impacts of refrigerants. These various elements of the global phase -out of HCFC refrigerants will require little action on the part of Dubuque, though local businesses could help to accelerate this process by joining other corporations in voluntarily adopting alternative refrigerants (e.g. Coca -Cola, McDonalds, PepsiCo, and others in the "Refrigerants, Naturally!" partnership). Also, outreach to air - conditioning businesses and service technicians regarding the importance of recycling HCFC -22 refrigerants is crucial (NY Times 2012). 9) Barriers to implementation: Cost; education; approval of low cost alternatives; development, implementation, and enforcement of global and national policies and frameworks. 10) Co- benefits: Potentially financial (depending on relative cost of alternative substances /practices prove) 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: Given the high number of food and beverage processing, storage, and other industrial facilities in Dubuque, we conservatively assume that national averages apply to Dubuque and that approximately 2% of our emissions are constituted by refrigerants. The phaseout of HCFC -22 should therefore yield at least a 50% reduction in local refrigerant emissions. This would yield a 1% reduction in total emissions by 2030 (equal to 11,148 mt CO2e) 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Moderate 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: More precise estimates cannot be produced without detailed emissions of current refrigerant usage and turnover in Dubuque. Cool Roofs /Cool Pavement 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Cool roofs /cool pavements 3) Policy type: Fiscal; administrative 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Prospective not currently under consideration) 6) Estimated GHG reduction: *100s of mt CO2e annually by 2030. 7) Scope of emissions reduction: *Indirect GHG mitigation, not counted in GHG inventory or toward 50% by 2030 goal. However, some scope 1 and 2 reductions could occur through electricity /heating savings. 8) Specific description of policy: Compared to dark colored roofs and blacktop, lighter colored, more reflective roofs and pavement absorb less energy from the sun and decrease the amount of warming near earth's surface. White roofs are widely recognized as one of the simplest, cheapest, and most immediate climate stabilizing solutions. White roofs can also affect energy use by decreasing building temperatures and thus cooling/refrigeration costs during summer months (though this can be offset somewhat by increases in heating demand in winter). Making roofs and pavements less absorptive also can reduce the urban heat island effect (UHI), which is the local "island" of elevated temperatures that occurs in cities due to heat retention by urban landscapes. Cool roofs /pavement can minimize this effect and reduce heat stress and levels of temperature- sensitive air pollutants (e.g. smog). Cool roofs can be created using, for instance, waste paint or whitewash. New York City, Chicago, and many other cities are implementing cool roof programs. Cool pavement (a thin, tough, road -ready coating) also has been used in many cities, particularly in crosswalks, bike 96 lanes, and blacktopped parking lots or playgrounds where high summer temperatures often occur. White roofs also tend to have longer lifespans than black roofs, all else being equal. 9) Barriers to implementation: Cost; calculating costs of winter in addition to summer cooling effects; materials and training. 10) Co- benefits: Human comfort, roof lifespan, and potential reduced energy cost 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 2010 study from Berkeley National Laboratory (Menon et al. 2010) indicated that painting 1 m2 of rooftop is equivalent to reducing CO2 emissions by 8.9 kg/yr, while putting a thin "cool pavement" coating on 1 m2 of pavement (parking lots, playgrounds, driveways, crosswalks, streets, etc.) is equivalent to reducing CO2 emissions by 2.45 kg/yr (building heating/cooling savings not included in these estimates). Conservative estimates of the amount of roofed and paved area in Dubuque (17.5% paved; 12.5% roofed, which are half what was estimated in the Berkeley study) indicates that increasing the reflectivity of all roofs and paved surfaces in Dubuque would offset approximately 100,000 mt/year of CO2e. So there is clearly significant potential for this in Dubuque. For our estimates, we assumed that 1% of roofs and paved areas could be coated in the next 20 years, yielding around 1,000 mt CO2e in annual reductions. Focusing on large commercial and industrial buildings using waste paint could be a particularly simple and inexpensive way to achieve this. This could also be facilitated by requiring/encouraging certain types of new commercial developments to have cool roofs. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: Very low 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: Participation by residents and businesses; impact on building energy demand. Air Quality Measures 1) Sector: Miscellaneous 2) Policy name: Air quality measures 3) Policy type: Voluntary; global/national policy 4) Affected entities: City of Dubuque; businesses; residents 5) Current status: Ongoing 6) Estimated GHG reduction: No estimate provided 7) Scope of emissions reduction: N/A 8) Specific description of policy: Air quality and GHG pollutants go hand in hand, and improved air quality is one of the primary benefits of most of the actions described in the previous sections. Afew additional opportunities exist that have not yet been discussed, however, including: A Limit VOC coatings in Dubuque. VOCs are minor in terms of GHG emissions but can significantly impair local air quality via the formation of ground level ozone. A Work with Dubuque County to limit biomass burning. Biomass burning can significantly impair local air quality. It can also contribute to climate change (see section: Particle filters on diesel vehicles). As such, the regulation of biomass burning can significantly improve local air quality while also limiting GHG emissions. Public parks and other facilities are one opportunity (except in the case of long -term carbon sequestering ecosystems such as prairies for which burning is essential). 9) Barriers to implementation: Education, outreach and administration; policy design, implementation, and enforcement; verification and monitoring 97 10) Co- benefits: Health; air quality 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: No estimate provided. Most emissions in this category are not GHG emissions, but rather traditional criteria air pollutants. 12) Relative confidence of GHG reduction estimate: N/A 13) Sources of uncertainty in GHG reduction estimate: N/A - -- This page left intentionally blank - -- 98 References Anderson, Y., C.C. Glencross, T. Rudisill. 2010. School bus idling reduction - project report and implementation guide for Oklahoma school districts. 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McGraw -Hill. 308pp. 102 Appendix A - Emission Factors and Assumptions Natural as For natural gas, a standard emissions factor of 0.05302 mt CO2e /MMBTU was used for all inventory years. Transportation Transportation emissions were calculated using standard data from ICLEI and local VMT data from Dubuque. Specifically, if we know how many VMTs there were in Dubuque each year (ECIA 2012); what percentage of those VMTs carne from different classes of vehicles (ICLEI), how many miles - per - gallon each of those vehicle classes gets on average, and how much CO2e is released per gallon of fuel, total transportation related GHGs can be calculated. This data is compile in the tables below. Table Al. Vehicle mix (i.e. percent of total miles driven for each vehicle class and fuel type), fuel emissions factors, and average fuel efficiency for vehicles in Dubuque, 2002 -2011. Table A2. Vehicle miles traveled (VMTs) in Dubuque from 2002 -2011. Dubuque Diesel Gasoline V Year Heavy trucks Light trucks Cars i Light trucks Cars Vehicle Mix 5.4% 1.3% 0.3% 32.4% 60.6% CO2 (mtlga I) 0.0102 0.0102 0.0102 0.0088 0.0088 MPG 2002 5.63 16.80 19.38 13.34 18.08 MPG 2003 5.63 16.82 19.38 13.49 18.25 MPG 2004 5.63 16.84 19.38 13.61 18.43 MPG 2005 5.63 16.86 19.38 13.72 18.61 MPG 2006 5.64 16.87 19.38 13.80 18.79 MPG 2007 5.64 16.93 19.38 13.87 18.97 MPG 2008 5.64 16.93 19.38 13.92 19.14 MPG 2009 5.64 16.93 19.38 13.96 19.32 MPG 2010 5.64 16.93 19.38 13.99 19.50 MPG 2011 5.64 16.93 19.38 14.01 19.68 MPG 2012 5.64 16.93 19.38 14.03 19.85 Table A2. Vehicle miles traveled (VMTs) in Dubuque from 2002 -2011. Dubuque VMT Year Total VMT 2002 462,721,406 2003 464,145,712 2004 467,905,465 2005 460,177,587 2006 457,071,423 2007 453,536,220 2008 446, 402, 396 2009 472,108,493 2010 474,369,522 2011 469, 813, 814 103 Electricity Baseload vs non - baseload emission factors: Electricity grid emission factors describe the amount of GHGs produced per unit of electricity. Iowa is part of the Midwest Regional Organization West (MROW) region, which in 2007 (the most recent data available) had a baseload emission factor of approximately 7.86E -4 mt CO2e per kWh, as reported in the EPA's eGRID 2010 v1.1. This is the emission factor used to calculate emissions in Dubuque's 2009 -2011 GHG inventories (earlier emission factors were used for 2003/2007 inventories). A second emission factor, called the "non - baseload output emission rate" is used to calculate the GHG impact of energy saving actions. This emission factor differs from the baseload emission factor, above, because when energy demand decreases, the least efficient forms of energy (e.g. older coal plants) tend to be taken offline first. As such, the non - baseload emission factor is higher than the baseload emission factor. For MROW in 2007, the non - baseload emissions factor is approximately 9.07E -4 mt CO2e per kWh. As an example of how these are used, assume that a city uses 1,000,000 kWh of energy per year. To calculate the GHGs produced by generating this much energy, we use the baseload emission factor of 7.86E -4 as follows: 7.86E -4 mt CO2e /kWh * 1,000,000 kWh = 786 mt CO2e Now assume that an energy efficiency program saves 10% of that 1,000,000 kWh (= 100,000 kWh). To calculate the GHG impact of this reduction, we use the non - baseload emission factor of 9.07E -4 as follows: 9.07E -4 mt CO2e /kWh * 100,000 kWh = 90.7 mt CO2e Dubuque's Emissions Factors -- Factoring in the Coal Plant Alliant Energy's Dubuque Generating Station coal fired power plant lies within Dubuque's city limits. Although the electric grid the is regional, the power plant and its impacts are primarily local, giving Dubuque a far greater stake in (e.g. air quality) and influence on its operation than any other part of the electric grid. Although the plant is not owned and operated by the City of Dubuque, the vast majority of the energy gene generated at the facility is used locally (Alliant Energy, personal communication). The regional grid and the local power plant have quite different emissions factors (Table A3, below); to reflect these differences, and the importance of the coal plant to Dubuque's power consumption, a weighted average of coal plant and grid emissions factors (EFs) was used to calculate the carbon footprint of electricity in Dubuque. Table A3. Emissions factors and weighting factors for calculation of final, weighted electric emissions factor for Dubuque in 2003 -2011. wr Total kWh used in Dubuque Grid kWh Coal plant kWh Grid EF (mt /kWh) Coal plant EF Weighted Average EF 104 2003 689, 934, 710 348,761,530 341,173,180 0.000831 0.001328 0.001077 2007 737, 973, 696 396, 250,105 341,723,591 0.000786 0.001328 0.001037 715, 388, 872 565, 906, 872 149,482,000 0.000743 0.001328 0.000865 2010 777, 509, 953 625, 311, 953 152,198, 000 0.000743 0.001328 0.000857 773,125, 642 655, 308, 642 117, 817, 000 0.000743 0.001328 0.000832 The weighted average approached is illustrated as follows. In 2003, the coal plant produced around 341,000,000 kWh of electricity, which amounts to nearly half of the 689,000,000 kWh used in the community that year. Assuming that virtually all of the coal plant's energy was used in Dubuque (Alliant Energy, personal communication), this suggests that in Dubuque in 2003, 341,000,000 kWh came from the coal plant and 348,000,000 kWh came from the grid. So, the final 2003 emission factor for Dubuque is the weighted average of the emissions factors for the coal plant and the grid, as follows: (348,761,530 * 0.000831 + 341,173,180 * 0.001328) / 689,934,710 = 0.001077 - -- -Grid kWh - - -- -- -Grid EF - -- -Coal plant kWh- -Coal plant EF- -- -Total kWh - -- -- Weighted avg EF -- A similar weighting procedure was used for all years. Because coal plant production declined between 2003 and 2011, a greater and greater proportion Dubuque's energy is now being derived from the grid, which has a lower EF than the coal plant. Therefore, Dubuque's overall EF has improved at a significant rate, and will further improve when the coal plant shuts down entirely (expected 2014, but appears likely to be earlier). When the coal plant shuts down, Dubuque's overall EF will simply match the regional grid EF which, in 2011, represented a 10.7% improvement in carbon intensity. 2007 vs 2030 emission factors In order to predict the impact of energy related GHG reduction actions on GHG emissions in 2030, we need to know what the emission factor will be in 2030. Why do we need to know this? Assume the installation of 1 kW of solar panels that produce 2,000 kWh of electricity per year. If we use the 2007 emission factors (above), then replacing 2,000 kWh of grid electricity with solar power will reduce present day GHG emissions by: 9.07E -4 mt CO2e /kWh * 2,000 kWh = 1.81 mt CO2e However, emissions factors will almost certainly be different in 2030 than in 2007. What exactly they will be cannot be predicted, but the U.S. DOE publishes energy projections in EIA's Annual Energy Outlook reports. In the Electricity Generation & Renewable Resource supplemental table of their 2010 report, they list energy generation and GHG emission data from 2008 -2035. From, this, the energy intensity (GHGs per unit energy generated) can be calculated. 2007 data is not available, but if 2008 data is used, MROW grid emissions factors are expected to improve by approximately 10.1% by 2030. If we assume that this applies to both baseload and non - baseload emission factors, then based on 10% improvement on 2007 emission factors, this gives us: Baseload 2007 emission factor: Baseload 2030 emission factor: Non - baseload 2007 emission factor: Non - baseload 2030 emission factor: 7.86E -4 mt CO2e /kWh 7.06E -4 mt CO2e /kWh 9.07E -4 mt CO2e /kWh 8.15E -4 mt CO2e /kWh These are the 2030 electricity emission factors we use in our calculations (there is no need to include coal plant EFs, because these numbers already assume only grid energy). Notably, given the rate of growth of renewable energy in Iowa and the Midwest, these estimates are probably conservatively low. However, they are based on the best available data and serve the purposes of this report. 105 Appendix B - Emission Reference Case Electricity and Natural Gas According to a 2009 study by the Electric Power Research Institute, energy demand is expected to increase by approximately 1.07% per year between 2010 and 2030 (EPRI 2009). This estimate includes projected business -as -usual improvements in appliance, building, and power plant efficiency but does not include any additional measures such as federal climate policy or energy efficiency programs. In order to model future GHG emissions in Dubuque, this 1.07% annual increase was applied to electricity and natural gas consumption in Dubuque between 2011 and 2030. A projected 10.1% decrease in grid electricity GHG intensity between 2008 and 2030 (see Appendix A) was applied to these figures to calculate total electricity related GHG emissions in Dubuque in 2030. In addition, the planned shutdown of the Dubuque coal plant will yield an estimated 10.7% immediate improvement in the carbon intensity of Dubuque's energy (see Appendix A), meaning that emissions factors should decrease by an additional 10.7% between 2011 and the year in which the coal plant is no longer operating (scheduled for 2014, but anticipated to be earlier). Natural gas emission factors were held constant between 2011 and 2030. Transportation VMTs in Dubuque were assumed to stay constant between 2011 and 2030 under the baseline scenario. A growing population could increase VMTs while rising oil prices could reduce VMTs, but the assumption of constant VMTs greatly simplifies our baseline scenario. In terms of fuel economy, we assumed that the median age of vehicles on the road will continue to be approximately 10 years (US DOT 2011a). As such, we assume that in 2030, the average fuel economy of vehicles on the road will be equivalent to the average fuel economy of model year 2020 vehicles. 106 New fuel economy standards announced in 2011 and finalized in 2012 will increase fuel economy to 54.5 mpg by 2025 for cars and light trucks (which comprise over 80% of VMTs on US roadways - US DOT 2011a) and improve heavy truck fuel economy by 10 -20% by 2018 (NHTSAIEPA 2011b). EPA projections indicate that combined car /light truck fuel economy by 2020 will be over 38.8 mpg (NHTSA/EPA 2011a) compared to 23.1 mpg in 2009 (US DOT 2011b), a 68% improvement. For our analysis, we very conservatively assume a 33% improvement in overall fuel economy above 2011 levels for our baseline scenario. Waste Methane emissions from the waste sector were held constant between 2011 and 2030. Baseline scenario: 2011 -2030 For the baseline reference case scenario, we assume that Dubuque's population will remain constant between 2011 and 2030. Under these assumptions, we predict that Dubuque total community emissions will be approximately 49,614 mt CO2e lower in 2030 than in 2011, a 4.1% decrease (Table B1). This assumes no population change; for any population change, anticipated emissions imply should be scaled proportionally. Cable Bl. Baseline reference case for 2011 GHG emission 2030 Electricity total ' 643,231 632,784 Natural gas total ' 234,142 286,617 Transportation 277,703 186,061 Waste 48,076 48,076 Total 1,203,152 1,153, 538 2011 and 2030 (mt CO2e per year). s in Appendix C - Glossary of Terms Albedo — The reflectivity of a surface. High albedo surfaces are more "mirror- like" and tend to reflect solar radiation without absorbing it; examples of high albedo surfaces include ice, snow, and other light colored or shiny surfaces. Low albedo surfaces tend to be darker in color and absorb more solar radiation, converting it to thermal or heat energy. Examples of low albedo surfaces include soot, dark - shingled rooftops, blacktop, plants, and the ocean. Biogenic — GHG emissions from a biological or organic source. For example, when wood waste is burned for energy, it will only release CO2 that it absorbed during the lifetime of the tree. As such, the wood waste produces no net emissions and is often considered to be carbon neutral (see below). However, it is notable that many long -lived bioenergy feedstocks, such as trees harvested solely for bioenergy generation, take decades to regrow and reclaim the GHG emissions they released when burned. This creates a temporary (up to 50 years or more) increase in atmospheric carbon concentrations before new trees re- absorb that carbon (Walker, T., P. Cardellichio, A. Colnes, J. Gunn, B. Kittler, B. Perschel, C. Recchia, and D. Saah. 2010. Biomass sustainability and carbon policy study. Manomet Center for Conservation Sciences.). This temporary increase in GHG concentrations can have significant impacts on climate change by pushing the climate beyond certain thresholds (see ripping points, below) that cannot be undone, even when GHGs are eventually drawn back down by regrowing forests. Biomass - Any organic matter derived from plants. Examples include trees, wood waste, switchgrass and other perennial grassland plants, and crop residuals. Black carbon - Black carbon is essentially "soot" produced by incomplete combustion of fossil fuels and biomass. The majority of black carbon emissions in the U.S. come from diesel engines used for transportation and industrial use as well as wood burning stoves and other unfiltered biomass burning. Black carbon has been estimated to be the second largest contributor to climate change, second only to CO2 (Ramanathan V. and Carmichael G. 2008. Global and regional climate changes due to black carbon. Nature Geoscience 221 -22). Black carbon has a direct warming effect by absorbing solar radiation and converting it to heat in the atmosphere, as well as an indirect warming effect by decreasing the albedo of snow and ice. Carbon intensity — The amount of CO2e emitted during the production of a unit of energy. For instance, if a particular coal plant emits 2 lbs of CO2e per kWh of electricity, then the carbon intensity of electricity from that plant is 2lbs /kWh. This is equivalent to an emissions factor. Carbon negative — A process that results in a net decrease in atmospheric GHGs. In other words, a process that removes more carbon from the atmosphere than it puts into the atmosphere. Carbon neutral — Any energy source or process that absorbs or sequesters the same amount of carbon it releases, causing no net increase in atmospheric GHG concentrations. Carbon sequestration — Uptake and storage of carbon. For instance, trees store carbon in its wood and other tissues, and this carbon can then be sequestered in the soil when roots and other parts of the plant decompose. Depending on conditions, soils, oceans, and other ecosystems can act as net carbon sources or carbon sinks depending on the net balance of carbon loss and carbon sequestration. Carbon sink — A system that sequesters more carbon than it emits. For instance, prairies act as carbon 107 sinks by sequestering carbon in the soil by producing extensive root systems year after year. If that prairie is plowed and converted to agricultural land, it will often become a carbon source as the carbon accumulated belowground is exposed to the surface, broken down, and emitted to the atmosphere. Oceans, forests, and other natural ecosystems generally are significant carbon sinks. CO2e - The amount of CO2 that would cause the same amount of warming as a given amount of another greenhouse gas. For example, each molecule of methane (CH4) causes 21 -times more warming than 1 molecule of COz, so 1 kg of CH4 is equal to 21 kg CO2e. CO2e is a useful way to combine all GHG emissions into a single unit of measurement. CHP - Combined Heat and Power, a power generation facility in which both electricity and waste heat are utilized. ECIA — East Central Intergovernmental Association, an organization of local governmental bodies in Cedar, Clinton, Delaware, Dubuque and Jackson Counties. Provides an advisory and administrative role for local member governments on a wide range of issues. DMATS - Dubuque Metropolitan Area Transportation Study. A Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) located at the boundary intersections of Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin. Responsible for approving goals and plans for the development of the Dubuque area transportation system. DMASWA — Dubuque Metropolitan Area Solid Waste Agency. DMASWA is the entity responsible for solid waste management in Dubuque (and Delaware county). The Agency's municipal solid waste landfill is located on Dubuque's west side along U.S. Highway 20. Its service area is Dubuque and Delaware counties. The Agency owns 460 acres of property, of which 80 are permitted for landfill use. DOE - U.S. Department of Energy. Federal agency whose mission is to advance energy technology and promote related innovation in the United States. Embodied Energy — The energy required to make any product, bring it to market, and dispose of it. Embodied Energy is a Scope 3 emission (see Scope 3 Emissions). Emission factor - The amount of CO2e emitted during the production of a unit of energy. See carbon intensity. EPA — U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Federal agency whose mission is to protect human health and the environment. Fossil fuel — Geological deposits of carbon formed by the burial and decomposition of ancient organisms, including plants, phytoplankton, and zooplankton. So fossil fuels are literally made of decomposed fossils. The age of organisms and resulting fossil fuels ranges from tens- to hundreds -of- millions of years. Fossil fuels includes coal, oil, and natural gas. Greenhouse gas (GHG) — A gas that absorbs and traps heat in the atmosphere. The principle anthropogenic (human generated) greenhouse gases are CO2, CH4, and N20. IPCC — Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. From the IPCC website "[the IPCC] reviews and assesses the most recent scientific, technical and socio- economic information produced worldwide relevant to the understanding of climate change" The IPCC convenes approximately twice per decade to assess the scientific literature underpinning climate science and produces synthesis reports reflecting this body of knowledge. Working strictly on a voluntary basis, hundreds of leading scientists from 108 around the world prepare the report, and thousands more scientists review their work. The IPCC produced synthesis reports in 1990, 1995, 2001, and 2007. The Fifth Assessment Report is scheduled for completion in 2014. kWh -- Average power consumption (kW) per hour. For example, 100 kWh is equivalent to 100 kW of power being used for 1 hour. LEED -- A rating system developed by the U.S. Green Building Council for the design, construction, and operation of energy efficient buildings and neighborhoods. PPM — Parts per million. For instance, if 1 cup of salt is mixed with 999,999 cups of sugar, the resulting solution will have a salt concentration of 1 part per million (ppm). Scope 1 Emissions - All direct GHG emissions. For instance, from burning natural gas to heat a home, from a community operates its own power plant, or from fugitive methane emissions at local landfills. Scope 2 Emissions - Indirect GHG emissions from consumption of purchased electricity, heat, or steam. Scope 3 Emissions - Other indirect emissions. Common examples include emissions from extraction and production of purchased materials and fuels (i.e. embodied energy), transport- related activities in vehicles not owned or controlled by the reporting entity, electricity - related activities not covered by Scope 2 emissions (e.g. transmission and distribution losses), outsourced activities, waste disposal, etc. Tipping point - A threshold beyond which further changes trigger abrupt and often irreversible consequences for human or natural systems. In other words, once a certain climatic threshold is reached, rapid changes occur that are unlikely or impossible to be reversed. For instance, pushing temperatures beyond certain limits can cause species to become extinct. The cascading effects of losing a keystone species can degrade an entire ecosystem and the services it provides; this is effectively irreversible since the species in question no longer exists. USGCRP — U.S. Global Change Research Program. USGCRP provides "a comprehensive and integrated United States research program which will assist the Nation and the world to understand, assess, predict, and respond to human- induced and natural processes of global change." VMT — Vehicle miles travelled. The number of miles travelled by a given vehicle or set of vehicles. WRRC -- Dubuque's Water & Resource Recovery Center (WRRC) is a secondary wastewater treatment facility responsible for treating and disposing of the community's sewage and wastewater. The facility formerly incinerated waste solids and was designed in the 1970s and upgraded in the early 1990s. To more efficiently meet the growing needs of the Dubuque community, the WRRC is being upgraded to an anaerobic digestion system scheduled for completion in 2014. 109 Appendix D - Outreach and Public Input Community Input Various public outreach and input sessions were held throughout 2012 and are described in the sections below. Clarke University "Connect" sessions In August 2012, incoming Clarke University students participated in discussions and workshops regarding sustainability in Dubuque. Green Dubuque led a session describing the 50% by 2030 initiative and engaging students on how it relates to them. 12 students attended the session and participated in an excellent and energetic discussion. Green Drinks Since 2008, Green Dubuque has organized Dubuque Green Drinks, which is a monthly social event designed for anyone interested in sustainability or green issues. It is informal, open, inclusive, and dedicated to fostering conversation, connections, and action in Dubuque, Iowa. A speaker or topic is designated each month to kick things off and generate discussion. Many of the themes are related to or directly address the Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan. These are the themes from 2012: A January 2012: General Discussion A February 2012: Keystone XL Pipeline A March 2012: Dubuque Food Coop ( http: / /www.dubuquefoodcoop.com/) A April 2012: Plastic Bag Reduction A May 2012: Green Roofs presented by Roof Top Sedums, LLC (www.rooftopseedums.com/) A June 2012: Iowa Renewable Energy and Jobs Agenda 2020 (http ://iowarenewableenergyj obs2020. org/) A July 2012: Catfish Creek Watershed Management Authority, led by Eric Schmechel and Dean Mattoon ( http : / /catfishcreek.cdmeyer.com/) A August 2012: Bicycle Library in Dubuque, with Rob Williams presenting on his experience with the Iowa City Bike Library. A September 2012: Updates on the Bike Coop group launched at August Green Drinks. Session culminated in creation of "The Bike Coop," a volunteer -run bicycle cooperative in Dubuque. Also, received an update on local composting developments from Paul Schultz and Chuck Goddard A October 2012: 50% by 2030 Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan input session A November 2012: Bicycle safety and infrastructure in Dubuque, led by Urban and Regional Planning students from the University of Iowa who are working with the City of Dubuque Sustainable Dubuque Collaboration The Sustainable Dubuque Collaboration is a committee of City officials, community organizations, and individuals working on sustainability issues. In November 2012, Green Dubuque presented a draft of the Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan to representatives of the Collaboration and incorporated their feedback into the final report. 110 Collective Social Learning Workshop with Greg & Candia Bruce In October 2012, noted sustainability experts Greg and Candia Bruce held a collective social learning workshop for the Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan. The workshop addressed the following question: How will we define and implement the necessary actions to meet Dubuque's greenhouse gas and resiliency goals? What is Collective Social Learning? Collective social learning (CSL) is a method for creating actionable ideas from groups with diverse perspectives, values, and knowledge. By combining small group brainstorming sessions with reporting/discussion in the larger group, CSL takes workshop participants from creative vision to concrete action. This is achieved by addressing the following four questions: (1) What should be? (sharing ideals and building a vision) (2) What is? (establishing facts and assessing whether each fact enables or disables progress toward vision outlined in question 1) (3) What could be? (creative ideas) (4) What can be? (translating ideas into collaborative action) For each question, smaller groups of 2 or 3 individuals (typically based on specialty or sector of the community) brainstorm on each question and then report back to the larger group (importantly, there are no 'wrong answers'; see rules below). First the groups piece together an ideal vision. Second, groups discuss what current realities aid or impede those ideal visions. Third, creative ideas to reach these goals and overcome those obstacles are discussed, after which those ideas are boiled down to consistent emergent themes. Finally, those ideas, themes, and goals are translated into a list of action items. The end goal of CSL is to have each workshop participant walk away with a positive action to take that (1) they are capable of, (2) they are accountable for, (3) keeps them excited /engaged. The overall process is probably best understood through example, so the results of this workshop are included on the following pages. The following rules were followed in the CSL workshop: • No right or wrong tonight - only ideas • Used colored pens • Exercise your rights and write your own thoughts • Please draw pictures • There is no scribe • Please present by standing up • One group member holds paper up to audience to show your work; other member presents • Write anywhere on your paper 111 Collective Social Learning - Results The following are the 'raw' results of the workshops; these were incorporated as appropriate in the policy options throughout the report but are included here in raw form. I. What Should Be? (Group 1) A Future generations are considered in public decision making ▪ The whole community has been involved in some way such that they feel connected to it A No externalities in cost/benefit analyses - -all impacts considered A Everyone is healthy, happy, and at peace A Zero waste A Economic social environmental goals align I. What Should Be? (Group 2) • Buy Local • Conserve water • Discourage lawns, plant more shrubs and trees • Teach all of this in community college • Cut energy needs • Grow more food locally • Build up soil, carbon, organic matter • Insulate, solar, wind energy • Mass transit biking • Produce fuels locally, methane, wood alcohol • Parks and green areas • Utilize local businesses as much as feasible • More locally grown food • Back to more of a barter system • Less packaging • Educate school • Promote vegetation • Get kids involved, start while young • Community gardens • Promote /Create incentives for organic farms and gardens • Have fairs and seminars • Create local focus groups I. What Should Be? (Group 3) • Grocery stores that let us reuse refill containers, glass ok like in Europe • Bike lanes on every street • Pair students with senior citizens • Fresh local food at school lunch • Curbside food waste collect for all residences and businesses • Community gardens in every neighborhood, front yards • Composting in all schools • Easy renting bikes • Charge for plastic bags at schools • Educate in schools about composting and how to be sustainable • Info signs throughout city • More bulk buying at stores = less plastic • Neighborhood champions to educate on greenhouse gas /climate change issues and policy • Support for Neighborhood Champions 112 • Errand planning education • More CSL take to neighborhoods • Easy public transportation • Facilitate carpooling with background checks • Warming up ideas for winter to keep thermostats down I. What Should Be? (Group 4) A Should support business /industry and community A Timeline: actions at 1 -12 months, 1 -2 years, 3 -4 years, 4 -5 years ▪ Should we define short long, big small? ▪ All of us able to make small steps know what to choose to do by education ▪ The whole community should be involved and get it, not through preaching, common sense ▪ We should know what the greenhouse gas targets are and where to focus for best effect ▪ Should not mention greenhouse gas, should be "normal way" ▪ Should be a whole community approach ▪ Should build on other success and knowledge A People learning about the unsustainable trend, impacted by climate destruction A People supporting good science and fact checking A People gathering in small support and empowerment synergy groups A People encouraging developing milestones and measurements A Lessen the dis- empowerment of "I don't understand enough" A Validate participatory democracy, need input from all ▪ Accessible, relevant A Build a framework that encourages input collaboration A Build portfolio of community successes A Measure all the costs and impacts that affect the climate ▪ Gather input from a wide variety of stake holders in the community A Creative I. What Should Be? (Group 5) • Build visual reminders in prominent locations to keep community in the mindset of achieving goals and create public works of art that can also be used to teach/educate • Host events in the community that get people out of their houses and talking to each other, events based around specific goals and projects, see results! • Get students involved, they are already immersed in an environment of learning, get them educated about the issues and build involvement and energy in the schools and environment • I think it is important to involve college students why not develop clubs or courses for credit, the city could be involved with facilitating this. • It is also important to develop an environment in which climate action is not threatening or partisan but a net gain for everyone • If climate action is aesthetically and visually pleasing, it is easier to get behind 113 II. What Is? (Group 1) Enabling Disabling Solar and wind cost is decreasing Partisan politics Fuel efficiency standards Fear City of Dubuque staff are awesome and connected to community and environment Special Interest Money Youth involvement -- Green Vision Education program Misinformation (Group Think) Local solar energy companies Language of GHG /Climate Change Grassroots democracy Different views in world/Dubuque Processes exist (e.g. Collective Social Learning) Remove woodland for corn Energy in this community to make it happen Individuals feeling they alone won't make a difference Knowledge exists Political headbutt ing II. What Is? (Group 2) Enabling Disabling Farmers Market growing Businesses going more global (less caring) School's conservation clubs Deniers City building trails, working on bus lines High Cost of Organic Food Increasing number of organic farms Lack of local processing City tree planting Old fashioned views US fuel standards going up Slow rate of cars /miles per gallon Alternative forms of energy Remove woodland for corn Individuals feeling they alone won't make a difference Political headbutt ing II. What Is? (Group 3) Enabling Disabling Complete Streets policies Money Green Dubuque and other local advocates /champions Att itude, "I won't make a difference" Supportive mayor, council, small but supportive citizens Lack of people participating Farmer's market, CSAs getting stronger, more successful Belief there are plentiful resources Local pride in our community, river Terrain Momentum has started State and federal barriers Incentives Lazy, not motivated 114 Internet education Someone else's problem Health education The false ideas and misunderstanding of groups Community conversations (Collective Soc. Learn) The waiting game Creative energy e.g. Bike Coop Complacency and privilege Composting infrastructure now available Surrender philosophy (giving up) II. What Is? (Group 4) Enabling Disabling Food Coop developing Partisan politics Community conversations (Collective Soc. Learn) Powerlessness Creative energy e.g. Bike Coop Greenhouse gas issues has a bad reputation Composting infrastructure now available People think it will cost $, business opportunities Business opportunities, new industries Concentrated decision making Dubuque, perfect "community" is go for it Some not empowered Makes sense Some don't know/ No choice Humans are creative and inventive Perceived as middle class liberal issue Religious community support leadership Too much fighting over stats and numbers gets stuck because cause for no action Technology Inertia History of sustainability success in Dubuque Lack of confidence and knowledge Evidence that people have /are making a difference Fear of embarrassing ones self Believe Yes Lack of mentoring /empowering young people about their future II. What Is? (Group 5) Enabling Disabling Millwork district/historic conservation Enormity of Climate Issues Complete Streets Not enough bike racks DBQ Bike Coop Not enough awareness regarding complete streets GHG Initiative Urban sprawl Phasing out plastic bags Rivers, streams, and drinking water in danger The Jewel Bus / Transit system Stream cleanup Solar 115 III. What Could Be? (Group 1) • Reduce food miles • Food Coop, FM, Backyard Gardens, Edible landscaping • Distributed Energy Incentives • Bike opportunities for all, Bike Coop, complete streets, trail vision expanded • White, green, solar roof • Report matters, Build a framework that involves community based on CSL results tonight III. What Could Be? (Group 2) A Kids should be taught and shown different examples so they can decide Public areas should become positive examples ▪ True cost analyze factoring all long term cost ▪ Teach kids how to compost and recycle properly A Incentive for producing locally grown foods at schools, hospitals, nursing homes, etc. A Budget more to these efforts or add incentives ▪ Create ongoing focus groups to deal with each issue III. What Could Be? (Group 3) • Incentives/ property value increase if have a garden on property • Surplus donated to coop to give people with special diet needs or to schools • Free Jump on /off business • Incentives, coupons, vouchers for biking /walking • Have volunteers who are educated on sustainability pass knowledge on to students • After school snacks are grown not from plastic bag! • Year round youth environment group /club • Incorporate into L.E.A.P. Grant • Artsy Tip Sheet • Green concerts in public venue and town clock square for celebration and education III. What Could Be? (Group 4) • That the city has an integrated transport plan that includes safe bike paths and buses to our appropriate areas • The plan incorporates the vision of a variety of background (youths, seniors, various economic backgrounds, etc.) • Empower, mentor, and help develop new leaders, communicators, and strategic organizers • That the strategic plan is lead by the community and everyone wanting to help carry the load • Synergy between points of energy = coops and faith groups and advocates, etc. • Express a vision and suggest actions that can be understood by almost all Dubuquers • Integrate art, culture, city events, in communications and actions... • Small Groups Meeting Everywhere • Zero Waste III. What Could Be? (Group 5) • Gardening clubs • Bush craft/wildlife groups • Activities in the summer, live music, share ideas about climate action • Public Art/Whitespace mural • Involves artists in the community • Teaching tool /visual regarding climate issues • Cooling space where there was blacktop, now a whiteshade mural • Involve students in grant writing process 116 • Grant writing powerful skill to be used in additional future projects • Public unveiling, DBQ likes to party • Involve local musicians, involve local food • Involve historical district, location? • Total community involvement III. What Could Be? Group 4 (2id Groups) • Food = coop and more locally produced and increased use of local food and farmers market • Arts and Culture life = Music and Local Artists • Local Festivals • Web of Capacity Building small powerful groups • Whole or County and art events cultural activity integrated • Integrated transport • Grow Youth Capacity • Food/energy /Transportation /Art • Leadership Development • Cross Cultural Tool Box • Projects empowering more engagement and more projects • Reporting outcomes and measurements III. What Could Be? -- THEMES • Money — incentives, funding, creating value • Education outreach to targeted populations (esp. youth) • Transportation bus bike trail; • Food Edible Landscaping, Gardens, Trees • Fun Seek more opportunities to make it fun (should NOT be a drag) Celebrate small steps with events, parties, etc. • Integration of all age groups (opinions; opportunities for participation/action /benefit) • Support for many small community organizations to build an entire community working successfully toward improvement • ENERGY ° Different forms: Social momentum, Renewables, Fossil Fuels, Food, Heating, Transportation IV. What Can Be? (action steps) 117 Name Commitment or action By when/date of action Resources Participant 1 Develop tip sheet on common GHG sustain for use in NBHD education Tip Sheet printed, donated to and give to Green Dubuque 60 days Names redacted for report; but resources typically consist of key contacts, individuals, organizations, volunteers, and individual skills that can move these goals forward Participant 2 Suggest youth club in school, implement Within two years Participant 3 Reduce energy use by being less indulgent, mow, planting a garden Participant 4 Connect with other workshop participants to continue discussion/flow of ideas 2 months Participant 5 4 CSL for community improvement Before Greg and Candia return Participant 6 Contact schools if they support conservation 05/30/13 Participant 7 Support local effort to copy growing power This winter Participant 8 Attend community activity By Spring Participant 9 Whitespace Mural Continue to raise awareness for bike coop through designing merchandise, logos and brochures Now... Participant 10 Happy to volunteer my time, clean up wildlife project June 13th Participant 11 Help maintain Greg Bruce Always Participant 12 Get an assessment of solar potential at our house Suse Get a deskside composter 2012 Participant 13 Support more CSL Next 3 months 118 Business Input Petal Connect Business input was collected in face -to -face events, such as Petal Connect sessions, and an online survey. Petal Connect sessions are regular meetings held by the Petal Project (see p. 71 for description of Petal Project) with participating businesses. Green Dubuque was invited to present at a Petal Connect session in June 2012, where the Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan was presented and discussed. Online Survey A survey of local businesses /institutions in Dubuque was conducted to understand sustainability related trends, barriers, and opportunities in the private sector. The survey was administered with the following goals: A Receive 2 -3 responses from all major business sectors A Receive responses from businesses representing cumulative 25% of employment in Dubuque A Identify private sector priorities regarding sustainability A Identify barriers to energy use and GHG reduction in the private sector A Incorporate existing private sector successes, barriers, and ideas into Dubuque Community Climate Action and Resiliency Plan The survey was designed not to require extensive expertise in sustainability to complete and was intended to be completed in 15 -20 minutes (survey text included below). As of November 30, 2012, 21 area businesses representing well over 3,000 Dubuque area employees had responded to the survey. We thank the respondents sincerely for their help in gathering this important data. 119 Survey Text Dubuque Community Climate Action & Resiliency Pius: Business Survey - 2012 Thank you for sharing your input regarding the Dubuque Community Climate Action Plan. Private sector leadership and innovation are an important component of community resiliency and adaptation. Your thoughtful input in the following survey will help give a better perspective of what is important to our local businesses as well as the obstacle that you may face in your efforts to improve your corporate sustainability. Individual answers will be kept confidential. Only aggregate data will be utilized/shared to understand local trends. If you would prefer that your business not be listed as a participant, please indicate "(anonymous)" after your business name and your business will not be listed. Thank you again for your input. *1. Name of your business? *2. Number of employees? Q < 10 Q 10 -50 Q 50 - 100 Q 100 - 500 Q > 500 *3. Type of Business? Retail Q Office Q Food Service Q Industrial/Manufacturing Q Public Service Q Construction Q Health Care Q Financial Q Education Q Recreation Q Warehouse/Distribution Other (please specify) 120 *4. Does your business have a corporate vehicle fleet? Yes I o *5. Has your company developed a corporate sustainability strategy? `, Yes Q No Q I don't know * 6. What are the driving factors behind your organization's sustainability initiatives? End - Consumer Environmental Concerns/Pressure From Customers Cost Reduction ✓ Investors ✓ Government Compliance • Corporate Image /Brand Reputation • Employee Interest • Community Environmental Concern ▪ Supply Chain Pressure/Interest Other (please specify) * 7. What are the significant barriers that your company faces in developing and implementing sustainable strategies? Lack of adequate sustainability education /training • Cost/perceived lack of retum on investment — Senior management indifference Lack of staff/insufficient staff time ✓ No significant business driver • Complexity of implementation • Availability of funds /prioritization of funds Other (please specify) 121 * 8. Which of the following are current (implemented) sustainability initiatives at your company? ▪ Sustainability reporting ▪ Green fleet changes to conserve fuel ▪ Engagement of customers or community ▪ Product life cycle analysis ▪ Recycling and waste reduction ▪ Water conservation ▪ The Petal Project (green business certification) ▪ Product take -back initiatives, such as product stewardship or extended producer responsibility ▪ Construction of "green facilities" ▪ Carbon footprint analysis /greenhouse gas inventory ▪ Composting of organics (either curbside or on site) ▪ Energy efficiency ▪ Renewable energy ▪ Product redesign to improve energy efficiency of product Other (please specify) *9. Which of the following is your company interested in education/technical assistance for? (choose top three) ▪ Life Cycle Assessment ▪ Sustainabilty Reporting fl Energy Efficiency ▪ Green Buildings Carbon Foctprint Analysis • Renewable Energy • Corporate Sustainability Strategy • Community /Conoumcr Engagement n Waste Stream Management • Lower Emissions Development of Sustainability Me:rics Climate Disruption and Adaptation Other (please specify) 122 Survey results and discussion (1) Name of business Respondents consenting to be named include: A Eagle Point Solar • Gronen Restoration, Inc. A Clarke University • Loras College A St. Joseph the Worker Catholic Church A American Trust and Savings Bank A Dubuque Bank and Trust • DuTrac Community Credit Union A Premier Bank • Jitterz Coffee + Cafe A The Food Store A Finley Hospital A Unified Therapy Services • Welu Printing Company • Cottingham & Butler A Dubuque Data Services • IIW, P.C. A City of Dubuque Public works A Community Foundation A East Central Intergovernmental Association A River Lights Bookstore 123 (renewable energy /construction) (construction) (education) (education) (religious) (financial) (financial) (financial) (financial) (food service) (food service) (health care) (health care) (industrial/manufacturing) (office) (office) (office) (public service) (public service) (public service) (retail) (2) <10- 10 -50- 1 50 -100- 100 -500- >500- Number of employees? 1 1 7 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 The survey received responses from a strong sample of small, medium, and large businesses and institutions, including 10 businesses with fewer than 50 employees and 13 with more than 50 employees (weighted somewhat toward larger institutions/businesses with 100 - 500+ employees). 124 (3) Financial - Education — Office — Public Service — Retail — Food Service — Construction — Health Care — Industrial /Manufacturing — Recreation — WarehouselDistribution — Type of Business? 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 2 3 4 5 6 This chart shows that the survey largely met its goal of sampling a wide variety of sectors, though we would still like to gather more responses from, in particular, the Industrial/Manufacturing, Warehouse/Distribution, Retail, and Recreational (e.g. casinos) sectors. (4) Does your business have a corporate vehicle fleet? A Yes (10) A No (8) A No response (3) (5) Has your company developed a corporate sustainability strategy? A Yes (77.8 %) A No (22.2 %) 77.8% of respondents had already developed a corporate sustainability strategy, indicating that institutional sustainability has permeated much of the private sector but that there is still significant room to grow (22.2% in our sample). Notably, however, it was almost exclusively smaller businesses that have not yet developed a sustainability strategy, possibly related to staff limitations (see response 7, below) 125 (6) What are the driving factors behind your organization's sustainability initiatives? Community _ Environmental Concern Employee Interest— Corporate Image/Brand Reputation Cost Reduction End-Consumer Environmental Concems /Pressure 16.7 From Customers Supply Chain 11.1 % Pressure/Interest Government Compliance 1 5.6 4 Investors- 61.1 7. 77.84 72.2 4 94.44 0 5 10 15 20 There are several interesting results in this section. First, 'cost reduction' (via improved energy /water /materials efficiency for most survey respondents) was cited by 61% of businesses /institutions with sustainability initiatives. This indicates that cost reduction is an important factor but is not the exclusive or even primary driver of voluntary corporate sustainability. Second, only 1 respondent named 'government compliance' as a driving factor, indicating that corporate sustainability in Dubuque is primarily a voluntary, internally driven process. Related to this, very few respondents indicated that explicit external pressure from investors, customers, or upstream /downstream links in the supply chain drove their current sustainability initiatives. This again suggests that private sector sustainability in Dubuque is primarily driven by companies and institutions themselves. Consistent with this, nearly 78% of respondents cited 'employee interest' as a driving factor in their pursuit of sustainability. There were some external pressures companies did respond to, however. 94% of respondents cited 'community environmental concern' as a driving factor, and 72% cited 'corporate image/brand reputation.' This indicates that companies are motivated to support and participate in the culture and priorities of the communities where they live and do business, and that this is supported at least in part by 'soft pressures' such as a building and maintaining strong reputations as sustainable, responsible companies. 126 (7) What are the significant barriers that your company faces in developing and implementing sustainable strategies? Lack of staff /insufficient staff time Cost/perceived lack of return on investment Availability of funds /prioritization of funds Complexity of implementation Lack of adequate sustainability education /training Senior management indifference No significant business driver 33.3 % 16.7 556:: 10 12 14 None of the respondents indicated that they did not pursue sustainability because there were 'no significant business drivers.' This indicates that they all believed that, whether for cost reduction, image, or other factors, sustainability made good business sense. Also, none cited 'senior management indifference' as a barrier, again suggesting that corporate interest in sustainability is strong. The most common barriers cited fall into two categories: cost and implementation. In teens of cost, 44% of respondents indicated that they would pursue more sustainability initiatives if more funding were available. This is a large percentage, but it is somewhat striking that it is not higher. 56% of respondents indicated that perceived lack of ROI was a significant barrier. This suggests two important things: (1) sustainability initiatives with good ROI are most amenable to businesses (or perhaps initiatives with good ROIs just need to be better marketing), and (2) 44% of respondents do not see lack of ROI as aproblem, either because they are willing to incur the costs or because they perceive sustainability as ultimately good for business. So cost can be an important barrier, but in our survey, implementation was more important. 72% of respondents cited 'lack of staff/staff time' as significant barriers. Implementing sustainability initiatives, even the most cost effective ones, requires some measure of expertise and staff time. In our survey, it appears that staff time outweighs expertise as abarrier, with 33% of respondents citing 'complexity of implementation' as a barrier and 17% citing 'lack of training.' So while expertise and education are important, they are not as significant as simple staff availability (also, sustainability outreach is strong in Dubuque, so this may also explain some of these results). Other barriers cited (not shown in this graph) include 'not owning their facility'. It is also notable that several respondents stated that they saw no significant barriers. 127 (8) Which of the following are current (implemented) sustainability initiatives at your company? Energy efficiency — Recycling a nd — waste reduction Water conservation — Engagement of customers oroommunity The Petal Project (green — business certification) Sustaina Wiry reporting — Composting of_ organics (either_ Renewable energy— Construction of J 'green faci@ies' Product take -back initiatives. such as product Carbon footprint analysts greenhouse_ Green fleet changes to conserve fuel Product life cycle analysis 16.7 16.7 16.7 22.2 38.9 38.9 38.9 55.6 e 72.2 % 72.2 % 72.2 % 100.0 % 94.44 5 10 15 2] Question 8 indicates that respondents are implementing a broad portfolio of sustainability initiatives. In particular, energy efficiency (a notable cost saving measure) and recycling were nearly ubiquitous. Water conservation was also a common practice, and those who did not cite water conservation were typically smaller businesses for which water use was probably not very high to begin with. So water conservation is also probably pretty ubiquitous. 72% of respondents were participating in the Petal Project, indicating that they are particularly focused on sustainability. 72% of respondents also reached out to customers and the community to publicize their efforts, which is identical to the percentage citing concern for corporate image/brand reputation in question 6. 56% of respondents formally reported their sustainability efforts and trends, either through third party programs, the web, or corporate reports, though only 17% had conducted a GHG inventory or analysis of any kind (larger companies were the ones conducting GHG inventories). Somewhat surprisingly, nearly 39% of respondents were engaged in some sort of composting /organics separation. There is certainly room for growth in that regard, but those numbers are encouraging. Also, 39% of respondents employed renewable energy of some kind in their operations. Again, there is tremendous room for growth in this regard, but these figures indicate that local renewables are spreading and working for local businesses. 39% also had constructed 'green facilities', which are more energy efficient and widely recognized as saving money in the long term (and often the short term); as such, it is likely that this number will grow as more companies expand/update their facilities in the future. Other efforts had lower levels of implementation but were still cited by several respondents. 17% of respondents had replaced fleet vehicles with more fuel - efficient models (notably, most smaller 128 businesses do not have fleets, so this figure is higher among large companies). 22% of respondents engaged in product take back initiatives, such as recycling and management of products they sell /manufacturing, indicating that these respondents were engaged with the downstream fate of their products. Related to this, 17% of respondents had engaged in product life - cycle- analyses to improve the efficiency / sustainability of their products and supply chains. Though not shown in the graph, 11% of respondents had redesigned their products or materials to be more energy efficient and sustainable. (9) Which of the following is your company interested in education /technical assistance for? (choose top three) Energy Efficiency - CommunityJConsumer — Engagement Development of _ Sustainability Metrics Life Cycle Assessment — Cot _� Sustainability Strategy Renewable Energy — Waste Stream Management — Carbon Footprint _ Analysis Green Buildings- Sustainability Reporting— Lower Emissions 5.6 Climate Disruption 5.6 and Adaptation 16.7 % 22.2 % 22.2 % 27.8% 27.8% 27.8 % 27.8 % 33.3 % 50.0% 50.0% 0 2 4 6 8 10 This question was restricted to the top -3 priorities in order to better understand where respondents most wanted more knowledge or technical assistance. In our sample, energy efficiency and ways of communicating sustainability efforts to the public were the strongest performers; given their relationship to cost savings, corporate image, and community concern (see question 6), this is not surprising. After the top two priorities, the spread of companies' top -3 priorities is striking. Roughly 1/4 of respondents stated that they would like technical assistance on nearly every type of sustainability option listed. These generally fell into three categories: (1) Product - related (life -cycle analysis, waste stream management); (2) Energy (green buildings; renewables); (3) Strategies and measures of sustainability (metrics; corporate sustainability strategy; carbon footprint analysis; sustainability reporting). Priorities differ by the size and sector of the respondents, but it is clear that a wide variety of technical assistance would facilitate private sector sustainability and that it is important to gear that assistance specifically to the needs and concerns of a given business. With the variety of responses above, clearly one -size does no fit all (except perhaps energy efficiency). This also highlights the 129 responses we received in question 7, indicating that lack of staff/staff time was a very common barrier to pursuit of additional sustainability initiatives. Perhaps most interesting for this report, GHG emissions and explicit climate concern was only cited by a little over 5% of respondents, though 22% did cite a GHG inventory as a top -3 priority. This suggests that the companies we surveyed are motivated more by proximate and community concerns than global concerns, and that the best way encourage corporate GHG reduction may be indirect, such as by emphasizing waste reduction (e.g. on -site recycling and product/material life cycle efficiency) and energy (efficiency, renewables, and green buildings). As discussed above, helping to bring expertise in these areas to interested companies /institutions may be an important way to drive those changes. 130 Appendix E - Reduction Estimate Ranges and Uncertainty As discussed in the summary section of this report, each strategy includes an estimate of its impact on annual GHG emissions by the year 2030. That estimate generally consists of a range of probable values. The average of that range is used to estimate the total potential GHG reduction discussed in this section and displayed in Table2a and Figures 2 and 3. For instance, a 100 -1,000 strategy would have an estimate of 550 (the average of 100 and 1,000). A range of 100s would also have the same estimated average of 550, though with less certainty, as discussed below. The specific GHG reduction estimates for individual strategies are discussed in the description sections for each those strategies. This section is more of a general discussion of the estimate ranges- - what they mean, why one type of estimate goes with a particular strategy, etc.. In general, there are three types of estimates provided, from most certain to least certain: (1) A single estimated number; (2) A range of reductions; (3) A magnitude of reductions. These are discussed in detail below. 1. A single estimate, such as 928 mt for the WRRC anaerobic digestion conversion. A single estimate indicates that the GHG impacts of these actions are relatively certain and straightforward to calculate. Examples include methane capture and flaring at the landfill, anaerobic digestion at the WRRC, improved fuel efficiency for The Jule buses, and methane -to- energy projects at the WRRC and DMASWAfacilities. The impact of these actions on electric demand, fuel consumption, or methane emissions is well known and can be computed using standard emissions factors, which minimizes uncertainty and generally justifies using a single number. Other GHG reduction strategies are given a single number despite their having somewhat higher uncertainties. These include the Dubuque Intermodal Transportation Facility, the Southwest Arterial, and Smarter City ITS. These items already had been given GHG reduction estimates in previous City documents and studies and appeared to be reasonable to the authors of this study. Therefore, they were retained to ensure consistency between City documents, though they should be understood to actually have a range of uncertainty around them. 2. A range of reductions, such as 10 -100, 100 - 1,000, or 1,000- 10,000 mt. Actions in these categories typically include policy measures, whose impact on behavior is always difficult to predict. For instance, it is very straightforward to calculate the impact of reducing VMTs by 100,000 miles per year, because we know how many GHGs are emitted per mile driven. However, it is difficult to know exactly what impact a given transportation - related strategy will have on VMTs (e.g. the Southwest Arterial, route improvement on the Jule, Complete Streets, or the Intermodal Transportation Facility ). Similarly, it is very easy to calculate the GHG impact of a solar panel or a hydroelectric facility of a given size, but it is impossible to predict exactly what scale renewable energy will achieve in Dubuque by 2030 These are not exhaustive ranges, and the actual reductions could fall short of or surpass expectations. However, the upper and lower bounds of these ranges do cover the wide middle range of reasonable expectations. These expectations are based on the impact of similar actions in other communities, academic studies, and (most importantly) detailed knowledge of the GHG characteristics of each sector in Dubuque. For instance, if Dubuque's transportation related emissions amount to 200,000 mt per year, then clearly no action can exceed 200,000 mt, nor is anything likely to reduce transportation 131 emissions by 100,000 or even 50,000 mt. This puts an upper bound on emissions reductions estimates. The lower bound is technically zero, but actions with no expected impact on GHGs were not included in this document. Compared to making precise estimates (or the illusion of precise estimates), it is much more reliable to calculate that a given strategy could reduce GHG emissions by hundred, thousands, or tens of thousands of metric tons. 3. A magnitude of reductions, such as 10s, 100s, or 1,000s of mt. These are essentially equivalent to the ranges described above (i.e. (10s = 10 -100; 100s = 100 - 1,000; etc.); except that for these strategies, there is less of a firm basis for the upper and lower bounds. To reflect this greater uncertainty, they are not given a range, but rather an order of magnitude. These actions are typically actions with broad but diffuse impacts (e.g. the Dubuque UDC) where making precise predicts is impossible. Still, these broad orders of magnitude provide a useful baseline for comparing emissions impact and are based primarily on the amount of emissions currently occurring in a given sector (e.g. energy, transportation, lighting within buildings) and the amount of those emissions that can reasonably expected to be impacted by a given reduction strategy. These estimates are mainly intended to give a sense of their relative likely impact on emissions. For example, a reduction in the 1,000s category is likely to have a greater impact than a reduction in the 100s category. But again, due to inherent uncertainty, a 100s action could very well exceed expectations, while a 1,000s could fall short. As an example, consider IECC building standards. This strategy has a range of 10,000s of mt. This estimate is based on (1) the amount of electric /heating related emissions in Dubuque; (2) The % of Dubuque buildings represented by new constructions each year; (3) Past and planned impact of IECC standards on building energy use. We then calculate a number, which in this case was 91,682 mt of reduction by 2030. This falls on the upper end of the 10,000s order of magnitude, but there are a lot of uncertainties like the number of new constructions in Dubuque by 2030, the form of IECC standards, etc. So the estimate is conservative, but the authors judged it better to be somewhat conservative than to risk overselling reduction potential in Dubuque. In general, we were most conservative in our estimates for strategies in this category. 132 1 SUSTAINABLE DUBUQUE WORK SESSION 12.2.13 AGENDA FOCUS: Environmental Integrity 50% by 2030 Community Climate Action & Resiliency Plan Catfish Creek Watershed Management Authority UPDATE: Sustainable Dubuque Collaboration 50 2030 11, dubuque GHG REDUCTION PLAN Non - binding, voluntary effort to identify opportunities to reduce Dubuque's community GHG emissions How can it be used? Informing officials during goal- setting and budget decisions Informing businesses and individuals about potential emission and cost - saving options Showcasing success stories Providing a roadmap that can be added to or adjusted Educational piece about where Dubuque's GHG emissions really come from SFs CH4 NCO NFCs PFCs l SCOPE 2 SCOPE INDIRECT IIAPL4[" LrpLOYQ NS IYLSh TRXVLI A3r0 ELECTIICTTY FOR Oval USt r10 MET ON of rU1KHA5EG Inkl 004 ITINS/OfAI USi CUTSOURCEU ACTTYTTIES CONTAA+CTOR OWIdiI VEHICLES alsEM IN uoi.ZJodsuE.J j ■ (siS luu) rupisnpui (Dada) rupisnpui (sa Teu) rEPJaWWoD (Dp.Daia) rEPJaWWoD (si l 'Eu) rup.uapisa d (D!J Dada) rup.uap!sa d aZOD 1ua EOOZ :3NFI3Sb'8 UPDATE Waste 5/ 2003 0% Res Elec Transp 17% 23% Waste 2011 4% -0°� Res NG 9% Transp 3% Res Elec 15% Res NG 8% Indus NG 0% Indust Elec 33% Indus Comm NG, Elec 4% Comm 9% NG 4/ Indust Elec 27% —Comm Elec \_Comm 12% NG 7% Total: 1,266,234 mt CO2e Total: 1,203,152 mt CO2e PROCESS Data Collection & Sources Community Input Sustainable Dubuque Collaboration Community CSL Workshop: How will we define and implement the necessary actions to meet Dubuque GHG and resilience goals? Green Drinks College student discussions Business Input Meetings arranged in partnership with GDDC Petal Connect sessions Online survey representing 25% of employment in Dubuque Type of Business? Financial — Education — Office Public Service Retail Food Service Constriction 1 Health Care Industrial/Manufacturing Recreation — Warehouse /Distribution — 2 2 2 2 0 What are the driving factors behind your organization's sustainability initiatives? Community _ Environmental Concern Employee Interest 94.4 0 __AI ISM 77.8 Corporate Image /Brand Reputation 72.2 Cost Reduction — End - Consumer Environmental Concerns /Pressure 16.7 % From Customers Supply Chain 11.1 e Pressuref l nterest GovernmentCompliance1 5.6 % Investors — 61.1 0 11 20 Which of the following are current (implemented) sustainability initiatives at your company? Energy efficiency Rd on waste te reduction Water conservation 72.2 4 Engagement of customers 722 4 or community i The Petal Project (green 72.2 >,a business certification) Sustanability repotting Composting of organics (either_ Renewable energy Construction of 'green facilities' Product take -back initiatives. such as product Carbon fhouse . 16.7 analysis/ reenhcse_ Green fleet changes 163 '.0 to conserve fuel Product life Al= 16.7'; cycle analysis 1 22.2 % 38.9 % 38.9 % 38.9 4 55.E 100.0 4 94.4 % 0 10 20 What are the significant barriers that your company faces in developing and implementing sustainable strategies? Lack of staff /insufficient staff time Cost/perceived lack of return on investment Availability of funds/prioritization of funds Complexity of implementation Lack of adequate sustainability education /training Senior management indifference No significant business driver 72.2 % 16.7 33.3 % 44.4 % 55.6 10 12 14 Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO2e (1000s mt) Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO2e (1000s mt) Source End use 2 282 �2e 69 C2e Wind Other Renewables Nuclear Natural gas/ fuel oil Petroleum Landfill methane 423 BBtu 53 BBtu 3,578 BBtu 2012 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation 277 CO2e CO2e Carbon Emissions 1 ,242 COe (1 000s mt) Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO.e (1000s mt) Source End use Wind Other Renewables Nuclear 423 BBtu 53 BBtu 205 BBt 643 CO-,e 225 CO -e 282 ;CO., e 69 CO -.e Natural gas/ fuel oil Petroleum Landfill methane 69 BBtu Electricity Gene ration 3,578 BBtu 2012 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation 277 COe cote Carbon Emiss ions 1,242 CO2e (1000s mt) L Carbon Emissions 1,242 CO,e (1000s mt) Source 643 CO,e 225 CO_e 282 CO,e 2e Wind Other Renewables Nuclear Natural gas/ fuel oil Petroleum Landfill methane 423 BBtu 53 43-Btu- Electricity Generation 724 BBtu 1,796 BBtu 1,527 BBtu Or 918 BBtu 3,578 BBtu 2012 End use Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation CO2e 22 CO2e 389 CO,e 282 CO2e C 2e Carbon Emissions 1,242 CQ2e (1000s mt) Source 643 CO,e 225 CO_e 282 COZe Wind Other Renewables Nuclear oal Natural gas/ fuel oil Petroleum Landfill methane 423 BBtu 53 BBtu Electricity Generation 724 End use 69 BBtU 1,796 BBtu 1,527 BBtu 918 BBtu 1.357 BBt 3,578 BBtu 2012 Residential Commercial Industrial Transportation 277 C 2 225 CQ2e 389 i COQ® 282e 2e Carbon Emissions 1,242 CQ2e (1000s mt) Ca rbon Emissions 638 CO2e (1000s mt) Source 308 CO2e 195 1 4 CO2e Wind Other Renewables Nuclear Natural gas/ fuel oil 200 BBtu 25 BBtu 340 End use Residential 168 CO2e Electricity Generation Commercial 1,567 BBtu Petroleum La ndfi l l methane 28 BBtu 787 BBtu 1,162 BBtu 2030 Industrial Transportation 19 CO2e 1 C. -,e 4 CO2e • Sector Reduction ear by 20301 % of total reduction Waste Energiy, Transportation Buildings [disc Total reductions 67,500 217,437 48,412 167,946 33A44 514,739 11.2% 42.2% 9.4 % 30 7 % 6 6% 100.0% ■ Active /planned Other options Unlikely reductions • Sector Reduction ear by 20301 % of total reduction Waste Energiy, Transportation Buildings [disc Total reductions 67,500 217,437 48,412 167,946 33A44 514,739 11.2% 42.2% 9.4 % 30 7 % 6 6% 100.0% Strategy RECOMMENDED POLICIES & PROGRAMS: LOCAL ENERGY: INFRASTRUCTURE Description Estimated Impact (mt CO2e) Status Wood waste CHP Using regional wood waste in a combined heat and power (CHP) facility No longer in downtown Dubuque, which could generate both electricity and waste 87,000 — 134,000 under p. 36 heat consideration Wood waste pyrolysis and energy recovery Biochar can be produced from wood waste via pyrolysis. which yields syngas and bio -oil energy products as well as biochar, which is a highly stable form of carbon that can remove GHGs from the atmosphere 44 — 4,400 Prospective/ not currently under consideration p_ 37 DMASWA — methane gas to anarrry WRRC — methane CHP — solar Local clean energy — small wind Hydroelectricity at Lock and Dam 11 Methane from organics decomposition at the landfill can be captured and burned for energy. Methane from waste processing at anaerobic digestors can be captured and burned for energy n ar n n nvnair arrava rnu_- nanora o a ainni ran- amniin- n anorm, n Dubuque. particularly at large commercial and industrial facilities "61,799 (11,799) 3.077 9.618 — 28.854 Planning stages Under p 39 construction p. 38 Active/ongoing p. 40 Strategy Description Estimated Impact mt C ?2e: Status Renewable energy PPAs PPAs allow businesses to install solar PV arrays without incurring risk or taking responsibility for equipment maintenance_ In PPAs, the installer owns the equipment (financed by a 3ro party) and sells electricity at a contracted rate to a business /buyer. Lease agreements can serve a similar function 1.000s Prospective/ not currently under consideration P- Distributed energy policies (residential) Dubuque can facilitate renewable energy to residential sectors via education. technical expertise. and adopting best policies and practices such as those from the DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge program 100s Pending P Distributed energy policies (commercial /public Small wind turbines could potentially generate a moderate of energy in Dubuoue. oarticularlaroe commercial and industrial facilities A hydroelectric facility at Dubuque Lock & Dam 11 could produce a very significant amount of energy 100s 50.030+ Active/ongoing Prospective p- 41 p 42 Dubuque Generating Station to natural gas District heating — natural gas (Millwork District) Alliant Energy's Dubuque Generating Station coal plant is scheduled for closure. but could potentially be converted to run on natural gas, which produces fewer GHGs per unit energy output than coal A local energy generation facility could provide electricity and heating to residents and businesses in downtown Dubuque Significant generating capacity Significant generating capacity rrospective/ not currently P 43 under consideration No longer and er consideration P . 44 Dubuque can facilitate renewable energy to commercial /industrial sectors via education. technical expertise, and adopting best policies and practices such as those from the DOE Rooftop Solar Challenge program 1.000s Pending P- OE Rooftop Solar hallenge A federal program designed to develop and test local programs and policies that lower the cost and streamline the process of installing solar PV in residential and commercial settings. 1.000s Pending Local green financing A reliable source of financing (e.g. banks and financial institutions) for renewable energy projects would support/spur demand for energy efficiency and renewables in Dubuque. not estimated not currently under consideration P. EPA Green Power Community Dubuque utility customers can voluntarily participate in renewable energy purchasing programs and purchase a percentage of their power from renewables 1 000s Prospective/ not currently under consideration P- `• Renewable energy property tax exemption Would provide exemptions from property taxes for certain renewable energy installations such that assessors would not add the value of renewable energy systems to the taxable value of a property. 100: Prospective/ not currently under consideration P- ! DMAS A - Methane Gas to Energy C1) Sector: Loci end- - infinstrnotare 2) Policy name: DMASWA methane gas to energy. 3) Palm type: Muni€ipaL. County 4) Affected entities: DMASW.A: City of Dubuque; Dubuque Coumy; landfill clients and cushy. )) Current status: EarLyplarming 6) Estimated GHG reduction: 61.799 tut CO:e =ally (11,799 mt from electcidty R'sste he`: in additban to 50,000 tut from captured methsne- see section: Afilditale caprov andfa roger D?f4SWA). Future expansions at amend) active capped cells could expand this capacity in the future. 7) Scope of missions reduction: Scope 1 (methane combustion); Scope? (elecnicityleat getieration) 1 8) Specific description of policy: In 2007. Dubuque commissioned a study from Cori rstane Entironnie ml. Group, LrC, which ide-irified the potential for a 2 MW Combined Heat and power (CHP) landfill-gas—to—energy faciti:v (Cornerstone 2008). This facility would caprice metre and Man it m create energy equivalent :o powering over 1,000 homes CEP facilities produce elertridty and also utilize resulting waste heat in surrounding buildings_ 9) Barriers to implematatiian: Finding buyer(s) for electricity neat; up front costs~ transmission of heatenerey, peunitting permitting and siting of facility 10) Co- benefits: Bred on estimates from Cornerstone (2004), the landfill €y project could yield a high rate of retna A-ith a net present -value of appro au itelv S1.909,431. 11) Explanation of GHG reduction impact: 50,000 tut COI per }mar from methane flninf plus 11.799 met from electricity and waste hea: from 2 MW 1��d7ll -to-ea orgy �cility ',Cornerstone 2003) using projected 2030 emission Mc:ors (Appendix .4) 12) Motive confidence of GHG reduction estimate: High 13) Sources of uncertainty in CMG reduction estimate: Captrire efficiency of collection system; capacity of CTS facility. pDEduai 2uynsEaw )8 sapols ssappns 2uisEDMogs o� suopdo lEuopippe ppe o� a�e�duaa� y 2upiEua -Awoud 'S 2uplas -bilod 2uiva.aojui suopdo 2uI■Es 1SOD puE suoissiwa iEpualod lnoge sienpinipui pine sassauisnq 2uivaJo}ui 4unwwoD Dip 2uReDnP3 .fr 7 •I GRSfl 38 1N3Wf1DO4 SIHI11IMMOH Questions?